Systematic construction and validation of an epithelial-mesenchymal transition risk model to predict prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma

An immune genes signature for predicting mortality in sepsis patients

A growing body of evidence indicates that the immune system plays a central role in sepsis. By analyzing immune genes, we sought to establish a robust gene signature and develop a nomogram that could predict mortality in patients with sepsis. Herein, data were extracted from the Gene Expression Omnibus and Biological Information Database of Sepsis (BIDOS) databases. We enrolled 479 participants with complete survival data using the GSE65682 dataset, and grouped them randomly into training (n = 240) and internal validation (n = 239) sets based on a 1:1 proportion. GSE95233 was set as the external validation dataset (n=51). We validated the expression and prognostic value of the immune genes using the BIDOS database. We established a prognostic immune genes signature (including ADRB2, CTSG, CX3CR1, CXCR6, IL4R, LTB, and TMSB10) via LASSO and Cox regression analyses in the training set. Based on the training and validation sets, the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves and Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the immune risk signature has good predictive power in predicting sepsis mortality risk. The external validation cases also showed that mortality rates in the high-risk group were higher than those in the low-risk group. Subsequently, a nomogram integrating the combined immune risk score and other clinical features was developed. Finally, a web-based calculator was built to facilitate a convenient clinical application of the nomogram. In summary, the signature based on the immune gene holds potential as a novel prognostic predictor for sepsis.

Establishing a glutamine metabolism-based model for predicting the prognosis of low-grade glioma

Background: The natural history of patients with low-grade glioma (LGG) varies widely, but most patients eventually deteriorate, leading to poor prognostic outcomes. We aim to develop biological models that can accurately predict the outcome of LGG prognosis.

Methods: Prognostic genes for glutamine metabolism were searched by univariate Cox regression, and molecular typing was constructed. Functional enrichment analysis was done to evaluate potential prognostic-related pathways by analyzing differential genes in different subtypes. Enrichment scores of specific gene sets in different subtypes were measured by gene set enrichment analysis. Different immune infiltration levels among subtypes were calculated using algorithms such as CIBERSORT and ESTIMATE. Gene expression levels of prognostic-related gene signatures of glutamine metabolism phenotypes were used to construct a RiskScore model. Receiver operating characteristic curve, decision curve and calibration curve analyses were used to evaluate the reliability and validity of the risk model. The decision tree model was used to determine the best predictor variable ultimately.

Results: We found that C1 had the worst prognosis and the highest level of immune infiltration, among which the highest macrophage infiltration can be found in the M2 stage. Moreover, most of the pathways associated with tumor development, such as MYC_TARGETS_V1 and EPITHELIAL_MESENCHYMAL_TRANSITION, were significantly enriched in C1. The wild-type IDH and MGMT hypermethylation were the most abundant in C1. A five-gene risk model related to glutamine metabolism phenotype was established with good performance in both training and validation datasets. The final decision tree demonstrated the RiskScore model as the most significant predictor of prognostic outcomes in individuals with LGG.

Conclusion: The RiskScore model related to glutamine metabolism can be an exceedingly accurate predictor for LGG patients, providing valuable suggestions for personalized treatment.

Predicting mortality in acute kidney injury patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy using a visualization model: A retrospective study

Background: Patients with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) require continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) when hemodynamically unstable. We aimed to identify prognostic factors and develop a nomogram that could predict mortality in patients with AKI undergoing CRRT. Methods: Data were extracted from the Dryad Digital Repository. We enrolled 1,002 participants and grouped them randomly into training (n = 670) and verification (n = 332) datasets based on a 2:1 proportion. Based on Cox proportional modeling of the training set, we created a web-based dynamic nomogram to estimate all-cause mortality. Results: The model incorporated phosphate, Charlson comorbidity index, body mass index, mean arterial pressure, levels of creatinine and albumin, and sequential organ failure assessment scores as independent predictive indicators. Model calibration and discrimination were satisfactory. In the training dataset, the area under the curves (AUCs) for estimating the 28-, 56-, and 84-day all-cause mortality were 0.779, 0.780, and 0.787, respectively. The model exhibited excellent calibration and discrimination in the validation dataset, with AUC values of 0.791, 0.778, and 0.806 for estimating 28-, 56-, and 84-day all-cause mortality, respectively. The calibration curves exhibited the consistency of the model between the two cohorts. To visualize the results, we created a web-based calculator. Conclusion: We created a web-based calculator for assessing fatality risk in patients with AKI receiving CRRT, which may help rationalize clinical decision-making and personalized therapy.

