Role of survival post-progression in phase III trials of systemic chemotherapy in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: a systematic review

Association of Antifolate Response Signature Status and Clinical Activity of Pemetrexed-Platinum Chemotherapy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: The Piedmont Study

PURPOSE

The Piedmont study is a prospectively designed retrospective evaluation of a new 48-gene antifolate response signature (AF-PRS) in patients with locally advanced/metastatic nonsquamous (NS) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with pemetrexed-containing platinum doublet chemotherapy (PMX-PDC). The study tested the hypothesis that AF-PRS identifies patients with NS-NSCLC who have a higher likelihood of responding positively to PMX-PDC. The goal was to gather clinical evidence supporting AF-PRS as a potential diagnostic test.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Residual pretreatment FFPE tumor samples and clinical data were analyzed from 105 patients treated with first-line (1L) PMX-PDC. Ninety-five patients had sufficient RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) data quality and clinical annotation for inclusion in the analysis. Associations between AF-PRS status and associate genes and outcome measures including progression-free survival (PFS) and clinical response were evaluated.

RESULTS

Overall, 53% of patients were AF-PRS(+), which was associated with extended PFS, but not overall survival, versus AF-PRS(-) (16.6 months vs. 6.6 months; P = 0.025). In patients who were stage I to III patients at the time of treatment, PFS was further extended in AF-PRS(+) versus AF-PRS(-) (36.2 months vs. 9.3 months; P = 0.03). Complete response (CR) to therapy was noted in 14 of 95 patients. AF-PRS(+) preferentially selected a majority (79%) of CRs, which were evenly split between patients stage I to III (six of seven) and stage IV (five of seven) at the time of treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

AF-PRS identified a significant population of patients with extended PFS and/or clinical response following PMX-PDC treatment. AF-PRS may be a useful diagnostic test for patients indicated for systemic chemotherapy, especially when determining the optimal PDC regimen for locally advanced disease.

Post-progression survival after atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide as first-line chemotherapy in small cell lung cancer has a significant impact on overall survival

BACKGROUND

The effect of first-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) may be significantly influenced by subsequent therapy for patients with extensive disease small cell lung cancer (ED-SCLC). Therefore, we evaluated the relationship between progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS), and OS of ED-SCLC patients treated with atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide as first-line therapy.

METHODS

We analyzed the data of 57 patients with relapsed ED-SCLC treated with atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide (AteCE) as first-line chemotherapy between August 2019 and September 2020. The respective correlations between PFS-OS and PPS-OS following first-line AteCE treatment were examined at the individual patient level.

RESULTS

Spearman's rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis showed that PPS strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.93, p < 0.05, R²  = 0.85) and that PFS moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.55, p < 0.05, R²  = 0.28). Performance status at relapse (0-1/≥2), number of cycles of atezolizumab maintenance therapy (<3/≥3), and platinum rechallenge chemotherapy all significantly positively correlated with PPS (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Upon comparing OS-PFS and OS-PPS in this patient population, OS and PPS were found to have a stronger correlation. These results suggest that performance status at relapse, atezolizumab maintenance, or chemotherapy rechallenge could affect PPS.

Clinical impact of post-progression survival in patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer after chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of first-line chemoradiotherapy for overall survival (OS) might be confounded by the subsequent treatments in patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In this study, we assessed the associations of progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS after chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced NSCLC using patient-level data.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between January 2011 and December 2018, 45 patients with locally advanced NSCLC who had received first-line chemoradiotherapy and in whom recurrence occurred were analysed. The associations of PFS and PPS with OS were analysed at the individual level.

RESULTS

Linear regression and Spearman rank correlation analyses revealed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.72, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.54), whereas PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.58, p < 0.05, R² = 0.34). The Glasgow prognostic score and liver metastases at recurrence were significantly associated with PPS (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The current analysis of individual-level data of patients treated with first-line chemoradiotherapy implied that PPS had a higher impact on OS than PFS in patients with locally advanced NSCLC. Additionally, current perceptions indicate that treatment beyond progression after first-line chemoradiotherapy might strongly affect OS.

Serum miR-27a is a biomarker for the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Lung cancer has a high incidence and a 5-year survival rate of less than 15%. Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounts for approximately 85% of lung cancer cases. Chemotherapy and immunotherapy are the most frequently used alternative treatments for patients with advanced-stage NSCLC in whom surgery failed. Previous studies have suggested that miR-27a is involved in cancer development and progression. The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical value of miR-27a in the prognosis of NSCLC patients after chemotherapy.

METHODS

Flow cytometry was used to detect the apoptosis rate of SPC-A1 cells treated with optical cisplatin at different times. Simultaneously, the expression of miR-27a in supernatants and cells was detected. Fifty-two newly diagnosed NSCLC patients were recruited. All patients received gemcitabine and cisplatin as first-line chemotherapy and docetaxel as second-line chemotherapy. At the end of every chemotherapy cycle, a therapeutic evaluation was performed according to the RECIST criteria. The expression of serum miR-27a was detected in each cycle.

RESULTS

After treatment with 2.5 µg/mL cisplatin, the apoptosis rates of SPC-A1 cells were significantly greater than those of the paired untreated control groups at 12, 24, 48 and 72 h. The expression of miR-27a in supernatants and cells was also consistent with the apoptosis rate and changed a time-dependent manner. The chi-square test showed that an increase in miR-27a after chemotherapy was more common in patients who achieved partial response (PR) than in those who achieved no response (NR) (61.5% vs. 30.8%, P=0.026). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that patients with decreased miR-27a levels had poorer outcomes than those with increased miR-27a levels (P<0.05). Furthermore, dynamic changes in serum miR-27a with a gradual increasing trend during chemotherapy predicted a good prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Collectively, our results suggest that miR-27a is involved in the apoptosis of lung cancer cells and that serum miR-27a levels are related to the prognosis of NSCLC patients. The expression levels of miR-27a in the serum may be an independent predictor for the prognosis of NSCLC.

Expression signature, prognosis value and immune characteristics of cathepsin F in non-small cell lung cancer identified by bioinformatics assessment

Background

In recent years, immunotherapies and targeted therapies contribute to population-level improvement in NSCLC cancer-specific survival, however, the two novel therapeutic options have mainly benefit patients containing mutated driven genes. Thus, to explore other potential genes related with immunity or targeted therapies may provide novel options to improve survival of lung cancer patients without mutated driven genes. CTSF is unique in human cysteine proteinases. Presently, CTSF has been detected in several cell lines of lung cancer, but its role in progression and prognosis of lung cancer remains unclear.

Methods

CTSF expression and clinical datasets of lung cancer patients were obtained from GTEx, TIMER, CCLE, THPA, and TCGA, respectively. Association of CTSF expression with clinicopathological parameters and prognosis of lung cancer patients was analyzed using UALCAN and Kaplan–Meier Plotter, respectively. LinkedOmics were used to analyze correlation between CTSF and CTSF co-expressed genes. Protein–protein interaction and gene–gene interaction were analyzed using STRING and GeneMANIA, respectively. Association of CTSF with molecular markers of immune cells and immunomodulators was analyzed with Immunedeconv and TISIDB, respectively.

Results

CTSF expression was currently only available for patients with NSCLC. Compared to normal tissues, CTSF was downregulated in NSCLC samples and high expressed CTSF was correlated with favorable prognosis of NSCLC. Additionally, CTSF expression was correlated with that of immune cell molecular markers and immunomodulators both in LUAD and LUSC. Noticeably, high expression of CTSF-related CTLA-4 was found to be associated with better OS of LUAD patients. Increased expression of CTSF-related LAG-3 was related with poor prognosis of LUAD patients while there was no association between CTSF-related PD-1/PD-L1 and prognosis of LUAD patients. Moreover, increased expression of CTSF-related CD27 was related with poor prognosis of LUAD patients while favorable prognosis of LUSC patients.

