Correlation of Real Time PCR Cycle Threshold Cut-Off with Bordetella pertussis Clinical Severity

Understanding the impact of adult pertussis and current approaches to vaccination: A narrative review and expert panel recommendations

Pertussis has several notable consequences, causing economic burden, increased strain on healthcare facilities, and reductions in quality of life. Recent years have seen a trend toward an increase in pertussis cases affecting older children and adults. To boost immunity, and protect vulnerable populations, an enduring approach to vaccination has been proposed, but gaps remain in the evidence surrounding adult vaccination that are needed to inform such a policy. Gaps include: the true incidence of pertussis and its complications in adults; regional variations in disease recognition and reporting; and incidence of severe disease, hospitalizations, and deaths in older adults. Better data on the efficacy/effectiveness of pertussis vaccination in adults, duration of protection, and factors leading to poor vaccine uptake are needed. Addressing the critical evidence gaps will help highlight important areas of unmet need and justify the importance of adult pertussis vaccination to healthcare professionals, policymakers, and payers.

Bordetella holmesii: Causative agent of pertussis

Bordetella holmesii is a bacterium recently recognized in 1995. It is a gram-negative coccobacillus that can cause pertussis-like symptoms in humans as well as invasive infections. It is often confused with Bordetella pertussis because routine diagnostic tests for whooping cough are not species-specific. The prevalence of B. holmesii as a cause of pertussis has increased in several countries. Therefore, B. holmesii assays are important for determining the epidemiology of pertussis, for the choice of an effective treatment, and for detecting vaccination failures.

Species‐specific environmental DNA analysis of the index species in soil ecosystem, Allonychiurus kimi (Collembola: Onychiuridae)

Collembola are abundant and have significant roles in the soil ecosystem. Therefore, the phenotypic endpoints of Collembola population or community have been used as an effective bioindicator for assessing soil quality. Since the identification and counting the collembolans in the soil is a laborious and costly procedure, environmental DNA (eDNA)‐based biomonitoring was proposed as an analysis tool of collembolan species found in the soil. In this study, standard primer sets for the species‐specific eDNA analysis using Allonychiurus kimi, a soil bioindicator species was selected. Then, the primers were tested for specificity and sensitivity from the soil samples. Two different eDNA samples were tested: (1) eDNA samples were extracted from the soil with A. kimi individuals (intra‐organismal eDNA). (2) The samples from the soil without A. kimi individuals (extra‐organismal eDNA). The two primers were confirmed in their sensitivity and specificity to the two types of eDNA samples selected. C_t‐values from both intra‐ and extra‐organismal eDNA showed the significant correlations to the number of inoculated A. kimi (adj. R² = 0.7453–0.9489). These results suggest that in excretion, egg, and other exuviae had a significant effect on eDNA analysis from soil samples taken. Furthermore, our results suggest that environmental factors should be considered when analyzing eDNA collected from soil.

Rotavirus vaccine-derived cases in Belgium: Evidence for reversion of attenuating mutations and alternative causes of gastroenteritis

Since the introduction of live-attenuated rotavirus vaccines in Belgium in 2006, surveillance has routinely detected rotavirus vaccine-derived strains. However, their genomic landscape and potential role in gastroenteritis have not been thoroughly investigated. We compared VP7 and VP4 nucleotide sequences obtained from rotavirus surveillance with the Rotarix vaccine sequence. As a result, we identified 80 vaccine-derived strains in 5125 rotavirus-positive infants with gastroenteritis from 2007 to 2018. Using both viral metagenomics and reverse transcription qPCR, we evaluated the vaccine strains and screened for co-infecting enteropathogens. Among the 45 patients with known vaccination status, 39 were vaccinated and 87% received the vaccine less than a month before the gastroenteritis episode. Reconstruction of 30 near complete vaccine-derived genomes revealed 0-11 mutations per genome, with 88% of them being non-synonymous. This, in combination with several shared amino acid changes among strains, pointed at selection of minor variant(s) present in the vaccine. We also found that some of these substitutions were true revertants (e.g., F167L on VP4, and I45T on NSP4). Finally, co-infections with known (e.g., Clostridioides difficile and norovirus) and divergent or emerging (e.g., human parechovirus A1, salivirus A2) pathogens were detected, and we estimated that 35% of the infants likely had gastroenteritis due to a 'non-rotavirus' cause. Conversely, we could not rule out the vaccine-derived gastroenteritis in over half of the cases. Continued studies inspecting reversion to pathogenicity should monitor the long-time safety of live-attenuated rotavirus vaccines. All in all, the complementary approach with NGS and qPCR provided a better understanding of rotavirus vaccine strain evolution in the Belgian population and epidemiology of co-infecting enteropathogens in suspected rotavirus vaccine-derived gastroenteritis cases.

