Mortality and Risk Stratification of HIV Infected Individuals

Characterization and outcomes of difficult-to-treat patients starting modern first-line ART regimens: Data from the ICONA cohort

OBJECTIVES

Treatment failures to modern antiretroviral therapy (ART) raise concerns, as they could reduce future options. Evaluations of occurrence of multiple failures to modern ART are missing and their significance in the long run is unclear.

METHODS

People with HIV (PWH) in the ICONA cohort who started a modern first-line ART were defined as 'difficult to treat' (DTT) if they experienced ≥1 among: i) ≥2 VF (2 viral loads, VL>200 copies/mL or 1 VL>1000 copies/mL) with or without ART change; ii) ≥2 treatment discontinuations (TD) due to toxicity/intolerance/failure; iii) ≥1 VF followed by ART change plus ≥1 TD due to toxicity/intolerance/failure. A subgroup of the DTT participants were matched to PWH that, after the same time, were non-DTT. Treatment response, analysing VF, TD, treatment failure, AIDS/death, and SNAE (Serious non-AIDS event)/death, were compared. Survival analysis by KM curves and Cox regression models were employed.

RESULTS

Among 8061 PWH, 320 (4%) became DTT. Estimates of becoming DTT was 6.5% (95% CI: 5.8-7.4%) by 6 years. DTT PWH were significantly older, with a higher prevalence of AIDS and lower CD4+ at nadir than the non-DTT. In the prospective analysis, DTT demonstrated a higher unadjusted risk for all the outcomes. Once controlled for confounders, significant associations were confirmed for VF (aHR 2.23, 1.33-3.73), treatment failure (aHR 1.70, 1.03-2.78), and SNAE/death (aHR 2.79, 1.18-6.61).

CONCLUSION

A total of 6.5% of PWH satisfied our definition of DTT by 6 years from ART starting. This appears to be a more fragile group who may have higher risk of failure.

Trends in Cause-Specific Mortality Among Veterans With HIV: A 35-Year (1982-2016) Analysis of the HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Causes of death and their trends among veterans with HIV (VWH) are different than those in the general population with HIV, but this has not been fully described. The objective was to understand the trends in, and risk factors for, all-cause and cause-specific mortality across eras of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) among VWH.

SETTING

The HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study includes all VWH who ever sought care at the Atlanta VA Medical Center.

METHODS

Age-adjusted all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates were calculated annually and compared between pre-cART (1982-1996), early-cART (1997-2006), and late-cART (2007-2016) eras. Trends were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves, cumulative incidence functions, and joinpoint regression models. Risk factors were identified by Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Of the 4674 VWH in the HIV Atlanta VA Cohort Study, 1752 died; of whom, 1399 (79.9%), 301 (17.2%), and 52 (3.0%) were diagnosed with HIV in the pre-cART, early-cART, and late-cART eras, respectively. Significant increases were observed in rates of all-cause, AIDS-related, and non-AIDS-related mortality in the pre-cART era, followed by declines in the early-cART and late-cART eras. All-cause, AIDS-related, and non-AIDS-related mortality rates plummeted by 65%, 81%, and 45%, respectively, from the pre-cART to late-cART eras. However, VWH continue to die at higher rates due to AIDS-related infections, non-AIDS-related malignancies, respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, and renal failure than those in the general population with HIV.

CONCLUSIONS

In older populations with HIV, it is important that providers not only monitor for and treat diseases associated with aging but also intervene and address lifestyle risk factors.