Conclusions

CTSF might play an anti-tumor effect via regulating immune response of NSCLC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12890-021-01796-w.

Efficacy and Safety of S-1 Compared With Docetaxel in Elderly Patients With Advanced NSCLC Previously Treated With Platinum-Based Chemotherapy: A Subgroup Analysis of the EAST-LC Trial

Introduction

Despite recent advances in NSCLC treatment, specific data on the elderly population remain limited. In this post hoc subgroup analysis of the East Asia S-1 Trial in Lung Cancer (EAST-LC) trial, we compared S-1 and docetaxel (DTX) in patients aged 70 years old and above with pretreated advanced NSCLC.

Methods

Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive S-1 (orally, twice daily on d 1–28 of a 6-wk cycle) or DTX (intravenously, on d 1 of a 3-wk cycle). The initial S-1 dose was 80, 100, or 120 mg/day on the basis of body surface area, and the DTX doses were 60 mg/m² (Japan) or 75 mg/m² (outside Japan). The primary end point was overall survival, and secondary end points included progression-free survival, response rate, quality of life (QOL) using the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core-30, and safety.

Results

Among 189 patients aged 70 years and above assessed as the full analysis set, baseline characteristics were generally similar between treatment arms. The median overall survival was 14.7 (S-1) versus 12.1 months (DTX); the hazard ratio was equal to 0.76, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.54–1.07. The median progression-free survival was similar in both arms (both 4.1 mo, hazard ratio = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.60–1.18); and the response rate was 12.9% (S-1) and 14.0% (DTX). The adjusted mean QOL score difference (S-1–DTX until wk 48) was 7.41 (95% CI: 0.37–14.46). Safety profiles were generally consistent with those of the overall EAST-LC population.

Conclusions

S-1 revealed comparable efficacy, safety, and QOL versus DTX in pretreated elderly patients with advanced NSCLC. Results were consistent with the overall EAST-LC data.

Course of postoperative relapse in non-small cell lung cancer is strongly associated with post-progression survival

Background

For early‐stage non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), surgical resection is considered the most effective treatment strategy and curative treatment. Unfortunately, even after complete resection, almost half of all patients with stage I–IIIA NSCLC relapse and die. Although the possibility of a cure for postoperative recurrence of NSCLC is significantly low, the course of subsequent treatment can possibly affect overall survival (OS). Here, we examined the association of relapse‐free survival (RFS) and post‐progression survival (PPS) with OS in patients with postoperative recurrence of NSCLC.

Methods

We evaluated 128 patients with NSCLC who underwent complete resection between January 2007 and December 2018. The association between RFS and PPS on OS was examined at the patient level.

Results

Spearman's rank correlation and linear regression analyses revealed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.83, p < 0.05, R² = 0.72), whereas RFS was weakly associated with OS (r = 0.56, p < 0.05, R² = 0.37). Additionally, the performance status at relapse and administration of tyrosine kinase inhibitors were significantly correlated with PPS.

Conclusions

PPS was significantly more strongly correlated with OS than was RFS in patients with postoperative recurrence of NSCLC. These results suggest that therapy following postoperative recurrence affects OS. Therefore, it is necessary to validate these promising results in a large prospective study.

Post-Progression Survival Influences Overall Survival among Patients with Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Undergoing First-Line Pembrolizumab Monotherapy

BACKGROUND

Among patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the impact of first-line treatment on overall survival (OS) may be influenced by subsequent therapies. Thus, using patient-level data, we assessed the relationships of progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS among patients with high-programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC.

METHODS

We reviewed data from 133 patients with high PD-L1 expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC at 6 Japanese centers between February 2017 and December 2018. The correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were evaluated at the patient level.

RESULTS

Linear regression analyses and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient revealed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.76, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.65), while PFS was only moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.71, p < 0.05, and R2 = 0.4). Furthermore, PPS was significantly associated with performance status at the end of pembrolizumab monotherapy, as well as the use of platinum-based combination chemotherapy after pembrolizumab monotherapy (both p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with high PD-L1 expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC, PPS was more strongly correlated with OS, relative to the relationship between PFS and OS. Therefore, subsequent treatment appears to significantly influence OS in patients with disease progression following first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy.

Surrogate Endpoints in Oncology: Overview of Systematic Reviews and Their Use for Health Decision Making in Mexico

OBJECTIVES

The use of surrogate endpoints (SEs) for cancer drug approval in health systems is common. The objectives of this study were to identify systematic reviews (SRs) that evaluated the correlation of SEs with overall survival (OS) in cancer drugs to analyze the applications of approved cancer drugs with SEs in Mexico and to apply the validation framework proposed by the Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care (IQWiG).

METHODS

An overview of SRs was conducted according to Cochrane Collaboration methodology. Applications for approved cancer drugs with SEs in Mexico were analyzed. The IQWiG validation framework was applied to evaluate the SEs identified in the overview and in the applications in Mexico.

RESULTS

A total of 85 SRs that assessed 192 SEs for different types of cancer were selected. According to the IQWiG model, only 2.5% of the SEs analyzed in the overview and only one of the applications in Mexico could be used as surrogates for OS because the reliability (methodological quality) of the SRs and the strength of the correlation of SEs with OS was mostly low (92%) and low (correlation coefficient r ≤ 0.7; 50.5%), respectively. Of the total number of cancer drugs approved in Mexico, 19.4% used SEs.

CONCLUSIONS

Most SEs for different types of cancer could not be used as surrogates for OS according to the IQWiG model, and their use for the approval of cancer drugs in Mexico is generally not justified.

Post-Progression Survival Is Strongly Associated with Overall Survival in Patients Exhibiting Postoperative Relapse of Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Harboring Sensitizing EGFR Mutations

Background and Objective: Patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harboring sensitizing epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations show a good response to EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs). The subsequent treatments influence the evaluability of the efficacy of front-line therapy on overall survival (OS). Consequently, we evaluated the associations of relapse-free survival (RFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS in patients who exhibited postoperative relapse of EGFR-mutated NSCLC. Materials and Methods: We analyzed the data of 35 patients with EGFR-mutated NSCLC who underwent complete resection between January 2007 and June 2019. The correlations of RFS and PPS with OS were evaluated at the individual patient level. Results: Linear regression and Spearman’s rank correlation analyses demonstrated that the PPS highly correlated with OS (r = 0.91, p < 0.05, R² = 0.85), whereas the RFS weakly associated with OS (r = 0.36, p < 0.05, R² = 0.25). Age and performance status at relapse were significantly associated with PPS. Conclusion: Overall, PPS was more strongly and significantly associated with OS than RFS. These results suggest that the OS of our cohort may be affected by treatments, besides postoperative relapse. However, larger-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Veliparib in Combination with Carboplatin and Etoposide in Patients with Treatment-Naïve Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Phase 2 Randomized Study

PURPOSE

This study investigated the efficacy and safety of oral PARP inhibitor veliparib, plus carboplatin and etoposide in patients with treatment-naïve, extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ED-SCLC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to veliparib [240 mg twice daily (BID) for 14 days] plus chemotherapy followed by veliparib maintenance (400 mg BID; veliparib throughout), veliparib plus chemotherapy followed by placebo (veliparib combination only), or placebo plus chemotherapy followed by placebo (control). Patients received 4-6 cycles of combination therapy, then maintenance until unacceptable toxicity/progression. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) with veliparib throughout versus control.

