Improved Prediction of Preterm Delivery Using Empirical Mode Decomposition Analysis of Uterine Electromyography Signals

Prediction of Preterm Labor from the Electrohysterogram Signals Based on Different Gestational Weeks

Timely preterm labor prediction plays an important role for increasing the chance of neonate survival, the mother's mental health, and reducing financial burdens imposed on the family. The objective of this study is to propose a method for the reliable prediction of preterm labor from the electrohysterogram (EHG) signals based on different pregnancy weeks. In this paper, EHG signals recorded from 300 subjects were split into 2 groups: (I) those with preterm and term labor EHG data that were recorded prior to the 26th week of pregnancy (referred to as the PE-TE group), and (II) those with preterm and term labor EHG data that were recorded after the 26th week of pregnancy (referred to as the PL-TL group). After decomposing each EHG signal into four intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) by empirical mode decomposition (EMD), several linear and nonlinear features were extracted. Then, a self-adaptive synthetic over-sampling method was used to balance the feature vector for each group. Finally, a feature selection method was performed and the prominent ones were fed to different classifiers for discriminating between term and preterm labor. For both groups, the AdaBoost classifier achieved the best results with a mean accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of 95%, 92%, 97%, and 0.99 for the PE-TE group and a mean accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of 93%, 90%, 94%, and 0.98 for the PL-TL group. The similarity between the obtained results indicates the feasibility of the proposed method for the prediction of preterm labor based on different pregnancy weeks.

End-to-end learning with interpretation on electrohysterography data to predict preterm birth

Prediction of preterm birth is a difficult task for clinicians. By examining an electrohysterogram, electrical activity of the uterus that can lead to preterm birth can be detected. Since signals associated with uterine activity are difficult to interpret for clinicians without a background in signal processing, machine learning may be a viable solution. We are the first to employ Deep Learning models, a long-short term memory and temporal convolutional network model, on electrohysterography data using the Term-Preterm Electrohysterogram database. We show that end-to-end learning achieves an AUC score of 0.58, which is comparable to machine learning models that use handcrafted features. Moreover, we evaluate the effect of adding clinical data to the model and conclude that adding the available clinical data to electrohysterography data does not result in a gain in performance. Also, we propose an interpretability framework for time series classification that is well-suited to use in case of limited data, as opposed to existing methods that require large amounts of data. Clinicians with extensive work experience as gynaecologist used our framework to provide insights on how to link our results to clinical practice and stress that in order to decrease the number of false positives, a dataset with patients at high risk of preterm birth should be collected. All code is made publicly available.

Characterization and separation of preterm and term spontaneous, induced, and cesarean EHG records

To improve the understanding of the underlying physiological processes that lead to preterm birth, and different term delivery modes, we quantitatively characterized and assessed the separability of the sets of early (23rd week) and later (31st week) recorded, preterm and term spontaneous, induced, cesarean, and induced-cesarean electrohysterogram (EHG) records using several of the most widely used non-linear features extracted from the EHG signals. Linearly modeled temporal trends of the means of the median frequencies (MFs), and of the means of the peak amplitudes (PAs) of the normalized power spectra of the EHG signals, along pregnancy (from early to later recorded records), derived from a variety of frequency bands, revealed that for the preterm group of records, in comparison to all other term delivery groups, the frequency spectrum of the frequency band B0L (0.08-0.3 Hz) shifts toward higher frequencies, and that the spectrum of the newly identified frequency band B0L' (0.125-0.575 Hz), which approximately matches the Fast Wave Low band, becomes stronger. The most promising features to separate between the later preterm group and all other later term delivery groups appear to be MF (p=1.1⋅10^-5) in the band B0L of the horizontal signal S3, and PA (p=2.4⋅10^-8) in the band B0L' (S3). Moreover, the PA in the band B0L' (S3) showed the highest power to individually separate between the later preterm group and any other later term delivery group. Furthermore, the results suggest that in preterm pregnancies the resting maternal heart rate decreases between the 23rd and 31st week of gestation.

