Age- and sex-specific Canadian utility norms, based on the 2013-2014 Canadian Community Health Survey

Health state utility values in patients with Ankylosing Spondylitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is a chronic condition that requires lifelong treatment and results in a serious disease burden. Health state utility values (HSUVs) are a valuable tool for quantifying this burden and conducting cost-utility analysis.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to obtain estimates of HSUVs in patients with AS, explored potential sources of heterogeneity, and compared pooled patient HSUVs with population norms.

METHOD

We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of science, Cochrane database and Scopus until July, 2023 to obtain eligible studies. The methodological quality of the included studies was assessed using the ROBINS-I checklist.

RESULTS

Forty-two publications involving 11,354 participants were included in this systematic review. The most commonly used instrument is the EQ-5D (38 studies). The estimated HSUVs for patients with AS from all available studies was pooled as 0.62 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.65). The pooled mean utility estimates from the random effects meta-analysis for SF-6D, EQ-5D-3L, EQ-5D-5L, and HUI3 were 0.65 (95% CI 0.62,0.68), 0.63 (95% CI 0.59,0.66), 0.60 (95% CI 0.42,0.79), and 0.48 (95% CI 0.43,0.53), respectively. For the EQ-5D-3L we conducted stratified meta-analyses and meta-regression based on key subgroups. The pooled estimates of EQ-5D-3L were lower for patients published before 2010, with high disease activity, long duration of disease, and in developed countries.

CONCLUSION

Pooled estimates of HSUVs for people with AS were substantially lower than population norms. These estimates provide robust evidence that can inform the economic evaluation of new therapies for individuals with AS.

Health utilities in adults with hemophilia A: A retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Haemophilia A negatively affects a patient's quality of life. There is a limited amount of health utility data (a measure of health-related quality of life) available for patients with haemophilia A. This information is crucial for cost-effectiveness analysis for haemophilia A treatment.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this project is to elicit the health utilities and factors impacting utility values for haemophilia A patients in Canada.

METHODS

This is a population-based, cross-sectional, retrospective study of health utilities in patients with haemophilia A using Patient Report Outcomes Burdens and Experiences (PROBE) components from the Canadian Bleeding Disorders Registry (CBDR). A review of the mean utilities for three severity states, defined by clotting factor VIII level, was completed. A multiple linear regression analysis was completed to examine the determinants of health utilities including age, treatment type, chronic pain status, number of limited joints, and bleed rate.

RESULTS

The average utility values (and standard deviations) for patients with haemophilia A in Canada are .79(.17), .76(.20), and .77(.19) for patients with severe, moderate, and mild haemophilia. The regression showed chronic pain status and the number of additional comorbidities as major significant factors (p-value < .001) in haemophilia A utility. Haemophilia severity was shown to be a major factor with smaller p-value (p-value < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Haemophilia A patients have lower utility than the general population. Chronic pain was shown to be a significant, major factor in health-related quality of life. Our study is essential for valuing health outcomes in haemophilia A-related cost-effectiveness analysis.

Patients with complete clinical response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer: A Markov decision analysis of esophagectomy versus active surveillance

OBJECTIVE

Chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy is a standard treatment option for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer (LAEC). Esophagectomy is a high-risk procedure, and recent evidence suggests select patients may benefit from omitting or delaying surgery. This study aims to compare surgery versus active surveillance for LAEC patients with complete clinical response (cCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHODS

Decision analysis with Markov modeling was used. The base case was a 60-year-old man with T3N0M0 esophageal cancer with cCR after nCRT. The decision was modeled for a 5-year time horizon. Primary outcomes were life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY). Probabilities and utilities were derived through the literature. Deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed using ranges from the literature with consideration for clinical plausibility.

RESULTS

Surgery was favored for survival with an expected life-years of 2.89 versus 2.64. After incorporating quality of life, active surveillance was favored, with an expected QALY of 1.70 versus 1.56. The model was sensitive to probability of recurrence on active surveillance (threshold value 0.598), probability of recurrence being resectable (0.318), and disutility of previous esophagectomy (-0.091). The model was not sensitive to perioperative morbidity and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study finds that surgery increases life expectancy but decreases QALY. Although the incremental change in QALY for either modality is insufficient to make broad clinical recommendations, our study demonstrates that either approach is acceptable. As probabilities of key factors are further defined in the literature, treatment decisions for patients with LAEC and a cCR after nCRT should consider histology, patient values, and quality of life.

Health-related quality of life among adolescents and young adults with mood and anxiety concerns

OBJECTIVES

To characterize health related quality of life (HRQOL) for Canadians aged 16 to 25 (adolescents and young adults, AYAs) seeking care for mood and anxiety concerns at the First Episode Mood and Anxiety Program, in London, Ontario and to identify factors associated with HRQOL in this population.

METHODS

AYAs completed demographic, psychometric, and HRQOL questionnaires. We calculated 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) scores standardized to Canadian and US population norms. We computed Short Form 6 Dimension (SF-6D) utilities conducting multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusting for age, sex, ethnoracial minority status, parental marital/cohabitation status, parental education, the Anxiety Sensitivity Index (ASI-R), Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale Self-Report (MADRS-S), Sheehan Disability Scale (SDS), and a modified Inventory of College Students' Recent Life Experiences (ICSRLE-M).

RESULTS

Amongst 182 AYAs who completed questionnaires, mean physical component summary (PCS), mental component summary (MCS) and SF-6D utility scores were low, 43.8 (SD = 16.6), 19.0 (SD = 11.9) and .576 (SD = .074), respectively. Maternal post-secondary education, depression (MADRS-S) and functional impairment (SDS) were significantly associated with SF-6D utility.

CONCLUSION

This cohort of mental healthcare-seeking AYAs had significantly impaired psychometric and utility-based measures of quality of life, underscoring the importance of timely access to healthcare services for this population.

Toenail Onychomycosis with or without Diabetes in Canada: Patient Treatment Preferences and Health State Utilities

Background

Toenail onychomycosis affects approximately 6.7% of Canadians. Symptoms include nail discolouration/disfiguration and pain; psychosocial impacts contribute to reduced health-related quality-of-life. Comorbid diabetes increases the risk of complications and exacerbates burden. Treatment may include topical therapy and/or oral agents.

Purpose

To understand toenail onychomycosis treatment preferences, and to quantify the impact of toenail onychomycosis, with or without diabetes, on patient well-being.

Methods

Adults living in Canada with self-reported, physician-diagnosed, toenail onychomycosis were recruited online. A discrete choice experiment was used to quantify treatment preferences. Scenarios were randomized; data were analyzed using conditional logit regression. Health state utilities were estimated using the Health Utilities Index Mark 3®. Results were stratified by diabetes status and toenail onychomycosis severity; the Wilcoxon Rank Sum test was used to assess between-group utility differences.

Results

Three-hundred thirteen participants with toenail onychomycosis were included (161 had comorbid diabetes; 61.3%, severe onychomycosis). The mean age was 57.7 years; 55.9% were male. Treatment attributes with statistically significant impacts on patient preferences were efficacy (odds ratio [OR],1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.05 per 1% increased treatment success), administration method (one pill versus topical nail lacquer reference, 1.14; 1.04-1.26; topical solution applicator versus reference: 1.15; 1.03-1.29), severe adverse events (0.85; 0.80-0.90 per 1% increased risk), and risk of potential pharmacodynamic (0.80; 0.76-0.85) and alcohol (0.93; 0.88-0.98) interactions; preferences were more pronounced for efficacy and avoiding severe adverse events among toenail onychomycosis patients with comorbid diabetes. The mean (95% CI) utility value was 0.73 (0.70-0.75) overall, and statistically significantly lower (p=0.02) for toenail onychomycosis patients with diabetes (0.70; CI, 0.66-0.73) than those without (0.76; CI, 0.72-0.79).

Conclusion

Among patients with toenail onychomycosis, the presence of diabetes was associated with differing treatment-related preferences. Utility values for patients with toenail onychomycosis represent a significant decline from full health that is exacerbated by comorbid diabetes.

Quality of life of the Canadian population using the VR-12: population norms for health utility values, summary component scores and domain scores

OBJECTIVES

To estimate Canadian population norms (health utility values, summary component scores and domain scores) for the VR-12.

