Super elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures do not predict worse outcomes and higher mortality than elderly patients: a propensity score matched analysis

Propensity score matching analysis of early vs. delayed surgery for intertrochanteric fracture in older patients: a retrospective multicenter cohort study of 7414 patients with a mean 4-year follow up

BACKGROUND

The widespread acceptance of early surgery as a treatment for acute intertrochanteric fracture (ITF) has been accompanied by ongoing controversy due to conflicting conclusions presented in previous studies. This study aims to compare the occurrence of perioperative complications and mortality, as well as functional outcomes in older patients with ITF who underwent either early or delayed surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective multicenter cohort study involving 7414 patients with ITF between Jan. 2017 and Dec. 2021 was conducted. After predefined participants selection inclusion and exclusion criteria, 2323 surgically treated ITF patients were included and analyzed utilizing propensity score matching (PSM) method. Their demographics, injury-related data, surgery-related data, and perioperative adverse outcomes during hospitalization were collected and compared between the early or delayed surgery groups by PSM with a 1:4 ratio. All participants received a minimum of two-year follow-up and perioperative outcomes, functional outcomes, and survival analyses were conducted and compared.

RESULTS

After adjustment for potential confounders, there were no significant difference in surgery duration, intraoperative blood loss, transfusion rate, mortality rates, functional outcomes, and perioperative complications rates including severe complications, cardiac complications, pulmonary complications, and neurological complications regardless of whether the patient was treated with early or delayed surgery (all P > 0.05). Although length of hospital stay (mean, 11.5 versus 14.4 days, P < 0.001), total hospital costs (mean, 39305 versus 42048 yuan, P < 0.001), and minor complications rates including hematological complications (31.7% versus 41.2%, P = 0.007) and nutritional/metabolic complications (59.3% versus 66.4%, P = 0.039) were lower in the early surgery group, our result indicated patients with early surgery were more inclined to receive more blood transfusion (mean, 2.8 versus 2.2 units, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that a 48-hour delay in surgical intervention for older patients with an ITF does not result in a higher mortality rate, worse functional outcomes, and increased incidence of major perioperative complications when compared to early surgery. While expedited surgery is undoubtedly necessary for suitable patients, a reasonable preoperative delay of 48 h may be justified and safe for those with severe conditions, rather than strictly adhering to the current guidelines.

Development and validation of models for predicting mortality in intertrochanteric fracture surgery patients with perioperative blood transfusion: a prospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The association between allogenic blood transfusions and all-cause mortality in surgically treated hip fracture patients with perioperative transfusion (STHFPT) remained unknown. The authors aim to introduce transfusion-related factors, new variables to develop, and validate models to predict mortality in these patients.

METHODS

A prospective multicenter cohort study was conducted with STHFPT hospitalized during January 2018 and June 2021. The database was divided into training cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 70-30% using the randomization method. All participants received a minimum of 2-year follow-up and all participants' overall and eight time-specific survival status were recorded. Prediction models were developed using multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression for variable selection. Model performance was measured by determining discrimination, calibration, overall model performance or precision, and utility. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results.

RESULTS

A total of 7074 consecutive patients were prospectively screened and assessed for eligibility to participate. Finally, 2490 patients met our inclusion and exclusion criteria and 1743 (70%) patients were randomized to the training cohort and 747 (30%) to the validation cohort. The median duration of follow-up was 38.4 months (IQR 28.0-62.0). Our novel models highlight that preoperative transfusion is of significance for short-term mortality while mid-term outcomes are predominantly determined by severe complications, pulmonary complications, and advanced age. Our models showed high discriminative power, good calibration, and precision for mortality prediction in both training and validation cohorts, especially in short-term mortality prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

The authors introduce transfusion-related factors, new variables to develop, and validate models to predict mortality with STHFPT. The models can be further tested and updated with the ultimate goal of assisting in optimizing individual transfusion strategy.