Application of species-specific primers to estimate the in situ diet of Bythotrephes [Cladocera, Onychopoda] in its native European range via molecular gut content analysis

The study of invasive species often focuses on regions of recent introduction rather than native habitats. Understanding an invasive species in its natural environment, however, can provide important insights regarding the long-term outcome of invasions. In this study we investigated the diet of the invasive spiny water flea, Bythotrephes longimanus, in two Austrian perialpine lakes, where it is native. The gut contents of wild-caught Bythotrephes individuals were estimated by quantitative polymerase chain reaction, targeting species-specific fragments of the barcoding region of the cytochrome c oxidase I gene of potential prey. The observed prey spectrum of Bythotrephes in the study lakes consisted primarily of Eudiaptomus gracilis and Diaphanosoma brachyurum. The Daphnia longispina complex, Leptodora kindtii and Mesocyclops leuckarti also contributed to the diet. Results indicate that Bythotrephes is a generalist feeder with a preference for epilimnetic prey.

Systematic review on the association between respiratory virus real-time PCR cycle threshold values and clinical presentation or outcomes

Objectives

It is unclear whether real-time (rt)-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values can be utilized to guide clinical and infection-control decisions. This systematic review assesses the association between respiratory pathogen rt-PCR Ct values and clinical presentation or outcomes.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane library databases on 14–17 January 2020 for studies reporting the presence or absence of an association between Ct values and clinical presentation or outcomes, excluding animal studies, reviews, meta-analyses, and non-English language studies.

Results

Among 33 studies identified (reporting on between 9 and 4918 participants by pathogen), influenza (n = 11 studies; 4918 participants), human rhinovirus (HRV, n = 11; 2012) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV, n = 8; 3290) were the most-studied pathogens. Low influenza Ct values were associated with mortality in 1/3 studies, with increased disease severity/duration or ICU admission in 3/9, and with increased hospitalization or length of hospital stay (LOS) in 1/6. Low HRV Ct values were associated with increased disease severity/duration or ICU admission in 3/10 studies, and with increased hospitalization or LOS in 1/3. Low RSV Ct values were associated with increased disease severity/duration or ICU admission in 3/6 studies, and with increased hospitalization or LOS in 4/4. Contradictory associations were also identified for other respiratory pathogens.

Conclusions

Respiratory infection Ct values may inform clinical and infection-control decisions. However, the study heterogeneity observed in this review highlights the need for standardized workflows to utilize Ct values as a proxy of genomic load and confirm their value for respiratory infection management.

Estimating epidemiologic dynamics from cross-sectional viral load distributions

Estimating an epidemic's trajectory is crucial for developing public health responses to infectious diseases, but case data used for such estimation are confounded by variable testing practices. We show that the population distribution of viral loads observed under random or symptom-based surveillance-in the form of cycle threshold (Ct) values obtained from reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction testing-changes during an epidemic. Thus, Ct values from even limited numbers of random samples can provide improved estimates of an epidemic's trajectory. Combining data from multiple such samples improves the precision and robustness of this estimation. We apply our methods to Ct values from surveillance conducted during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic in a variety of settings and offer alternative approaches for real-time estimates of epidemic trajectories for outbreak management and response.

A Call for Caution in Use of Pertussis Vaccine Effectiveness Studies to Estimate Waning Immunity: A Canadian Immunization Research Network Study

BACKGROUND

Vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies provide essential evidence on waning vaccine-derived immunity, a major threat to pertussis control. We evaluated how study design affects estimates by comparing 2 case-control studies conducted in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

We compared results from a test-negative design (TND) with a frequency-matched design (FMD) case-control study using pertussis cases from 2005-2015. In the first study, we identified test-negative controls from the public health laboratory that diagnosed cases and, in the second, randomly selected controls from patients attending the same physicians that reported cases, frequency matched on age and year. We compared characteristics of cases and controls using standardized differences.