METHODS

English and French speaking Canadians aged 18 and older completed an online survey that included sociodemographic questions and standardized health status instruments, including the VR-12. Responses to the VR-12 were summarized as: (i) a health utility value; (ii) mental and physical component summary scores (MCS and PCS, respectively), and (iii) eight domain scores. Norms were calculated for the full sample and by gender, age group, and province/territory (univariate), and for several multivariate stratifications (e.g., age group and gender). Results were summarized using descriptive statistics, including number of respondents, mean and standard deviation (SD), median and percentiles (25th and 75th), and minimum and maximum.

RESULTS

A total of 6761 people who clicked on the survey link completed the survey (83.4% completion rate), of whom 6741 (99.7%) were included in the analysis. The mean health utility score was 0.698 (SD = 0.216). Mean health utility scores tended to be higher in older age groups, ranging from 0.661 (SD = 0.214) in those aged 18-29 to 0.728 (SD = 0.310) in those aged 80+. Average MCS scores were higher in older age groups, while PCS scores were lower. Females consistently reported lower mean health utility values, summary component scores and domain scores compared with males.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to present Canadian norms for the VR-12. Health utility norms can serve as a valuable input for Canadian economic models, while summary component and domain norms can help interpret routinely-collected data.

EQ-5D-5L Portuguese population norms

OBJECTIVES

The EQ-5D-5L is a generic preference-based quality-of-life measure for which the corresponding Portuguese population value set was only recently developed. This study sought to establish EQ-5D-5L population norms for Portugal and to identify significant relationships with sociodemographic variables.

METHODS

The research was based on a representative sample of Portugal's general population (n = 1006) aged 18 or older. The sample was stratified by gender, age group, and geographical region. The respondents were interviewed by telephone and asked to value their own state of health using both the EQ-5D-5L description system and the EuroQol-Visual Analogue Scale (EQ VAS).

RESULTS

The estimated mean EQ-5D-5L index for Portugal's general population is 0.887 (standard error [SE] = 0.0051), and the EQ VAS score was estimated as 76.0 (SE = 0.640). One-third of the population reported being in the best health state (11111). Women, individuals 70 years old or more and people with low education or a chronic disease reported a lower EQ-5D-5L index score (p < 0.001). Residents in the Azores and the Algarve reported higher health utility scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The EQ-5D-5L Portuguese population norms obtained can be used as reference scores. These norms are consistent with other countries' population norms. The findings facilitate clinical, economic, and policy decision-making processes and provide a fuller understanding of the Portuguese population's health-related quality of life.

Evaluating the use of fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in the workup of Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia: a cost-utility analysis

OBJECTIVES

The use of positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in the evaluation of patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia can improve the diagnosis of infectious foci and guide clinical management. We aimed to evaluate the cost-utility of PET/CT among adults hospitalized with Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis was conducted from the healthcare payer perspective using a probabilistic Markov cohort model assessing three diagnostic strategies: (a) PET/CT in all patients, (b) PET/CT in high-risk patients only, and (c) routine diagnostic workup. Primary outcomes were quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), costs in Canadian dollars, and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

Routine workup resulted in an average of 16.64 QALYs from the time of diagnosis at a lifetime cost of $209 060/patient. This was dominated by PET/CT in high-risk patients (i.e. greater effectiveness at lower costs) with average 16.88 QALYs at a cost of $199 552. Compared with PET/CT in high-risk patients only, PET/CT for all patients cost on average $11 960 more but resulted in 0.14 more QALYs, giving an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $83 500 (cost per additional QALY gained); however, there was a high degree of uncertainty comparing these two strategies. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000/QALY, PET/CT in high-risk patients was the most cost-effective strategy in 58.6% of simulations vs. 37.9% for PET/CT in all patients.

DISCUSSION

Our findings suggest that a strategy of using PET/CT in high-risk patients is more cost-effective than no PET/CT. Randomized controlled trials should be conducted to evaluate the use of PET/CT in different patient groups.

Carrier Screening Programs for Cystic Fibrosis, Fragile X Syndrome, Hemoglobinopathies and Thalassemia, and Spinal Muscular Atrophy: A Health Technology Assessment

Background

We conducted a health technology assessment to evaluate the safety, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of carrier screening programs for cystic fibrosis (CF), fragile X syndrome (FXS), hemoglobinopathies and thalassemia, and spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) in people who are considering a pregnancy or who are pregnant. We also evaluated the budget impact of publicly funding carrier screening programs, and patient preferences and values.

Methods

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and the Risk of Bias Assessment tool for Non-randomized Studies (RoBANS), and the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria. We performed a systematic economic literature search and conducted cost-effectiveness analyses comparing preconception or prenatal carrier screening programs to no screening. We considered four carrier screening strategies: 1) universal screening with standard panels; 2) universal screening with a hypothetical expanded panel; 3) risk-based screening with standard panels; and 4) risk-based screening with a hypothetical expanded panel. We also estimated the 5-year budget impact of publicly funding preconception or prenatal carrier screening programs for the given conditions in Ontario. To contextualize the potential value of carrier screening, we spoke with 22 people who had sought out carrier screening.

Results

We included 107 studies in the clinical evidence review. Carrier screening for CF, hemoglobinopathies and thalassemia, FXS, and SMA likely results in the identification of couples with an increased chance of having an affected pregnancy (GRADE: Moderate). Screening likely impacts reproductive decision-making (GRADE: Moderate) and may result in lower anxiety among pregnant people, although the evidence is uncertain (GRADE: Very low).We included 21 studies in the economic evidence review, but none of the study findings were directly applicable to the Ontario context. Our cost-effectiveness analyses showed that in the short term, preconception or prenatal carrier screening programs identified more at-risk pregnancies (i.e., couples that tested positive) and provided more reproductive choice options compared with no screening, but were associated with higher costs. While all screening strategies had similar values for health outcomes, when comparing all strategies together, universal screening with standard panels was the most cost-effective strategy for both preconception and prenatal periods. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of universal screening with standard panels compared with no screening in the preconception period were $29,106 per additional at-risk pregnancy detected and $367,731 per affected birth averted; the corresponding ICERs in the prenatal period were about $29,759 per additional at-risk pregnancy detected and $431,807 per affected birth averted.We estimated that publicly funding a universal carrier screening program in the preconception period over the next 5 years would require between $208 million and $491 million. Publicly funding a risk-based screening program in the preconception period over the next 5 years would require between $1.3 million and $2.7 million. Publicly funding a universal carrier screening program in the prenatal period over the next 5 years would require between $128 million and $305 million. Publicly funding a risk-based screening program in the prenatal period over the next 5 years would require between $0.8 million and $1.7 million. Accounting for treatment costs of the screened health conditions resulted in a decrease in the budget impact of universally provided carrier screening programs or cost savings for risk-based programs.Participants value the perceived potential positive impact of carrier screening programs such as medical benefits from early detection and treatment, information for reproductive decision-making, and the social benefit of awareness and preparation. There was a strong preference expressed for thorough, timely, unbiased information to allow for informed reproductive decision-making.

Conclusions

Carrier screening for CF, FXS, hemoglobinopathies and thalassemia, and SMA is effective at identifying at-risk couples, and test results may impact preconception and reproductive decision-making.The cost-effectiveness and budget impact of carrier screening programs are uncertain for Ontario. Over the short term, carrier screening programs are associated with higher costs, and also higher chances of detecting at-risk pregnancies compared with no screening. The 5-year budget impact of publicly funding universal carrier screening programs is larger than that of risk-based programs. However, accounting for treatment costs of the screened health conditions results in a decrease in the total additional costs for universal carrier screening programs or in cost savings for risk-based programs.The people we spoke with who had sought out carrier screening valued the potential medical benefits of early detection and treatment, particularly the support and preparation for having a child with a potential genetic condition.

Indefinite Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Cost-Effectiveness Study

BACKGROUND

Clinical practice guidelines recommend indefinite anticoagulation for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE).

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the benefit-harm tradeoffs of indefinite anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE.

DESIGN

Markov modeling study.

DATA SOURCES

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses for the long-term risks and case-fatality rates of recurrent VTE and major bleeding. Published literature for costs, quality of life, and other clinical events.

TARGET POPULATION

Patients with a first unprovoked VTE who have completed 3 to 6 months of initial anticoagulant treatment.

TIME HORIZON

Lifetime.

PERSPECTIVE

Canadian health care public payer.