Combination of Feature Selection and Resampling Methods to Predict Preterm Birth Based on Electrohysterographic Signals from Imbalance Data

Due to its high sensitivity, electrohysterography (EHG) has emerged as an alternative technique for predicting preterm labor. The main obstacle in designing preterm labor prediction models is the inherent preterm/term imbalance ratio, which can give rise to relatively low performance. Numerous studies obtained promising preterm labor prediction results using the synthetic minority oversampling technique. However, these studies generally overestimate mathematical models’ real generalization capacity by generating synthetic data before splitting the dataset, leaking information between the training and testing partitions and thus reducing the complexity of the classification task. In this work, we analyzed the effect of combining feature selection and resampling methods to overcome the class imbalance problem for predicting preterm labor by EHG. We assessed undersampling, oversampling, and hybrid methods applied to the training and validation dataset during feature selection by genetic algorithm, and analyzed the resampling effect on training data after obtaining the optimized feature subset. The best strategy consisted of undersampling the majority class of the validation dataset to 1:1 during feature selection, without subsequent resampling of the training data, achieving an AUC of 94.5 ± 4.6%, average precision of 84.5 ± 11.7%, maximum F1-score of 79.6 ± 13.8%, and recall of 89.8 ± 12.1%. Our results outperformed the techniques currently used in clinical practice, suggesting the EHG could be used to predict preterm labor in clinics.

Prediction of preterm birth using artificial intelligence: a systematic review

Preterm birth is the leading cause of neonatal death. It is challenging to predict preterm birth. We elucidated the state of artificial intelligence research on the prediction of preterm birth, clarifying the predictive values and accuracy. We performed a systematic review using three databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus) in August 2020, with keywords as 'artificial intelligence,' 'deep learning,' 'machine learning,' and 'neural network' combined with 'preterm birth'. We included 22 publications between 2010 and 2020. Regarding the predictive values, electrohysterogram images were mostly used, followed by the biological profiles, the metabolic panel in amniotic fluid or maternal blood, and the cervical images on the ultrasound examination. The size of dataset in most studies was hundred cases and too small for learning, although only three studies used the medical database over a hundred thousand cases. The accuracy was better in the studies using the metabolic panel and electrohysterogram images. Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject? Preterm birth is the leading cause of newborn morbidity and mortality. Presently, the prediction of preterm birth in individual cases is still challenging.What the results of this study add? Using artificial intelligence such as deep learning and machine learning models, clinical data could lead to accurate prediction of preterm birth.What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? The size of the datasets was too small for the models using artificial intelligence in the previous studies. Big data should be prepared for the future studies.

Assessment of Features between Multichannel Electrohysterogram for Differentiation of Labors

Electrohysterogram (EHG) is a promising method for noninvasive monitoring of uterine electrical activity. The main purpose of this study was to characterize the multichannel EHG signals to distinguish between term delivery and preterm birth, as well as deliveries within and beyond 24 h. A total of 219 pregnant women were grouped in two ways: (1) term delivery (TD), threatened preterm labor (TPL) with the outcome of preterm birth (TPL_PB), and TPL with the outcome of term delivery (TPL_TD); (2) EHG recording time to delivery (TTD) ≤ 24 h and TTD > 24 h. Three bipolar EHG signals were analyzed for the 30 min recording. Six EHG features between multiple channels, including multivariate sample entropy, mutual information, correlation coefficient, coherence, direct partial Granger causality, and direct transfer entropy, were extracted to characterize the coupling and information flow between channels. Significant differences were found for these six features between TPL and TD, and between TTD ≤ 24 h and TTD > 24 h. No significant difference was found between TPL_PB and TPL_TD. The results indicated that EHG signals of TD were more regular and synchronized than TPL, and stronger coupling between multichannel EHG signals was exhibited as delivery approaches. In addition, EHG signals propagate downward for the majority of pregnant women regardless of different labors. In conclusion, the coupling and propagation features extracted from multichannel EHG signals could be used to differentiate term delivery and preterm birth and may predict delivery within and beyond 24 h.

Prediction of Preterm Delivery from Unbalanced EHG Database

Objective: The early prediction of preterm labor can significantly minimize premature delivery complications for both the mother and infant. The aim of this research is to propose an automatic algorithm for the prediction of preterm labor using a single electrohysterogram (EHG) signal. Method: The proposed method firstly employs empirical mode decomposition (EMD) to split the EHG signal into two intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), then extracts sample entropy (SampEn), the root mean square (RMS), and the mean Teager–Kaiser energy (MTKE) from each IMF to form the feature vector. Finally, the extracted features are fed to a k-nearest neighbors (kNN), support vector machine (SVM), and decision tree (DT) classifiers to predict whether the recorded EHG signal refers to the preterm case. Main results: The studied database consists of 262 term and 38 preterm delivery pregnancies, each with three EHG channels, recorded for 30 min. The SVM with a polynomial kernel achieved the best result, with an average sensitivity of 99.5%, a specificity of 99.7%, and an accuracy of 99.7%. This was followed by DT, with a mean sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 98.4%, and an accuracy of 98.7%. Significance: The main superiority of the proposed method over the state-of-the-art algorithms that studied the same database is the use of only a single EHG channel without using either synthetic data generation or feature ranking algorithms.

Network theory based EHG signal analysis and its application in preterm prediction

OBJECTIVE

Preterm birth is the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients followed by medical interventions is essential to the prevention of preterm birth. Based on the relationship between uterine contraction and the fundamental electrical activities of muscles, we extracted effective features from EHG signals recorded from pregnant women, and use them to train classifiers with the purpose of providing high precision in classifying term and preterm pregnancies.

METHODS

To characterize changes from irregularity to coherence of the uterine activity during the whole pregnancy, network representations of the original electrohysterogram (EHG) signals are established by applying the Horizontal Visibility Graph (HVG) algorithm, from which we extract network degree density and distribution, clustering coefficient and assortativity coefficient. Concerns on the interferences of different noise sources embedded in the EHG signal, we apply Short-Time Fourier Transform (STFT) to expand the original signal in the time-frequency domain. This allows a network representation and the extraction of related features on each frequency component. Feature selection algorithms are then used to filter out unrelated frequency components. We further apply the proposed feature extraction method to EHG signals available in the Term-Preterm EHG database (TPEHG), and use them to train classifiers. We adopt the Partition-Synthesis scheme which splits the original imbalanced dataset into two sets and synthesizes artificial samples separately within each subset to solve the problem of dataset imbalance.

RESULTS

The optimally selected network-based features, not only contribute to the identification of the essential frequency components of uterine activities related to preterm birth, but also to improved performance in classifying term/preterm pregnancies, i.e., the SVM (Support Vector Machine) classifier trained with the available samples in the TPEHG gives sensitivity, specificity, overall accuracy, and auc values as high as 0.89, 0.93, 0.91, and 0.97, respectively.

Assessment of Dispersion and Bubble Entropy Measures for Enhancing Preterm Birth Prediction Based on Electrohysterographic Signals

One of the remaining challenges for the scientific-technical community is predicting preterm births, for which electrohysterography (EHG) has emerged as a highly sensitive prediction technique. Sample and fuzzy entropy have been used to characterize EHG signals, although they require optimizing many internal parameters. Both bubble entropy, which only requires one internal parameter, and dispersion entropy, which can detect any changes in frequency and amplitude, have been proposed to characterize biomedical signals. In this work, we attempted to determine the clinical value of these entropy measures for predicting preterm birth by analyzing their discriminatory capacity as an individual feature and their complementarity to other EHG characteristics by developing six prediction models using obstetrical data, linear and non-linear EHG features, and linear discriminant analysis using a genetic algorithm to select the features. Both dispersion and bubble entropy better discriminated between the preterm and term groups than sample, spectral, and fuzzy entropy. Entropy metrics provided complementary information to linear features, and indeed, the improvement in model performance by including other non-linear features was negligible. The best model performance obtained an F1-score of 90.1 ± 2% for testing the dataset. This model can easily be adapted to real-time applications, thereby contributing to the transferability of the EHG technique to clinical practice.

Advanced Bioelectrical Signal Processing Methods: Past, Present, and Future Approach-Part III: Other Biosignals

Analysis of biomedical signals is a very challenging task involving implementation of various advanced signal processing methods. This area is rapidly developing. This paper is a Part III paper, where the most popular and efficient digital signal processing methods are presented. This paper covers the following bioelectrical signals and their processing methods: electromyography (EMG), electroneurography (ENG), electrogastrography (EGG), electrooculography (EOG), electroretinography (ERG), and electrohysterography (EHG).

