Survival and predictors of breast cancer mortality in South Ethiopia: A retrospective cohort study

Breast cancer survival in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of rates and predictors

BACKGROUND

Evidence on breast cancer survival and factors affecting survival is crucial for evaluating treatment effectiveness and formulating breast cancer control strategies. Although original research has been conducted on the survival rate of breast cancer patients and their determinants in Ethiopia, there is a shortage of comprehensive scientific evidence. The present study systematically reviewed literature on the survival rate of breast cancer patients and the predictors of survival in Ethiopia.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted in the PubMed, HINARI, Global Index Medicus, and Google Scholar databases up to August 26, 2024. Without any design restrictions, studies on breast cancer patients that measured survival at different time points in Ethiopia were included. The results are summarized in a table, the survival rates are pooled, and risk factors are narratively synthesized. To assess the risk of bias, the Newcastle Ottawa Scale was utilized. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed using the I2 statistic. Potential publication bias was assessed using a funnel plot. To examine robustness, a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The pooled survival rates in the first, second, third, fifth, and sixth years were 90%, 70%, 68%, 46%, and 44%, respectively. Advanced age, lower socioeconomic status, late clinical stage, delayed diagnosis, higher histological grade, metastasis, lymph node involvement, presence of comorbidity, tumor size, and estrogen receptor positive were factors that increased the risk of mortality in the included studies.

CONCLUSION

Survival rate of breast cancer patients in later time including fifth and sixth years was comparably lower than other countries. It is crucial to raise awareness about breast cancer screening, early diagnosis, and therapy initiation to increase the survival rate of breast cancer patients in Ethiopia. In addition, it is important to emphasize the risky population groups, which includes those with lower socioeconomic status and advanced clinical parameters.

Predictors of survival rates among breast cancer patients in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis 2024

INTRODUCTION

Breast cancer remains the most common cancer and a leading cause of cancer-related deaths among women worldwide. In Ethiopia, the survival rate of breast cancer patients is influenced by various socio-demographic, clinical, and health system factors. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify and synthesize the predictors of survival rates among breast cancer patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of observational cohort studies. The literature search was performed between August 1 and 30, 2024, using PubMed, Hinari, EMBASE, Google, Google Scholar, and Web of Science. The Newcastle Ottawa 2016 Critical Appraisal Checklist assessed methodological quality. Publication bias was evaluated using a funnel plot and Egger's test, and heterogeneity was examined with the I-squared test. Data were extracted with Microsoft Excel and analyzed using Stata 11.

RESULTS

A total of 15 articles with 6,375 study participants from six regions were included. We found that significant predictors of decreased survival rate among breast cancer patients were age (aHR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.08), illiteracy (aHR 7.34, 95% CI 4.38-10.3), married (aHR 1.21, 95% CI 1.03-1.40), rural residence (aHR 1.71, 95% CI 1.06-2.36), two or more lymph node involvement (aHR 3.57, 95% CI 1.02-6.13), histological grade two or more (aHR 1.44, 95% CI 1.12-2.77), overweight (aHR 0.56, 95% CI 0.24-0.87), and having comorbidity (aHR 1.86, 95% CI 1.04-2.68).

CONCLUSION

This systematic review and meta-analysis identified several key predictors of reduced survival rates among breast cancer patients in Ethiopia, including older age, illiteracy, rural residence, involvement of two or more lymph nodes, higher histological grade, marital status, and the presence of comorbidities. Interestingly, being overweight was associated with improved survival. Health stakeholders and policymakers emphasizing public health education, managing comorbidities, and expanding access to early detection and treatment, especially in rural areas, are critical.

A 14-Year Analysis of Breast Cancer Risk Factors and Its Determinants of Mortality in Rural Southwestern Nigeria

Background

Research on breast cancer risk factors and mortality is gaining recognition and attention globally; there is need to add more information on its determinants among patients admitted in hospital. Some studies on risk factors and mortality of breast cancer in Nigeria hospitals conducted in the urban and suburban areas have been documented. Therefore, an addition of a study conducted in the setting of a rural health institution is necessary. This study assessed the risk factors and determinants of mortality among patients admitted for breast cancer in rural Southwestern Nigeria.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was conducted on 260 patients who were admitted for breast cancer between January 2010 and December 2023 using a data form and a standardized information form. The data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0. The risk factors and the determinants of mortality of patients with breast cancer were identified using multivariate regression model.

