Can Fasting Glucose Levels or Post-Breakfast Glucose Fluctuations Predict the Occurrence of Nocturnal Asymptomatic Hypoglycemia in Type 1 Diabetic Patients Receiving Basal-Bolus Insulin Therapy with Long-Acting Insulin?

Is it possible to predict the onset of nocturnal asymptomatic hypoglycemia in patients with type 1 diabetes receiving insulin degludec? Potential role of previous day and next morning glucose values

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To determine whether the occurrence of nocturnal asymptomatic, serious, clinically important hypoglycemia (NSH) could be predicted based on glucose values on the previous day and the following morning of the day of onset.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study examined patients with type 1 diabetes who underwent continuous glucose monitoring assessments and received insulin degludec. NSH was defined as glucose level <54 mg/dL detected between 24.00 and 06.00 hours. The participants were evaluated to determine the following: (i) glucose level at bedtime (24.00 hours) on the previous day (BG); (ii) fasting glucose level (FG); and (iii) the range of post-breakfast glucose elevation. The patients were divided into those with NSH and those without, and compared using t-tests. Optimal cut-off values for relevant parameters for predicting NSH were determined using receiver operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

The study included a total of 31 patients with type 1 diabetes (mean glycated hemoglobin value 7.8 ± 0.7%). NSH occurred in eight patients (26%). BG and FG were significantly lower in those with NSH than in those without (P = 0.044, P < 0.001). The range of post-breakfast glucose elevation was significantly greater in those with NSH than in those without. The cut-off glucose values for predicting NSH were as follows: BG = 90 mg/dL (sensitivity 0.83/specificity 0.75/area under the curve 0.79, P = 0.017) and FG = 69 mg/dL (0.83/0.75/0.86, P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

The results showed that in patients with type 1 diabetes receiving insulin degludec, BG <90 mg/dL and FG <69 mg/dL had an approximately 80% probability of predicting the occurrence of NSH.

Value of Capillary Glucose Profiles in Assessing Risk of Nocturnal Hypoglycemia in Type 1 Diabetes Based on Continuous Glucose Monitoring

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to evaluate the occurrence of nocturnal hypoglycemia in type 1 diabetes (T1D) based on continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), and to explore the value of capillary glucose profiles in assessing the risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia. The study also intended to develop a predictive model to identify people with high risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia.

METHODS

A total of 169 participants with T1D received 3 days of blinded CGM; meanwhile, their self-monitoring blood glucose (SMBG) profiles were recorded. Logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate contributory factors of nocturnal hypoglycemia. Potential indicators were estimated using area under receiver operator curve (AUC) analyses.

RESULTS

During the retrospective CGM period, 95 (56.2%) participants with T1D reported 238 events of hypoglycemia, and 69 (29.0%) of these episodes occurred during the nighttime. Increased risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia correlated with lower HbA1c, glycated albumin, and mean blood glucose (OR = 0.790, 0.940, 0.651, respectively; P < 0.05) and higher standard deviation, mean amplitude of glycemic excursions, and low blood glucose index (OR = 1.463, 1.168, 4.035, respectively; P < 0.05) after adjustment for age and duration. Of the daily SMBG profiles, fasting blood glucose (OR = 0.643, P = 0.001) and blood glucose at bedtime (OR = 0.851, P = 0.037) were associated with the occurrence of nocturnal hypoglycemia. The BGn model, which was derived from the variation of capillary glucose, could discriminate individuals with increased risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia (AUC = 0.774).

CONCLUSIONS

Nocturnal hypoglycemia constitutes nearly one-third of hypoglycemic events in people with T1D. Strict glycemic control and great fluctuation of glucose are potential contributory factors. Daily SMBG profiles and the BGn model could help assess the risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia in T1D, which may support further development of preventive strategies.

Prediction of nocturnal hypoglycemia unawareness by fasting glucose levels or post-breakfast glucose fluctuations in patients with type 1 diabetes receiving insulin degludec: A pilot study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether nocturnal asymptomatic hypoglycemia (NAH) can be predicted by fasting glucose levels or post-breakfast glucose fluctuations in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) receiving insulin degludec.

METHODS

Patients with T1D receiving insulin degludec underwent at-home CGM assessments. Indices for glycemic variability before and after breakfast included fasting glucose levels and the range of post-breakfast glucose elevation. For comparison, the patients were classified into those with NAH and those without. The optimal cut-off values for the relevant parameters were determined to predict NAH using ROC analysis.

RESULTS

The study included a total of 31 patients (mean HbA1c values, 7.8 ± 0.7%), and 16 patients (52%) had NAH. Those with NAH had significantly lower fasting glucose levels than did those without (82 ± 48 mg/dL vs. 144 ± 69 mg/dL; P = 0.009). The change from pre- to post-breakfast glucose levels was significantly greater among those with NAH (postprandial 1-h, P = 0.028; postprandial 2-h, P = 0.028). The cut-off values for prediction of NAH were as follows: fasting glucose level <84 mg/dL (sensitivity 0.80/specificity 0.75/AUC 0.80; P = 0.004), 1-h postprandial elevation >69 mg/dL (0.75/0.67/0.73; P = 0.033), and 2-h postprandial elevation >99 mg/dL (0.69/0.67/0.71; P = 0.044).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that fasting glucose level of < 84 mg/dL had approximately 80% probability of predicting the occurrence of NAH in T1D receiving insulin degludec. It was also shown that the occurrence of hypoglycemia led to greater post-breakfast glucose fluctuations and steeper post-breakfast glucose gradients.

Major Increases between Pre- and Post-breakfast Glucose Levels May Predict Nocturnal Hypoglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes

Objective The aim of this study was to determine whether nocturnal hypoglycemia may be predicted according to morning glucose levels. Methods We retrospectively evaluated 106 patients with type 2 diabetes who underwent continuous glucose monitoring during admission. The pre-breakfast glucose level (Pre-breakfast level), highest postprandial glucose level within 3 hours after breakfast (Highest level), time from the start of breakfast to the highest postprandial glucose level (Highest time), difference between the pre-breakfast and highest postprandial breakfast glucose levels (Increase), area under the glucose curve (≥180 mg/dL) within 3 hours after breakfast (Morning AUC), post-breakfast glucose gradient (Gradient), and the increase-to-pre-breakfast ratio (Increase/Pre-breakfast) were calculated. The subjects were divided into hypoglycemic and non-hypoglycemic patients and compared for the above parameters using the t-test. A receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off values to predict nocturnal hypoglycemia (Hypoglycemia). Results Twenty-eight patients (26.4%) had hypoglycemia. The Pre-breakfast levels were significantly lower in patients with hypoglycemia than those without (p=0.03). The Increases were significantly higher in patients with hypoglycemia than those without (p=0.047). The Increase/Pre-breakfast ratio were significantly larger in patients with hypoglycemia than those without (p=0.0002). Their cut-off values were as follows (level, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve): 123 mg/dL, 0.89, 0.55, and 0.78 (p<0.0001); 90.5 mg/dL, 0.75, 0.64, and 0.76 (p<0.0001); and 90.2%, 0.75, 0.76, and 0.78 (p<0.0001), respectively. Conclusion Major increases between the pre- and post-breakfast glucose levels may predict nocturnal hypoglycemia in patients with type 2 diabetes.