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Zhao W, Guo S, Xu Z, Wang Y, Kou Y, Tian S, Qi Y, Pang J, Zhou W, Wang N, Liu J, Zhai Y, Ji P, Jiao Y, Fan C, Chao M, Fan Z, Qu Y, Wang L. Nomogram for Predicting Central Nervous System Infection Following Traumatic Brain Injury in the Elderly. World Neurosurg 2024; 183:e28-e43. [PMID: 37879436 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2023.10.088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2023] [Accepted: 10/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/27/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aims to identify risk factors for central nervous system (CNS) infection in elderly patients hospitalized with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and to develop a reliable predictive tool for assessing the likelihood of CNS infection in this population. METHOD We conducted a retrospective study on 742 elderly TBI patients treated at Tangdu Hospital, China. Clinical data was randomly split into training and validation sets (7:3 ratio). By conducting univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training set, we identified a list of variables to develop a nomogram for predicting the risk of CNS infection. We evaluated the performance of the predictive model in both cohorts respectively, using receiver operating characteristics curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS Results of the logistic analysis in the training set indicated that surgical intervention (P = 0.007), red blood cell count (P = 0.019), C-reactive protein concentration (P < 0.001), and cerebrospinal fluid leakage (P < 0.001) significantly predicted the occurrence of CNS infection in elderly TBI patients. The model constructed based on these variables had high predictive capability (area under the curve-training = 0.832; area under the curve-validation = 0.824) as well as clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS A nomogram constructed based on several key predictors reasonably predicts the risk of CNS infection in elderly TBI patients upon hospital admission. The model of the nanogram may contribute to timely interventions and improve health outcomes among affected individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenjian Zhao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Shaochun Guo
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China; Department of Neurosurgery, Shannxi University of Chinese Medine, Xianyang, China
| | - Zhen Xu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yuan Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yunpeng Kou
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China; Department of Neurosurgery, Shannxi University of Chinese Medine, Xianyang, China
| | - Shuai Tian
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yifan Qi
- The Third Student Brigade of Basic Medical College, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Jinghui Pang
- The Third Student Brigade of Basic Medical College, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Wenqian Zhou
- The Fourth Student Brigade of Basic Medical College, Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Na Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Jinghui Liu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yulong Zhai
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Peigang Ji
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yang Jiao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Chao Fan
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Min Chao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Zhicheng Fan
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yan Qu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Liang Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
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Klukowska-Rötzler J, Buerzle A, Exadaktylos AK, Niemann S, Bürgi F, Jakob DA. Sex differences in sledging injuries: a retrospective 10-season study from a Swiss level 1 trauma centre. BMJ Open Sport Exerc Med 2023; 9:e001615. [PMID: 37397265 PMCID: PMC10314622 DOI: 10.1136/bmjsem-2023-001615] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/09/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives Sledging is a popular and traditional winter sport in Switzerland. This study examines injury patterns of patients who presented to a tertiary trauma centre in Switzerland following sledging trauma, focusing on sex differences. Methods Retrospective single-centre study over 10 winters (2012-2022), including all patients experiencing sledging-related trauma. Injury history was collected and analysed from the patient data and demographic information. The Abbreviated Injury Scale and the Injury Severity Score (ISS) were used to classify injury types and severity. Results 193 patients were identified with sledging injuries. The median age was 46 (IQR 28-65), and 56% were female. The most frequent mechanism of injury was a fall (70%), followed by collision (27%) and other fall on slopes (6%). Lower extremities (36%), trunk (20%) and head/neck (15%) were the most frequently injured body areas. Fourteen per cent of patients were admitted with head injuries, whereas females were significantly more likely to present with head injuries than males (p=0.047). Males were significantly more often admitted with fractures to the upper extremities than females (p=0.049). The median ISS was 4 (IQR 1-5), without significant differences between males and females (p=0.290). The hospital admission rate was 28.5% for sledging-related injuries. The median length of stay for patients admitted to the hospital was 5 (IQR 4-8) days. The total cost for all patients was CHF1 292 501, with a median of CHF1009 per patient (IQR CHF458-CHF5923). Conclusion Sledging injuries are common and may result in serious injuries. The lower extremities, trunk and head/neck are frequently injured and could be specifically protected with safety devices. Multiple injuries were statistically more frequent in women compared with men. Males were significantly more often admitted with fractures to the upper extremities, and females were more likely to sustain head injuries. The findings can help to develop data-driven measures to prevent sledging accidents in Switzerland.
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