Results

The breast cancer risk factors were old age, family history, tobacco smoking, combined oral contraceptives, and hormonal therapy use. The case fatality rate was 38.1%, and its determinants of mortality were patients who were older (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.956; 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.341-4.333), obese (AOR, 2.635; 95% CI: 1.485-6.778), stage IV (AOR, 1.895; 95% CI: 1.146-8.9742), mastectomy (AOR, 2.512; 95% CI: 1.003-6.569), discontinued adjuvant chemotherapy (AOR, 1.785; 95% CI: 1.092-4.6311), and yet to commence adjuvant chemotherapy (AOR, 2.568; 95% CI: 1.367-5.002).

Conclusion

The study revealed that patients with breast cancer were associated with high mortality. Sustained health education to promote early diagnosis, managed co-morbidities, and access to treatment may contribute to reduction in breast cancer mortality in rural Nigeria.

Late-stage diagnosis: The driving force behind high breast cancer mortality in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Breast cancer continues to be the most common malignancy and the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in Ethiopia. The poor prognosis and high mortality rate of breast cancer patients in the country are largely caused by late-stage diagnosis. Hence, understanding the epidemiology of late-stage diagnosis is essential to address this important problem. However, previous reports in Ethiopia indicated inconsistent findings. Therefore, this literature review was conducted to generate dependable evidence by summarizing the prevalence and determinants of late-stage diagnosis among breast cancer patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

Pertinent articles were retrieved by systematically searching on major electronic databases and gray literature. Data were extracted into an Excel spreadsheet and analyzed using the STATA 17 statistical software. The pooled estimates were summarized using the random effect meta-analysis model. Heterogeneity and small study effect were evaluated using the I2 statistics and Egger's regression test in conjunction with the funnel plot, respectively. Meta-regression, sub-group analysis, and sensitivity analysis were also employed. Protocol registration number: CRD42024496237.

RESULTS

The pooled prevalence of late-stage diagnosis after combining reports of 24 studies with 8,677 participants was 65.85 (95% CI: 58.38, 73.32). Residence (adjusted OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.45, 2.53), patient delay at their first presentation (adjusted OR: 2.65; 95% CI: 1.56, 4.49), traditional medicine use (adjusted OR: 2.54; 95% CI: 1.89, 3.41), and breast self-examination practice (adjusted OR: 0.28; 95% CI: 0.09, 0.88) were significant determinants of late-stage diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Two-thirds of breast cancer patients in Ethiopia were diagnosed at an advanced stage. Residence, delay in the first presentation, traditional medicine use, and breast self-examination practice were significantly associated with late-stage diagnosis. Public education about breast cancer and its early detection techniques is crucial to reduce mortality and improve the survival of patients. Besides, improving access to cancer screening services is useful to tackle the disease at its curable stages.

Geospatial disparities in survival of patients with breast cancer in sub-Saharan Africa from the African Breast Cancer-Disparities in Outcomes cohort (ABC-DO): a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

There is an urgent need to improve breast cancer survival in sub-Saharan Africa. Geospatial barriers delay diagnosis and treatment, but their effect on survival in these settings is not well understood. We examined geospatial disparities in 4-year survival in the African Breast Cancer-Disparities in Outcomes cohort.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, women (aged ≥18 years) newly diagnosed with breast cancer were recruited from eight hospitals in Namibia, Nigeria, South Africa, Uganda, and Zambia. They reported sociodemographic information in interviewer-administered questionnaires, and their clinical and treatment data were collected from medical records. Vital status was ascertained by contacting participants or their next of kin every 3 months. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in relation to rural versus urban residence, straight-line distance, and modelled travel time to hospital, analysed using restricted mean survival time, Cox proportional hazards, and flexible parametric survival models.