Efficacy of surgical intervention over conservative management in intertrochanteric fractures among nonagenarians and centenarians: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Optimal treatment strategy for nonagenarians and centenarians with hip fractures (NCHF) remained unknown. The authors aimed to compare the outcomes of surgical and conservative management in NCHF.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted based on CPMHF database with NCHF patients hospitalized during 2014-2020. Comorbidities were evaluated by mECM score and restricted cubic spline was utilized to visually assess the dose-effect relationship between the mECM and outcomes. Propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics between nonsurgical and surgical groups. Multivariate logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard analysis, and survival analysis were employed for unfavorable outcomes (UFO) evaluation. Competing risk of death were analyzed based on Fine and Gray's hazard model and then constructed nomogram models for predicting survival rates. Subgroup analyses were used to determine potential population heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results.

RESULTS

The authors found increasing trends for UFO with the increase in the mECM score, and that high mECM score (HMS, ≥3) was independently associated with a 2.42-fold (95% CI: 2.07-3.54; P =0.024) increased risk of UFO, which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and were more pronounced in nonsurgical treatment, women, no insurance, and patients with spouse (all P for interaction <0.05). Surgical intervention was identified to be significant protective factors for UFO (RR, 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.75; P <0.001) and severe complications (RR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.41-0.96; P =0.033) after propensity score matching, as well as survival (HR, 0.40, 95% CI: 0.28-0.58; P <0.001), which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and in all sensitivity analyses and were more pronounced in HMS participants ( P for interaction=0.006). Subgroup analyses revealed surgical patients with HMS had a significantly higher UFO rate (excluding death, P <0.001) while nonsurgical patients with HMS had higher mortality rate as compared to the others ( P =0.005).

CONCLUSION

Surgical treatment for NCHF yields better outcomes compared to conservative treatment.

Effectiveness of Proximal Femur Nail in the Management of Unstable Per-Trochanteric Fractures: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background  Intertrochanteric (IT) fractures in the elderly demand surgical intervention for optimal recovery. While dynamic hip screw (DHS) is standard for stable fractures, its use in unstable cases is debated. Proximal femur nail (PFN) addresses unstable per-trochanteric fractures, boasting biomechanical advantages. Many studies favor PFN over DHS, despite concerns like screw migration. In resource-constrained developing nations, the choice of implant is pivotal. This research assesses proximal femur nailing outcomes for unstable fractures, providing insights for regional orthopedic protocols and contributing to tailored treatment guidelines in contexts with limited resources. Objective To assess the clinical and radiological outcomes in patients undergoing proximal femur nailing for unstable per-trochanteric fractures. Material and Methods This retrospective single-arm cohort study was conducted from January 2020 to July 2022. All the consecutive patients who underwent PFN for unstable per-trochanteric fractures were included in this study. Harris Hip Score (HHS) and ambulation status were recorded to evaluate functional outcomes. In contrast, the radiological outcome was assessed by calculating Radiographic Union Score for Hip (RUSH) scores at six weeks, three months, and six months post-operatively. Results  A total of 48 patients were included in this study with equal gender distribution and a mean age of 66 years. The functional outcome was recorded with 2.1% (1), 33.3% (16), and 50% (24) of patients achieving full weight bearing (FWB) without pain at six weeks, three months, and six months respectively while 14.6% (7) of the patients never achieved FWB. The radiological outcome was assessed by calculating RUSH score with 6.3% (3), 43.8% (21), and 50% (24) of the patients achieving complete union at the end of six weeks, three months, and six months respectively. One patient (2.1%) experienced malunion. Conclusion PFN remains an optimal treatment modality for the fixation of unstable per-trochanteric fractures yielding promising functional and radiological outcomes.

Incidence and risk factors of admission deep venous thrombosis in nonagenarians and centenarians with intertrochanteric fracture: a retrospective study

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to identify the risk factors for admission deep venous thrombosis (aDVT) and proximal aDVT in nonagenarians and centenarians with intertrochanteric fracture (IF).