RESULTS

Overall (N = 181), PFS was improved with veliparib throughout versus control [hazard ratio (HR), 0.67; 80% confidence interval (CI), 0.50-0.88; P = 0.059]; median PFS was 5.8 and 5.6 months, respectively. There was a trend toward improved PFS with veliparib throughout versus control in SLFN11-positive patients (HR, 0.6; 80% CI, 0.36-0.97). Median overall survival (OS) was 10.1 versus 12.4 months in the veliparib throughout and control arms, respectively (HR, 1.43; 80% CI, 1.09-1.88). Grade 3/4 adverse events were experienced by 82%, 88%, and 68% of patients in the veliparib throughout, veliparib combination-only and control arms, most commonly hematologic.

CONCLUSIONS

Veliparib plus platinum chemotherapy followed by veliparib maintenance demonstrated improved PFS as first-line treatment for ED-SCLC with an acceptable safety profile, but there was no corresponding benefit in OS. Further investigation is warranted to define the role of biomarkers in this setting.

Anticancer mechanism of breviscapine in non-small cell lung cancer A549 cells acts via ROS-mediated upregulation of IGFBP4

Background

The overall 5-year survival rate of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is less than 15% because of multiple drug resistance to chemotherapy and the limitations of early diagnosis. Thus, safe and effective drugs to treat NSCLC are required. The present study aimed to investigate the effects of breviscapine (BVP) on NSCLC cell apoptosis and proliferation, and to study its possible mechanisms.

Methods

Using the NSCLC A549 cell line and BVP (0, 25, 50, and 100 µM), the 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2,5-diphenyltetrazolium bromide (MTT) assay was used to detect A549 cell proliferation, and flow cytometry was used to assess cell apoptosis. Insulin-like growth factor binding protein 4 (IGFBP4) levels was assessed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and western blotting. Flow cytometry of hydrogen peroxide and superoxide was used to assess intracellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) generation. Western blotting was used to assess the levels of BCL2-associated X, apoptosis regulator (BAX) and B-cell CLL/lymphoma 2 (BCL2). Quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR (qRT-PCR) was used to assess IGFBP4 mRNA expression.

Results

BVP induced apoptosis, inhibited cell proliferation, and increased ROS in A549 cells. Western blotting and qRT-PCR showed that BVP increased IGFBP4 protein and mRNA expressions in A549 cells. Compared with BVP treatment alone, IGFBP4 expression decreased in A549 cells treated with BVP and the ROS scavenger N-acetylcysteine. IGFBP4 overexpression increased BVP-induced proliferation inhibition, while increasing BAX expression and decreasing BCL2 expression. Silencing IGFBP4 had the opposite effects.

Conclusions

BVP could inhibit the growth of NSCLC A549 cells by promoting apoptosis via ROS-mediated upregulation of IGFBP4.

Clinical impact of post-progression survival on overall survival in patients receiving nivolumab monotherapy as a second-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Background

The effect of second‐line treatment on overall survival (OS) may be affected by subsequent treatment in patients with non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); however, in such patients, the correlation between post‐progression survival (PPS) and OS is unclear. Our study assessed the correlation of progression‐free survival (PFS) and PPS with OS, using individual patient data, in advanced NSCLC patients who were treated with second‐line nivolumab monotherapy,

Methods

Between January 2016 and March 2019, we evaluated 92 NSCLC patients who received second‐line nivolumab treatment after first‐line platinum‐based combination chemotherapy. Using individual patient data, the correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were examined.

Results

Linear regression and Spearman rank correlation analysis demonstrated that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.85, p < 0.05, R² = 0.75), while PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.65, p < 0.05, R² = 0.42). Performance status at the beginning of second‐line treatment, immune checkpoint inhibitor rechallenge, and the number of treatment regimens used post‐progression, after the second‐line treatment significantly correlated with PPS (p < 0.05). In advanced NSCLC patients who underwent second‐line treatment with nivolumab, in comparison to PFS, there was a stronger correlation between PPS and OS.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that subsequent treatment for disease progression after a second‐line nivolumab treatment had a significant impact on OS.

Randomized phase II trial of uracil/tegafur and cisplatin versus pemetrexed and cisplatin with concurrent thoracic radiotherapy for locally advanced unresectable stage III non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer: NJLCG1001

Background

The optimal regimen for concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) of locally advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was not definitive. We conducted randomized phase II study, NJLCG0601, and chemoradiotherapy with uracil/tegafur (UFT) and cisplatin achieved promising efficacy without severe toxicities. Here, we evaluated between this regimen and pemetrexed plus cisplatin in chemoradiotherapy for stage III non-squamous NSCLC.

Methods

Patients with inoperable stage III non-squamous NSCLC were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to UFT 400 mg/m² on days 1–14 and 29–42, and cisplatin 80 mg/m² on days 8 and 36 (UP), or cisplatin 75 mg/m² and pemetrexed 500 mg/m² on days 1, 22, and 43 (PP). Involved-field radiotherapy (IFRT) underwent from day 1 to a total dose of 66 Gy in 33 fractions. Consolidation chemotherapy after CCRT was prohibited for this study. The primary endpoint was defined as 2-year overall survival (OS). This trial was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000003948).

Results

From November 2010 to June 2017, 86 patients were entered from 11 institutions. Median follow-up was 54 months. Of the 85 eligible patients, the 2-year OS rate was 78.6% (95% CI, 62.8–88.3%) in UP and 85.5% (95% CI, 70.5–93.2%) in PP. Median PFS and OS was 12.3 and 64.2 months in UP, 26.2 months and not reached in PP, respectively. Grade 3/4 febrile neutropenia was more frequent in the UP group (14.0% vs. 2.0%).

Conclusions

Both UP and PP with IFRT achieved the expected 2-year OS. PP engendered more favorable OS and PFS compared to UP in terms.

Impact of subsequent chemotherapy on the survival of elderly patients with extensive stage small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The prognosis of small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is still poor because of rapid recurrence, despite good response to initial chemotherapy. Additionally, patients' old ages and comorbidities are often obstacles that make it difficult to apply subsequent treatment after initial treatment. This retrospective study analyzed the correlation of post-progression survival (PPS) with overall survival (OS), and prognostic factors including comorbidities to figure out impact of subsequent chemotherapy on OS in elderly extensive disease SCLC.

METHODS

We analyzed 101 patients of age 65 years or older who were recently diagnosed with extensive disease SCLC (ED-SCLC) in Korea University Medical Center between January 1995 and December 2015. The degree of comorbidity was scored using simplified comorbidity score (SCS). Correlation between PPS, progression-free survival (PFS) and OS was analyzed using a Pearson correlation coefficient. Cox proportional hazards regression was employed to examine the influence of clinical variables on survival.

RESULTS

Median age of patients was 71 years old (range, 65 to 83). Median OS was 8.7 months (range, 0.3 to 42.7). PPS was a reliable factor on OS than PFS (R2 = 0.852, p < 0.001). Prognostic factors associated with improved survival were SCS < 9, administration > 4 cycles of first line chemotherapy and subsequent second line chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

PPS was more correlated with OS than PFS in elderly patients with ED-SCLC. The most important prognostic factors for PPS and OS included SCS and second line chemotherapy. Patients receiving subsequent treatment had increased OS regardless of degree of comorbidity.

MiR-1307-5p targeting TRAF3 upregulates the MAPK/NF-κB pathway and promotes lung adenocarcinoma proliferation

BACKGROUND

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) includes lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC). MicroRNA (miRNA) plays an important role in the regulation of post-transcriptional gene expression in animals and plants, especially in lung adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

MiR-1307-5p is an miRNA with significant differences screened by the second generation of high-throughput sequencing in the early stage of our research group. In the current study, a series of in vitro and in vivo experiments were carried out. MiR-1307-5p mimic, miR-1307-5p inhibitor, and NC were transfected into A549 and H1299 lung adenocarcinoma cells. The correlation between miR-1307-5p and clinicopathological features in pathological samples was analyzed using a lung adenocarcinoma tissue microarray, and miR-1307-5p expression was detected by qPCR. CCK-8, EdU, colony formation, scratch test, and Transwell assays were used to observe cell proliferation and migration. Double luciferase assay, western blot, qPCR, and immunohistochemistry were employed in confirming the target relationship between miR-1307-5p and TRAF3. Western blotting was used to analyze the relationship between miR-1307-5p and the NF-κB/MAPK pathway. Finally, the effect of miR-1307-5p on tumor growth was studied using a subcutaneous tumorigenesis model in nude mice.

