Spatiotemporal distribution and sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors associated with primary and secondary syphilis in Guangdong, China, 2005-2017

Epidemiological characteristics of syphilis in mainland China, 2004 to 2019

OBJECTIVES

Syphilis is a globally prevalent sexually transmitted infection. This study aimed to elucidate the epidemiological characteristics of syphilis in China from 2004 to 2019.

METHODS

Incidence data for syphilis across 31 provinces in mainland China were obtained from the Data Center of China Public Health Science for the period from 2004 to 2019. Epidemiological methods and the Chi-squared test were used to analyze the temporal, regional, and disease stage distributions of syphilis.

RESULTS

In total, 5,527,399 syphilis cases were reported in China from 2004 to 2019, with an average annual prevalence of 25.7063 per 100,000 population and overall increasing trend. In terms of regional distribution, high-incidence provinces included Shanghai, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangxi, Guangdong, Xinjiang, Ningxia, and Qinghai. The proportion of latent syphilis increased from 20.41% in 2004 to 82.95% in 2019, with an upward trend each year.

CONCLUSIONS

Syphilis incidence exhibited an overall increasing trend in China, and latent syphilis was predominant. Syphilis incidences considerably varied among regions, and syphilis was detected from coastal to inland provinces. Thus, syphilis prevention and control programs should be tailored according to the specific epidemiological characteristics of each region.

The prevalence of gestational syphilis in Malawi between 2014 and 2022: spatiotemporal modeling of population-level factors

Background

Mother-to-child transmission of syphilis remains high especially in the WHO AFRO region with a prevalence of 1.62%, resulting in a congenital syphilis rate of 1,119 per 100,000 live births. Elimination efforts can be supported by an understanding of the spatial and temporal changes in disease over time, which can identify priority areas for targeted interventions aimed at reducing transmission.

Methods

We collated routine surveillance data from health facilities and covariate data from demographic and health surveys conducted in Malawi between 2014 and 2022. We fitted a Bayesian hierarchical mixed model with spatial and temporally structured random effects to model the district-level monthly counts of maternal syphilis notifications as a function of individual- and district-level predictors. We then generated district-level spatiotemporally explicit risk profiles to estimate the effect of individual- and district-level covariates on maternal syphilis notifications and to identify hotspot areas.

Results

Overall, the national prevalence of maternal syphilis increased from 0.28% (95% CI: 0.27-0.29%) in 2014 to peaking in 2021 at 1.92% (95% CI: 1.89-1.96%). Between 2020 and 2022, there was a decline in prevalence, with the most significant decline seen in Zomba District (1.40, 95% CI: 1.12-1.66%). In regression models, a one percentage point increase in district-level antenatal HIV prevalence was associated with increased maternal syphilis (prevalence ratio [PR]: 1.15, 95% credible interval [CrI]: 1.10-1.21). There was also an increased prevalence of maternal syphilis associated with an increased district-level mean number of sex partners (PR: 1.05, 95% CrI: 0.80-1.37). The number of districts with a high prevalence of maternal syphilis also increased between 2014 and 2022, especially in the southern region, where most had a high probability (approaching 100%) of having high maternal syphilis (defined as relative risk >1 compared to the standard population of women aged 15-49 years) in 2022.

Conclusion

Maternal syphilis prevalence in Malawi shows an increasing upward trend, with an estimated six times relative increase between 2014 and 2022 (0.28% to 1.73%) and strong associations with higher district-level HIV prevalence. Controlling syphilis depends on reaching vulnerable populations at the sub-national level, which may be disproportionately affected. Our findings support the move to integrate the elimination of mother-to-child transmission (EMTCT) of syphilis programs with existing prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) of HIV programs.

Scaling law characteristics and spatiotemporal multicomponent analysis of syphilis from 2016 to 2022 in Zhejiang Province, China

Background

Syphilis has caused epidemics for hundreds of years, and the global syphilis situation remains serious. The reported incidence rate of syphilis in Zhejiang Province has ranked first in the province in terms of notifiable infectious diseases for many years and is the highest in China. This study attempts to use the scaling law theory to study the relationship between population size and different types of syphilis epidemics, while also exploring the main driving factors affecting the incidence of syphilis in different regions.

