Comparison of radiological scoring systems, clinical scores, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and serum C-reactive protein level for severity and mortality in acute pancreatitis

Early detection of necrosis in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma using contrast-enhanced computed tomography was a better predictor of clinical outcomes than pancreatic inflammation: A multicentric cohort study of severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

We aim to assess the early use of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) using the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) in prognosis prediction. The CTSI combines quantification of pancreatic and extrapancreatic inflammation with the extent of pancreatic necrosis.

METHODS

Post-hoc retrospective analysis of a large, multicentric database (44 institutions) of SAP patients in Japan. The area under the curve (AUC) of the CTSI for predicting mortality and the odds ratio (OR) of the extent of pancreatic inflammation and necrosis were calculated using multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 1097 patients were included. The AUC of the CTSI for mortality was 0.65 (95 % confidence interval [CI:] [0.59-0.70]; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, necrosis 30-50 % and >50 % in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma (LEPP) was independently associated with a significant increase in mortality, with OR 2.04 and 95 % CI 1.01-4.12 (P < 0.05) and OR 3.88 and 95 % CI 2.04-7.40 (P < 0.001), respectively. However, the extent of pancreatic inflammation was not associated with mortality, regardless of severity.

CONCLUSIONS

The degree of necrosis in LEPP assessed using early CECT of SAP was a better predictor of mortality than the extent of pancreatic inflammation.

Relationship between salusin beta levels and the severity of acute pancreatitis in patients

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the significance of serum salusin beta (SAL-β) levels in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) in patients diagnosed with this condition and to assess its relationship with disease and prognosis.

METHODS

Sixty-four patients between 18 and 100 years of age diagnosed with AP, were included in the study. Patients were categorized into 3 groups based on the Revised Atlanta Classification: mild, moderate, and severe AP. Eighteen healthy adults were included as the control group. Sex, age, height, weight, presence of additional diseases, laboratory results, imaging findings, levels of white blood cells, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, mean platelet volume, amylase, lipase, sensitive C-reactive protein, sedimentation, and serum SAL-β were measured and recorded. SAL-β levels were reevaluated on the third day of hospitalization.

RESULTS

The average age of the patients included in the study was 62.66 ± 17.67. Gallstones were present in 64.1% of the patients. The difference in the SAL-β averages on the 1st and 3rd days was statistically significant (P < .05). On the first day, the SAL-β averages of those with severe Atlanta scores were higher than those with mild and moderate Atlanta severity. Similarly, on the third day, the SAL-β averages of those with severe Atlanta scores were higher than those with mild and moderate Atlanta severity. According to receiver operating characteristic analysis using the Youden index, the cutoff value for SAL-β for severe pancreatitis was 178.8 pg/mL on the 1st day and 207.5 pg/mL on the 3rd day.

CONCLUSION

SAL-β can be used to detect and monitor severe pancreatitis. Further extensive clinical studies with larger case series are needed.

A comparison of scoring systems and biomarkers to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis in patients referring to the emergency clinic

To investigate scoring systems and biomarkers for determining the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). Between January and July 2023, 100 patients with AP diagnosed and treated in the emergency department were included. AP was divided into 2 groups according to severity: mild AP and moderately severe AP (MSAP-SAP), according to the revised Atlanta Classification in 2012. Demographic characteristics, severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, white blood cell count (WBC), hematocrit, red cell distribution width from whole blood taken at admission and 48 hours later, C-reactive protein (CRP) and biochemistry values, Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS), and harmless AP score scores were recorded retrospectively. Our variables, which were found to be significant in multiple logistic regression results, were found to increase MSAP-SAP expectation by 4.36-, 7.85-, 6.63 and 5.80 times in the presence of CRP > 47.10, WBC > 13.10, PASS > 0, and necrotizing computed tomography findings, respectively. It was detected that the risk factor which was found significant as a single variable affecting the ICU admission increased the risk of ICU requirement by 28.88 when PASS > 0, by 3.96 when BISAP > 1, and it increased the Atlanta score by 9.93-fold. We found that WBC and CRP values at the time of hospital admission and WBC, CRP, and red cell distribution width values after 48 had the highest accuracy in determining AP disease severity. BISAP, which was found to be significant in determining MSAP-SAP expectations, lost its significance in multiple logistic regression results, and PASS was found to be effective. The PASS is an important score in the clinical evaluation of patients with AP and in determining the need for ICU hospitalization.

Acute pancreatitis associated with pleural effusion: MDCT manifestations and anatomical basis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe condition with complications that can impact multiple organ systems throughout the body. Specifically, the diffusion of peripancreatic effusion to the pleural cavity is a significant phenomenon in AP. However, its pathways and implications for disease severity are not fully understood.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to investigate the anatomical routes of peripancreatic effusion diffusion into the pleural cavity in patients with AP and to analyze the correlation between the severity of pleural effusion (PE) and the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system.