FINDINGS

2228 women with breast cancer were recruited between Sept 8, 2014, and Dec 31, 2017. 127 were excluded from analysis (58 had potentially recurrent cancer, had previously received treatment, or had no follow-up; 14 from minority ethnic groups with small sample sizes; and 55 with missing geocoded home addresses). Among the 2101 women included in analysis, 928 (44%) lived in a rural area. 1042 patients had died within 4 years of diagnosis; 4-year survival was 39% (95% CI 36-42) in women in rural areas versus 49% (46-52) in urban areas (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1·24 [95% CI 1·09-1·40]). Among the 734 women living more than 1 h from the hospital, the crude 4-year survival was 37% (95% CI 32-42) in women in rural areas versus 54% (46-62) in women in urban areas (HR 1·35 [95% CI 1·07-1·71] after adjustment for age, stage, and treatment status). Among women in rural areas, mortality rates increased with distance (adjusted HR per 50 km 1·04, 1·01-1·07) and travel time (adjusted HR per h 1·06, 1·02-1·10). Among women with early-stage breast cancer receiving treatment, women in rural areas had a strong survival disadvantage (overall HR 1·54, 1·14-2·07 adjusted for age and stage; >1 h distance adjusted HR 2·14, 1·21-3·78).

INTERPRETATION

Geospatial barriers reduce survival of patients with breast cancer in sub-Saharan Africa. Specific attention is needed to support patients with early-stage breast cancer living in rural areas far from cancer treatment facilities.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health (National Cancer Institute), Susan G Komen for the Cure, and the International Agency for Research on Cancer.

Advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis and its determinants in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Worldwide, breast cancer is the primary cause of illness and death. Unless early detected and treated breast cancer is a life-threatening tumor. Advanced-stage presentation is greatly linked with short survival time and increased mortality rates. In Ethiopia nationally summarized evidence on the level of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis is scarce. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the pooled prevalence of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis and its determinants in Ethiopia.

METHOD

By following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review and meta-analysis were carried out. To include relevant publications, a broad literature search was conducted in the African Online Journal, PubMed, Google Scholar, and Embase which are published until last search date; June 15, 2023. To prevent further duplication this review was registered in PROSPERO database with ID no of CRD42023435096. To determine the pooled prevalence, a weighted inverse variance random effect model was applied. I2 statistics and the Cochrane Q-test were computed to determine heterogeneity. To evaluate publication bias, a funnel plot, and Egger's regression test were used.

RESULT

A total of 924 articles were sought and finally 20 articles were included in this review. The pooled prevalence of advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis in Ethiopia was 72.56% (95%CI; 68.46-76.65%). Use of traditional medicine as first choice (AOR = 1.32, 95% CI: (1.13-1.55)), delay of > 3 months in seeking care (AOR = 1.24, 95% CI: (1.09-1.41)), diagnosis or health system delay of > 2 months (AOR = 1.27, 95% CI: (1.11-1.46)), rural residence (AOR = 2.04, 95% CI: (1.42 - 2.92)), and chief complaint of a painless breast lump (AOR = 2.67, 95% CI: (1.76-4.06)) were significantly associated to advanced-stage diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

In Ethiopia, more than two-thirds of breast cancer cases are diagnosed at an advanced stage. Use of traditional medicine before diagnostic confirmation, delay in seeking care, health system delay, rural residence, and chief complaint of painless breast lump were positively associated with an advanced-stage diagnosis. Policymakers and program designers give great focus to those delays so as to seek and access modern diagnosis and treatment as early as possible specifically focusing on those who are rurally residing.

Assessing the survival time of women with breast cancer in Northwestern Ethiopia: using the Bayesian approach

BACKGROUND

Despite the significant weight of difficulty, Ethiopia's survival rate and mortality predictors have not yet been identified. Finding out what influences outpatient breast cancer patients' survival time was the major goal of this study.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on outpatients with breast cancer. In order to accomplish the goal, 382 outpatients with breast cancer were included in the study using information obtained from the medical records of patients registered at the University of Gondar referral hospital in Gondar, Ethiopia, between May 15, 2016, and May 15, 2020. In order to compare survival functions, Kaplan-Meier plots and the log-rank test were used. The Cox-PH model and Bayesian parametric survival models were then used to examine the survival time of breast cancer outpatients. The use of integrated layered Laplace approximation techniques has been made.