Methods

Data on syphilis cases and affected populations at the county level were obtained from the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System. The scaling relationship between different stages of syphilis and population size was explained by scaling law. The trend of the incidence from 2016 to 2022 was tested by the joinpoint regression. The index of distance between indices of simulation and observation (DISO) was applied to evaluate the overall performance of joinpoint regression model. Furthermore, a multivariate time series model was employed to identify the main driving components that affected the occurrence of syphilis at the county level. The p value less than 0.05 or confidence interval (CI) does not include 0 represented statistical significance for all the tests.

Results

From 2016 to 2022, a total of 204,719 cases of syphilis were reported in Zhejiang Province, including 2 deaths, all of which were congenital syphilis. Latent syphilis accounted for 79.47% of total syphilis cases. The annual percent change (APCs) of all types of syphilis, including primary syphilis, secondary syphilis, tertiary syphilis, congenital syphilis and latent syphilis, were - 21.70% (p < 0.001, 95% CI: -26.70 to -16.30), -16.80% (p < 0.001, 95% CI: -20.30 to -13.30), -8.70% (p < 0.001, 95% CI: -11.30 to -6.00), -39.00% (p = 0.001, 95% CI: -49.30 to -26.60) and - 7.10% (p = 0.008, 95% CI: -11.20 to -2.80), respectively. The combined scaling exponents of primary syphilis, secondary syphilis, tertiary syphilis, congenital syphilis and latent syphilis based on the random effects model were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.88 to 1.01), 1.14 (95% CI: 1.12 to 1.16), 0.43 (95% CI: 0.37 to 0.49), 0.0264 (95% CI: -0.0047 to 0.0575) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.82 to 0.93), respectively. The overall average effect values of the endemic component, spatiotemporal component and autoregressive component for all counties were 0.24, 0.035 and 0.72, respectively. The values of the autoregressive component for most counties were greater than 0.7. The endemic component of the top 10 counties with the highest values was greater than 0.34. Two counties with value of the spatiotemporal component higher than 0.1 were Xihu landscape county and Shengsi county. From 2016 to 2022, the endemic and autoregressive components of each county showed obvious seasonal changes.

Conclusion

The scaling exponent had both temporal trend characteristics and significant heterogeneity in the association between each type of syphilis and population size. Primary syphilis and latent syphilis exhibited a linear pattern, secondary syphilis presented a superlinear pattern, and tertiary syphilis exhibited a sublinear pattern. This suggested that further prevention of infection and transmission among high-risk populations and improvement of diagnostic accuracy in underdeveloped areas is needed. The autoregressive components and the endemic components were the main driving factors that affected the occurrence of syphilis. Targeted prevention and control strategies must be developed based on the main driving modes of the epidemic in each county.

Early syphilis in Guangzhou, China: presentation, molecular detection of Treponema pallidum , and genomic sequences in clinical specimens and isolates obtained by rabbit infectivity testing

Background

The global resurgence of syphilis requires novel prevention strategies. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) of Treponema pallidum ( TPA ) using different specimen types is essential for vaccine development.

Methods

Patients with primary (PS) and secondary (SS) syphilis were recruited in Guangzhou, China. We collected ulcer exudates and blood from PS participants, and skin biopsies and blood from SS participants for TPA polA polymerase chain reaction (PCR); ulcer exudates and blood were also used to isolate TPA strains by rabbit infectivity testing (RIT). TPA WGS was performed on 52 ulcer exudates and biopsy specimens and 25 matched rabbit isolates.

Results

We enrolled 18 PS and 51 SS participants from December 2019 to March 2022. Among PS participants, TPA DNA was detected in 16 (89%) ulcer exudates and three (17%) blood specimens. Among SS participants, TPA DNA was detected in 50 (98%) skin biopsies and 27 (53%) blood specimens. TP A was isolated from 48 rabbits, with a 71% (12/17) success rate from ulcer exudates and 69% (36/52) from SS bloods. Twenty-three matched SS14 clade genomes were virtually identical, while two Nichols clade pairs had discordant tprK sequences. Forty-two of 52 unique TPA genomes clustered in an SS14 East Asia subgroup, while ten fell into two East Asian Nichols subgroups.