METHODS

119 patients with AP admitted to our institution were enrolled in this study (mean age 50 years, 74 male and 45 female). Abdominal CT was performed, and the CTSI and APACHE II index were used to evaluate the severity of the AP, Meanwhile, the prevalence and semiquantitative of PE were also mentioned. The anatomical pathways of peripancreatic effusion draining to pleural were analyzed. Finally, the correlation relationship between the severity of AP and the PE was analyzed.

RESULTS

In 119 patients with AP, 74.8% of patients had PE on CT. The anatomic pathways of peripancreatic effusion draining to pleural included esophageal hiatus in 33.7% of patients, aortic hiatus in 6.7% of patients and inferior vena cava hiatus in 3.37% of patients. The rating of PE on CT was correlated with CTSI scores (r= 0.449, P= 0.000) and was slightly correlated with the APACHE II scores (r= 0.197, P= 0.016).

CONCLUSION

PE is a common complication of AP, which can be caused by anatomic pathways such as diaphragmatic hiatus. Due to its correlation with the CTSI score, the PE may be a supplementary indicator in determining the severity of AP.

NLR48 is Better Than CRP, and mCTSI, and Similar to BISAP and SOFA Scores for Mortality Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis: A Comparison of 6 Scores

Introduction

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested as a reliable marker for predicting inflammation progression and severity of acute pancreatitis, although the role of the NLR stratified by etiology is still insufficiently studied. However, the NLR's role in mortality prediction was poorly evaluated in the literature.

Patients and Methods

We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional study to analyze the role of NLR0 (at admission) and NLR48 (at 48 hours) in acute pancreatitis as compared with CRP, BISAP, SOFA, and modified CTSI (mCTSI) for the prediction of mortality and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in patients admitted into the Emergency Clinical County Hospital of Craiova during 48 months. The primary assessed outcomes were the rate of in-hospital mortality, the rate of persistent organ failure, and ICU admissions. We analyzed mortality prediction for all acute pancreatitis, for biliary, alcoholic, and hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis, for severe forms, and for patients admitted to the ICU.

Results

A total of 725 patients were selected; 42.4% had biliary acute pancreatitis, 27.7% had alcoholic acute pancreatitis, and 8.7% had hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis. A total of 13.6% had POF during admission. The AUC for NLR48 in predicting mortality risk and SAP was 0.81 and 0.785, superior to NLR0, CRP48, and mCTSI but inferior to BISAP and SOFA scores. The NLR48/NLR0 ratio did not add significantly to the accuracy. NLR0 and NLR48 performed poorly for mortality prediction in severe forms and in patients admitted to the ICU. NLR48 has good accuracy in our study for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Conclusion

NLR48 was a good indicator in predicting mortality risk and severe forms in all patients with acute pancreatitis, but not of death in SAP and in patients admitted to ICU, with good accuracy for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

A Clinic-Radiomics Model for Predicting the Incidence of Persistent Organ Failure in Patients with Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis

Background

Persistent organ failure (POF) is the leading cause of death in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP). Although several risk factors have been identified, there remains a lack of efficient instruments to accurately predict the incidence of POF in ANP.

Methods

Retrospectively, the clinical and imaging data of 178 patients with ANP were collected from our database, and the patients were divided into training (n = 125) and validation (n = 53) cohorts. Through computed tomography image acquisition, the volume of interest segmentation, and feature extraction and selection, a pure radiomics model in terms of POF prediction was established. Then, a clinic-radiomics model integrating the pure radiomics model and clinical risk factors was constructed. Both primary and secondary endpoints were compared between the high- and low-risk groups stratified by the clinic-radiomics model.

Results

According to the 547 selected radiomics features, four models were derived from features. A clinic-radiomics model in the training and validation sets showed better predictive performance than pure radiomics and clinical models. The clinic-radiomics model was evaluated by the ratios of intervention and mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit (ICU) stays, and hospital stays. The results showed that the high-risk group had significantly higher intervention rates, ICU stays, and hospital stays than the low-risk group, with the confidence interval of 90% (p < 0.1 for all).

Conclusions

This clinic-radiomics model is a useful instrument for clinicians to evaluate the incidence of POF, facilitating patients' and their families' understanding of the ANP prognosis.