Preterm-term birth classification using EMD-based time-domain features of single-channel electrohysterogram data

Preterm birth anticipation is a crucial task that can reduce both the rate and the complications of preterm birth. Electrohysterogram (EHG) or uterine electromyogram (EMG) data have shown that they can provide useful information for preterm birth anticipation. Four distinct time-domain features (mean absolute value, average amplitude change, difference in absolute standard deviation value, and log detector) that are commonly applied to EMG signal processing were utilized and investigated in this study. A single channel of EHG data was decomposed into its constituent components (i.e., into intrinsic mode functions) by using empirical mode decomposition (EMD) before their time-domain features were extracted. The time-domain features of the intrinsic mode functions of the EHG data associated with preterm and term births were applied for preterm-term birth classification by using a support vector machine with a radial basis function. The preterm-term birth classifications were validated by using 10-fold cross validation. From the computational results, it was shown that excellent preterm-term birth classification can be achieved by using single-channel EHG data. The computational results further suggested that the best overall performance concerning preterm-term birth classification was obtained when thirteen (out of sixteen) EMD-based time-domain features were applied. The best accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and [Formula: see text]-score achieved were 0.9382, 0.9130, 0.9634, and 0.9366, respectively.

Realistic preterm prediction based on optimized synthetic sampling of EHG signal

Preterm labor is the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality in newborns and has attracted significant research attention from many scientific areas. The relationship between uterine contraction and the underlying electrical activities makes uterine electrohysterogram (EHG) a promising direction for detecting and predicting preterm births. However, due to the scarcity of EHG signals, especially those leading to preterm births, synthetic algorithms have been used to generate artificial samples of preterm birth type in order to eliminate bias in the prediction towards normal delivery, at the expense of reducing the feature effectiveness in automatic preterm detection based on machine learning. To address this problem, we quantify the effect of synthetic samples (balance coefficient) on the effectiveness of features and form a general performance metric by using several feature scores with relevant weights that describe their contributions to class segregation. In combination with the activation/inactivation functions that characterize the effect of the abundance of training samples on the accuracy of the prediction of preterm and normal birth delivery, we obtained an optimal sample balance coefficient that compromises the effect of synthetic samples in removing bias toward the majority group (i.e., normal delivery and the side effect of reducing the importance of features). A more realistic predictive accuracy was achieved through a series of numerical tests on the publicly available TPEHG database, therefore demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Optimization of Imminent Labor Prediction Systems in Women with Threatened Preterm Labor Based on Electrohysterography

Preterm birth is the leading cause of death in newborns and the survivors are prone to health complications. Threatened preterm labor (TPL) is the most common cause of hospitalization in the second half of pregnancy. The current methods used in clinical practice to diagnose preterm labor, the Bishop score or cervical length, have high negative predictive values but not positive ones. In this work we analyzed the performance of computationally efficient classification algorithms, based on electrohysterographic recordings (EHG), such as random forest (RF), extreme learning machine (ELM) and K-nearest neighbors (KNN) for imminent labor (<7 days) prediction in women with TPL, using the 50th or 10th–90th percentiles of temporal, spectral and nonlinear EHG parameters with and without obstetric data inputs. Two criteria were assessed for the classifier design: F1-score and sensitivity. RF_{F1_2} and ELM_{F1_2} provided the highest F1-score values in the validation dataset, (88.17 ± 8.34% and 90.2 ± 4.43%) with the 50th percentile of EHG and obstetric inputs. ELM_{F1_2} outperformed RF_{F1_2} in sensitivity, being similar to those of ELM_Sens (sensitivity optimization). The 10th–90th percentiles did not provide a significant improvement over the 50th percentile. KNN performance was highly sensitive to the input dataset, with a high generalization capability.

Assessing Velocity and Directionality of Uterine Electrical Activity for Preterm Birth Prediction Using EHG Surface Records

The aim of the present study was to assess the capability of conduction velocity amplitudes and directions of propagation of electrohysterogram (EHG) waves to better distinguish between preterm and term EHG surface records. Using short-time cross-correlation between pairs of bipolar EHG signals (upper and lower, left and right), the conduction velocities and their directions were estimated using preterm and term EHG records of the publicly available Term–Preterm EHG DataSet with Tocogram (TPEHGT DS) and for different frequency bands below and above 1.0 Hz, where contractions and the influence of the maternal heart rate on the uterus, respectively, are expected. No significant or preferred continuous direction of propagation was found in any of the non-contraction (dummy) or contraction intervals; however, on average, a significantly lower percentage of velocity vectors was found in the vertical direction, and significantly higher in the horizontal direction, for preterm dummy intervals above 1.0 Hz. The newly defined features—the percentages of velocities in the vertical and horizontal directions, in combination with the sample entropy of the EHG signal recorded in the vertical direction, obtained from dummy intervals above 1.0 Hz—showed the highest classification accuracy of 86.8% (AUC=90.3%) in distinguishing between preterm and term EHG records of the TPEHGT DS.