RESULTS

Increased miR-1307-5p expression was significantly related to decreased overall survival rate of lung adenocarcinoma patients, revealing miR-1307-5p as a potential oncogene in lung adenocarcinoma. MiR-1307-5p mimic significantly promoted while miR-1307-5p inhibitor reduced the growth and proliferation of A549 and H1299 cells. MiR-1307-5p overexpression significantly enhanced the migration ability while miR-1307-5p inhibition reduced the migration ability of A549 and H1299 cells. Target binding of miR-1307-5p to TRAF3 was confirmed by double luciferase assay, western blot, qPCR, and immunohistochemistry. miR-1307-5p caused degradation of TRAF3 mRNA and protein. MiR-1307-5p targeted TRAF3 and activated the NF-κB/MAPK pathway. TRAF3 colocalized with p65 and the localization of TRAF3 and p65 changed in each treatment group. Tumor volume of the lv-miR-1307-5p group was significantly larger than that of the lv-NC group, and that of the lv-miR-1307-5p-inhibitor group was significantly smaller than that of the lv-NC group.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, miR-1307-5p targets TRAF3 and activates the NF-κB/MAPK pathway to promote proliferation in lung adenocarcinoma.

Survival and prognostic factors in elderly patients receiving second-line chemotherapy for relapsed small-cell lung cancer: Results from the Japanese Joint Committee of Lung Cancer Registry

OBJECTIVES

Most patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) experience relapse because of the emergence of drug-resistant tumor cells. Therefore, second-line therapy is subsequently required to prolong their survival. However, it is unclear whether second-line chemotherapy can provide a survival benefit to elderly patients with relapsed SCLC. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate survival and identify prognostic factors in an elderly population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on a nationwide registry database of patients with SCLC (the Japanese Joint Committee of Lung Cancer Registry), we retrospectively reviewed medical records of patients aged ≥ 75 years with relapsed SCLC who subsequently received second-line chemotherapy. Survival time since the initiation of second-line chemotherapy was evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 731 patients aged ≥ 75 years with SCLC who were accumulated by the nationwide registry database, this study included 228 patients, comprising 190 men and 38 women with a median age of 78 years. The number of patients with performance status (PS) of 0-1 and 2-4 was 196 and 32, respectively. The overall survival (OS) and 1-year survival rates were 7.5 months and 24 %, respectively. A multivariate analysis identified PS, clinical stage at the time of starting first-line therapy, and the interval from the start of first-line therapy to that of second-line therapy as independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

This study with the nationwide registry database showed that among the relapsed elderly SCLC patients who received second-line chemotherapy, a substantial OS may be expected in patients with good PS, at an early clinical stage at the time of starting first-line therapy, and with a longer interval from the start of first-line therapy to that of second-line chemotherapy.

Post-progression survival is highly linked to overall survival in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer harboring sensitive EGFR mutations treated with first-line epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors

Background

In patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)‐mutated advanced non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC), epidermal growth factor receptor‐tyrosine kinase inhibitor (EGFR‐TKI) treatment has shown a good response. Subsequent treatments jeopardize the ability to determine the effect of first‐line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS). Therefore, using patient‐level data, we aimed to study the associations of progression‐free survival (PFS) and post‐progression survival (PPS) with OS after first‐line EGFR‐TKI treatment in patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC.

Methods

Between November 2006 and December 2016, we analyzed 92 patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC treated with first‐line EGFR‐TKI. The correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed for each patient.

Results

Spearman's rank correlation and linear regression analyzes showed that PPS correlated highly with OS (r = 0.85, P < 0.05, R² = 0.75), whereas PFS correlated weakly with OS (r = 0.76, P < 0.05, R² = 0.50). The best responses after first‐line and second‐line treatments were significantly associated with PPS.

Conclusions

PPS has a higher impact on OS than PFS in patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC treated with first‐line EGFR‐TKIs. These outcomes suggest that the OS in this patient group may be affected by treatments following first‐line chemotherapy; however, this remains to be verified in prospective trials.

Chronological Trends in Progression-Free, Overall, and Post-Progression Survival in First-Line Therapy for Advanced NSCLC

BACKGROUND

There is a debate about the merits of progression-free survival (PFS) versus overall survival (OS) as primary endpoints in NSCLC. It has been postulated that post-progression therapy may influence OS in both arms. To investigate this issue, we analyzed chronological trends in PFS and OS in advanced NSCLC using restricted mean survival times (RMSTs).

METHODS

We digitized survival curves from first-line phase III trials published between 1998 and 2015 in 13 leading journals to compute RMSTs for PFS and OS at three truncation landmarks (5, 12, and 18 months).

RESULTS

Among the 161 trials identified, RMSTs could be computed for both endpoints in 102, 97, and 82 trials for the 5-, 12-, and 18-month truncation landmarks, respectively. Post-progression survival in the control arm, quantified as mean OS minus mean PFS truncated at 18 months, was on average 3.3 months between 1998 and 2003, 4.4 months between 2004 and 2009, and 5.4 months between 2010 and 2015. This increase was due to increasing RMST for OS over time, with no increase in RMST for PFS. The average within-trial difference in RMSTs between experimental and control arm was close to 0 for OS and less than 1 month for PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a progressive increase in post-progression survival in NSCLC trials, likely from salvage therapy. These results question both PFS and OS as sensitive endpoints in first-line trials, but suggest that the outlook for patients is improving regardless of within-trial gains.

The effect of post-progression survival on overall survival among patients with sensitive relapse of small cell lung cancer

Recent studies have suggested that, among patients with advanced lung cancer, subsequent treatment after failure of first-line or second-line chemotherapy has a greater effect on overall survival (OS) than tumor shrinkage or progression-free survival (PFS). However, no studies have examined this issue among patients with sensitive relapse of small cell lung cancer (SCLC). We retrospectively evaluate 77 patients with sensitive relapse of SCLC who received second-line chemotherapy after first-line platinum doublet chemotherapy between January 1999 and November 2013. The analyses included patient characteristics, treatment parameters, tumor shrinkage, PFS, post-progression survival (PPS), and OS. Spearman rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis revealed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.91, p < 0.01, R² = 0.96), PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.58, p < 0.01, R² = 0.28), and tumor shrinkage was weakly correlated with OS (r = 0.34, p < 0.01, R² = 0.12). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model with a stepwise regression procedure revealed that PPS was significantly associated with age at the start of second-line chemotherapy, best response to second-line and third-line chemotherapy, and the number of regimens after progression beyond second-line chemotherapy (p < 0.05). These findings suggest that PPS has a stronger effect than PFS on OS among patients with sensitive relapse of SCLC. Thus, response to second-line chemotherapy and subsequent treatment for disease progression after second-line chemotherapy may be important factors that influence OS.

Clinical significance of post-progression survival in lung cancer

Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) are two common endpoints in cancer trials. OS is usually preferred, because it is reliable, precise, meaningful, and can easily be documented. However, subsequent lines of therapy might confound the effects of first-line treatment on OS. Whether PFS or OS is the more appropriate endpoint in clinical trials of metastatic cancer remains controversial. Previous reports on lung cancer have shown that an increase in PFS does not necessarily result in an increase in OS; however, post-progression survival (PPS) is strongly associated with OS after early-line treatment. The significance of PPS after first and second-line therapy at the individual level in patients with advanced lung cancer has also recently been reported. Findings of previous reports indicate that PPS is highly associated with OS after first and second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer and small cell lung cancer, whereas PFS is only moderately associated with OS. Therefore, subsequent treatment after disease progression following early-line treatments may greatly influence OS. This review demonstrates that even in advanced lung cancer, PPS, rather than PFS, has become more strongly associated with OS over the years, potentially because of intensive post-study treatments. As a result of the increasing impact of PPS on OS, a PFS-related advantage does not necessarily indicate an OS-related advantage. Thus, the prolongation of PPS might limit the classical role of OS for assessing true efficacy derived from early-line chemotherapy in future clinical trials.