RESULTS

The study included 382 outpatients with breast cancer in total, and 148 (38.7%) patients died. 42 months was the estimated median patient survival time. The Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time model was determined to be suitable using model selection criteria. Stage, grade 2, 3, and 4, co-morbid, histological type, FIGO stage, chemotherapy, metastatic number 1, 2, and >=3, and tumour size all have a sizable impact on the survival time of outpatients with breast cancer, according to the results of this model. The breast cancer outpatient survival time was correctly predicted by the Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time model.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to high- and middle-income countries, the overall survival rate was lower. Notable variables influencing the length of survival following a breast cancer diagnosis were weight loss, invasive medullar histology, comorbid disease, a large tumour size, an increase in metastases, an increase in the International Federation of Gynaecologists and Obstetricians stage, an increase in grade, lymphatic vascular space invasion, positive regional nodes, and late stages of cancer. The authors advise that it is preferable to increase the number of early screening programmes and treatment centres for breast cancer and to work with the public media to raise knowledge of the disease's prevention, screening, and treatment choices.

Building pathology capacity in sub-Saharan Africa to improve breast cancer diagnosis and treatment: training laboratory technicians in high-quality manual immunohistochemistry

BACKGROUND

To address the need for a skilled workforce in breast cancer (BC) pathology in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), we implemented an education program to train laboratory technicians in manual immunohistochemistry (IHC).

METHODS

A quality improvement education project was developed. Interactive webinars were held every six months with didactics and presentations from African experts with experience in IHC. We conducted knowledge assessments and surveys on current practice, equipment, and human resources. A digital mentorship platform (DMP) was created for discussions, sharing SOPs, and networking. For one year (2022-2023), we followed developments in pathology capacity, practice changes, and educational needs. A paired t-test was used to calculate the significance of changes in knowledge immediately after the webinar and comfort level with topics 35 days after the webinar.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty six participants from 10 SSA countries attended the first webinar, a series of six lectures on IHC theory, methods, and practice. Ninety-five participants from nine SSA countries provided a baseline assessment of pathology capacity and feedback. Mean knowledge increased by 17.4% immediately after the webinar (from 41.8% pre-webinar to 59.2% post, p =  < 0.0001). Self-reported comfort level in topics 35 days after the webinar increased by 11.3%, but this was not statistically significant (mean 3.36 pre- to 3.74 post, p = 0.1). Over six months, recordings were accessed 412 times. After six months, the second webinar had 93 participants from eight SSA countries. Membership in the DMP increased from 64 to 172; recordings were viewed 412 times in six months; and 113 participants from nine SSA countries completed surveys. Among 74 respondents who perform IHC, 43.5% reported moderate or significant positive practice changes such as improved antigen retrieval techniques and optimization of preanalytical variables. Over half (52.7%, n = 39) reported the quality of slides had moderately or significantly improved. After one year, a third webinar had 98 participants from eight SSA countries. Thirty-eight completed surveys, DMP membership increased to 199, and 1 reported launching IHC in a lab in Nigeria.

CONCLUSIONS

Our program 1) reached hundreds of participants and provided a baseline assessment of pathology capacity across nine SSA countries; 2) created a novel mechanism to build pathology capacity and assess progress with this cohort; and 3) improved practices and the preparation of slides for over half performing manual IHC. After one year, interest was sustained. Tracking impact on diagnosis and treatment of BC in the region is needed long-term.

Exploring Challenges Related to Breast Cancer to Identify Opportunities for Advocacy in Hawassa City, Southern Ethiopia: A Community-Based, Qualitative Study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to explore breast cancer (BC) challenges to identify opportunities for advocacy in southern Ethiopia in 2022.

METHODS

Twenty-five participants from four local districts (kebeles) in Hawassa City were selected as key contributors to future work. Semistructured in-depth interviews were held for two clinicians, two local health bureau managers, two media managers, and three religious leaders. Two focus group discussions were conducted: one included six BC survivors and a caregiver; the other included two health extension workers, three members of the Women's Development Group, two community volunteers, one kebele leader, and one traditional healer.

RESULTS

To our knowledge, our study was the first time that most participants had assembled. Many referred to patients as victims and BC as a killer disease or curse. Community and religious leaders were concerned about challenges and willing to collaborate. Survivors, providers, and religious leaders were identified as key sources of information, positive messages, and leadership.

CONCLUSION

Recommendations for advocacy work in Hawassa include lobbying for BC as a health priority; including BC within the health extension package; initiating programs for earlier detection; educating the community to remove stigmas of the disease and treatments; working with media to disseminate messages that are inclusive of people in remote areas and speaking different languages; improving availability, affordability, and access to care; and assisting patients with psychosocial support. A strategic collaboration between religious leaders and health care providers was identified to increase community awareness and support advocacy for patients.