Overly optimistic prediction results on imbalanced data: a case study of flaws and benefits when applying over-sampling

Information extracted from electrohysterography recordings could potentially prove to be an interesting additional source of information to estimate the risk on preterm birth. Recently, a large number of studies have reported near-perfect results to distinguish between recordings of patients that will deliver term or preterm using a public resource, called the Term/Preterm Electrohysterogram database. However, we argue that these results are overly optimistic due to a methodological flaw being made. In this work, we focus on one specific type of methodological flaw: applying over-sampling before partitioning the data into mutually exclusive training and testing sets. We show how this causes the results to be biased using two artificial datasets and reproduce results of studies in which this flaw was identified. Moreover, we evaluate the actual impact of over-sampling on predictive performance, when applied prior to data partitioning, using the same methodologies of related studies, to provide a realistic view of these methodologies' generalization capabilities. We make our research reproducible by providing all the code under an open license.

Robust Characterization of the Uterine Myoelectrical Activity in Different Obstetric Scenarios

Electrohysterography (EHG) has been shown to provide relevant information on uterine activity and could be used for predicting preterm labor and identifying other maternal fetal risks. The extraction of high-quality robust features is a key factor in achieving satisfactory prediction systems from EHG. Temporal, spectral, and non-linear EHG parameters have been computed to characterize EHG signals, sometimes obtaining controversial results, especially for non-linear parameters. The goal of this work was to assess the performance of EHG parameters in identifying those robust enough for uterine electrophysiological characterization. EHG signals were picked up in different obstetric scenarios: antepartum, including women who delivered on term, labor, and post-partum. The results revealed that the 10th and 90th percentiles, for parameters with falling and rising trends as labor approaches, respectively, differentiate between these obstetric scenarios better than median analysis window values. Root-mean-square amplitude, spectral decile 3, and spectral moment ratio showed consistent tendencies for the different obstetric scenarios as well as non-linear parameters: Lempel–Ziv, sample entropy, spectral entropy, and SD1/SD2 when computed in the fast wave high bandwidth. These findings would make it possible to extract high quality and robust EHG features to improve computer-aided assessment tools for pregnancy, labor, and postpartum progress and identify maternal fetal risks.

Deep neural network for semi-automatic classification of term and preterm uterine recordings

Pregnancy is a complex process, and the prediction of premature birth is uncertain. Many researchers are exploring non-invasive approaches to enhance its predictability. Currently, the ElectroHysteroGram (EHG) and Tocography (TOCO) signal are a real-time and non-invasive technology which can be employed to predict preterm birth. For this purpose, sparse autoencoder (SAE) based deep neural network (SAE-based DNN) is developed. The deep neural network has three layers including a stacked sparse autoencoder (SSAE) network with two hidden layers and one final softmax layer. To this end, the bursts of all 26 recordings of the publicly available TPEHGT DS database corresponding to uterine contraction intervals and non-contraction intervals (dummy intervals) were manually segmented. 20 features were extracted by two feature extraction algorithms including sample entropy and wavelet entropy. Afterwards, the SSAE network is adopted to learn high-level features from raw features by unsupervised learning. The softmax layer is added at the top of the SSAE network for classification. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, this study used 10-fold cross-validation and four indicators to evaluate classification performance. Experimental research results display that the performance of deep neural network can achieve Sensitivity of 98.2%, Specificity of 97.74%, and Accuracy of 97.9% in the publicly TPEHGT DS database. The performance of deep neural network outperforms the comparison models including deep belief networks (DBN) and hierarchical extreme learning machine (H-ELM). Finally, experimental research results reveal that the proposed method could be valid applied to semi-automatic identification of term and preterm uterine recordings.

A Comparative Study of Vaginal Labor and Caesarean Section Postpartum Uterine Myoelectrical Activity

Postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is one of the major causes of maternal mortality and morbidity worldwide, with uterine atony being the most common origin. Currently there are no obstetrical techniques available for monitoring postpartum uterine dynamics, as tocodynamometry is not able to detect weak uterine contractions. In this study, we explored the feasibility of monitoring postpartum uterine activity by non-invasive electrohysterography (EHG), which has been proven to outperform tocodynamometry in detecting uterine contractions during pregnancy. A comparison was made of the temporal, spectral, and non-linear parameters of postpartum EHG characteristics of vaginal deliveries and elective cesareans. In the vaginal delivery group, EHG obtained a significantly higher amplitude and lower kurtosis of the Hilbert envelope, and spectral content was shifted toward higher frequencies than in the cesarean group. In the non-linear parameters, higher values were found for the fractal dimension and lower values for Lempel-Ziv, sample entropy and spectral entropy in vaginal deliveries suggesting that the postpartum EHG signal is extremely non-linear but more regular and predictable than in a cesarean. The results obtained indicate that postpartum EHG recording could be a helpful tool for earlier detection of uterine atony and contribute to better management of prophylactic uterotonic treatment for PPH prevention.