Conclusions

Our TPA detection rate was high from PS ulcer exudates and SS skin biopsies and over 50% from SS whole blood, with RIT isolation in over two-thirds of samples. Our results support the use of WGS from rabbit isolates to inform vaccine development.

Summary

We performed Treponema pallidum molecular detection and genome sequencing from multiple specimens collected from early syphilis patients and isolates obtained by rabbit inoculation. Our results support the use of whole genome sequencing from rabbit isolates to inform syphilis vaccine development.

Preconception syphilis seroprevalence and association with duration of marriage and age among married individuals in Guangdong Province, China: A population-based cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Duration of marriage (DoM) and age are important characteristics of married individuals, who are the critical population for eliminating mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of syphilis. A deep understanding of the preconception syphilis seroprevalence (PSS) and its distribution among this population may be able to help to eliminate MTCT. However, few population-based epidemiological studies have been focused on this group, and the association of DoM and age with PSS remains unclear.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

This study used data from 4,826,214 married individuals aged 21-49 years who participated in the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project in Guangdong Province, China, between 2014 and 2019. Syphilis was screened using the rapid plasma reagin (RPR) test. The seroprevalence time series, seroprevalence map, and hot spot analysis (HSA) were employed to visualize the spatiotemporal distribution. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) based on multivariate logistic regression was used to model the association of DoM and age with PSS. The interactions on the additive scale of DoM and age were also assessed. The PSS was 266.61 per 100,000 persons (95% CI: 262.03-271.24) and the burden was higher in economically underdeveloped area within the province. A strong J-shaped non-linearity association was observed between age and PSS. Specifically, the risk of seropositivity was relatively flat until 27 years of age among men and increased rapidly afterwards, with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.13 (95% CI: 1.12-1.13) per unit. Among women, the risk of seropositivity was relatively flat until 25 years of age and increased rapidly afterwards with an aOR of 1.08 (95% CI: 1.08-1.09) per unit. DoM was negatively associated with PSS among married individuals. Moreover, the combined effects of age and DoM appeared to be synergistic.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

Our findings suggest that attention should be paid to preventing syphilis in underdeveloped areas and that syphilis screening in newly married individuals who are in their late 20s or older should be recommended. Additionally, early syphilis prevention strategies should be implemented among young people as early as possible.

Couple-level determinants of syphilis infection among heterosexual married couples of reproductive age in Guangdong Province, China: A population-based cross-sectional study

Background

Syphilis remains a major public health problem worldwide, and its prevention requires knowledge of factors that go beyond the individual-level. However, most syphilis-related studies have focused on individual-level and regional-level factors, neglecting couple-level factors. Thus, this study aimed to explore couple-level determinants of syphilis infection among heterosexual married couples.

Methods

This population-based cross-sectional study used data from heterosexual married couples who participated in the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project in Guangdong Province, China during 2014-2019. The syphilis infection was tested by the rapid plasma reagin test. Couple-level data were obtained by combining information provided by the man and woman living in the same household. Multivariate logistic models were employed to explore the couple-level determinants of syphilis infection by gender after adjusting for potential confounders.

Results

A total of 1,755,156 couples were recruited in this analysis. The seroprevalence was 0.25% (95%CI: 0.24-0.25%) and 0.26% (95%CI: 0.25-0.27%) among men and women, respectively. The median age was 28.0 (interquartile range, IQR: 25.0-31.0) years, and the median duration of marriage was 0.2 (IQR: 0.0-2.5) years. After adjusting for individual and regional-level variables, duration of marriage was a protective factor for syphilis infection in men (adjusted odds ratios, AOR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.96-0.98) and women (AOR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.94-0.96). The age gap and the difference in education level between the husband and wife were associated with syphilis infection, but these associations were somewhat different between men and women. Condom use was negatively associated with syphilis infection in men (AOR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.70-0.84) and women (AOR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.71-0.84). Our results also showed that couple mobility and the number of children were not statistically significant determinants of syphilis infection among heterosexual married couples.

Conclusion

This study contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of syphilis outcomes in individuals in the context of marriage in China. Several couple-level factors are indeed associated with syphilis infection, but these associations differ between men and women. Couple-based strategies that engage both women and men and efforts to promote condom use among heterosexual married couples need to be developed and further evaluated for syphilis prevention.