Evaluation of Inflammatory Infiltration in the Retroperitoneal Space of Acute Pancreatitis Using Computer Tomography and Its Correlation with Clinical Severity

This paper investigates the correlation between the degree and severity of CT inflammatory infiltration in the retroperitoneal space of acute pancreatitis (AP). A total of 113 patients were included based on diagnostic criteria. The general data of the patients and the relationship between the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) and pleural effusion (PE), involvement, degree of inflammatory infiltration of retroperitoneal space (RPS), number of peripancreatic effusion sites, and degree of pancreatic necrosis on contrast-enhanced CT at different times were studied. The results showed that the mean age of onset in females was later than that in males; 62 cases involved RPS to varying degrees, with a positive rate of 54.9% (62/113), and the total involvement rates of only the anterior pararenal space (APS); both APS and perirenal space (PS); and APS, PS, and posterior pararenal space (PPS) were 46.9% (53/113), 53.1% (60/113), and 17.7% (20/113), respectively. The degree of inflammatory infiltration in the RPS worsened with the increase in CTSI score; the incidence of PE was higher in the group greater than 48 hours than in the group less than 48 hours; necrosis >50% grade was predominant (43.2%) 5 to 6 days after onset, with a higher detection rate than other time periods (P < 0.05). Thus, when the PPS was involved, the patient's condition can be treated as severe acute pancreatitis (SAP); the higher the degree of inflammatory infiltration in the retroperitoneum, the higher the severity of AP. Enhanced CT examination 5 to 6 days after onset in patients with AP revealed the greatest extent of pancreatic necrosis.

The diagnostic value of calcium binding protein S100A8/A9 and S100A12 in acute pancreatitis

Background: S100A8/A9 and S100A12 which are the major calcium-binding proinflammatory proteins secreted by granulocytes, has been proposed to be related to distinct disease states of inflammatory origin. This study aims to explore the circulating levels of S100A8/A9 and S100A12 in acute pancreatitis (AP) and reveal their relationship with conventional inflammatory markers. Material and Method: Serum S100A8/A9 and S100A12 were determined in AP patients (male/female: 17/13) by using a specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method at both onset and remission and in 30 healthy controls (male/female: 17/13). Results: Significantly higher S100A8/A9 and S100A12 levels were found in AP patients compared to healthy controls (p

The relationship between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and clinal laboratory data in acute pancreatitis

Introduction: Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is one of the laboratory biomarkers used in clinical practice to predict severity and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP), however, there is currently insufficient information about the changes of NLR in the dynamics in relationship with other clinical and laboratory data. Aims: To assess the relationship between NLR values and other demographics, clinical and simple laboratory data in patients with acute pancreatitis. Methods: The data of two hundred twenty-nine patients with AP were analyzed. All patients were divided into two groups: the group with a positive outcome and the group with a fatal outcome. NLR was counted on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day after admission in each group. The dynamics of NLR index by groups and days, as well as its correlation with other 18 simple laboratory parameters were evaluated. Results: The level of NLR rate itself was significantly higher on the 1st, 3rd and 5th day in the group with the fatal result compared with the group with the positive result (p < 0.05). In patients with AP with the positive result of treatment, there was a gradual decrease in the rate between the 1st and the 3rd day (-21.8%) (p < 0.05). The overall dynamics of the indicator between the 1st and the 5th day was -21.5%. In contrast to the group of patients with the fatal outcome, despite the infusion therapy, there was an increase in NLR rate between the 1st and 3rd day of +15.7%. The overall dynamics between the 1st and 5th day was -34.0%. A significant negative relationship of the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between NLR on the 1st and 3rd day with the fatal outcome was revealed. The highest reliability of this indicator was found on the 3rd day after admission (p < 0.0001). In the group of patients with a positive result, a correlation between NLR on the 1st day and stabs on the 1st day, segmental forms on the 1st day, serum amylase on the 1st day was found. A very high correlation was found with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.98, p < 0001). In the group of patients with the fatal outcome, a statistically significant correlation (p < 0.05) of moderate strength was found between the value of NLR and the following indicators: glucose level on the 1st day, total protein on the 5th day, prothrombin index on the 5th day. A high correlation was found with the level of segmental forms on the 1st day (rs = 0.7) and a very high correlation with the level of lymphocytes on the 1st day (rs = -0.99). Conclusions: There was a significant increase in NLR on the 1st, 3rd, and 5th day in the group of patients with AP with the fatal outcome compared with the group of patients with AP with the positive result. Elevated NLR levels on the 1st and 3rd day seem to be associated with hospital mortality in patients with AP. No correlation was found between NLR rate and clinical data in the group with fatal outcome. The main indicators among simple laboratory parameters for determining the predictors of lethal outcome in AP in different periods after hospitalization were: the level of blood glucose, lymphocytes, total protein, serum amylase, prothrombin index.

The harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) identifies non-severe patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

We previously described a scoring system to identify patients with harmless acute pancreatitis as defined by absence of pancreatic necrosis, no need for artificial ventilation or dialysis, and non-fatal course. This scoring system, the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS), can be quickly calculated from three parameters: absence of abdominal tenderness or rebound, normal hematocrit and normal creatinine level. We aim to assess the positive predictive value (PPV) of the HAPS by performing a meta-analysis of subsequently published studies.

METHODS

We performed a literature search using Pubmed, Web of Science^TM and Google Scholar. We used random effects models, with maximum likelihood estimates, to estimate the PPV of HAPS. We produced forest plots and used the I² statistic to quantify heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty reports covering 6374 patients were identified. The overall PPV based on 16 studies that closely followed the original description of the HAPS system was 97% (95%CI 95-99%) with significant heterogeneity (I² = 76%; P < 0.01). For 11 studies in which HAPS was used to identify patients with mild AP, the overall PPV dropped to 83% (74-91%). For 8 studies in which HAPS was used to predict non-fatal course the overall PPV was 98% (97-100%).

CONCLUSION

The HAPS, if used as originally defined, accurately identifies patients with non-severe AP who will not require ICU care and facilitate selection of patients who can be discharged after a short stay on a general ward or can even be cared for at home. This could free hospital beds for other purposes and decrease healthcare costs.

Pleural effusion volume in patients with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study from three acute pancreatitis centers

OBJECTIVE

To assess the value of pleural effusion volume (PEV) quantified on chest computed tomography (CT) in patients with early stage acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

Data of PEV, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels as well as Ranson, bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Marshall, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), CT severity index (CTSI), and extra-pancreatic inflammation on computed tomography (EPIC) scores in patients with AP were collected. Duration of hospitalization, severity of AP, infection, procedure, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, organ failure, or death were included as the outcome parameters.

RESULTS

In 465 patients, the mean PEV was 98.8 ± 113.2 mL. PEV showed strong and significant correlations with the CRP levels, duration of hospitalization as well as the Ranson, BISAP, Marshall, APACHE II, CTSI, and EPIC scores (p < .05). PEV demonstrated significant accuracy in predicting severity, infection, procedure, ICU admission, organ failure, and death (p < .05).

CONCLUSION

PEV quantified on chest CT positively associated with the duration of hospitalization, CRP levels, Ranson, BISAP, Marshall, APACHE II, CTSI, and EPIC scores. It can be a reliable radiologic biomarker in predicting severity and clinical outcomes of AP.KEY MESSAGESPleural effusion is a common chest finding in patients with acute pancreatitis.Pleural effusion volume quantified on chest CT examination positively associated with the duration of hospitalization, CRP level, as well as Ranson, BISAP, Marshall, APACHE II, CTSI, and EPIC scoring systems.Pleural effusion volume can be a reliable radiologic biomarker in the prediction of severity and clinical outcomes of acute pancreatitis.

Comparison of the Accuracy of Modified CT Severity Index Score and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Assessing the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

Background

Acute pancreatitis is an acute gastrointestinal emergency with significant morbidity and mortality if not treated. It can lead to local as well as systemic complications and has a prevalence of 51.07%. Laboratory investigations such as amylase and lipase and ultrasound scan are typically used for the diagnosis. A contrast-enhanced CT scan is considered the gold standard. Both laboratory and radiological investigation-based scoring systems have been reported in the literature and are in practice. However, these modalities demand several laboratory investigations and are expensive. Our study aims to determine the congruency of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the modified CT severity index score (MCTSI) with the revised Atlanta classification in assessing the severity of acute pancreatitis. In addition, the accuracy of NLR and MCTSI is determined. The secondary objective is to determine whether NLR can predict the severity of acute pancreatitis to the same extent as MCTSI through expensive radiological imaging and other clinical scoring systems through a list of investigations.

Methodology

The data for this study were collected retrospectively and patients with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis were included through the nonprobability convenience sampling method. All patients underwent relevant laboratory workup (including complete blood count) and radiological workup (including CT scan) during their hospital stay. The main outcome measures were sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of NLR and MCTSI, and the congruency of these with the revised Atlanta classification in assessing the severity of acute pancreatitis.

Results

A total of 166 patients with acute pancreatitis were included, of which 107 (64.45%) were males and 59 (35.55%) were females, with a mean age of 43.7. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of NLR were 67%, 90.9%, and 76%, respectively, whereas the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of MCTSI were 95%, 13.6%, and 62%, respectively. The area under the curve for NLR was 0.855 whereas that for MCTSI was determined to be 0.645.

Conclusions

NLR has a good concordance with the revised Atlanta classification and assesses the disease severity, especially in moderate-to-severe cases of acute pancreatitis compared to MCTSI. In addition, NLR can be used in acute and/or resource-poor settings to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis.