Morteza A, Nakhjavani M, Asgarani F, Carvalho FLF, Karimi R, Esteghamati A. Inconsistency in albuminuria predictors in type 2 diabetes: a comparison between neural network and conditional logistic regression.
Transl Res 2013;
161:397-405. [PMID:
23333109 DOI:
10.1016/j.trsl.2012.12.013]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2012] [Revised: 12/16/2012] [Accepted: 12/20/2012] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
Albuminuria is a sensitive marker to predict future cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, current studies only use conventional regression models to discover predictors of albuminuria. We have used 2 different statistical models to predict albuminuria in type 2 diabetes mellitus: a multilayer perception neural network and a conditional logistic regression. Neural network models were used to predict the level of albuminuria in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, which include a matched case-control study for the population. For each case, we randomly selected 1 control matched by age and body mass index (BMI). The input variables were sex, duration of diabetes, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, glomerular filtration rate, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein/triglyceride ratio, cholesterol, fasting blood sugar, and glycated hemoglobin. Age and BMI were included only in the neural network model. This model included 4 hidden layers and 1 bias. Relative error of predictions was 0.38% in the training group, 0.52% in the testing group, and 1.20% in the holdout group. The most robust predictors of albuminuria were high-density lipoprotein (21%), cholesterol (14.4%), and systolic blood pressure (9.7%). Using the conditional logistic regression model, glomerular filtration rate, time of onset to diabetes, and sex were significant indicators in the onset of albuminuria. Using a neural network model, we show that high-density lipoprotein is the most important factor in predicting albuminuria in type 2 diabetes mellitus. Our neural network model complements the current risk factor models to improve the care of patients with diabetes.
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