RESULTS

In both designs, VE estimates for the early years postimmunization were consistent with clinical trials (TND, 84%; FMD, 89% at 1-3 years postvaccination) but diverged as time since last vaccination increased (TND, 41%; FMD, 74% by 8 years postvaccination). Overall, we observed lower VE and faster waning in the TND than the FMD. In the TND but not FMD, controls differed from cases in important confounders, being younger, having more comorbidities, and higher healthcare use. Differences between the controls of each design were greater than differences between cases. TND controls were more likely to be unvaccinated or incompletely vaccinated than FMD controls (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The FMD adjusted better for healthcare-seeking behavior than the TND. Duration of protection from pertussis vaccines is unclear because estimates vary by study design. Caution should be exercised by experts, researchers, and decision makers when evaluating evidence on optimal timing of boosters.

Estimating epidemiologic dynamics from cross-sectional viral load distributions

Estimating an epidemic's trajectory is crucial for developing public health responses to infectious diseases, but incidence data used for such estimation are confounded by variable testing practices. We show instead that the population distribution of viral loads observed under random or symptom-based surveillance, in the form of cycle threshold (Ct) values, changes during an epidemic and that Ct values from even limited numbers of random samples can provide improved estimates of an epidemic's trajectory. Combining multiple such samples and the fraction positive improves the precision and robustness of such estimation. We apply our methods to Ct values from surveillance conducted during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in a variety of settings and demonstrate new approaches for real-time estimates of epidemic trajectories for outbreak management and response.

Tracheal colonization factor A (TcfA) is a biomarker for rapid and specific detection of Bordetella pertussis

Pertussis is a highly contagious disease for which prompt, point-of-care diagnosis remains an unmet clinical need. Results from conventional test modalities (nucleic acid detection, serology, and culture) take hours to days. To overcome this challenge, we identified a new biomarker (tracheal colonization factor A, TcfA) for detection of Bordetella pertussis infection by lateral flow immunoassay (LFIA). We developed a library of 28 epitope-mapped monoclonal antibodies against TcfA and incorporated three antibodies into a LFIA. The LFIA did not cross-react with common bacterial or fungal organisms, but did react with nine distinct B. pertussis strains. The minimal linear epitope sequences targeted by the LFIA were conserved in 98% of 954 B. pertussis isolates collected across 12 countries from 1949–2017. The LFIA’s limit of detection was 3.0 × 10⁵ CFU/mL with B. pertussis cells in buffer, 6.2 × 10⁵ CFU/mL with nasopharyngeal washes from a non-human primate model, and 2.3 ng/mL with recombinant TcfA. The LFIA reacted with patient nasopharyngeal swab specimens containing as few as 1.8 × 10⁶B. pertussis genomes/mL and showed no false-positives. Rapid (< 20 min) LFIA detection of TcfA as a biomarker for B. pertussis infection is feasible and may facilitate early detection of pertussis.

Etiologic features of diarrheagenic microbes in stool specimens from patients with acute diarrhea in Thailand

Many microbial species have been recognized as enteropathogens for humans. Here, we predicted the causative agents of acute diarrhea using data from multiplex quantitative PCR (qPCR) assays targeting 19 enteropathogens. For this, a case-control study was conducted at eight hospitals in Thailand. Stool samples and clinical data were collected from 370 hospitalized patients with acute diarrhea and 370 non-diarrheal controls. Multiple enteropathogens were detected in 75.7% and 13.0% of diarrheal stool samples using multiplex qPCR and bacterial culture methods, respectively. Asymptomatic carriers of enteropathogens were found among 87.8% and 45.7% of individuals by qPCR and culture methods, respectively. These results suggested the complexity of identifying causative agents of diarrhea. An analysis using the quantification cut-off values for clinical relevance drastically reduced pathogen-positive stool samples in control subjects from 87.8% to 0.5%, whereas 48.9% of the diarrheal stool samples were positive for any of the 11 pathogens. Among others, rotavirus, norovirus GII, Shigella/EIEC, and Campylobacter were strongly associated with acute diarrhea (P-value < 0.001). Characteristic clinical symptoms, epidemic periods, and age-related susceptibility to infection were observed for some enteropathogens. Investigations based on qPCR approaches covering a broad array of enteropathogens might thus improve our understanding of diarrheal disease etiology and epidemiological trends.