INTERVENTION

Indefinite anticoagulation with direct oral anticoagulants.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Recurrent VTE events, major bleeding events, costs in 2022 Canadian dollars (CAD), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs).

RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS

When compared with discontinuing anticoagulation after initial treatment in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 patients aged 55 years, indefinite anticoagulation prevented 368 recurrent VTE events, which included 14 fatal pulmonary emboli, but induced an additional 114 major bleeding events, which included 30 intracranial hemorrhages and 11 deaths from bleeding. Indefinite anticoagulation cost CAD $16 014 more per person and did not increase QALYs (-0.075 per person).

RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Model results were most sensitive to the case-fatality rate of major bleeding and the annual risk for major bleeding during extended anticoagulation.

LIMITATION

The model assumed that risks for recurrent VTE and major bleeding measured in clinical trials at 1 year remained constant during extended anticoagulation.

CONCLUSION

Clinicians should use shared decision making to incorporate individual patient preferences and values when considering treatment duration for unprovoked VTE.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

Factors associated with persistent postsurgical pain after total knee or hip joint replacement: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Studies have identified demographic, clinical, psychosocial, and perioperative variables associated with persistent pain after a variety of surgeries. This study aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of factors associated with persistent pain after total knee replacement (TKR) and total hip replacement (THR) surgeries. To meet the inclusion criteria, studies were required to assess variables before or at the time of surgery, include a persistent postsurgical pain (PPSP) outcome measure at least 2 months after a TKR or THR surgery, and include a statistical analysis of the effect of the risk factor(s) on the outcome measure. Outcomes from studies implementing univariate and multivariable statistical models were analyzed separately. Where possible, data from univariate analyses on the same factors were combined in a meta-analysis. Eighty-one studies involving 171,354 patients were included in the review. Because of the heterogeneity of assessment methods, only 44% of the studies allowed meaningful meta-analysis. In meta-analyses, state anxiety (but not trait anxiety) scores and higher depression scores on the Beck Depression Inventory were associated with an increased risk of PPSP after TKR. In the qualitative summary of multivariable analyses, higher preoperative pain scores were associated with PPSP after TKR or THR. This review systematically assessed factors associated with an increased risk of PPSP after TKR and THR and highlights current knowledge gaps that can be addressed by future research.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Ofatumumab for the Treatment of Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis in Canada

BACKGROUND

Ofatumumab is a high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy (DMT) approved for first-line treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) in Canada.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of ofatumumab from a Canadian healthcare system perspective.

METHODS

A Markov cohort model was run over 65 years using annual cycles, 1.5% annual discount rate, and 100% treatment discontinuation at 10 years. The British Columbia database informed natural history transition probabilities. Treatment efficacy for DMTs were sourced from a network meta-analysis. Clinical trial data were used to estimate probabilities for treatment-related adverse events. Health utilities and costs were obtained from Canadian sources (if available) and the literature.

RESULTS

Among first-line indicated therapies for RRMS, ofatumumab was dominant (more effective, lower costs) over teriflunomide, interferons, dimethyl fumarate, and ocrelizumab. Compared with glatiramer acetate and best supportive care, ofatumumab resulted in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of $24,189 Canadian dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) and $28,014/QALY, respectively. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY, ofatumumab had a 64.3% probability of being cost effective. Among second-line therapies (scenario analysis), ofatumumab dominated natalizumab and fingolimod and resulted in an ICER of $50,969 versus cladribine.

CONCLUSIONS

Ofatumumab is cost effective against all comparators and dominant against all currently approved and reimbursed first-line DMTs for RRMS, except glatiramer acetate.

Cost-Effectiveness of Polygenic Risk Scores to Guide Statin Therapy for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are leading causes of death despite effective therapies and result in unnecessary morbidity and mortality throughout the world. We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of polygenic risk scores (PRS) to guide statin therapy for Canadians with intermediate CVD risk and model its economic outlook.

METHODS

This cost-utility analysis was conducted using UK Biobank prospective cohort study participants, with recruitment from 2006 to 2010, and at least 10 years of follow-up. We included nonrelated white British-descent participants (n=96 116) at intermediate CVD risk with no prior lipid lowering medication or statin-indicated conditions. A coronary artery disease PRS was used to inform decision to use statins. The effects of statin therapy with and without PRS, as well as CVD events were modelled to determine the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio from a Canadian public health care perspective. We discounted future costs and quality-adjusted life-years by 1.5% annually.

RESULTS

The optimal economic strategy was when intermediate risk individuals with a PRS in the top 70% are eligible for statins while the lowest 1% are excluded. Base-case analysis at a genotyping cost of $70 produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $172 906 (143 685 USD) per quality-adjusted life-year. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the intervention has approximately a 50% probability of being cost-effective at $179 100 (148 749 USD) per quality-adjusted life-year. At a $0 genotyping cost, representing individuals with existing genotyping information, PRS-guided strategies dominated standard care when 12% of the lowest PRS individuals were withheld from statins. With improved PRS predictive performance and lower genotyping costs, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio demonstrates possible cost-effectiveness under thresholds of $150 000 and possibly $50 000 per quality-adjusted life-year.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that using PRS alongside existing guidelines might be cost-effective for CVD. Stronger predictiveness combined with decreased cost of PRS could further improve cost-effectiveness, providing an economic basis for its inclusion into clinical care.

Genetic Testing for Familial Hypercholesterolemia: Health Technology Assessment

BACKGROUND

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is an inherited disorder characterized by abnormally elevated low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol serum levels from birth, which increases the risk of premature atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Genetic testing is a type of a medical test that looks for changes in genes or chromosome structure to discover genetic differences, anomalies, or mutations that may prove pathological. It is regarded as the gold standard for screening and diagnosing FH. We conducted a health technology assessment on genetic testing for people with FH and their relatives (i.e., cascade screening). The assessment included an evaluation of clinical utility (the ability of a test to improve health outcomes), the diagnostic yield (ability of a test to identify people with FH), cost-effectiveness, the budget impact of publicly funding genetic testing for FH, and patient preferences and values.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. For evaluation of clinical utility, we assessed the risk of bias of each included study using the ROBINS-I tool and the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria.We performed a systematic economic literature search and conducted a cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis with a lifetime horizon from a public payer perspective. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of using genetic testing both for confirming a FH clinical diagnosis and for cascade screening in relatives of genetically confirmed cases. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of cascade screening strategies with genetic testing, sequential testing, and lipid testing approaches. We also analyzed the budget impact of publicly funding genetic testing in Ontario.

RESULTS

We included 11 studies in the clinical evidence review. Overall, our review found that genetic testing to diagnose FH improves several health outcomes (GRADE: Moderate) compared with clinical evaluation without a genetic test. We also found that genetic cascade screening leads to a high diagnostic yield of FH.According to our primary economic evaluation, genetic testing is a dominant strategy (more effective and less costly) compared with no genetic testing for individuals with a FH clinical diagnosis. It reduced the number of FH diagnoses, led to fewer cardiovascular events, and improved QALYs. For first-degree relatives of genetically confirmed cases, all cascade screening strategies (genetic testing, sequential testing, and lipid testing) were cost-effective when compared with no cascade screening in a pairwise fashion. The ICERs of cascade screening with genetic, sequential, and lipid testing compared with no cascade screening were $58,390, $50,220, and $45,754 per QALY gained, respectively. When comparing all screening strategies together, cascade screening with lipid testing was the most cost-effective strategy. At commonly used willingness-to-pay values of $50,000 and $100,000 per QALY gained, the probability of lipid cascade screening being cost-effective was 53.5% and 71.5%, respectively.The annual budget impact of publicly funding genetic testing for individuals with a clinical FH diagnosis in Ontario ranged from a cost saving of $2 million in year 1 to $64 million in year 5, for a total of $141 million saved over the next 5 years, assuming the cost of genetic testing remains at $490 per person. If only testing-related costs were considered, the budget impact was estimated to be an additional cost of $7 million in year 1, increasing to $20 million in year 5, for a total cost of $64 million over the next 5 years. For relatives of genetically confirmed cases, publicly funding genetic cascade screening would lead to an additional cost of $5 million in year 1, increasing to $27 million in year 5, for a total cost of $73 million over the next 5 years. If only testing-related costs were considered, the budget impact was estimated to be an additional of $66 million.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic testing for FH has a higher clinical utility than clinical evaluation without a genetic test. It also results in a high diagnostic yield of FH through cascade screening. For individuals with a clinical diagnosis of FH, genetic testing would be a cost-saving and more effective diagnostic strategy. For relatives of index cases confirmed through genetic testing, genetic and lipid cascade screening are both cost-effective compared with no screening, but genetic cascade screening is less cost-effective than lipid cascade screening. We estimated that publicly funding genetic testing for individuals with a clinical diagnosis of FH in Ontario would save $141 million, and publicly funding genetic testing in a cascade screening program for relatives would cost an additional $73 million over the next five years.Most people with a positive genetic test perceived the screening, diagnosis, and treatment for FH more positively. The discovery of the condition can lead people to adhere to relevant treatments in an effort to control their cholesterol levels. People we spoke with felt that greater awareness and education would allow for more efficient uptake of cascade screening.

Health State Utility Values in People With Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background Health state utility values are commonly used to provide summary measures of health-related quality of life in studies of stroke. Contemporaneous summaries are needed as a benchmark to contextualize future observational studies and inform the effectiveness of interventions aimed at improving post-stroke quality of life. Methods and Results We conducted a systematic search of the literature using Medline, EMBASE, and Web of Science from January 1995 until October 2020 using search terms for stroke, health-related quality of life, and indirect health utility metrics. We calculated pooled estimates of health utility values for EQ-5D-3L, EQ-5D-5L, AQoL, HUI2, HUI3, 15D, and SF-6D using random effects models. For the EQ-5D-3L we conducted stratified meta-analyses and meta-regression by key subgroups. We screened 14 251 abstracts and 111 studies met our inclusion criteria (sample size range 11 to 12 447). EQ-5D-3L was reported in 78% of studies (study n=87; patient n=56 976). The pooled estimate for EQ-5D-3L at ≥3 months following stroke was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.63-0.67), which was ≈20% below population norms. There was high heterogeneity (I2>90%) between studies, and estimates differed by study size, case definition of stroke, and country of study. Women, older individuals, those with hemorrhagic stroke, and patients prior to discharge had lower pooled EQ-5D-3L estimates. Conclusions Pooled estimates of health utility for stroke survivors were substantially below population averages. We provide reference values for health utility in stroke to support future clinical and economic studies and identify subgroups with lower healthy utility. Registration URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/. Unique Identifier: CRD42020215942.

Quebec Health-related Quality of Life Population Norms in Adults Using the SF-6Dv2: Decomposition by Sociodemographic Data and Health Problems

OBJECTIVE

The Short-Form 6-Dimension version 2 (SF-6Dv2) is the newest version of the Short-Form 6-Dimension (SF-6D) that is widely used to calculate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The aim of this study was to produce Quebec population norms from the SF-6Dv2.

METHODS

An online survey was conducted in the adult general population. Data was stratified by various sociodemographic characteristics, such as age, sex, body mass index, history of illness, and health problems.

RESULTS

A total of 4175 respondents completed the SF-6Dv2. Mean (95% confidence interval) and median (interquartile range) utility scores were 0.692 (0.684-0.700) and 0.780 (0.607-0.866), respectively. Floor and ceiling effect corresponded to 0.05% and 3.1%, respectively. Men, nonsmoker, higher education, and employed people had significantly higher scores, while lower scores were found for those with a history of illness and a lower life satisfaction. Those reporting a health problem presented significant lower mean utility scores ranging from 0.340 (nervous problem) to 0.623 (diabetes) for men and from 0.207 (genitourinary) to 0.578 (diabetes) for women as compared with those without health problem (0.793 for men and 0.750 for women).

CONCLUSION

This study is the first to provide utility score norms for SF-6Dv2 in the adult general population of Quebec. It also highlighted significant differences among various health problems that can be used to compare populations in studies that do not have a control group.

Cost-effectiveness of romosozumab for the treatment of postmenopausal women at very high risk of fracture in Canada

This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of 1 year of romosozumab followed by alendronate versus oral bisphosphonates alone in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis at very high risk for fracture in Canada. Results showed that romosozumab sequenced to alendronate is a cost-effective treatment option, dominating both alendronate and risedronate alone.

PURPOSE

To demonstrate the value of romosozumab sequenced to alendronate compared to alendronate or risedronate alone, for the treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women with a history of osteoporotic fracture and who are at very high risk for future fracture in Canada.

METHODS

A Markov model followed a hypothetical cohort of postmenopausal osteoporotic women at very high risk for future fractures, to estimate the cost-effectiveness of romosozumab and alendronate compared to oral bisphosphonates alone. A total treatment period of 5 years was assumed. Quality-adjusted life years and costs were estimated for each comparator across health states defined by different types of fragility fractures.

RESULTS

Romosozumab/alendronate was associated with a lifetime gain of 0.103 and 0.127 QALYs and a cost reduction of $343 and $3805, relative to alendronate and risedronate, respectively. These results were driven by a reduction of the number of fractures (2561 per 1000 patients, versus 2700 for alendronate and 2724 for risedronate over lifetime). Romosozumab/alendronate had the highest probability of being cost-effective, relative to alendronate and risedronate, at any willingness to pay threshold value.

CONCLUSION

Romosozumab/alendronate was associated with reduced costs and greater benefit relative to other comparators. Probabilistic, deterministic, and scenario analyses indicate that romosozumab/alendronate represents the best value for money; the uncertainty analyses are robust, and therefore romosozumab should be considered for reimbursement by public drug plans in Canada .

The OncoSim-Breast Cancer Microsimulation Model

Background: OncoSim-Breast is a Canadian breast cancer simulation model to evaluate breast cancer interventions. This paper aims to describe the OncoSim-Breast model and how well it reproduces observed breast cancer trends. Methods: The OncoSim-Breast model simulates the onset, growth, and spread of invasive and ductal carcinoma in situ tumours. It combines Canadian cancer incidence, mortality, screening program, and cost data to project population-level outcomes. Users can change the model input to answer specific questions. Here, we compared its projections with observed data. First, we compared the model’s projected breast cancer trends with the observed data in the Canadian Cancer Registry and from Vital Statistics. Next, we replicated a screening trial to compare the model’s projections with the trial’s observed screening effects. Results: OncoSim-Breast’s projected incidence, mortality, and stage distribution of breast cancer were close to the observed data in the Canadian Cancer Registry and from Vital Statistics. OncoSim-Breast also reproduced the breast cancer screening effects observed in the UK Age trial. Conclusions: OncoSim-Breast’s ability to reproduce the observed population-level breast cancer trends and the screening effects in a randomized trial increases the confidence of using its results to inform policy decisions related to early detection of breast cancer.

Molecular Testing for Thyroid Nodules of Indeterminate Cytology: A Health Technology Assessment

Background

The thyroid is a gland in the lower neck that is responsible for secreting hormones related to growth and metabolism. A cancer growth in the thyroid can spread to other parts of the body, but most thyroid nodules (growths) are benign, and some types of thyroid cancer are nonaggressive and can be managed with active surveillance only. We conducted a health technology assessment of molecular testing in people with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology, which included an evaluation of diagnostic accuracy, clinical utility, cost-effectiveness, the budget impact of publicly funding molecular testing, and patient preferences and values.

Methods

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using the Risk of Bias Among Systematic Review (ROBIS) tool for systematic reviews, the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) assessment for primary studies that evaluated diagnostic accuracy, and the Risk of Bias tool for Non-randomized Studies (RoBANS) for primary studies that evaluated clinical utility. We evaluated the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria. We performed a systematic economic literature review and conducted cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analyses with a 5-year time horizon from the Ontario Ministry of Health perspective. We also analyzed the budget impact of publicly funding molecular testing in people with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology in Ontario. To contextualize the potential value of molecular testing in people with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology, we spoke to people with thyroid nodules.

