High C-Reactive Protein and Low Albumin Levels Predict High 30-Day Mortality in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Endoscopic Gastrotomy

Endoscopic Complications Are More Frequent in Levodopa-Carbidopa Intestinal Gel Treatment via JET-PEG in Parkinson's Disease Patients Compared to Nutritional PEG in Non-Parkinson's Disease Patients

Background: To date, no studies comparing complication rates between patients with nutritional percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (N-PEG) and Parkinson's disease (PD) patients with percutaneous endoscopic gastro-jejunostomy (JET-PEG) for treatment administration have been published. Our study aimed to compare complication rates and the number of re-endoscopies between N-PEG and JET-PEG patients. Methods: Individuals requiring N-PEG or JET-PEG insertion between 2014 and 2021 were included in this single-center retrospective observational study. Complications were divided into time-related medical and technical complications. Reasons for post-insertion re-endoscopies and their number were also analyzed. Results: Eighty-seven subjects, 47 (54.02%) in JET-PEG group and 40 (45.98%) in the N-PEG group, were included. Early and technical complications were more frequent in JET-PEG vs. N-PEG subjects (70% vs. 10% [p < 0.001], and 54.5% vs. 5.1% [p < 0.001], respectively). The presence of psychiatric disease was associated with a higher number of early complications (p < 0.002). All three types of complications were significantly more frequent in subjects where a healthcare professional did not handle PEG (p < 0.001). Subjects with JET-PEG required a higher number of re-endoscopies compared to the N-PEG group (57.1% vs. 35%, p = 0.05). Conclusions: Complications are significantly more common in individuals with JET-PEG than those with N-PEG, which can be attributed to higher mobility in PD patients.

Predictive factors of complications and 30-day mortality in patients undergoing percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy: the utility of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) is a procedure that provides long term enteral nutrition. To investigate the predictors of PEG-related complications and 30-day mortality rates and evaluate the indicators for deciding whether to recommend elective PEG insertions, we sought to determine the complications and early mortality rates of patients who underwent PEG.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive adult patients who had undergone PEG for the first time between October 2016 and January 2019. The predictors of complications and 30-day mortality were analyzed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 309 patients. Patients were excluded from the study if they were < 18 years of age or there were missing data about them. Out of 253 patients, 33 (13%) had complications and 32 (12.6%) died within one month after PEG insertion. A higher C-reactive protein (CRP) to albumin ratio was the only independent factor predicting the complications (odds ratio (OR) : 3.17 ; 95% CI : 1.26-8.00 ; p = 0.014). The independent predictive factors for 30-day mortality after PEG placement included higher urea levels and higher CRP to albumin ratios (OR : 3.78 ; 95% CI : 1.41-10.17 ; p = 0.008) (OR : 6.67 ; 95% CI : 1.87- 23.75 ; p = 0.003). The only predictor for both complications and 30-day mortality was the CRP to albumin ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

When appropriate, the PEG procedure can provide a safe and effective method for enteral feeding. The CRP to albumin ratio can be used to predict complications and early mortality after PEG insertion. Because PEG is elective, higher CRP to albumin ratios can be helpful in deciding to select patients for the procedure.

Factors predicting major complications, mortality, and recovery in percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy

Background and Aim

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) has been used in patients with dysphagia and inadequate food intake via an oral route. Despite being a procedure with a high success rate, complications and death have been reported. The aim was to identify the factors related to major complications and mortality, as well as PEG removal prognostic factors due to improvement of their general condition.

Methods

Patient characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory data, concomitant medication, sedation, and indication for PEG placement were collected. Major complications, mortality, and PEG removal factors were assessed.

Results

A total of 388 patients were enrolled. There were 15 (3.9%) cases of major complications, with major bleeding being the most frequent in 6 (1.5%) patients. Corticosteroids were the independent variable associated with major complications (odds ratio [OR] 5.85; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.71–20; P = <0.01). Advanced cancer (hazard ratio [HR] 0.5; 95% CI 0.3–1; P = 0.05), albumin (HR 0.6; 95% CI 0.4–0.9; P = <0.01), and C‐reactive protein (CRP) (HR 1.1; CI 1–1.2; P = 0.01) were considered risk factors for mortality. Previous pneumonia (HR 0.4; CI 0.2–0.9; P = 0.02) was a factor for permanent use of a PEG; however, oncological indication (HR 8.2; CI 3.2–21; P = <0.01) was factors for PEG withdrawal.

Conclusions

Chronic corticosteroid users potentially present with major complications. Low albumin levels and elevated CRP were associated with death. Previous aspiration pneumonia was a factor associated with permanent use of PEG; however, patients with oncological indication were the most benefited.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Tool for Direct Enteral Tube Insertion After Acute Stroke

Background and Purpose- We aimed to create a novel prognostic risk score to estimate outcomes after direct enteral tube placement in acute stroke. Methods- We used the Ontario Stroke Registry and linked databases to obtain clinical information on all patients with direct enteral tube insertion after ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage from July 1, 2003 to June 30, 2010 (derivation cohort) and July 1, 2010 to March 31, 2013 (validation cohort). We used multivariable regression to assign scores to predictor variables for 3 outcomes after tube placement: favorable outcome (discharge modified Rankin Scale score 0-3 and alive at 90 days), poor outcome (discharge modified Rankin Scale score 5 or death at 90 days), and 30-day mortality. Results- Variables associated with a favorable outcome were younger age, preadmission independence, ischemic stroke rather than intracerebral hemorrhage, lower stroke severity, and a shorter time between stroke and tube placement. Variables associated with a poor outcome were older age, preadmission dependence, atrial fibrillation, greater stroke severity, and tracheostomy. Age, preadmission dependence, atrial fibrillation, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and shorter time to tube placement were associated with increased 30-day mortality. Using these variables, we created an online calculator to facilitate estimation of individual patient risk of favorable and poor outcomes. C-statistic in the validation cohort was 0.82 for favorable outcome, 0.65 for poor outcome, and 0.62 for 30-day mortality, and calibration was adequate. Conclusions- We developed risk scores to estimate outcomes after direct enteral tube insertion for acute dysphagic stroke. This information may be useful in discussions with patients and families when there is prognostic uncertainty surrounding outcomes with direct enteral tube placement after stroke.

Survival Analysis of Enterally Fed Patients: Prognosis and Mortality Risk According to Baseline Characteristics

BACKGROUND

Enteral nutrition is widely used. However, its benefits remain unclear in specific conditions like dementia. This study assesses the survival of enterally fed patients and the baseline characteristics associated with higher mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of biochemical and clinical data from 377 patients (age 77.5 ± 13.8) who received enteral tube feeding (ETF) at a tertiary hospital in Spain was performed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regressions were used to analyze survival expectancy and mortality risk (MR). Risk was evaluated for 30/180 days and up to 5 years.

RESULTS

The most common individual diagnoses leading to ETF prescription were dementia (37.9%) and head/neck/upper-gastrointestinal-tract cancer (17.5%). Comorbidities (high blood pressure [HBP] and/or diabetes) were present in 72.4% of patients. The first 30 days after tube placement showed the highest mortality rate, corresponding to 85.4% of patients that did not continue being tube-fed. Multivariate Cox analysis (P < .05, 95% CI) showed HBP and glycemia to be predictive of overall (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.600; HR = 1.756) and long-term (HR = 3.092; HR = 4.539) death. In the short-term, only glycemia showed an increased MR (HR = 1.572).

CONCLUSION

This enterally fed population showed a noticeably high initial mortality rate. Despite official recommendations against it, ETF is very common in advanced dementia. Baseline characteristics are useful for identifying patients that would be less benefited by the intervention. Accordingly, families should be informed about realistic outcomes and risks derived from this procedure.

Prediction of risk of adverse events related to percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy: a retrospective study

Background:

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) is a popular method for long-term enteral feeding. Our aim was to determine potential risk factors for adverse events related to PEG, as well as consequent prolonged hospitalization.

Methods:

Data were retrospectively collected from the admission records of a tertiary center between July 2015 and June 2018. Possible predictors of the 3 following outcomes were evaluated: minor PEG-related adverse events, major PEG-related adverse events, and length of hospital stay. Data were tested for correlation using the Spearman coefficient and for association using Kruskal-Wallis tests for significance.

Results:

A total of 362 admissions involving 146 patients were included in the study. Of the admissions, 221 (61.0%) had only minor adverse events, 100 (27.6%) had only major adverse events, and 41 (11.3%) had both. Eighty (22.1%) had PEG-site infection and 128 (35%) had aspiration pneumonia. Serum albumin levels at presentation were negatively correlated with the length of hospitalization (P<0.001), which also differed between patients presenting with major and minor adverse events (P<0.001 and P=0.026). The Charlson comorbidity index was positively correlated with the duration of hospitalization (P<0.001). Higher index scores were found more among patients presenting with aspiration pneumonia (P=0.004) and lower scores were found among patients presenting with PEG site infection and inadvertent PEG removal compared with those presenting with a major complication (P<0.001).

Conclusion:

The patient’s general medical condition and nutritional status are the greatest risk predictors for developing adverse events related to their PEG feeding, as well as a consequent extended hospital stay.

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy for enteral nutrition: a 5-year clinical experience with 324 patients

BACKGROUND

Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) is considered the route of choice for long-term enteral nutrition. In this study, we evaluated the short term outcomes of PEG and aimed to identify the risk factors for in-hospital mortality as well as adverse events such as aspiration pneumonia.

METHODS

Three hundred and twenty-four patients who received PEG for enteral nutrition between January 2007 and December 2011 were included in this study. Data regarding baseline characteristics, preoperative biomarkers and clinical outcomes were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

The average patient age was 82.3±10.9 (SD) years old. 149 patients (46%) were men and 199 patients (61%) had stroke as a comorbidity. Postoperatively, feeding-related aspiration pneumonia was observed in 72 patients (22%), diarrhea in 40 patients (12%) and peristomal infection in 34 patients (11%). The average postoperative length of stay was 34.6 days. 51 patients (16%) died before discharge, 22 (6.8%) of them within 30 days after PEG. Two deaths (0.6%) were considered procedure-related (bleeding). Multivariate analysis revealed the male gender, lower serum albumin levels and higher blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels as significant prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality. Higher C-reactive protein levels and BUN levels were found to be independently associated with the occurrence of postoperative aspiration pneumonia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our experience reconfirmed PEG as a minimally invasive and safe procedure for long-term enteral nutrition in patients with impaired oral intake. However, significant prognostic factors should be taken into account during the preoperative evaluation of patients. Deferral of procedure or specialized postoperative care may be indicated in high risk patients.

Statistical medicine: An emerging medical specialty

A large number of statistical tools are now used for medical decision in the core activities of diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. These tools provide undeniable help in improving medical outcomes. Prominent among them are uncertainty measurement by probability, medical indicators and indexes, reference ranges, and scoring systems. In addition are tools such as odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity and predictivities, area under the ROC curve, likelihood ratios, and cost-benefit analysis that are commonly applied in medical research but have implications for day-to-day clinical activities. These tools have so completely integrated into medical practice that statistical medicine by itself can stand alone as a medical specialty. Time has arrived to recognize statistical medicine as a medical specialty.