A novel epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-related gene signature of predictive value for the survival outcomes in lung adenocarcinoma

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is a remarkably heterogeneous and aggressive disease with dismal prognosis of patients. The identification of promising prognostic biomarkers might enable effective diagnosis and treatment of LUAD. Aberrant activation of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) is required for LUAD initiation, progression and metastasis. With the purpose of identifying a robust EMT-related gene signature (E-signature) to monitor the survival outcomes of LUAD patients. In The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis and cox regression analysis were conducted to acquire prognostic and EMT-related genes. A 4 EMT-related and prognostic gene signature, comprising dickkopf-like protein 1 (DKK1), lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2), matrix Gla protein (MGP) and slit guidance ligand 3 (SLIT3), was identified. By the usage of datum derived from TCGA database and Western blotting analysis, compared with adjacent tissue samples, DKK1 and LOXL2 protein expression in LUAD tissue samples were significantly higher, whereas the trend of MGP and SLIT3 expression were opposite. Concurrent with upregulation of epithelial markers and downregulation of mesenchymal markers, knockdown of DKK1 and LOXL2 impeded the migration and invasion of LUAD cells. Simultaneously, MGP and SLIT3 silencing promoted metastasis and induce EMT of LUAD cells. In the TCGA-LUAD set, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that our risk model based on the identified E-signature was superior to those reported in literatures. Additionally, the E-signature carried robust prognostic significance. The validity of prediction in the E-signature was validated by the three independent datasets obtained from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The probabilistic nomogram including the E-signature, pathological T stage and N stage was constructed and the nomogram demonstrated satisfactory discrimination and calibration. In LUAD patients, the E-signature risk score was associated with T stage, N stage, M stage and TNM stage. GSEA (gene set enrichment analysis) analysis indicated that the E-signature might be linked to the pathways including GLYCOLYSIS, MYC TARGETS, DNA REPAIR and so on. In conclusion, our study explored an innovative EMT based prognostic signature that might serve as a potential target for personalized and precision medicine.

Molecular Typing Based on Oxidative Stress Genes and Establishment of Prognostic Characteristics of 7 Genes in Lung Adenocarcinoma

Oxidative stress could maintain different biological processes in human cancer. However, the effect of oxidative stress on lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) should be studied. This study analyzed the expression and clinical importance of oxidative stress in LUAD in detail. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were employed for obtaining LUAD expression profiles. Based on oxidative stress-related genes, molecular subtypes substantially correlated with the LUAD prognosis were discovered with ConsensusClusterPlus. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among subtypes were found using the Limma software package. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator- (Lasso-) Cox analysis was employed to create the polygenic risk model. RiskScore and clinically relevant features were used to create nomograms. By utilizing oxidative stress-related genes and reliable clustering, stable molecular subtypes were first discovered. The prognosis, clinical characteristics, route characteristics, and immunological characteristics of these three molecular subtypes were all different. Subsequently, by using differential expression genes among molecular subtypes and Lasso, 7 main genes linked with the oxidative stress phenotype were discovered. A prognostic risk model was also built on the basis of major genes associated with the oxidative stress phenotype. The model demonstrated a high level of resilience and was unaffected by clinical-pathological features. It played a stable predictive role in independent datasets. Ultimately, to improve the prognosis model and survival prediction, RiskScore (RS) was combined with clinicopathological variables, and a decision tree model was used. The model exhibited a high prediction accuracy as well as the ability to predict survival. This research found that oxidative stress-related genes have a major involvement in the onset and progression of LUAD and that they may influence LUAD susceptibility to immunotherapy and standard chemotherapy. Furthermore, the identified risk models for 7 genes linked with oxidative stress exhibited could assist clinical treatment decisions and prognosis prediction. The classifier could be used as a molecular diagnostic tool for assessing LUAD patients' prognosis risk.

A Ubiquitin-Proteasome Gene Signature for Predicting Prognosis in Patients With Lung Adenocarcinoma

Background: Dysregulation of the ubiquitin-proteasome system (UPS) can lead to instability in the cell cycle and may act as a crucial factor in both tumorigenesis and tumor progression. However, there is no established prognostic signature based on UPS genes (UPSGs) for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) despite their value in other cancers.

Methods: We retrospectively evaluated a total of 703 LUAD patients through multivariate Cox and Lasso regression analyses from two datasets, the Cancer Genome Atlas (n = 477) and GSE31210 (n = 226). An independent dataset (GSE50081) containing 128 LUAD samples were used for validation.

Results: An eight-UPSG signature, including ARIH2, FBXO9, KRT8, MYLIP, PSMD2, RNF180, TRIM28, and UBE2V2, was established. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and time-receiver operating characteristic curves for the training and validation datasets revealed that this risk signature presented with good performance in predicting overall and relapsed-free survival. Based on the signature and its associated clinical features, a nomogram and corresponding web-based calculator for predicting survival were established. Calibration plot and decision curve analyses showed that this model was clinically useful for both the training and validation datasets. Finally, a web-based calculator (https://ostool.shinyapps.io/lungcancer) was built to facilitate convenient clinical application of the signature.

Conclusion: An UPSG based model was developed and validated in this study, which may be useful as a novel prognostic predictor for LUAD.

