Can Total Nephron Number Predict Progressive CKD after Radical Nephrectomy?

Associations of MRI-derived kidney volume, kidney function, body composition and physical performance in ≈38 000 UK Biobank participants: a population-based observational study

Background

Kidney volume is used as a predictive and therapeutic marker for several clinical conditions. However, there is a lack of large-scale studies examining the relationship between kidney volume and various clinicodemographic factors, including kidney function, body composition and physical performance.

Methods

In this observational study, MRI-derived kidney volume measurements from 38 526 UK Biobank participants were analysed. Major kidney volume-related measures included body surface area (BSA)-adjusted total kidney volume (TKV) and the difference in bilateral kidneys. Multivariable-adjusted linear regression and cubic spline analyses were used to explore the association between kidney volume-related measures and clinicodemographic factors. Cox or logistic regression was used to identify the risks of death, non-kidney cancer, myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Results

The median of BSA-adjusted TKV and the difference in kidney volume were 141.9 ml/m2 [interquartile range (IQR) 128.1-156.9] and 1.08-fold (IQR 1.04-1.15), respectively. Higher BSA-adjusted TKV was significantly associated with higher estimated glomerular filtration rate {eGFR; β = 0.43 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.42-0.44]; P < .001}, greater muscle volume [β = 0.50 (95% CI 0.48-0.51); P < .001] and greater mean handgrip strength [β = 0.15 (95% CI 0.13-0.16); P < .001] but lower visceral adipose tissue volume [VAT; β = -0.09 (95% CI -0.11 to -0.07); P < .001] in adjusted models. A greater difference in bilateral kidney volumes was associated with lower eGFR, muscle volume and physical performance but with higher proteinuria and VAT. Higher BSA-adjusted TKV was significantly associated with a reduced risk of CKD [odds ratio (OR) 0.7 (95% CI 0.63-0.77); P < .001], while a greater difference in kidney volume was significantly associated with an increased risk of CKD [OR 1.13 (95% CI 1.07-1.20); P < .001].

Conclusion

Higher BSA-adjusted TKV and lower differences in bilateral kidney volumes are associated with higher kidney function, muscle volume and physical performance and a reduced risk of CKD.

An Improved Method for Estimating Nephron Number and the Association of Resulting Nephron Number Estimates with Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Nephron number currently can be estimated only from glomerular density on a kidney biopsy combined with cortical volume from kidney imaging. Because of measurement biases, refinement of this approach and validation across different patient populations have been needed. The prognostic importance of nephron number also has been unclear. The authors present an improved method of estimating nephron number that corrects for several biases, resulting in a 27% higher nephron number estimate for donor kidneys compared with a prior method. After accounting for comorbidities, the new nephron number estimate does not differ between kidney donors and kidney patients with tumor and shows consistent associations with clinical characteristics across these two populations. The findings also indicate that low nephron number predicts CKD independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics in both populations.

BACKGROUND

Nephron number can be estimated from glomerular density and cortical volume. However, because of measurement biases, this approach needs refinement, comparison between disparate populations, and evaluation as a predictor of CKD outcomes.

METHODS

We studied 3020 living kidney donors and 1354 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for tumor. We determined cortex volume of the retained kidney from presurgical imaging and glomerular density by morphometric analysis of needle core biopsy of the donated kidney and wedge sections of the removed kidney. Glomerular density was corrected for missing glomerular tufts, absence of the kidney capsule, and then tissue shrinkage on the basis of analysis of 30 autopsy kidneys. We used logistic regression (in donors) and Cox proportional hazard models (in patients with tumor) to assess the risk of CKD outcomes associated with nephron number.

RESULTS

Donors had 1.17 million nephrons per kidney; patients with tumor had 0.99 million nephrons per kidney. A lower nephron number was associated with older age, female sex, shorter height, hypertension, family history of ESKD, lower GFR, and proteinuria. After adjusting for these characteristics, nephron number did not differ between donors and patients with tumor. Low nephron number (defined by <5th or <10th percentile by age and sex in a healthy subset) in both populations predicted future risk of CKD outcomes independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with an older method for estimating nephron number, a new method that addresses several sources of bias results in nephron number estimates that are 27% higher in donors and 1% higher in patients with tumor and shows consistency between two populations. Low nephron number independently predicts CKD in both populations.