Electrohysterogram for ANN-Based Prediction of Imminent Labor in Women with Threatened Preterm Labor Undergoing Tocolytic Therapy

Threatened preterm labor (TPL) is the most common cause of hospitalization in the second half of pregnancy and entails high costs for health systems. Currently, no reliable labor proximity prediction techniques are available for clinical use. Regular checks by uterine electrohysterogram (EHG) for predicting preterm labor have been widely studied. The aim of the present study was to assess the feasibility of predicting labor with a 7- and 14-day time horizon in TPL women, who may be under tocolytic treatment, using EHG and/or obstetric data. Based on 140 EHG recordings, artificial neural networks were used to develop prediction models. Non-linear EHG parameters were found to be more reliable than linear for differentiating labor in under and over 7/14 days. Using EHG and obstetric data, the <7- and <14-day labor prediction models achieved an AUC in the test group of 87.1 ± 4.3% and 76.2 ± 5.8%, respectively. These results suggest that EHG can be reliable for predicting imminent labor in TPL women, regardless of the tocolytic therapy stage. This paves the way for the development of diagnostic tools to help obstetricians make better decisions on treatments, hospital stays and admitting TPL women, and can therefore reduce costs and improve maternal and fetal wellbeing.

Accurate diagnosis of term-preterm births by spectral analysis of electrohysterography signals

Preterm delivery contributes to an increased risk of fetal and maternal death as well as several health deficiencies, thereby requiring special care and treatment that result in high financial costs. It is therefore of key importance to diagnose preterm delivery in advance in order to avoid or minimize its undesirable consequences. This paper proposes a novel method for non-invasive diagnosis of preterm delivery based on the classification of electrohysterography (EHG) signals. First, the EHG signal, which is related to the electrical activity of uterine muscles is recorded from the maternal fundus using surface electrodes. Then, the signal is sliced into frames for spectral analysis. Next, spectral analyses of the individual EHG signal frames are carried out and centroid frequencies of the frames are computed, establishing the elements of a feature vector that represents the time-varying spectral content of the EHG signal. Finally, this feature vector is employed for the classification of the underlying EHG signal for term-preterm diagnosis. The efficiency of the proposed approach is evaluated and compared with representative methods from the literature. Our results demonstrate that the proposed approach exhibits superior performance over other methods.

Evaluation of electrohysterogram measured from different gestational weeks for recognizing preterm delivery: a preliminary study using random Forest

Developing a computational method for recognizing preterm delivery is important for timely diagnosis and treatment of preterm delivery. The main aim of this study was to evaluate electrohysterogram (EHG) signals recorded at different gestational weeks for recognizing the preterm delivery using random forest (RF). EHG signals from 300 pregnant women were divided into two groups depending on when the signals were recorded: i) preterm and term delivery with EHG recorded before the 26^th week of gestation (denoted by PE and TE group), and ii) preterm and term delivery with EHG recorded during or after the 26^th week of gestation (denoted by PL and TL group). 31 linear features and nonlinear features were derived from each EHG signal, and then compared comprehensively within PE and TE group, and PL and TL group. After employing the adaptive synthetic sampling approach and six-fold cross-validation, the accuracy (ACC), sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve (AUC) were applied to evaluate RF classification. For PL and TL group, RF achieved the ACC of 0.93, sensitivity of 0.89, specificity of 0.97, and AUC of 0.80. Similarly, their corresponding values were 0.92, 0.88, 0.96 and 0.88 for PE and TE group, indicating that RF could be used to recognize preterm delivery effectively with EHG signals recorded before the 26^th week of gestation.

An Automatic Method for the Segmentation and Classification of Imminent Labor Contraction From Electrohysterograms

OBJECTIVE

Preterm birth is the first cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Despite continuous clinical routine improvements, the preterm rate remains steady. Moreover, the specificity of the early diagnosis stays poor as many hospitalized women for preterm delivery threat finally deliver at term. In this context, the use of electrohysterograms may increase the sensitivity and the specificity of early diagnosis of preterm labor.