Results

In the clinical evidence review, we included one systematic review, which contained eight relevant primary studies. Using molecular testing to support the rule-out of cancer in thyroid nodules of indeterminate significance may reduce the number of unnecessary surgeries. For diagnostic accuracy, molecular testing for a diagnosis of malignancy in a nodule of indeterminate significance had a sensitivity of 91% to 94% and a specificity of 68% to 82% (GRADE: Low). As well, lower rates of surgical resections were reported in nodules of indeterminate cytology (GRADE: Very Low). Compared to diagnostic lobectomy, we found that molecular testing would increase the probability of predicting a correct diagnosis, reduce the probability of unnecessary surgery, and lead to a slight improvement in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), but it would increase costs. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $220,572 to $298,653 per QALY gained. At the commonly used willingness-to-pay values of $50,000 and $100,000 per QALY gained, molecular testing was unlikely to be cost-effective (probability of molecular testing being cost-effective was less than 50%). Publicly funding molecular testing in Ontario over the next 5 years would lead to an additional cost of $6.24 million. People with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology reported on the benefits and drawbacks of molecular testing, as well as barriers to accessing and choosing to undergo molecular testing.

Conclusions

For thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology, molecular testing may have diagnostic accuracy as a rule-out test, and it may result in fewer nodule resections than usual care (no molecular testing). For people with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology, molecular testing at the current list price is unlikely to be cost-effective compared to diagnostic lobectomy. Publicly funding molecular testing in Ontario would cost about $6.24 million over the next 5 years. People with thyroid nodules of indeterminate cytology valued the information that could be provided by molecular testing, but they expressed concern about the time required to obtain results, especially if the findings were not conclusive or useful for treatment decision-making.

Regional cost effectiveness analyses for increasing radon protection strategies in housing in Canada

The incremental cost effectiveness ratios for implementing a recent recommendation to install a more radon resistant foundation barrier were modelled for new and existing housing in 2016, for each province and territory in Canada. Cost-utility analyses were conducted, in which the health benefit of an intervention was quantified in quality-adjusted life years, to help guide policymakers considering increasing investment in radon reduction in housing to reduce the associated lung cancer burden shouldered by the health care system. Lung cancer morbidity was modelled using a lifetable analysis that incorporated lung cancer incidence and survival time for localized, regional, and distant stages of diagnoses for both non-small cell and small cell lung cancer. The model accounted for surgical or advanced lung cancer treatment costs avoided, and average health care costs incurred for radon-attributable lung cancer cases prevented by the intervention. The incremental implementation of radon interventions in the housing stock was modelled over a lifetime horizon, and a discount rate of 1.5% was adopted. This radon intervention in new housing was cost effective in all but one region, ranging from $18,075/QALY (15,704; 20,178) for the Yukon to $58,454/QALY (52,045; 65,795) for British Columbia. A sequential analysis was conducted to compare intervention in existing housing for mitigation thresholds of 200 and 100 Bq/m³. This intervention in existing housing was cost effective at a mitigation threshold of 200 Bq/m³ in regions with higher radon levels, ranging from $33,247/QALY (27,699; 39,377) for the Yukon to $61,960/QALY (46,932; 113,737) for Newfoundland, and more cost effective at a threshold of 200 than 100 Bq/m³. More lung cancer deaths can be prevented by intervention in new housing than in existing housing; it was estimated that the proposed intervention in new housing would prevent a mean of 446 (416; 477) lung cancer cases annually. The cost effectiveness of increased radon resistance in foundation barriers in housing varied widely, and would support adopting this intervention in new housing across Canada and in existing housing in higher radon regions. This study provides further evidence that the most cost effective way of responding to the geographically variable radon burden is by implementing specific regional radon reduction policies.

Estimating the population health burden of Lyme disease in Ontario, Canada: a microsimulation modelling approach

BACKGROUND

If untreated, Lyme disease can lead to long-term sequelae and post-treatment Lyme disease syndrome (PTLDS), resulting in reduced health-related quality of life. The objective of this study was to develop a microsimulation model to estimate the population-level health burden of Lyme disease in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

We developed a Lyme disease history model using microsimulation, simulating 100 000 people (mean age 37.6 yr, 51% female) from 2017 in Ontario over a lifetime risk of infection and time horizon. We extracted the sensitivity and specificity of the 2-tier testing recommended by the Canadian Public Health Laboratory Network, probabilities and health state utility values from the published literature and health administrative data. Our reported outcomes from our stochastic analysis include diagnosed cases of Lyme disease (stratified by stage), undiagnosed infections, sequelae, individuals with PTLDS and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) lost.

RESULTS

Our model estimated 333 (95% confidence interval [CI] 329-337) infections over the lifetime of 100 000 simulated people (mean age 37.6 yr, 51% female), with 92% (95% CI 91%-93%) of infections diagnosed. Of those 308 people with Lyme Disease diagnoses, 67 (95% CI 65-69) developed sequelae (e.g., arthritic, cardiac, neurologic sequelae), and 34 (95% CI 33-35) developed PTLDS. Lyme disease resulted in a loss of 84.5 QALYs (95% CI 82.9-86.2) over the lifetime of the simulated cohort. Sensitivity and scenario analysis showed that increasing incidence rates of Lyme disease, potential underreporting, duration of PTLDS and quality of life (health state utility) associated with PTLDS had the greatest impact on health burden.

INTERPRETATION

Lyme disease contributes considerable health burden in terms of QALYs lost. Our analysis provides evidence to understand the disease burden and lays the foundation to assess the cost-effectiveness of pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions.

Cost Effectiveness of Ribociclib in Combination with Fulvestrant for the Treatment of Postmenopausal Women with HR+/HER2- Advanced Breast Cancer Who Have Received No or Only One Prior Line of Endocrine Therapy: A Canadian Healthcare Perspective

BACKGROUND

The MONALEESA-3 trial demonstrated the efficacy and safety of ribociclib plus fulvestrant versus placebo plus fulvestrant for patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC). This analysis evaluated the cost effectiveness of ribociclib plus fulvestrant versus fulvestrant in patients with HR+/HER2- ABC from a Canadian healthcare payer perspective.

METHODS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), expressed as incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for ribociclib plus fulvestrant versus fulvestrant, was estimated using a semi-Markov cohort model developed in Microsoft Excel, with states for progression-free, post-progression, and dead. A 15-year time horizon was used. Survival distributions for progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS), and time to discontinuation (TTD) were based on parametric survival distributions fit to data from MONALEESA-3. Health-state utilities were estimated using EQ-5D index values collected in MONALEESA-3. Direct costs of ABC treatment (medication and administration costs, follow-up and monitoring, adverse events, subsequent treatments) were based on Canadian-specific values from published sources. Costs (2019 CAN$) and QALYs were discounted at 1.5% annually.

RESULTS

In the base case, ribociclib plus fulvestrant was estimated to result in gains of 1.19 life-years and 0.96 QALYs versus fulvestrant, at an incremental cost of $151,371. The ICER of ribociclib plus fulvestrant versus fulvestrant was $157,343 per QALY gained based on the mean of probabilistic analyses. Results were sensitive to parametric distributions used for projecting long-term TTD, PFS, and PPS.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with HR+/HER2- ABC, ribociclib plus fulvestrant is projected to result in substantial gains in QALYs compared with fulvestrant. At its current list price, ribociclib used in combination with fulvestrant is likely to be cost effective in these patients at a threshold ICER of $157,343. These results may be useful in deliberations regarding reimbursement and access to this treatment.

Japanese Population Norms of EQ-5D-5L and Health Utilities Index Mark 3: Disutility Catalog by Disease and Symptom in Community Settings

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to establish the Japanese population norms of the EQ-5D-5L and Health Utilities Index Mark 3 (HUI3) and estimate the disutility associated with diseases and symptoms.

METHODS

We performed a door-to-door survey of the general population by random sampling. The planned sample size was 10 000 residents (age ≥16 years) of 334 districts in Japan. In addition to the EQ-5D-5L and HUI3 questionnaires, questions regarding demographic factors and self-reported main diseases and symptoms were asked. The EQ-5D-5L and HUI3 responses were converted to index values on the basis of Japanese value sets. Summary values by age and sex were calculated to obtain Japanese normative values. A multiple linear model was used to examine relationships between these values and diseases and symptoms.

RESULTS

We collected 10 183 responses from 334 districts. The mean EQ-5D-5L index values were 0.821 (male) and 0.774 (female) in the age group of 80 to 89 years, which were lower compared with 0.978 (male) and 0.967 (female) in the age group of 16 to 19 years. Similar trends were observed for the HUI3 values. Age, sex, household income, and education level had a significant influence on the values of both instruments. When measured with the EQ-5D-5L, Parkinson disease, dementia, and stroke were associated with the largest disutility (>0.2), and the disutility for depression was approximately 0.18. In contrast, the HUI3 disutility values for Parkinson disease and dementia were approximately 0.4.