Men and Women Have an Equal Oropharyngeal and Anorectal Chlamydia trachomatis Bacterial Load: A Comparison of 3 Anatomic Sites

BACKGROUND

The Chlamydia trachomatis bacterial load could have impact on transmission and sequelae. This is the first study providing comparison of C. trachomatis load at 3 anatomic sites estimated by cycle quantification (Cq) values.

METHODS

Data from 7900 C. trachomatis-positive samples were included (2012-2018). Cq value was used as an inversely proportional measure for C. trachomatis load. Multivariable linear regression analyses assessed differences in mean Cq values.

RESULTS

Vaginal swabs had the lowest Cq values (31.0) followed by urine (32.5), anorectal swabs (34.0), and oropharyngeal swabs (36.8) (P < .001). Men and women had similar oropharyngeal (36.4 vs 37.3; P = .13) and anorectal (34.2 vs 33.9; P = .19) Cq values. Men (32.2) and women (30.7) aged <25 years had lower urogenital Cq values than men (32.8) and women (31.9) aged ≥25 years (P < .001). HIV-positive patients had higher urogenital Cq values than HIV-negative patients (33.8 vs 32.6; P < .03).

CONCLUSIONS

Men and women have a similar C. trachomatis load at extragenital locations arguing for similar transmission potential and clinical relevance. Older patients and HIV-coinfected patients had lower C. trachomatis load, suggesting exposure to previous C. trachomatis infections potentially leading to partial immunity reducing load.

Chlamydia trachomatis bacterial load, estimated by Cq values, in urogenital samples from men and women visiting the general practice, hospital or STI clinic

Background

The bacterial load of Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) is assumed to play a role in transmission and sequelae. We assessed urogenital CT cycle quantification (Cq) values, as an indicator for CT load, of men and women diagnosed by general practitioners (GPs), hospital physicians and the STI clinic.

Methods

Urogenital CT-positive samples (n = 2,055 vaginal swabs, n = 77 cervical swabs, n = 1,519 urine samples and n = 19 urethral swabs) diagnosed by GPs, hospital physicians and the STI clinic from the Maastricht Medical Microbiology Laboratory were included (2012–2016). The outcome measure ‘urogenital Cq values’ was used as an inversely proportional measure for CT load. Among all patients, multivariate linear regression analyses were used to assess primary determinants for mean urogenital Cq values, stratified by sex. Additional clinical determinants were assessed among STI clinic patients.

Results

In men, mean urogenital Cq values were similar between GPs, hospital physicians and the STI clinic (32.7 and 33.5 vs. 32.7; p>0.05). Women visiting the GP had lower urogenital Cq values than women visiting the STI clinic (30.2 vs. 30.9; p = <0.001). Women visiting the hospital had higher urogenital Cq values than women visiting the STI clinic (32.4 vs. 30.9; p = <0.001). Among STI clinic women, urogenital Cq values were lower in women with concurrent anorectal CT and in rectally untested women compared to anorectal CT-negative women (30.7 and 30.6 vs. 33.9; p = <0.001).

Conclusion

Men visiting different STI care providers had similar urogenital Cq values, which could be an indicator for similar CT loads. The lower Cq values of women visiting the GP compared to women visiting the STI clinic could be an indicator for higher CT loads and likely higher transmission potential. Notably, urogenital Cq values of STI clinic women were much lower (>3 Cq) when STI clinic women also had anorectal CT. This finding could indicate higher urogenital CT loads and likely higher chances of transmission and sequelae.

Challenges and clinical relevance of molecular detection of Bordetella pertussis in South Africa

Background

We assessed the utility of a multi-target, real-time PCR assay for Bordetella pertussis detection and diagnosis in patients with severe respiratory illness (SRI), influenza-like illness (ILI), and asymptomatic controls.

Methods

Real-time PCR detection of IS481, pIS1001, hIS1001 and ptxS1 was performed on nasopharyngeal specimens (SRI, ILI and controls) and induced sputum (SRI) collected from June 2012 to May 2016 through respiratory illness surveillance. Using PCR cycle threshold (C_t) value cut-offs, IS481 positive cases were classified as confirmed (C_t < 35) or possible (C_t 35–39) pertussis disease.

Results

Among 12,922 samples, 146 (1.1%) were IS481 positive of which 62% (90/146) were classified as confirmed. The attributable fraction (AF) was 92.2% (95% CI, 65.6 to 98.2%) and 90.5% (95% CI, 57.5 to 97.9%) amongst SRI and ILI PCR-confirmed pertussis cases, respectively. Amongst possible pertussis cases, AF was 36.9% (95% CI, − 142.3 to 83.6%) and 67.5% (95% CI, − 30.6 to 91.9%) in the SRI and ILI groups, respectively.