METHODS

This paper proposes a clinical application of electrohysterogram processing for the classification of patients as prone to deliver within a week or later. The approach relies on non-linear correlation analysis for the contraction bursts extraction and uses computation of various features combined with the use of Gaussian mixture models for their classification. The method is tested on a new dataset of 68 records collected on women hospitalized for preterm delivery threat.

RESULTS

This paper presents promising results for the automatic segmentation of the contraction and a classification sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of, respectively, 80.7%, 76.3%, and 76.2%.

CONCLUSION

These results are in accordance with the gold standards but have the advantage to be non-invasive and could be performed at home.

SIGNIFICANCE

Diagnosis of imminent labor is possible by electrohysterography recording and may help in avoiding over-medication and in providing better cares to at-risk pregnant women.

Using an innovative stacked ensemble algorithm for the accurate prediction of preterm birth

Objective:

A birth before the normal term of 38 weeks of gestation is called a preterm birth (PTB). It is one of the major reasons for neonatal death. The objective of this article was to predict PTB well in advance so that it was converted to a term birth.

Material and Methods:

This study uses the historical data of expectant mothers and an innovative stacked ensemble (SE) algorithm to predict PTB. The proposed algorithm stacks classifiers in multiple tiers. The accuracy of the classiffication is improved in every tier.

Results:

The experimental results from this study show that PTB can be predicted with more than 96% accuracy using innovative SE learning.

Conclusion:

The proposed approach helps physicians in Gynecology and Obstetrics departments to decide whether the expectant mother needs treatment. Treatment can be given to delay the birth only in patients for whom PTB is predicted, or in many cases to convert the PTB to a normal birth. This, in turn, can reduce the mortality of babies due to PTB.

Analysis of uterine electromyography signals in preterm condition using multifractal algorithm

In this work, an attempt has been made to analyze the preterm (gestation period $\leq 37$ weeks) condition using uterine electromyography (EMG) signals and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA). The signals recorded from the electrodes placed on the surface of abdomen are used for this study and these are obtained from a publically available online database. These signals are preprocessed using 4-pole digital Butterworth filter. The preprocessed signals are subjected to MFDFA to extract multifractal features namely maximum singularity exponent, peak singularity exponent, strength of multifractality and exponent index. Generalized Hurst exponent extracted from the signals indicate that uterine EMG signals show multifractal behavior in preterm condition. Among the extracted features the coefficient of variation is found to be lower for peak singularity exponent. This indicates that this feature have lower inter-subject variability. Hence, it appears that the multifractal features can help in the assessment of uterine EMG signals for preterm detection.

Characterization and automatic classification of preterm and term uterine records

Predicting preterm birth is uncertain, and numerous scientists are searching for non-invasive methods to improve its predictability. Current researches are based on the analysis of ElectroHysteroGram (EHG) records, which contain information about the electrophysiological properties of the uterine muscle and uterine contractions. Since pregnancy is a long process, we decided to also characterize, for the first time, non-contraction intervals (dummy intervals) of the uterine records, i.e., EHG signals accompanied by a simultaneously recorded external tocogram measuring mechanical uterine activity (TOCO signal). For this purpose, we developed a new set of uterine records, TPEHGT DS, containing preterm and term uterine records of pregnant women, and uterine records of non-pregnant women. We quantitatively characterized contraction intervals (contractions) and dummy intervals of the uterine records of the TPEHGT DS in terms of the normalized power spectra of the EHG and TOCO signals, and developed a new method for predicting preterm birth. The results on the characterization revealed that the peak amplitudes of the normalized power spectra of the EHG and TOCO signals of the contraction and dummy intervals in the frequency band 1.0-2.2 Hz, describing the electrical and mechanical activity of the uterus due to the maternal heart (maternal heart rate), are high only during term pregnancies, when the delivery is still far away; and they are low when the delivery is close. However, these peak amplitudes are also low during preterm pregnancies, when the delivery is still supposed to be far away (thus suggesting the danger of preterm birth); and they are also low or barely present for non-pregnant women. We propose the values of the peak amplitudes of the normalized power spectra due to the influence of the maternal heart, in an electro-mechanical sense, in the frequency band 1.0-2.2 Hz as a new biophysical marker for the preliminary, or early, assessment of the danger of preterm birth. The classification of preterm and term, contraction and dummy intervals of the TPEHGT DS, for the task of the automatic prediction of preterm birth, using sample entropy, the median frequency of the power spectra, and the peak amplitude of the normalized power spectra, revealed that the dummy intervals provide quite comparable and slightly higher classification performances than these features obtained from the contraction intervals. This result suggests a novel and simple clinical technique, not necessarily to seek contraction intervals but using the dummy intervals, for the early assessment of the danger of preterm birth. Using the publicly available TPEHG DB database to predict preterm birth in terms of classifying between preterm and term EHG records, the proposed method outperformed all currently existing methods. The achieved classification accuracy was 100% for early records, recorded around the 23rd week of pregnancy; and 96.33%, the area under the curve of 99.44%, for all records of the database. Since the proposed method is capable of using the dummy intervals with high classification accuracy, it is also suitable for clinical use very early during pregnancy, around the 23rd week of pregnancy, when contractions may or may not be present.