Post-Progression Survival Associated with Overall Survival in Patients with Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Receiving Docetaxel Monotherapy as Second-Line Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

In patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the effects of second-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) might be confounded by subsequent therapies. Therefore, using individual-level data, we aimed to determine the relationships between progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS in patients with advanced NSCLC treated with docetaxel monotherapy as second-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

Between April 2002 and December 2014, data from 86 patients with advanced NSCLC who underwent second-line docetaxel monotherapy following first-line treatment with platinum combination chemotherapy were analyzed. The relationships of PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed at the individual level.

RESULTS

Spearman rank correlation and linear regression analyses showed that PPS was strongly associated with OS (r = 0.86, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.93), whereas PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.50, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.21). Performance status at the end of second-line treatment and the number of regimens after progression beyond second-line chemotherapy were significantly associated with PPS (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with advanced NSCLC with unknown oncogenic driver mutations undergoing docetaxel monotherapy as second-line chemotherapy, when compared with PFS, PPS had a stronger association with OS. This finding suggests that subsequent treatment after disease progression following second-line docetaxel monotherapy has a significant influence on OS.

Breviscapine suppresses the growth of non-small cell lung cancer by enhancing microRNA-7 expression

Breviscapine (BVP) has previously been shown to inhibit the proliferation of hepatocellular carcinoma cells. However, little is known about the effects of BVP on non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) growth. Here, we aimed to study the effects of BVP on human NSCLC growth. We employed A549, NCL-H460 and A549 cells transfected with microRNA-7 (miR-7) mimic and inhibitor to investigate the effect of BVP on cell proliferation, apoptosis and apoptosis-associated molecules. The results showed that BVP significantly reduced the growth of A549 and NCLH460 cells in a concentration-dependent and time-dependent manner, accompanied by a significant elevation of apoptosis. Additionally, the present study also confirmed that BVP-treated A549 cells showed increased levels of Bax and microRNA-7 (miR-7) and a decreased level of Bcl-2. The up-regulation of miR-7 enhanced the BVP sensitivity of NSCLC cells by suppressing cell proliferation and promoting cell apoptosis, while the inhibition of miR-7 reversed the anti-proliferative pro-apoptotic effects of BVP. Pre-treatment with miR-7 mimics enhanced the BVP-mediated down-regulation of Bax/Bcl-2 in NSCLC cells, while pre-treatment with the miR-7 inhibitor blocked the BVPmediated down-regulation of Bax/Bcl. Taken together, these results confirm that BVP effectively inhibits NSCLC proliferation and that miR-7, as a novel target, is likely involved in BVP-induced growth suppression and the apoptosis of NSCLC cells.

Positive relationship between subsequent chemotherapy and overall survival in pancreatic cancer: meta-analysis of postprogression survival for first-line chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To gain a better understanding of the impact of postprogression survival (PPS) and post-trial anticancer therapy on overall survival (OS) in first-line pancreatic cancer patients.

METHODS

A literature search identified 54 randomized trials, focusing on gemcitabine monotherapy to eliminate effects of heterogeneity of first-line regimens. We evaluated the relation between OS and either progression-free survival (PFS) or PPS. We also examined whether any association might be affected by the year of completion of trial enrollment.

RESULTS

For all 54 trials, PPS was strongly associated with OS (r = 0.844), whereas PFS was moderately associated with OS (r = 0.623). Average OS and PPS were significantly longer in recent trials than in older trials, (7.29 versus 6.15 months, p < 0.001) and (3.64 versus 2.86 months, p < 0.001), respectively. The correlation between OS and PPS in recent trials was much stronger than that in older trials (r = 0.846 versus 0.729). The relation between OS and PFS in recent and older trials did not differ (r = 0.595 versus 0.563). The percentage of patients with post-trial treatment was significantly higher in recent trials than in older trials (52.7 versus 39.7%, p < 0.001). The rate of post-trial anticancer therapy was significantly associated with OS (r = 0.910).

CONCLUSIONS

We found an increase in median PPS in accordance with an increase in median OS in recent trials compared with older trials and that rate of post-trial anticancer therapy was strongly associated with median OS. It is important that researchers be aware of these findings in designing clinical trials of first-line chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer patients.

Validation of surrogate endpoints in advanced solid tumors: systematic review of statistical methods, results, and implications for policy makers

OBJECTIVES

Licensing of, and coverage decisions on, new therapies should rely on evidence from patient-relevant endpoints such as overall survival (OS). Nevertheless, evidence from surrogate endpoints may also be useful, as it may not only expedite the regulatory approval of new therapies but also inform coverage decisions. It is, therefore, essential that candidate surrogate endpoints be properly validated. However, there is no consensus on statistical methods for such validation and on how the evidence thus derived should be applied by policy makers.

METHODS

We review current statistical approaches to surrogate-endpoint validation based on meta-analysis in various advanced-tumor settings. We assessed the suitability of two surrogates (progression-free survival [PFS] and time-to-progression [TTP]) using three current validation frameworks: Elston and Taylor's framework, the German Institute of Quality and Efficiency in Health Care's (IQWiG) framework and the Biomarker-Surrogacy Evaluation Schema (BSES3).

RESULTS

A wide variety of statistical methods have been used to assess surrogacy. The strength of the association between the two surrogates and OS was generally low. The level of evidence (observation-level versus treatment-level) available varied considerably by cancer type, by evaluation tools and was not always consistent even within one specific cancer type.

CONCLUSIONS

Not in all solid tumors the treatment-level association between PFS or TTP and OS has been investigated. According to IQWiG's framework, only PFS achieved acceptable evidence of surrogacy in metastatic colorectal and ovarian cancer treated with cytotoxic agents. Our study emphasizes the challenges of surrogate-endpoint validation and the importance of building consensus on the development of evaluation frameworks.

Clinical impact of post-progression survival on overall survival in elderly patients with extensive disease small-cell lung cancer

Background

The effects of first‐line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) might be confounded by subsequent therapies in patients with small‐cell lung cancer (SCLC). Therefore, the objective of our study was to determine the relationships between progression‐free survival (PFS) or post‐progression survival (PPS) and OS after first‐line chemotherapy in elderly patients with extensive disease‐SCLC (ED‐SCLC), using individual level data.

Methods

Between July 1998 and December 2014, we analyzed 57 cases of elderly patients with ED‐SCLC who were treated with carboplatin and etoposide as first‐line chemotherapy. The relationships between PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed at an individual level.

Results

Spearman rank correlation and linear regression analyses showed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.92, P < 0.05, R² = 0.83) and PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.76, P < 0.05, R² = 0.25). The best response at second‐line treatment and the number of regimens after progression beyond first‐line chemotherapy were both significantly associated with PPS (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

PPS has a stronger impact on OS than PFS in elderly ED‐SCLC patients after first‐line chemotherapy. In addition, the response at second‐line treatment and the number of additional regimens after first‐line treatment are significant independent prognostic factors for PPS. These results suggest that OS in elderly ED‐SCLC patients may be influenced by treatments subsequent to first‐line chemotherapy; however, this remains to be verified with prospective studies.