Conclusion

All IS481 positive specimens could be considered as B. pertussis infection, and potentially pertussis disease with supportive clinical information.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-019-3869-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Should equivocal Bordetella pertussis PCR results in children be reported to public health?

Introduction

Real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) is the preferred method for the diagnosis of pertussis. In Quebec, positive and equivocal results are reportable to public health; in contrast, in Ontario equivocal results are not reportable.

Objective

To determine the clinical significance of equivocal, compared with positive results, in children with suspected pertussis.

Methods

Retrospective cohort of consecutive patients seen at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine in Montréal, Quebec, with suspected pertussis and tested with a bacterial multiplex PCR (including Bordetella pertussis) between 2015 and 2017. Medical records were reviewed using a standardized form. Univariate analyses (Student's t-test and chi-square test) and multivariable logistic regression were used to compare cases of positive and equivocal results.

Results

Of the 1,526 multiplex PCR performed, 109 were positive and 24 equivocal. Both groups were similar in terms of demographics and disease severity assessments, but patients in the equivocal group had less paroxysmal cough (33.3% vs 79.8%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.04-0.29) and whoop (0% vs 18.3%, p<0.001), lower lymphocyte counts (6.6 vs 11.9 x10⁹/L, p=0.008), were more likely to be diagnosed with a viral co-infection (16.7% vs 3.7%, aOR 5.62, 95% CI 1.17-27.54) and were less likely to receive a macrolide (25% vs 89%, aOR 0.04, 95% CI 0.01-0.11). When admitted, patients with equivocal results had a shorter average length of stay (3.3 vs 12.2 days, p=0.001).

Conclusion

Although there were similarities in disease severity, children with suspected pertussis who had equivocal PCR results had significantly different clinical presentations compared with those with positive results. In the context of limited public health resources, these results may inform the decision whether or not equivocal results need to be reported to public health by laboratories.

Rapid and Accurate Diagnosis Based on Real-Time PCR Cycle Threshold Value for the Identification of Campylobacter jejuni, astA Gene-Positive Escherichia coli, and eae Gene-Positive E. coli

We previously developed a multiplex real-time PCR assay (Rapid Foodborne Bacterial Screening 24 ver.5, [RFBS24 ver.5]) for simultaneous detection of 24 foodborne bacterial targets. Here, to overcome the discrepancy of the results from RFBS24 ver.5 and bacterial culture methods (BC), we analyzed 246 human clinical samples from 49 gastroenteritis outbreaks using RFBS24 ver.5 and evaluated the correlation between the cycle threshold (CT) value of RFBS24 ver.5 and the BC results. The results showed that the RFBS24 ver.5 was more sensitive than BC for Campylobacter jejuni and Escherichia coli harboring astA or eae, with positive predictive values (PPV) of 45.5-87.0% and a kappa coefficient (KC) of 0.60-0.92, respectively. The CTs were significantly different between BC-positive and -negative samples (p ＜ 0.01). All RFBS24 ver.5-positive samples were BC-positive under the lower confidence interval (CI) limit of 95% or 99% for the CT of the BC-negative samples. We set the 95% or 99% CI lower limit to the determination CT (d-CT) to discriminate for assured BC-positive results (d-CTs: 27.42-30.86), and subsequently the PPVs (94.7%-100.0%) and KCs (0.89-0.95) of the 3 targets were increased. Together, we concluded that the implication of a d-CT-based approach would be a valuable tool for rapid and accurate diagnoses using the RFBS24 ver.5 system.

Effectiveness of pertussis vaccination and duration of immunity

BACKGROUND

A resurgence of pertussis cases among both vaccinated and unvaccinated people raises questions about vaccine effectiveness over time. Our objective was to study the effectiveness of the pertussis vaccine and characterize the effect of waning immunity and whole-cell vaccine priming.

METHODS

We used the test-negative design, a nested case-control study with test-negative individuals as controls. We constructed multivariable logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs). Vaccine effectiveness was calculated as (1 - OR) × 100. We assessed waning immunity by calculating the odds of developing pertussis per year since last vaccination and evaluated the relative effectiveness of priming with acellular versus whole-cell vaccine.