Improving forecasting accuracy for stock market data using EMD-HW bagging

Many researchers documented that the stock market data are nonstationary and nonlinear time series data. In this study, we use EMD-HW bagging method for nonstationary and nonlinear time series forecasting. The EMD-HW bagging method is based on the empirical mode decomposition (EMD), the moving block bootstrap and the Holt-Winter. The stock market time series of six countries are used to compare EMD-HW bagging method. This comparison is based on five forecasting error measurements. The comparison shows that the forecasting results of EMD-HW bagging are more accurate than the forecasting results of the fourteen selected methods.

Electrohysterography in the diagnosis of preterm birth: a review

Preterm birth (PTB) is one of the most common and serious complications in pregnancy. About 15 million preterm neonates are born every year, with ratios of 10-15% of total births. In industrialized countries, preterm delivery is responsible for 70% of mortality and 75% of morbidity in the neonatal period. Diagnostic means for its timely risk assessment are lacking and the underlying physiological mechanisms are unclear. Surface recording of the uterine myoelectrical activity (electrohysterogram, EHG) has emerged as a better uterine dynamics monitoring technique than traditional surface pressure recordings and provides information on the condition of uterine muscle in different obstetrical scenarios with emphasis on predicting preterm deliveries.

OBJECTIVE

A comprehensive review of the literature was performed on studies related to the use of the electrohysterogram in the PTB context.

APPROACH

This review presents and discusses the results according to the different types of parameter (temporal and spectral, non-linear and bivariate) used for EHG characterization.

MAIN RESULTS

Electrohysterogram analysis reveals that the uterine electrophysiological changes that precede spontaneous preterm labor are associated with contractions of more intensity, higher frequency content, faster and more organized propagated activity and stronger coupling of different uterine areas. Temporal, spectral, non-linear and bivariate EHG analyses therefore provide useful and complementary information. Classificatory techniques of different types and varying complexity have been developed to diagnose PTB. The information derived from these different types of EHG parameters, either individually or in combination, is able to provide more accurate predictions of PTB than current clinical methods. However, in order to extend EHG to clinical applications, the recording set-up should be simplified, be less intrusive and more robust-and signal analysis should be automated without requiring much supervision and yield physiologically interpretable results.

SIGNIFICANCE

This review provides a general background to PTB and describes how EHG can be used to better understand its underlying physiological mechanisms and improve its prediction. The findings will help future research workers to decide the most appropriate EHG features to be used in their analyses and facilitate future clinical EHG applications in order to improve PTB prediction.

Forecasting outpatient visits using empirical mode decomposition coupled with back-propagation artificial neural networks optimized by particle swarm optimization

Accurately predicting the trend of outpatient visits by mathematical modeling can help policy makers manage hospitals effectively, reasonably organize schedules for human resources and finances, and appropriately distribute hospital material resources. In this study, a hybrid method based on empirical mode decomposition and back-propagation artificial neural networks optimized by particle swarm optimization is developed to forecast outpatient visits on the basis of monthly numbers. The data outpatient visits are retrieved from January 2005 to December 2013 and first obtained as the original time series. Second, the original time series is decomposed into a finite and often small number of intrinsic mode functions by the empirical mode decomposition technique. Third, a three-layer back-propagation artificial neural network is constructed to forecast each intrinsic mode functions. To improve network performance and avoid falling into a local minimum, particle swarm optimization is employed to optimize the weights and thresholds of back-propagation artificial neural networks. Finally, the superposition of forecasting results of the intrinsic mode functions is regarded as the ultimate forecasting value. Simulation indicates that the proposed method attains a better performance index than the other four methods.