METHODS

We collected statistics on nonagenarians and centenarians with IF admitting from January 2010 to October 2022. Patients with aDVT were considered as the aDVT group and those without aDVT as the non-aDVT group. Additionally, we also conducted a subgroup analysis based on the location of aDVT to investigate the predictors of proximal aDVT. The demographics, comorbidities and admission laboratory examinations of patients were computed by univariate analysis, logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

In our study, the rate of aDVT (109 of 318) was 34.3%, and 5.7% (18 of 318) of patients had proximal aDVT. Logistic regression analysis showed that female patients and a high level of D-dimer were risk factors for aDVT. Similarly, hypoproteinemia and a high level of D-dimer were found to be risk factors for proximal aDVT. ROC curve analysis indicated the cut-off values of D-dimer to predict the aDVT and proximal aDVT were 1.28 mg/L and 1.485 mg/L, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings investigated the risk factors of aDVT and proximal aDVT in nonagenarians and centenarians with IF and identified the cut-off values of D-dimer, helping us assess the risk of aDVT and proximal aDVT to manage early targeted interventions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE III

Risk Factors and Outcomes of Extended Length of Stay in Older Adults with Intertrochanteric Fracture Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study of 2132 Patients

We aimed to identify the risk factors associated with an extended length of hospital stay (eLOS) in older hip-fracture patients and to explore the relationships between eLOS and mortality and functional outcomes. In this retrospective analysis of surgically treated intertrochanteric fracture (IF) patients, all variables were obtained and compared between the eLOS group and the normal LOS group. All participants were followed-up for a minimum of two years and the relation between the eLOS and all-cause mortality and functional outcomes were compared. After adjustment for potential confounders, we identified that patients with high modified Elixhauser's Comorbidity Measure (mECM) had the highest likelihood of eLOS, followed by obesity, admission in winter, living in urban, pulmonary complications, admission in autumn, and time from injury to surgery. In addition, our results showed no significant difference in the mortality and functional outcomes between the two groups during follow-up. By identifying these risk factors in the Chinese geriatric population, it may be possible to risk-stratify IF patients and subsequently streamline inpatient resource utilization. However, the differences between health care systems must be taken into consideration. Future studies are needed to preemptively target the modifiable risk factors to demonstrate benefits in diminishing eLOS.

Effect of integrated management bundle on 1-year overall survival outcomes and perioperative outcomes in super elderly patients aged 90 and over with hip fracture: non-concurrent cohort study

BACKGROUND

Due to concomitant factors like frailty and comorbidity, super elderly (≥90 years) patients with hip fracture differ from patients aged 65-89 years in perioperative complications and mortality. The integrated management bundle referred to bundled application of multiple clinical measures. The aim of this study was to analyze effect of integrated management bundle on 1-year overall survival and perioperative outcomes in super elderly patients with hip fracture, with multidisciplinary management group serving as the control group.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, super elderly patients with hip fracture were included from Jan 2017 to Nov 2020. Patients were retrospectively divided to multidisciplinary management group and integrated management bundle group. The primary outcome was 1- year overall survival, and the secondary outcome was perioperative outcomes. Kaplan-Meier methods was used to compare survival probability. Multivariable Cox's modeling was used to explain the effect of integrated bundle on 1-year overall survival adjusted for confounders. The perioperative outcomes including complications and in-hospital data of two groups were compared. The multivariable logistic regression was used to explain the effect of integrated bundle on the occurrence of perioperative complications adjusted for confounders. Prognostic factors related to survival was identified by multivariable Cox's regression analysis.