CONCLUSIONS

This study established the Japanese population norms of the EQ-5D-5L and HUI3, which can be used in healthcare decision making and contribute to a more reliable analysis of economic evaluations.

Cost-Utility Analysis of the Ontario Fracture Screening and Prevention Program

BACKGROUND

The Fracture Screening and Prevention Program (FSPP), a fracture liaison service (FLS), was implemented in the province of Ontario, Canada, in 2007 to prevent recurrent fragility fractures and to improve post-fracture care. The objective of this analysis was to determine the cost-effectiveness of the current model of the FSPP compared with usual care (no program) from the perspective of the universal public health-care payer (Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care [MOHLTC]), over the lifetime of older adults who presented with a fragility fracture of the proximal part of the femur, the proximal part of the humerus, or the distal part of the radius and were not taking medications to prevent or slow bone loss and reduce the risk of fracture (bone active medications).

METHODS

We developed a state-transition (Markov) model to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of the FSPP in comparison with usual care. The model simulated a cohort of patients with a fragility fracture starting at 71 years of age. Model parameters were obtained from published literature and from the FSPP. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs in 2018 Canadian dollars were predicted over a lifetime horizon using a 1.5% annual discount rate. Health outcomes included subsequent proximal femoral, vertebral, proximal humeral, and distal radial fractures. Scenario and subgroup analyses were reported.

RESULTS

The FSPP had lower expected costs ($277 less) and higher expected effectiveness (by 0.018 QALY) than usual care over the lifetime horizon. Ninety-four percent of the 10,000 Monte Carlo simulated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) demonstrated lower costs and higher effectiveness of the FSPP.

CONCLUSIONS

The FSPP appears to be cost-effective compared with usual care over a lifetime for patients with fragility fracture. This information may help to quantify the value of the FSPP and to assist policy-makers in deciding whether to expand the FSPP to additional hospitals or to initiate similar programs where none exist.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Economic and Decision Analysis Level II. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Cost Effectiveness of Ribociclib Plus a Nonsteroidal Aromatase Inhibitor in Pre-/Perimenopausal, HR+ and HER2- Advanced Breast Cancer: A Canadian Healthcare Perspective

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The MONALEESA-7 trial demonstrated the efficacy and safety of ribociclib plus a nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) [with goserelin] for pre-/perimenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer. This analysis evaluated the cost effectiveness of ribociclib plus NSAI vs NSAI monotherapy and tamoxifen monotherapy from the perspective of the Canadian healthcare system.

METHODS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio expressed as incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for ribociclib plus an NSAI vs an NSAI and vs tamoxifen was estimated using a semi-Markov cohort model developed in Microsoft Excel with a 15-year time horizon and states for progression-free survival, post-progression survival, and dead. Survival distributions for progression-free survival, post-progression survival, and time to discontinuation as well as health-state utilities were estimated using data from MONALEESA-7. Direct costs of advanced breast cancer treatment were based on Canadian-specific values from published sources. Costs ($CAN 2019) and QALYs were discounted at 1.5% annually.

RESULTS

Ribociclib plus an NSAI was estimated to yield gains of 1.42 life-years and 1.17 QALYs vs an NSAI, and 2.61 life-years and 2.12 QALYs vs tamoxifen, at incremental costs of $209,701 and $220,836, respectively. In probabilistic analyses, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for ribociclib plus an NSAI was estimated to be $178,872 per QALY gained vs an NSAI and $104,400 per QALY gained vs tamoxifen. Results of deterministic analyses were similar (incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $177,245 and $103,316 vs NSAI and tamoxifen, respectively). Results were sensitive to parametric distributions used for projecting progression-free survival and the time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

At its current list price, ribociclib used in combination with NSAI is likely to be co-effective relative to an NSAI alone or tamoxifen alone if the willingness-to-pay threshold is less than approximately $178,000 per QALY. These results have informed deliberations regarding reimbursement and access to this treatment in Canada and may be useful for decision makers in other settings.

Cost Effectiveness of Case Detection Strategies for the Early Detection of COPD

OBJECTIVES

The value of early detection and treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is currently unknown. We assessed the cost effectiveness of primary care-based case detection strategies for COPD.

METHODS

A previously validated discrete event simulation model of the general population of COPD patients in Canada was used to assess the cost effectiveness of 16 case detection strategies. In these strategies, eligible patients (based on age, smoking history, or symptoms) received the COPD Diagnostic Questionnaire (CDQ) or screening spirometry, at 3- or 5-year intervals, during routine visits to a primary care physician. Newly diagnosed patients received treatment for smoking cessation and guideline-based inhaler pharmacotherapy. Analyses were conducted over a 20-year time horizon from the healthcare payer perspective. Costs are in 2019 Canadian dollars ($). Key treatment parameters were varied in one-way sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Compared to no case detection, all 16 case detection scenarios had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) below $50,000/QALY gained. In the most efficient scenario, all patients aged ≥ 40 years received the CDQ at 3-year intervals. This scenario was associated with an incremental cost of $287 and incremental effectiveness of 0.015 QALYs per eligible patient over the 20-year time horizon, resulting in an ICER of $19,632/QALY compared to no case detection. Results were most sensitive to the impact of treatment on the symptoms of newly diagnosed patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary care-based case detection programs for COPD are likely to be cost effective if there is adherence to best-practice recommendations for treatment, which can alleviate symptoms in newly diagnosed patients.

Women's Views on Multifactorial Breast Cancer Risk Assessment and Risk-Stratified Screening: A Population-Based Survey from Four Provinces in Canada

Risk-stratified screening for breast cancer (BC) is increasingly considered as a promising approach. However, its implementation is challenging and needs to be acceptable to women. We examined Canadian women’s attitudes towards, comfort level about, and willingness to take part in BC risk-stratified screening. We conducted an online survey in women aged 30 to 69 years in four Canadian provinces. In total, 4293 women completed the questionnaire (response rate of 63%). The majority of women (63.5% to 72.8%) expressed favorable attitudes towards BC risk-stratified screening. Most women reported that they would be comfortable providing personal and genetic information for BC risk assessment (61.5% to 67.4%) and showed a willingness to have their BC risk assessed if offered (74.8%). Most women (85.9%) would also accept an increase in screening frequency if they were at higher risk, but fewer (49.3%) would accept a reduction in screening frequency if they were at lower risk. There were few differences by province; however, outcomes varied by age, education level, marital status, income, perceived risk, history of BC, prior mammography, and history of genetic test for BC (all p ≤ 0.01). Risk-based BC screening using multifactorial risk assessment appears to be acceptable to most women. This suggests that the implementation of this approach is likely to be well-supported by Canadian women.

Economic evaluation of adjuvant trastuzumab emtansine in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer and residual invasive disease after neoadjuvant taxane and trastuzumab-based treatment in Canada

Background

In the katherine trial, adjuvant trastuzumab emtansine [T-DM1, Kadcyla (Genentech, South San Francisco, CA, U.S.A.)], compared with trastuzumab, significantly reduced the risk of recurrence or death by 50% (unstratified hazard ratio: 0.50; 95% confidence interval: 0.39 to 0.64; p < 0.0001) in patients with her2-positive early breast cancer (ebc) and residual invasive disease after neoadjuvant systemic treatment. A cost-utility evaluation, with probabilistic analyses, was conducted to examine the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (qaly) gained associated with T-DM1 relative to trastuzumab, given the higher per-cycle cost of T-DM1.

Methods

A Markov model comprising a number of health states was used to examine clinical and economic outcomes over a lifetime horizon from the Canadian public payer perspective. Patients entered the model in the invasive disease-free survival (idfs) state, where they received either T-DM1 or trastuzumab. Transition probabilities between the health states were derived from the katherine trial, Canadian life tables, and published literature from other relevant clinical trials (emilia, cleopatra, and M77001). Resource use, costs, and utilities were derived from katherine, other clinical trials, published literature, provincial fee schedules, and clinical expert opinion. Sensitivity analyses were conducted for key assumptions and model parameters.

Results

Compared with trastuzumab, adjuvant T-DM1 was associated with a cost savings of $8,300 per patient and a 2.16 incremental qaly gain; thus T-DM1 dominated trastuzumab. Scenario analyses yielded similar results, with T-DM1 dominating trastuzumab or producing highly favourable incremental cost-utility ratios of less than $10,000 per qaly.

Conclusions

Adjuvant T-DM1 monotherapy is a cost-effective strategy compared with trastuzumab alone in the treatment of patients with her2-positive ebc and residual invasive disease after neoadjuvant systemic treatment.

Levofloxacin prophylaxis in hospitalized children with leukemia: A cost-utility analysis

BACKGROUND

Infections are common and are a major cause of morbidity and mortality during treatment of childhood leukemia. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of levofloxacin antibiotic prophylaxis, compared to no prophylaxis, in children receiving chemotherapy for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or relapsed acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL).

PROCEDURES

A cost-utility analysis was conducted from the perspective of the single-payer health care system using a lifetime horizon. A comprehensive literature review identified available evidence for effectiveness, safety, costs of antibiotic prophylaxis in children with leukemia, and health utilities associated with the relevant health states. The effects of levofloxacin prophylaxis on health outcomes, quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), and direct health costs were derived from a combined decision tree and state-transition model. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the sensitivity of results to parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

The literature review revealed one randomized controlled trial on levofloxacin prophylaxis in childhood AML and relapsed ALL, by Alexander et al, that showed a significant reduction in rates of fever and neutropenia (71.2% vs 82.1%) and bacteremia (21.9% vs 43.4%) with levofloxacin compared to no prophylaxis. In our cost-utility analysis, levofloxacin prophylaxis was dominant over no prophylaxis, resulting in cost savings of $542.44 and increased survival of 0.13 QALY. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, levofloxacin prophylaxis was dominant in 98.8% of iterations.

CONCLUSIONS

The present analysis suggests that levofloxacin prophylaxis, compared to no prophylaxis, is cost saving in children receiving intensive chemotherapy for AML or relapsed ALL.

Should Oral Corticosteroids be Used in Medical Therapy for Chronic Rhinosinusitis? A Risk Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Oral corticosteroid (OCS) as a part of appropriate medical therapy (AMT) (formerly maximal medical therapy) in chronic rhinosinusitis remains controversial. While the risks of OCS are well known, the benefit remains unclear due the absence of a standardized prescribing regimen. Consequently, it is difficult to characterize whether the risks of OCS and its ability to avert endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS) are helpful in AMT. When OCS is highly effective at averting surgery, the lesser risks of OCS would be justified because it can avoid the greater risks of ESS. When OCS is poorly effective at averting ESS, the risks of OCS would not be justified because many patients will be exposed to both risks. This study seeks to identify the threshold effectiveness of OCS at averting ESS that would minimize risk exposure to patients.

METHODS

A probabilistic risks-based decision analysis was constructed from literature reported incidences and impacts of adverse events of OCS and ESS. Monte Carlo analysis was performed to identify the minimum effectiveness required to avoid further intervention (MERAFI) for chronic sinusitis without nasal polyp (CRSsNP) and chronic sinusitis with nasal polyp (CRSwNP).

RESULTS

The analysis showed MERAFI results of 20.8% (95% CI 20.7-20.9%) for CRSsNP and 16.8% (95% CI 16.7-16.9%) for CRSwNP.

CONCLUSIONS

Given reported OCS effectiveness in the range of 34-71% in CRSsNP and 46-63% in CRSwNP, this analysis suggests that the inclusion of OCS in AMT may be the lower risk strategy.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

N/A Laryngoscope, 131:473-481, 2021.

Clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of integrating smoking cessation into lung cancer screening: a microsimulation model

BACKGROUND

Low-dose computed tomography (CT) screening can reduce lung cancer mortality in people at high risk; adding a smoking cessation intervention to screening could further improve screening program outcomes. This study aimed to assess the impact of adding a smoking cessation intervention to lung cancer screening on clinical outcomes, costs and cost-effectiveness.

METHODS

Using the OncoSim-Lung mathematical microsimulation model, we compared the projected lifetime impact of a smoking cessation intervention (nicotine replacement therapy, varenicline and 12 wk of counselling) in the context of annual low-dose CT screening for lung cancer in people at high risk to lung cancer screening without a cessation intervention in Canada. The simulated population consisted of Canadians born in 1940-1974; lung cancer screening was offered to eligible people in 2020. In the base-case scenario, we assumed that the intervention would be offered to smokers up to 10 times; each intervention would achieve a 2.5% permanent quit rate. Sensitivity analyses varied key model inputs. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios with a lifetime horizon from the health system's perspective, discounted at 1.5% per year. Costs are in 2019 Canadian dollars.

RESULTS

Offering a smoking cessation intervention in the context of lung cancer screening could lead to an additional 13% of smokers quitting smoking. It could potentially prevent 12 more lung cancers and save 200 more life-years for every 1000 smokers screened, at a cost of $22 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. The results were most sensitive to quit rate. The intervention would cost over $50 000 per QALY gained with a permanent quit rate of less than 1.25% per attempt.

INTERPRETATION

Adding a smoking cessation intervention to lung cancer screening is likely cost-effective. To optimize the benefits of lung cancer screening, health care providers should encourage participants who still smoke to quit smoking.

An assessment of uncertainty using two different modelling techniques to estimate the cost effectiveness of mitigating radon in existing housing in Canada

The burden of lung cancer associated with residential radon in existing housing can be reduced by interventions to screen and mitigate existing housing having radon levels above a mitigation threshold. The objective of this study is to estimate the cost effectiveness of radon interventions for screening and mitigation of existing housing for the 2016 population in Canada and to assess the structural uncertainty associated with the choice of model used in the cost-utility analysis. The incremental cost utility ratios are estimated using both a Markov cohort model and a discrete event simulation model. A societal perspective, a lifetime horizon and a discount rate of 1.5% are adopted. At a radon mitigation threshold of 200 (100) Bq/m³, the discounted ICERs for current rates of screening and mitigation of existing housing are 72,569 (68,758) $/QALY using a Markov cohort model and 84,828 (76,917) $/QALY using discrete event simulation. It appears that minimal structural uncertainty is associated with the choice of model used for this cost-utility analysis, and the cost effectiveness would improve at increased rates of radon testing and mitigation. The mitigation of radon in existing housing is estimated to be a practical policy option for reducing the associated lung cancer burden in Canada.

Quebec Health-Related Quality-of-Life Population Norms Using the EQ-5D-5L: Decomposition by Sociodemographic Data and Health Problems

OBJECTIVES

Population norms for the EQ-5D-5L were published in Canada but only for Alberta province. The purpose of this study was to derive Quebec population norms from the EQ-5D-5L.

METHODS

The data came from a larger study conducted between September 2016 and March 2018 using elicitation techniques for a quality-adjusted life-year project. The online survey was distributed randomly in the province of Quebec. To best describe the entire population, data were stratified by various sociodemographic characteristics such as age, gender, urban and rural populations, whether disadvantaged or not, immigrant or nonimmigrant, and health problems.

RESULTS

A total of 2704 (53.8%) respondents completed the EQ-5D-5L. Mean (95% confidence interval) and median (interquartile range) utility scores were 0.824 (0.818-0.829) and 0.867 (0.802-0.911), respectively. The EQ-VAS scores were estimated at 75.9 (75.2-76.6) and 80 (69-90). Subjects with lower scores were those who had a low or high body mass index; were smokers; were single, divorced, or widowed; had no children; were unemployed or sick; had lower education or lower annual income; and had a family or personal history of serious illness. Immigrants had higher scores. There was no difference in gender and urban or rural population. The score logically decreased with worsening health status, from a mean score of 0.896 (0.884-0.908) to 0.443 (0.384-0.501; P < .0001. Similar results were observed for subjects' satisfaction with their health or life. Subjects with lower scores were less willing to take risks. Subjects who declared they were affected by health problems presented significant lower utility scores, ranging from 0.554 (nervous problem) to 0.750 (cancer), compared with those without health problems (0.871; confidence interval: 0.867-0.876).

CONCLUSION

This is the first study to present utility score norms for EQ-5D-5L for the Quebec population. These results will be useful for comparison with quality-adjusted life-year studies to better interpret their results. Moreover, utility norms were provided for 21 health problems, which was rarely done.