Clinical Significance of the Relationship between Progression-Free Survival or Postprogression Survival and Overall Survival in Patients with Extensive Disease-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Carboplatin plus Etoposide

Background. The effects of first-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) might be confounded by subsequent therapies in patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). Therefore, by using individual-level data, we aimed to determine the relationships between progression-free survival (PFS) or postprogression survival (PPS) and OS after first-line chemotherapies in patients with extensive disease-SCLC (ED-SCLC) treated with carboplatin plus etoposide. Methods. Between July 1998 and December 2014, we analyzed 63 cases of patients with ED-SCLC who were treated with carboplatin and etoposide as first-line chemotherapy. The relationships of PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed at the individual level. Results. Spearman rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis showed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.90, p < 0.05, and R² = 0.71) and PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.72, p < 0.05, and R² = 0.62). Type of relapse (refractory/sensitive) and the number of regimens administered after disease progression after the first-line chemotherapy were both significantly associated with PPS (p < 0.05). Conclusions. PPS has a stronger relationship with OS than does PFS in ED-SCLC patients who have received first-line chemotherapy. These results suggest that treatments administered after first-line chemotherapy affect the OS of ED-SCLC patients treated with carboplatin plus etoposide.

Translocation of left inferior lobe pulmonary artery to the pulmonary artery trunk for central type non-small cell lung cancers

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to report on a technique for translocation of the left inferior lobar pulmonary artery (PA) to the PA trunk associated with bronchial sleeve resection of the left superior lobe in the treatment of bronchogenic cancer.

METHODS

The clinical data of four non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with translocation of the left inferior lobar PA to the PA trunk associated with bronchial sleeve resection of the left superior lobe was retrospectively reviewed between June 13, 2014 and June 8, 2015. A reconstruction of the left pulmonary arteries was performed by translocating the left inferior lobar PA to the PA trunk with end-to-side anastomosis, sleeve resection of bronchus, and systemic lymphadenectomy.

RESULTS

Histology confirmed squamous carcinoma in these four cases. Stage pT3N2M0-IIIA was confirmed in 2 cases, pT3N1M0-IIIA in 1 case, and pT3N0M0-IIB in 1 case. No perioperative deaths or complications were observed. Four patients underwent postoperative chemotherapies, and the end of follow-ups date was Oct. 21, 2015.

CONCLUSIONS

Translocation of the left inferior lobar PA to the PA trunk is practicable as a lung-sparing procedure, despite being technically challenging.

Progression-Free Survival, Response Rate, and Disease Control Rate as Predictors of Overall Survival in Phase III Randomized Controlled Trials Evaluating the First-Line Chemotherapy for Advanced, Locally Advanced, and Recurrent Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Recent improvements in chemotherapy agents have prolonged postprogression survival of non-small cell lung cancer. Thus, primary outcomes other than overall survival (OS) have been frequently used for recent phase III trials to obtain quick results. However, no systematic review had assessed whether progression-free survival (PFS), response rate (RR), and disease control rate (DCR) can serve as surrogates for OS at the trial level in the phase III first-line chemotherapy setting.

METHODS

We included phase III randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing two arms that were reported as a full article regardless of their primary end point. We included only RCTs that evaluated chemonaive patients with advanced, locally advanced, or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer and were published after January 1, 2005. We systematically searched four public electronic databases. Two investigators independently screened and scrutinized candidate articles. How surrogate outcomes represented hazard ratios (HRs) for OS was examined.

RESULTS

Among 1907 articles, we ultimately found 44 eligible articles covering 22,709 subjects. HR for PFS, median PFS in the experimental arm minus median PFS in the control arm in months, OR for RR (ORrr), and OR for DCR were evaluated in 34, 35, 44, and 35 RCTs, respectively. HR for OS (HRos), median PFS in the experimental arm minus median PFS in the control arm, ORrr, and OR for DCR had weighted Spearman's rank correlation coefficients with an HRos of 0.496, 0.477, 0.570, and 0.470, respectively; the standardized weighted regression coefficients were 0.439, -0.376, -0.605, and -0.381, respectively; and the adjusted weighted coefficients of determination were 0.224, 0.161, 0.350, and 0.176, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

ORrr, followed by HRpfs, had the strongest association with HRos at the trial level. However, these measures were not strong enough to replace OS.

Overexpression of MicroRNA-221 is associated with poor prognosis in non-small cell lung cancer patients

The abnormal expression of microRNA-221 was detected in several cancers and some studies had indicated that microRNA-221 was associated with cancer prognosis. This study was aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of microRNA-221 in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used for detecting the relative expression levels of microRNA-221 in the pathological tissues and corresponding normal tissues of 104 NSCLC patients. The relationship between the expression levels and the clinical features was estimated by Chi-square method and the overall survival of patients at different expression levels was demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the prognostic significance of microRNA-221. The relative expression levels of microRNA-221 in the pathological tissues were remarkably higher than that in the corresponding normal tissues (1.71 vs 1.07, P = 0.000). The expression level was associated with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.001). The results of Kaplan-Meier method indicated that patients with high expression level of microRNA-221 had shorter overall survival time than those with low expression level (36.8 vs 45.2 months, P = 0.001). Moreover, Cox regression analysis suggested that microRNA-221 was a useful independent biomarker for NSCLC prognosis (HR = 1.873, 95 % CI = 1.267-2.768, P = 0.002). The aberrant expression of microRNA-221 is associated with NSCLC progression and it might be a potential biomarker for NSCLC prognosis.

Clinical impact of post-progression survival on overall survival in patients with limited-stage disease small cell lung cancer after first-line chemoradiotherapy

Background

The effects of first-line chemoradiotherapy on overall survival (OS) may be confounded by subsequent lines of therapy in patients with limited-stage disease small cell lung cancer (LD-SCLC). Therefore, we aimed to determine the relationships between progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS) and OS after first-line chemoradiotherapy in LD-SCLC patients.

Patients and methods.

We retrospectively analyzed 71 LD-SCLC patients with performance status (PS) 0–2 who received first-line chemoradiotherapy and had disease recurrence between September 2002 and March 2013 at Shizuoka Cancer Center (Shizuoka, Japan). We determined the correlation between PFS and OS and between PPS and OS at the individual level. In addition, we performed univariate and multivariate analyses to identify significant prognostic factors of PPS.

Results

OS is more strongly correlated with PPS (Spearman’s r = 0.86, R² = 0.72, p < 0.05) than PFS (Spearman’s r = 0.46, R² = 0.38, p < 0.05). In addition, the response to second-line treatments, the presence of distant metastases at recurrence and the number of additional regimens after first-line chemoradiotherapy were significant independent prognostic factors for PPS.

Conclusions

PPS has more impact on OS than PFS in recurrent LD-SCLC patients with good PS at beginning of the treatment. Moreover, treatments administered after first-line chemoradiotherapy may affect their OS. However, larger multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.

Why post-progression survival and post-relapse survival are not appropriate measures of efficacy in cancer randomized clinical trials

Comparisons of post-relapse survival (PRS) and post-progression survival have been used to measure efficacy in some cancer clinical trials. These comparisons are an attempt to account for second-line therapies and to identify benefits that do not translate in longer overall survival. However, the use of PRS comparisons can be misleading (either a longer or shorter PRS may indicate a benefit, depending on the circumstances) and can result in biased estimates (because of selection). Here, we describe the problems surrounding PRS comparisons and propose alternative approaches to deal with non-randomized therapies administered after progression to the experimental treatment.