A Prognostic Risk Score Based on Hypoxia-, Immunity-, and Epithelialto-Mesenchymal Transition-Related Genes for the Prognosis and Immunotherapy Response of Lung Adenocarcinoma

Background: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), the most common subtype of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), is associated with poor prognosis. However, current stage-based clinical methods are insufficient for survival prediction and decision-making. This study aimed to establish a novel model for evaluating the risk of LUAD based on hypoxia, immunity, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) gene signatures.

Methods: In this study, we used data from TCGA-LUAD for the training cohort and GSE68465 and GSE72094 for the validation cohorts. Immunotherapy datasets GSE135222, GSE126044, and IMvigor210 were obtained from a previous study. Using bioinformatic and machine algorithms, we established a risk model based on hypoxia, immune, and EMT gene signatures, which was then used to divide patients into the high and low risk groups. We analyzed differences in enriched pathways between the two groups, following which we investigated whether the risk score was correlated with stemness scores, genes related to m6A, m5C, m1A and m7G modification, the immune microenvironment, immunotherapy response, and multiple anti-cancer drug sensitivity.

Results: Overall survival differed significantly between the high-risk and low-risk groups (HR = 4.26). The AUCs for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were 0.763, 0.766, and 0.728, respectively. In the GSE68465 dataset, the HR was 2.03, while the AUCs for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were 0.69, 0.651, and 0.618, respectively. The corresponding values in the GSE72094 dataset were an HR of 2.36 and AUCs of 0.653, 0.662, and 0.749, respectively. The risk score model could independently predict OS in patients with LUAD, and highly correlated with stemness scores and numerous m6A, m5C, m1A and m7G modification-related genes. Furthermore, the risk model was significantly correlated with multiple immune microenvironment characteristics. In the GSE135222 dataset, the HR was 4.26 and the AUC was 0.702. Evaluation of the GSE126044 and IMvigor210 cohorts indicated that PD-1/PD-LI inhibitor treatment may be indicated in patients with low risk scores, while anti-cancer therapy with various drugs may be indicated in patients with high risk scores.

Conclusion: Our novel risk model developed based on hypoxia, immune, and EMT gene signatures can aid in predicting clinical prognosis and guiding treatment in patients with LUAD.

Identification of a Three-Gene Signature Based on Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition of Lung Adenocarcinoma Through Construction and Validation of a Risk-Prediction Model

Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) process, which is regulated by genes of inducible factors and transcription factor family of signaling pathways, transforms epithelial cells into mesenchymal cells and is involved in tumor invasion and progression and increases tumor tolerance to clinical interventions. This study constructed a multigene marker for lung predicting the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients by bioinformatic analysis based on EMT-related genes. Gene sets associated with EMT were downloaded from the EMT-gene database, and RNA-seq of LUAD and clinical information of patients were downloaded from the TCGA database. Differentially expressed genes were screened by difference analysis. Survival analysis was performed to identify genes associated with LUAD prognosis, and overlapping genes were taken for all the three. Prognosis-related genes were further determined by combining LASSO regression analysis for establishing a prediction signature, and the risk score equation for the prognostic model was established using multifactorial COX regression analysis to construct a survival prognostic model. The model accuracy was evaluated using subject working characteristic curves. According to the median value of risk score, samples were divided into a high-risk group and low-risk group to observe the correlation with the clinicopathological characteristics of patients. Combined with the results of one-way COX regression analysis, HGF, PTX3, and S100P were considered as independent predictors of LUAD prognosis. In lung cancer tissues, HGF and PTX3 expression was downregulated and S100P expression was upregulated. Kaplan-Meier, COX regression analysis showed that HGF, PTX3, and S100P were prognostic independent predictors of LUAD, and high expressions of all the three were all significantly associated with immune cell infiltration. The present study provided potential prognostic predictive biological markers for LUAD patients, and confirmed EMT as a key mechanism in LUAD progression.

An easy-to-operate web-based calculator for predicting the progression of chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to establish and validate an easy-to-operate novel scoring system based on simple and readily available clinical indices for predicting the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 1045 eligible CKD patients from a publicly available database. Factors included in the model were determined by univariate and multiple Cox proportional hazard analyses based on the training set.

RESULTS

Independent prognostic factors including etiology, hemoglobin level, creatinine level, proteinuria, and urinary protein/creatinine ratio were determined and contained in the model. The model showed good calibration and discrimination. The area under the curve (AUC) values generated to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year progression-free survival in the training set were 0.947, 0.931, and 0.939, respectively. In the validation set, the model still revealed excellent calibration and discrimination, and the AUC values generated to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year progression-free survival were 0.948, 0.933, and 0.915, respectively. In addition, decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model was clinically beneficial. Moreover, to visualize the prediction results, we established a web-based calculator ( https://ncutool.shinyapps.io/CKDprogression/ ).

CONCLUSION

An easy-to-operate model based on five relevant factors was developed and validated as a conventional tool to assist doctors with clinical decision-making and personalized treatment.