Japanese health utilities index mark 3 (HUI3): measurement properties in a community sample

Background

The McMaster Health Utilities Index Mark 3 (HUI3) is a generic multi-attribute, preference-based system for assessing health-related quality of life (HRQOL). This study describes the translation procedures and cultural adaptation of the Japanese HUI3 and its measurement properties in a community sample.

Methods

The Japanese HUI3 was developed through forward and back translations in cooperation with the developers of the HUI. Acceptability, comprehensibility of questionnaires, and test-retest reliability were assessed. In a community survey of a total of 3860 people (age: 41 ± 14.3, male/female: 2651/1209), the Canadian scoring function was used to calculate utility scores. Construct validity was assessed by examining the relationship between 20 personal characteristics and utility scores.

Results

Linear regression estimates demonstrated a significant negative relation between HUI3 utility score and low education, male gender, poor interpersonal relationships, older age, and a higher number of chronic diseases. Single-attribute utility scores were associated with chronic conditions in the manner expected. The community samples were relatively healthy. More than 90% of the respondents were distributed in levels 1 and 2 in all attributes except cognition. Interpretability of utility score was assessed by estimation of the relationship between visual analogue scale (VAS) and the self-rated health and utility score. Independence of attributes was assessed. For only 3 of the 28 possible cross-comparisons among the 8 attributes were correlations coefficients greater than 0.25.

Conclusion

Translation and adaptation of the HUI3 questionnaire into Japanese was successful, but the sample size and selection bias limit the interpretation of our study conclusions.

Assessing adolescent immunization options for pertussis in Canada: A cost-utility analysis

BACKGROUND

Adolescent tetanus, diphtheria and pertussis (Tdap) immunization helps prevent pertussis infection. Timing of Tdap receipt represents an important facet of successful adolescent pertussis immunization. Potential strategies for timing of vaccine administration are each associated with different benefits - including disease prevention - and costs. The objective of this study was to assess the cost-utility of adolescent pertussis immunization strategies in Canada.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis was conducted using a pertussis disease history-simulating Markov model, with adolescents (beginning at age 10 years) as the cohort of interest. The model assessed three Tdap vaccination strategies: (1) immunization of 10 year olds, (2) removal of adolescent vaccination, and (3) immunization of 14 year olds (status quo). The analysis was conducted from a healthcare payer perspective and used a lifetime time horizon. Primary outcomes included life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), health system costs, and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Costs and outcomes were discounted at 1.5 percent annually. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

The current recommended adolescent immunization strategy (at age 14) resulted in an average of 40.4432 expected QALYs and $26.28 per individual. This strategy was dominated by immunization at 10 years and no immunization. Compared to no immunization, immunizing adolescents at age 10 had an ICER of $74,899 per QALY. Results were most sensitive to the incidence of pertussis and the utility of moderate or severe pertussis. At a cost-effectiveness threshold of $50,000/QALY, removal of adolescent vaccination represented the most cost-effective strategy in 78% of simulations.

CONCLUSION

Analysis assumes a policy context where immunization of pregnant women is recommended. Findings suggest that alternate adolescent Tdap vaccine strategies - either immunization of 10 year olds, or removal of the adolescent vaccine - are more cost-effective than the current practice of immunizing 14 year olds.

Cardiovascular Risk Reduction in the Workplace With CAMMPUS (Cardiovascular Assessment and Medication Management by Pharmacists at the UBC Site)

Background: Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a leading cause of death despite being largely preventable. Employers increasingly offer preventive health programs in the workplace, and pharmacists are well suited to provide these programs. Objective: To evaluate the impact of a pharmacist-led service on CV risk in University of British Columbia (UBC) employees. Methods: This was a prospective observational pre-and-post design study, with participants as their own controls. Employees >18 years of age in the UBC health plan with a Framingham Risk Score (FRS) ≥10% or ≥1 medication-modifiable CV risk factor were included. Participants received a baseline assessment, individualized consultation for 12 months, and a final assessment by a pharmacist at the UBC Pharmacists Clinic. The primary end point was FRS reduction. Results: Baseline assessment of 512 participants between September 2015 and October 2016 yielded 207 (40%) participants, of whom 178 (86%) completed the 12-month intervention. Participants were 54% female and 55% Caucasian, with an average age of 51 (SD = 9.1) years. FRS at baseline was <10 in 45.8%, 10 to 19.9 in 37.9%, and ≥20 in 16.4% of participants. Over 12 months, significant reductions in average FRS (from 11.7 [SD = 7.7] to 10.7 [SD = 7.3]; P = 0.0017) and other parameters were observed. Significant improvements in quality of life (EQ5D change of 0.031 [95% CI = 0.001, 0.062] P = 0.023) and medication adherence (MMAS-8 change of 0.42 [ P = 0.019]) were also noted. Conclusions and Relevance: UBC employees had improvements in health markers, self-reported quality of life, and medication adherence after receiving a 12-month pharmacist-led intervention. Pharmacists are encouraged to provide CV risk reduction services in workplaces.

Cost-effectiveness of naloxone kits in secondary schools

BACKGROUND

We seek to identify conditions under which a plan by the Toronto District School Board (TDSB) to equip high schools with naloxone kits would be cost-effective.

METHODS

We developed a decision-analytic model to evaluate the costs, benefits, and cost-effectiveness of a school-based naloxone program. We estimated model inputs from the medical literature and used Toronto-specific sources whenever available. We present our results varying both the expected total number of opioid overdoses per year across all 112 TDSB high schools and the effectiveness of a school-based naloxone program in reducing mortality.

RESULTS

A school naloxone program likely costs less than CAD$50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained if the overdose frequency is at least once each year and it reduces opioid poisoning mortality by at least 40% (from 10% to <6.0%) or if the overdose frequency is at least two per year and the program reduces mortality by at least 20% (from 10% to <8.0%). The results are sensitive to the intensity and cost of staff training, the lifetime costs and life-expectancy of overdose survivors, and the probability of an overdose being fatal in the absence of a school naloxone program.

CONCLUSIONS

School naloxone programs are relatively inexpensive, but that does not ensure that they are a cost-effective use of resources. While potentially cost-effective, if the risk of an overdose in a Toronto high school is low, then other programs aimed at improving the health and wellbeing of students may be better use of limited resources.

In patients with unprovoked VTE, does the addition of FDG PET/CT to a limited occult cancer screening strategy offer good value for money? A cost-effectiveness analysis from the publicly funded health care systems

INTRODUCTION

Unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) may be the first manifestation of an undiagnosed cancer. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of ¹⁸F-Fluorodesoxyglucose Positron Emission/Computed Tomography (FDG PET/CT) plus limited screening and limited screening strategies in patients with unprovoked VTE from the perspectives of the Ontario (Canada) and French health care systems.

METHODS

We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis based on a published randomized controlled trial of 394 patients aged 18 years or older who were diagnosed with unprovoked VTE. We obtained data with respect to efficacy and health care utilization from the published trial. The primary measure of effectiveness was the number of avoided cases of delayed cancer diagnosis and the secondary measure of effectiveness was the quality adjusted life year (QALY) at the end of the study in each group. We used generalized linear models to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) while controlling for patient demographic and clinical characteristics. Results were presented as the incremental cost to avoid one case of delayed cancer diagnosis and the incremental cost per QALY gained. The 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using bootstrap re-sampling procedures with 5000 iterations.

RESULTS

Compared to a limited screening strategy, the ICER of limited strategy plus FDG PET/CT scan was C$ 26,840.19 (95% CI: C$ 24,046.51; C$ 34,581.53) per one avoided case of delayed cancer diagnosis from the Ontario health system perspective and €16,370.45 (95% CI: € 9904.48; € 39,578.91) per one avoided case of delayed cancer diagnosis from the French health system perspective. The probabilities that addition of FDG PET/CT to limited screening is cost-effective rose with increasing willingness to pay values. Compared with the limited screening, the extensive screening was associated with C$ 3412.85 per QALY gained (95% CI: 1463.89; -13,935.88) from the Ontario health system perspective and €2162.83 per QALY gained (95% CI 958.78; -10,544.42) from the French health system perspective.

CONCLUSION

Addition of a FDG PET/CT for occult cancer diagnosis was associated with better health outcomes (fewer cases of delayed cancer diagnosis and greater QALYs) and a higher cost from the perspective of publicly funded health care systems; the cost-effectiveness results are however highly uncertain.