Factors Associated with Post-Progression Survival in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Sorafenib

Sorafenib exerts modest antitumor activity in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and radiological progressive disease (rPD) does not always correspond to so-called clinical progressive disease (cPD). We evaluated 101 patients who initiated sorafenib treatment for HCC and assessed post-progression survival (PPS) using the Cox proportional hazards model. PPS was calculated from the date of the first rPD until the date of death or the last follow-up. Using Cox model analysis of the 76 patients who experienced first rPD, we identified the Child-Pugh class, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, the best antitumor response during treatment (using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) Version 1.1) and α-fetoprotein levels as independent factors affecting PPS. When these factors were used to define scores ranging from zero to five with a cutoff value of two, PPS of patients who received best supportive care (BSC) after rPD was not statistically significantly different from that of patients who received post-rPD therapy with scores ≥2 (p = 0.220). In contrast, the PPS for the post-rPD therapy group was significantly longer compared with the BSC patients with scores <2 (p < 0.001). Patients who scored ≥2 at their first rPD were judged cPD and as candidates for BSC.

miR-638 is a new biomarker for outcome prediction of non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving chemotherapy

MicroRNAs (miRNAs), a class of small non-coding RNAs, mediate gene expression by either cleaving target mRNAs or inhibiting their translation. They have key roles in the tumorigenesis of several cancers, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of miR-638 in the evaluation of NSCLC patient prognosis in response to chemotherapy. First, we detected miR-638 expression levels in vitro in the culture supernatants of the NSCLC cell line SPC-A1 treated with cisplatin, as well as the apoptosis rates of SPC-A1. Second, serum miR-638 expression levels were detected in vivo by using nude mice xenograft models bearing SPC-A1 with and without cisplatin treatment. In the clinic, the serum miR-638 levels of 200 cases of NSCLC patients before and after chemotherapy were determined by quantitative real-time PCR, and the associations of clinicopathological features with miR-638 expression patterns after chemotherapy were analyzed. Our data helped in demonstrating that cisplatin induced apoptosis of the SPC-A1 cells in a dose- and time-dependent manner accompanied by increased miR-638 expression levels in the culture supernatants. In vivo data further revealed that cisplatin induced miR-638 upregulation in the serum derived from mice xenograft models, and in NSCLC patient sera, miR-638 expression patterns after chemotherapy significantly correlated with lymph node metastasis. Moreover, survival analyses revealed that patients who had increased miR-638 levels after chemotherapy showed significantly longer survival time than those who had decreased miR-638 levels. Our findings suggest that serum miR-638 levels are associated with the survival of NSCLC patients and may be considered a potential independent predictor for NSCLC prognosis.

Progression-free survival as surrogate endpoint in advanced pancreatic cancer: meta-analysis of 30 randomized first-line trials

BACKGROUND

Progression-free survival (PFS) has not been extensively investigated as a surrogate for survival in the first-line treatments of pancreatic cancer. The aim of this review was to evaluate PFS as a potential surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in advanced pancreatic cancer in trials comparing poly-chemotherapy to gemcitabine alone.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic literature search in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials was conducted. The key words included randomized trial, first-line chemotherapy, pancreatic cancer, gemcitabine and poly-chemotherapy. Adjusted weighted linear regression was used to calculate RS (Spearman's rank-order correlation coefficient) between PFS and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS (RS) and between treatment effects on PFS and OS (RHR).

RESULTS

A total of 30 trials including 8467 patients met the inclusion criteria. Correlation between the treatment effects on PFS and OS (RHR=0.78) and between the endpoint PFS and OS was high across all studies (RS=0.75). The slope of the regression line was 0.76+/-0.26, indicating that an agent producing a 10% risk reduction for PFS will provide a 7.6%+/-2.6% risk reduction for OS. Correlation between PPS and OS was very strong (RS=0.71) and accounted for more than 50% of the whole OS variability (R2=0.57).

CONCLUSION

Because of the robust correlation with OS and the potential influence of PPS caused by the second line therapies, it may be justified to consider PFS as a surrogate endpoint in trials evaluating new cytotoxic agents when gemcitabine is the control arm.

Magnitude of the benefit of progression-free survival as a potential surrogate marker in phase 3 trials assessing targeted agents in molecularly selected patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer: systematic review

Background

In evaluation of the clinical benefit of a new targeted agent in a phase 3 trial enrolling molecularly selected patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), overall survival (OS) as an endpoint seems to be of limited use because of a high level of treatment crossover for ethical reasons. A more efficient and useful indicator for assessing efficacy is needed.

Methods and Findings

We identified 18 phase 3 trials in the literature investigating EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKIs) or ALK-TKIs, now approved for use to treat NSCLC, compared with standard cytotoxic chemotherapy (eight trials were performed in molecularly selected patients and ten using an “all-comer” design). Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to identify the best threshold by which to divide the groups. Although trials enrolling molecularly selected patients and all-comer trials had similar OS-hazard ratios (OS-HRs) (0.99 vs. 1.04), the former exhibited greater progression-free survival-hazard ratios (PFS-HR) (mean, 0.40 vs. 1.01; P<0.01). A PFS-HR of 0.60 successfully distinguished between the two types of trials (sensitivity 100%, specificity 100%). The odds ratio for overall response was higher in trials with molecularly selected patients than in all-comer trials (mean: 6.10 vs. 1.64; P<0.01). An odds ratio of 3.40 for response afforded a sensitivity of 88% and a specificity of 90%.

Conclusion

The notably enhanced PFS benefit was quite specific to trials with molecularly selected patients. A PFS-HR cutoff of ∼0.6 may help detect clinical benefit of molecular targeted agents in which OS is of limited use, although desired threshold might differ in an individual trial.

Progression-free survival, post-progression survival, and tumor response as surrogate markers for overall survival in patients with extensive small cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

The effects of first-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) might be confounded by subsequent therapies in patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC). We examined whether progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS), and tumor response could be valid surrogate endpoints for OS after first-line chemotherapies for patients with extensive SCLC using individual-level data.

METHODS

Between September 2002 and November 2012, we analyzed 49 cases of patients with extensive SCLC who were treated with cisplatin and irinotecan as first-line chemotherapy. The relationships of PFS, PPS, and tumor response with OS were analyzed at the individual level.

RESULTS

Spearman rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis showed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.97, p < 0.05, R(2)= 0.94), PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.58, p < 0.05, R(2)= 0.24), and tumor shrinkage was weakly correlated with OS (r = 0.37, p < 0.05, R(2)= 0.13). The best response to second-line treatment, and the number of regimens employed after progression beyond first-line chemotherapy were both significantly associated with PPS ( p ≤ 0.05).

CONCLUSION

PPS is a potential surrogate for OS in patients with extensive SCLC. Our findings also suggest that subsequent treatment after disease progression following first-line chemotherapy may greatly influence OS.

Efficacy of EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors in non-small-cell lung cancer patients with/without EGFR-mutation: evidence based on recent phase III randomized trials

Background

EGFR mutation might be a predictive factor for applying EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs, including gefitinib, erlotinib and afatinib) in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLS) patients. Thus, it is necessary to pool previous trials to compare the effect of EGFR-TKIs versus cytotoxic chemotherapy in EGFR mutation positive (mut+) and negative (mut−) patients.

Material/Methods

This study identified 8 first-line and 9 second-line phase III trials in databases. Hazard ratio (HR) was pooled to assess the risk of progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS), while odds ratio (OR) was pooled to assess objective response, disease control, and toxicity of EGFR-TKIs verses chemotherapy.

Results

In EGFR mut+ patients, EGFR-TKIs were associated with significantly lower risk of disease progression in the first-line setting, but this trend was only observed in the gefitinib group, not in the erlotinib group in the second-line setting. In EGFR mut− patients, gefitinib and erlotinib had significantly higher risk of disease progression in first-line and second-line setting, respectively. Compared with chemotherapy, the effects of EGFR-TKIs on OS in both first-line and second-line settings were not evident. Regarding toxicity, EGFR-TKIs had significantly higher risk of rash and lower hematological toxicity compared with chemotherapy.