RESULTS

Ninety-seven patients comprised multidisciplinary management group, and 83 comprised integrated management bundle group. The Kaplan-Meier plots showed that the survival probability of integrated management bundle group was significantly better than multidisciplinary management group (HR:0.435, 95%CI:0.207-0.914, P = 0.039). Multivariable analysis after adjustment for confounders showed a 42.8% lower incidence of mortality integrated management bundle group than multidisciplinary management group (HR:0.428, 95%CI:0.186-0.986, P = 0.046). Incidence of hypoproteinemia, and electrolyte disturbance in integrated management bundle group was significantly lower than multidisciplinary management group (all P < 0.05). In addition, significant reduction was observed in length of stay (P < 0.05) in integrated management bundle group. Multivariable logistic regression showed integrated management bundle was independent protective factor of hypoproteinemia, and electrolyte disturbance. mECM score ≥ 6 and ASA score > 2 were independent risk factors of overall survival (HR: 1.940, 95%CI: 1.067-3.525,P = 0.030; HR: 2.281, 95%CI: 1.113-4.678,P = 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

The integrated management bundle improved 1-year overall survival and played positive effects in improving perioperative outcomes. It might be a more suitable management modality for super elderly patients with hip fracture.

Predictors of long-term mortality after intertrochanteric fractures surgery: a 3-year retrospective study

Introduction

Intertrochanteric fractures are associated with high mortality rates; however, long-term data on survival and predictors remain scarce. Therefore, this study investigated risk factors associated with 3-year mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

Methods

In a retrospective study, 156 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures who underwent surgery between January 2017 to January 2018 at our center were included. Association-affecting variables, such as gender, age, time from injury to surgery, hemoglobin (Hb), total lymphocyte count (TLC), albumin, malnutrition, and co-morbidities, were recorded and analyzed. Afterward, logistic regression was used to analyze the significant variables and find independent predictors for 3-year mortality.

Results

A total of 156 patients were followed up for 3 years. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year postoperative cumulative mortality rates were 9.6% (15/156), 16.7% (26/156), and 24.4% (38/156), respectively. Simple analyses found that age, Hb, albumin, and malnutrition were associated with 3-year mortality (p < 0.05). Multivariable analysis confirmed that advanced age (p < 0.001) and low albumin (p = 0.014) were independent risk factors for 3-year mortality.

Conclusion

Low serum albumin and advanced age were independent risk factors for long-term mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12891-022-05442-2.

Validity, Responsiveness, and Predictive Ability of the Japanese Version of the Cumulated Ambulation Score in Patients with Hip Fracture

Objectives:

The aim of the current study was to investigate the validity, the responsiveness, and the predictive ability for discharge to own home of the Japanese version of the Cumulated Ambulation Score (CAS-JP). This was achieved by analyzing the CAS-JP after hip fracture surgery at multiple time points until patient discharge.

Methods:

Patients who underwent hip fracture surgery were evaluated using CAS-JP, the Barthel Index, and walking ability on postoperative day (POD) 1, 7, and 14 and at discharge. Floor and ceiling effects, responsiveness, and correlations between CAS-JP and other functional outcomes were assessed at each time point. The predictive ability of CAS-JP for discharge to own home was also analyzed using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic.

Results:

A total of 121 patients were included in this study. On POD7, POD14, and at discharge, strong correlations were observed between CAS-JP and the Barthel Index (r=0.81, 0.82, and 0.87, respectively), and between CAS-JP and walking status (r=0.82, 0.81, and 0.76, respectively). CAS-JP had a large effect size (1.64–2.25) and standardized response mean (1.49–1.81). The predictive ability of CAS-JP for discharge to own home, as indicated by the AUCs, were 0.73 (95% CI: 0.62–0.83) on POD7 and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.62–0.86) on POD14.

Conclusions:

CAS-JP has sufficient validity and responsiveness as a mobility assessment tool in postoperative hip fracture patients. Furthermore, this study showed that early postoperative mobility status evaluation using CAS-JP can sufficiently predict discharge to own home.

Is There a "Weekend Effect" in Intertrochanteric Fracture Surgery?