RESULTS

Between Dec. 7, 2009, and Mar. 31, 2013, data on 5867 individuals (486 test-positive cases and 5381 test-negative controls) were available for analysis. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 80% (95% confidence interval [CI] 71% to 86%) at 15-364 days, 84% (95% CI 77% to 89%) at 1-3 years, 62% (95% CI 42% to 75%) at 4-7 years and 41% (95% CI 0% to 66%) at 8 or more years since last vaccination. We observed waning immunity with the acellular vaccine, with an adjusted OR for pertussis infection of 1.27 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.34) per year since last vaccination. Acellular, versus whole-cell, vaccine priming was associated with an increased odds of pertussis (adjusted OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.30 to 3.57).

INTERPRETATION

We observed high early effectiveness of the pertussis vaccine that rapidly declined as time since last vaccination surpassed 4 years, particularly with acellular vaccine priming. Considering whole-cell vaccine priming and/or boosters in pregnancy to optimize pertussis control may be prudent.

Herpesvirus infections in hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients seropositive for human cytomegalovirus before transplantation

BACKGROUND

Viral infections are a major cause of morbidity and mortality after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). The effect of herpesvirus infections in human cytomegalovirus (HCMV)-seropositive (IgG-positive/IgM-negative) HSCT recipients remains poorly understood. The risk factors associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), HCMV, and human herpes virus type 6 (HHV-6) infections after HSCT, both alone and in combination, were investigated in this study.

METHODS

Peripheral blood specimens were collected from 44 HSCT recipients and examined for viral DNA using quantitative fluorescence PCR assays. Risk factors for EBV, HCMV, and HHV-6 infections were analyzed by binary logistic regression, and relationships between these viruses were analyzed using the Chi-square test.

RESULTS

EBV, HCMV, and HHV-6 were detected in 50%, 45.45%, and 25% of HCMV-seropositive (IgG-positive/IgM-negative) HSCT recipients, respectively. Male sex (p=0.007) and conditioning regimens including anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) (p=0.034) were strongly associated with an increased risk of EBV infection. Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis with corticosteroids was a risk factor for both EBV (p=0.013) and HCMV (p=0.040) infections, while EBV infection (p=0.029) was found to be an independent risk factor for HHV-6 infection. Pre-existing HHV-6 infection was associated with lower rates of HCMV infection (p=0.002); similarly, pre-existing HCMV infection was protective against HHV-6 infection (p=0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

HCMV-seropositive (IgG-positive/IgM-negative) HSCT recipients exhibited a high rate of herpesvirus infections, particularly EBV. ATG and male sex were strongly associated with an increased risk of EBV infection. GVHD prophylaxis with prednisone was found to affect both EBV and HCMV infections. Prior infection with EBV was shown to promote HHV-6 infection. Taken together, these data highlight the need for active monitoring of herpesvirus infections in patients undergoing HSCT.

Differences in Bordetella pertussis DNA load according to clinical and epidemiological characteristics of patients with whooping cough

OBJECTIVE

To identify associations between nasopharyngeal Bordetella pertussis DNA load and clinical and epidemiological characteristics and evaluate DNA load prognostic value in pertussis severity.

METHODS

Prospective observational multi-centre study including nasopharyngeal samples positive to pertussis DNA by real-time PCR collected from children and adult patients in more than 200 health centres of Catalonia (Spain) during 2012-2013.

RESULTS

B. pertussis load was inversely correlated with age (rho = -0.32, p < 0.001), time to diagnosis (rho = -0.33, p < 0.001) and number of symptoms (rho = 0.13, p = 0.002). Median bacterial load was significantly higher in inpatients versus outpatients (4.91 vs. 2.55 log10 CFU/mL, p < 0.001), patients with complications versus those without (6.05 vs. 2.82 log10 CFU/mL, p < 0.001), disease incidence in summer and autumn versus spring and winter (3.50 vs. 2.21 log10 CFU/mL, p = 0.002), and unvaccinated-partially vaccinated patients versus vaccinated (4.20 vs. 2.76 log10 CFU/mL, p = 0.004). A logistic regression model including bacterial load and other candidate prognostic factors showed good prediction for hospital care (AUC = 0.94) although only age and unvaccinated status were found to be prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed strong positive associations of nasopharyngeal bacterial load with severity outcomes of hospitalisation and occurrence of complications. Bacterial load and other independent variables contributed to an accurate prognostic model for hospitalisation.