Conclusions

All of the 3 EGFR-TKIs and gefitinib alone regimens had better effects in prolonging PFS in EGFR mut+ patients in first-line and second-line setting, respectively, but chemotherapy seemed more effective in EGFR mut− patients than EGFR-TKIs. Therefore, accurate identification of EGFR mutation status is useful to decide on an appropriate regimen for treatment of NSCLC patients.

S-1 plus oxaliplatin versus capecitabine plus oxaliplatin for the first-line treatment of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: updated results from a phase 3 trial

Background

We report updated progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) data from a trial that compared capecitabine plus oxaliplatin (CapeOX) versus S-1 plus oxaliplatin (SOX) for the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer.

Methods

This trial was a randomized, two-armed, non-inferiority phase 3 comparison of CapeOX (capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 twice daily on days 1–14 and oxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 on day 1) versus SOX (S-1 40 mg/m2 twice daily on days 1–14 and oxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 on day 1). The primary end point was to show non-inferiority of SOX relative to CapeOX in terms of PFS. Thus, a follow-up exploratory analysis of PFS and OS was performed.

Results

The intention to treat (ITT) population was comprised of 340 patients (SOX arm: 168 and CapeOX arm: 172). The updated median PFS was 7.1 months (95% CI 6.4-8.0) in the SOX group and 6.3 months (95% CI 4.9-6.7) in the CapeOX group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83 [0.66-1.04], p = .10). The median OS was 19.0 months (95% CI 15.3-23.0) in the SOX group and 18.4 months (95% CI 14.1-20.7) in the CapeOX group (HR, 0.86 [0.68-1.08], p = .19). Subgroup analyses according to principal demographic factors such as sex, age, ECOG (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group) performance status, primary tumor location, measurability, previous adjuvant therapy, number of metastatic organs, and liver metastases showed no interaction between any of these characteristics and the treatment.

Conclusions

Updated survival analysis shows that SOX is similar to CapeOX, confirming the initial PFS analysis. Therefore, the SOX regimen could be an alternative first-line doublet chemotherapy strategy for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

Trial registration

NCT00677443 and May 12 2008

Epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors for non-small cell lung cancer

First-generation epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs), including gefitinib and erlotinib, have proven to be highly effective agents for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in patients harboring an activating EGFR mutation such as the exon 19 deletion mutation and L858R. Although those reversible small molecular targeted agents provide a significant response and survival benefit, all responders eventually acquire resistance. Second-generation EGFR-targeting agents, such as irreversible EGFR/HER2 tyrosine kinase inhibitors and pan-HER TKIs, may improve survival further and be useful for patients who acquired resistance to first-generation EGFR-TKIs. This review discusses novel therapeutic strategies for EGFR-mutated advanced NSCLC using first- and second-generation EGFR-TKIs.

Surrogate endpoints for overall survival in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer patients with mutations of the epidermal growth factor receptor gene

Subsequent therapies confound the ability to discern the effect of first-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS). We investigated whether progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS) and tumor response were valid surrogate endpoints for OS following first-line chemotherapy in individual patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harboring sensitive epidermal growth factor receptor gene mutations. We retrospectively analyzed 35 patients with advanced NSCLC treated with first-line gefitinib. The associations of PFS, PPS and tumor response with OS were analyzed. PPS was found to be strongly correlated with OS, unlike PFS and tumor shrinkage. The factors significantly associated with PPS were performance status (PS) after first-line treatment, best response to second-line treatment and number of regimens used after disease progression. PPS may be a surrogate for OS in this patient population and further therapy after disease progression following first-line chemotherapy may significantly affect OS. However, a larger study is required to validate these results.

Relationship between progression-free survival and overall survival in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with anticancer agents after first-line treatment failure

AIM

The hazard ratio of progression-free survival (PFS-HR) generally does not reflect that of overall survival (OS-HR) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with first-line therapy. Short survival post-progression (SPP) better reflects the PFS-HR and OS-HR in simulations. We aimed to evaluate whether the PFS-HR reflects the OS-HR in NSCLC clinical trials for post-first-line treatments.

METHOD

We reviewed clinical studies of post-first-line anticancer agents for NSCLC. We examined the sample size of the experimental arm (EA), median PFS (mPFS) or median time to progression in the EA, median overall survival (mOS) in the EA, the PFS-HR and the OS-HR. SPP was defined as the difference between mOS and mPFS. The association between mPFS and SPP, mPFS and mOS, and the PFS-HR and OS-HR was tested. We sought for the optimal point of correlation of PFS-HR and OS-HR by every 1 month of SPP.

RESULTS

We identified 32 trials (34 arms). mPFS and mOS were weakly correlated (correlation coefficient [r] = 0.376; P = 0.0286). The PFS-HR and OS-HR were also moderately correlated (r = 0.415; P = 0.015). The maximum r value was 0.770 (SPP < 6 months; P < 0.0001) when we tested the associations between the PFS-HR and OS-HR for SPP using 1-month increments. The estimated regression equation at this point was OS-HR = 0.679 × (PFS-HR) + 0.349.

CONCLUSION

The PFS-HR and OS-HR were strongly correlated in advanced NSCLC patients treated with post-first-line anticancer agents, with a SPP of less than 6 months.

Important factors for achieving survival of five years or more in non-small cell lung cancer patients with distant metastasis

In order to examine which factors were important for achieving a ≥5 year survival time in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with distant metastasis, 268 NSCLC patients who received first-line chemotherapy between January 2004 and December 2007 were retrospectively examined. The median survival time of the patients was 14 months, with 22 surviving for ≥5 years, 48 for ≥2 years, but <5 years, and 198 surviving <2 years. Multivariate analysis determined that never having smoked, a good performance status, relapse following thoracic surgery and intra-thoracic metastasis were significantly favorable prognostic factors, while abdominal metastasis was a significantly poor prognostic factor. The ≥5 years and ≥2–5 years groups had significantly more favorable prognostic factors than the <2 years group. The never-smoked status was a particularly important factor for ≥5 years of survival. The ≥5 years and ≥2–5 years groups achieved a significantly more favorable response to first-line chemotherapy, and a greater number of regimens, total months of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment and cytotoxic agent treatment cycles compared with the <2 years group. In total, ~50% of the patients received palliative radiotherapy. In the ≥5 years group, patients with EGFR drug-sensitive mutations achieved ≥5 years of survival mainly by EGFR-TKI therapy, while those without EGFR mutations achieved ≥5 years of survival by continuing effective cytotoxic agents. Achievement of >5 years of survival was found to correlate with the presence of favorable prognostic factors, response to first-line chemotherapy, provision of appropriate EGFR-TKI therapy according to genetic testing results, continuing effective cytotoxic regimens and the use of radiotherapy as local therapy.

Factors affecting the association between overall survival and progression-free survival in clinical trials of first-line treatment for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

New treatment strategies, particularly the introduction of molecular-targeted agents and appropriate patient selection based on histology and/or genotyping, have progressed markedly in recent years, and the overall survival (OS) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients has improved. The aim of the study was to identify factors affecting longer OS than that estimated from progression-free survival (PFS) in first-line treatment for advanced NSCLC.

METHODS

Sixty-five controlled trials for first-line treatment of advanced NSCLC were extracted for the study. Factors influencing higher than predicted OS were examined by logistic regression analysis between the OS-extended group and the OS-association group.

RESULTS

PFS was moderately associated with OS. Twenty arms of 14 trials were categorized as an OS-extended group, in which the ratio of observed OS to estimated OS was found to be over 1.2. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, number of patients lower than 150, average age younger than 63 years, and percentage of squamous carcinoma <30 % were found to significantly affect this relationship.

CONCLUSION

We identified number of patients and well-known prognostic factors including age and histological cancer type as factors influencing longer OS. These factors should be considered for patient eligibility, when PFS is used as a surrogate primary endpoint for OS in randomized clinical trials of first-line treatment for patients with advanced NSCLC.