Clinical Protocols and Treatment Guidelines for the Management of Maternal and Congenital Syphilis in Brazil and Portugal: Analysis and Comparisons: A Narrative Review

(1) Background: Maternal syphilis (MS) and congenital syphilis (CS) are serious public health problems worldwide due to their high morbidity and mortality rates. (2) Objective: Evaluating the applicability of Clinical Protocols and Treatment Guidelines on case incidence trends in Brazil and Portugal. (3) Methods: The review was done through bibliographic research in two public databases and government websites from both countries, published between 2007 and 2022. All guidelines that contained CS and MS were selected. (4) Results and discussion: After evaluation, we found that Brazil and Portugal have adequate protocols for screening and treating congenital and maternal syphilis. (5) Conclusion: The results suggest that CS and MS incidence are notably higher in Brazil than in Portugal due to economic, cultural, and social disparities and the differences in territory size. Therefore, these demographic and socioeconomic factors could strongly influence efforts to fight against syphilis and thus control the infection.

Spatial Heterogeneity and Its Influencing Factors of Syphilis in Ningxia, Northwest China, from 2004 to 2017: A Spatial Analysis

Syphilis remains a growing and resurging infectious disease in China. However, exploring the influence of environmental factors on the spatiotemporal distribution of syphilis remains under explore. This study aims to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of syphilis in Ningxia, Northwest China, and its potential environmental influencing factors. Based on the standardized incidence ratio of syphilis for 22 administrative areas in Ningxia from 2004 to 2017, spatiotemporal autocorrelation and scan analyses were employed to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of syphilis incidence, while a fixed-effect spatial panel regression model identified the potential factors affecting syphilis incidence. Syphilis incidence increased from 3.78/100,000 in 2004 to 54.69/100,000 in 2017 with significant spatial clustering in 2007 and 2009-2013. The "high-high" and "low-low" clusters were mainly distributed in northern and southern Ningxia, respectively. The spatial error panel model demonstrated that the syphilis incidence may be positively correlated with the per capita GDP and tertiary industry GDP and negatively correlated with the number of health facilities and healthcare personnel. Sex ratio and meteorological factors were not significantly associated with syphilis incidence. These results show that the syphilis incidence in Ningxia is still increasing and has significant spatial distribution differences and clustering. Socio-economic and health-resource factors could affect the incidence; therefore, strengthening syphilis surveillance of migrants in the economically developed region and allocating health resources to economically underdeveloped areas may effectively help prevent and control syphilis outbreaks in high-risk cluster areas of Ningxia.

Spatial-temporal analysis of HIV/AIDS and syphilis in mainland China from 2007 to 2017

Human immune deficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) and syphilis are the most common sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) worldwide, as well as in China. The objective of this study is to describe the trend of spatial and temporal variation of HIV/AIDS and syphilis in mainland China from 2007 to 2017. Stratified analysis was conducted according to age and the GDP per capita. Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was calculated and spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to evaluate the epidemiology and identify clusters. The morbidity of new HIV infection increased from 2.5034/100 000 in 2007 to 6.9247/100 000 in 2017, with an EAPC of 9.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.07-10.60). From 2007 to 2017, the morbidity of syphilis presented a significant upward trend from 15.8834/100 000 to 34.4867/100 000 (EAPC = 6.48, 95% CI: 4.23-8.73). The number of new HIV infections (205 084) and syphilis (921 279) were highest in the 20-30 years old group, where the incidence decreased with age over 20 years. In general, HIV and syphilis infection had the same incidence trend according to age and time stratification. The morbidity of new HIV infection was mainly reported from Xinjiang and southwestern China. As for syphilis, the highest was found in Zhejiang in Xinjiang and southeast coastal areas. Both HIV and syphilis infection showed a nonrandom positive correlation by Moran's I value. The High-High cluster areas of HIV infection were concentrated in southwestern and eastern China due to syphilis. A highly significant positive correlation was found between gross domestic product per capita and syphilis infection (p < 0.05) but was not associated with HIV infection. The incidence of AIDS/HIV and syphilis is increasing year by year, and a higher prevalence is found in younger individuals. More attention should be paid to HIV infection in the southwest, syphilis in southeast coastal areas, and both the two diseases in Xinjiang.