INTRODUCTION

Numerous studies reported poorer outcomes for patients who were admitted at weekends or off-hour, which relates to the underlying concept called the "weekend effect." We aimed to assess the effect of adverse outcomes in older patients with intertrochanteric fracture surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of patients aged ≥65 years with intertrochanteric fracture surgery. Data were collected from computerized medical records and all patients had a long-term follow-up. The association between weekend effect with adverse outcomes and factors for all-cause mortality was studied by 3-group comparison, Spearman and partial correlation analysis, univariate analysis, and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard model.

RESULTS

Our results showed no evidence supporting the existence of a weekend effect on adverse outcomes, including mortality rates (p = 0.950, log-rank), length of hospital stay, total hospital costs, rate and volume of transfusion, visual analog scale score, Harris Hip Score, and specific complications (all p > 0.05), except for an average of 0.5 days longer surgical delay found in patients admitted on Fridays relative to other days (p = 0.013). Instead, only age group (with a 10-year interval, HR 1.43, 1.28-1.59 95% CI, p < 0.001) and surgical delay (HR 1.05, 1.02-1.07 95% CI, p < 0.001) were identified as significantly associated with all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Older patients with intertrochanteric fracture surgery have similar mortality and adverse outcomes rates when admitted on weekends or holidays compared with weekdays. Our findings suggest that collaborative multidisciplinary team care seems both effective and efficient in the management of older patients with intertrochanteric fractures on any day of the week.

Discriminative Ability for Adverse Outcomes After Hip Fracture Surgery: A Comparison of Three Commonly Used Comorbidity-Based Indices

INTRODUCTION

Preoperative risk assessment can predict adverse outcomes following hip fracture surgery, helping with decision-making and management strategies. Several risk adjustment models based on coded comorbidities such as Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), modified Elixhauser's Comorbidity Measure (mECM), and modified frailty index (mFI-5) are currently prevalent for orthopedic patients, but there is no consensus regarding which is optimal. The primary purpose was to identify the risk factors of CCI, mECM, and mFI-5, as well as patient characteristics for predicting (1) 1-month, 3-month, 1-year, and 2-year mortality, (2) perioperative complications, and (3) extended length of stay (LOS) following hip fractured surgery. The secondary aim was to compare the best-performing comorbidity index combined with characteristics identified in terms of their discriminative ability for adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 3,379 consecutive patients presenting with intertrochanteric fractures at our Level I trauma center from 2013 to 2018. After eliminated by exclusion criteria, 2,241 patients undergoing hip fracture surgery by PFNA, with age ≥65 years, were included. Three main multivariate logistic regression models were constructed. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios for mortality. A base model included age, BMI, surgical delay, anesthesia type, hemoglobin record at admission, and American Society of Anesthesiologists grade (ASA) also was constructed and assessed.

RESULTS

Base model + mECM outperformed other models for the occurrence of major complications including severe complications, cardiac complications, and pulmonary complications [the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), 0.647; 95% CI, 0.616-0.677; AUC, 0.637; 95% CI, 0.610-0.664; AUC, 0.679; 95% CI, 0.642-0.715, respectively], while base model + CCI provided better prediction of minor complications of neurological complications and hematological complications (AUC, 0.659; 95% CI, 0.609, 0.709; AUC, 0.658; 95% CI, 0.635, 0.680). In addition, BMI, surgical delay, anesthesia type, and ASA were found highly relevant to extended LOS. Age-group (with a 10-year interval) was indicated to be mostly associated with all-cause mortality with fully adjusted hazard ratio of 1.35 and 95% CI range 1.20-1.51.

CONCLUSIONS

In comparison with mFI-5 and CCI, mECM so far may be the best comorbidity index combined with the base model for predicting major complications following hip fracture. The base model already achieved good discrimination for all-cause mortality and extended LOS, further addition of risk adjustment indices led to only 1% increase in the amount of variation explained.