Changes of alpha-fetoprotein levels could predict recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma survival after trans-arterial chemoembolization

Contrast-Enhanced CT Imaging Features Combined with Clinical Factors to Predict the Efficacy and Prognosis for Transarterial Chemoembolization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate prediction of treatment response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is critical for precision treatment. This study aimed to develop a comprehensive model (DLRC) that incorporates contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images and clinical factors to predict the response to TACE in patients with HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 399 patients with intermediate-stage HCC were included in this retrospective study. Deep learning and radiomic signatures were established based on arterial phase CECT images, Correlation analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection (LASSO) regression analysis were applied for features selection. The DLRC model incorporating deep learning radiomic signatures and clinical factors was developed using multivariate logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the models. Kaplan-Meier survival curves based on the DLRC were plotted to assess overall survival in the follow-up cohort (n = 261).

RESULTS

The DLRC model was developed using 19 quantitative radiomic features, 10 deep learning features, and 3 clinical factors. The AUC of the DLRC model was 0.937 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.912-0.962) and 0.909 (95% CI, 0.850-0.968) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, outperforming models established with two signatures or a single signature (p < 0.05). Stratified analysis showed that the DLRC was not statistically different between subgroups (p > 0.05), and the DCA confirmed the greater net clinical benefit. In addition, multivariable cox regression revealed that DLRC model outputs were independent risk factors for the overall survival (hazard ratios: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.03-1.40; p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

The DLRC model exhibited a remarkable accuracy in predicting response to TACE, and it can be utilized as a potent tool for precision treatment.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein level is correlated with the level of inflammatory markers in the immune-clearance phase of chronic hepatitis B in Eastern China

PURPOSE

To clarify the association of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) with inflammatory markers interleukin (IL)-6 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during the immune-clearance phase in Eastern China.

METHODS

This research selected 60 CHB patients during the immune clearance phase who tested positive for AFP, including 32 cases treated by non-antiviral therapy (experimental group) and 28 cases treated by antiviral therapy (positive control group). Another 30 cases tested negative for AFP were set as a negative control group. The correlations of serum AFP with IL-6 and TNF-α in patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

HBV DNA clearance in patients receiving antiviral therapy, in both the positive or negative control groups, was not significantly related to other clinical data. In the experimental group, a positive correlation of HBV DNA clearance with serum AFP level (r=0.5126, P=0.0027), alanine aminotransferase (r=0.3924, P=0.0263), and total bilirubin (r=0.5126, P=0.0027) was found. The experimental and positive control groups exhibited elevated serum IL-6 and TNF-α contents versus the negative control group (P<0.05). A positive association of AFP with IL-6 and TNF-α was also identified.

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP level is positively related to IL-6 and TNF-α levels in CHB patients during the immune-clearance phase.

Assessment and Monitoring of Response to Systemic Treatment in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Current Insights

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) management has become more complex as novel therapies have been proven effective. After sorafenib, the approval of other multikinase inhibitors (MKIs) and immune checkpoints inhibitors (ICIs) has considerably increased the number of systemic therapies available. Therefore, careful assessment and monitoring of response to systemic treatment are essential to identify surrogate endpoints of overall survival (OS) in clinical trials and reliable tools to gauge treatment benefit in clinical practice. Progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) are early informative parameters of efficacy that are not influenced by further lines of therapy. However, none of them has shown sufficient surrogacy to be recommended in place of OS in phase 3 trials. With such a wealth of therapeutic options, the prime intent of tumor assessments is no longer limited to identifying progressive disease to spare ineffective treatments to non-responders. Indeed, the early detection of responders could also help tailor treatment sequencing. Tumor assessment relies on the Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors (RECIST), which are easy to interpret – being based on dimensional principles – but could misread the activity of targeted agents. The HCC-specific modified RECIST (mRECIST), considering both the MKI-induced biological modifications and some of the cirrhosis-induced liver changes, better capture tumor response. Yet, mRECIST could not be considered a standard in advanced HCC. Further prognosticators including progression patterns, baseline and on-treatment liver function deterioration, and baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels and AFP response have been extensively evaluated for MKIs. However, limited information is available for patients receiving ICIs and regarding their predictive role. Finally, there is increasing interest in incorporating novel imaging techniques which go beyond sizes and novel serum biomarkers in the advanced HCC framework. Hopefully, multiparametric models grouping dimensional and functional radiological parameters with biochemical markers will most precisely reflect treatment response.

Combined Transarterial Chemoembolization with Microwave Ablation versus Microwave Alone for Treatment of Medium Sized Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background & Aims:

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths. The only definitive treatment for both HCC and cirrhosis is liver transplantation, but long wait times in some regions and a relatively fixed number of donor organs negatively impact access to liver transplantation. The aim of the work was to evaluate and compare the short outcome of patients with medium-sized HCC who will undergo percutaneous microwave ablation (MWA) alone and in combination with TACE.

Methods:

This prospective study included 40 patients with medium-sized HCC lesions who were classified into two groups; Group A that included twenty patients treated by TACE followed by percutaneous MWA after 2 weeks and group B that included twenty patients treated by 2 sessions of percutaneous MWA with 2 weeks interval. Full history taking, clinical examination, laboratory investigation, abdominal ultrasonography and abdominal tri-phasic computed tomography (CT) with contrast were obtained from the two groups. Laboratory and radiological follow up of the cases were done at 1 and 3 months after the treatment.

Results:

There was no statistically significant difference in the sociodemographic criteria, laboratory measurement and clinical criteria between the cases in the two study groups before initiation of treatment. The response was slightly better in the combined treatment group, but it did not show a statistically significant difference. The incidence of complications was higher in the MWA group.

Conclusion::

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a common complication of HCV related cirrhosis. Association of TACE-MWA led to better response rates than MWA with fewer complications.

Predicting the Initial Treatment Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization in Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma by the Integration of Radiomics and Deep Learning

Objectives

We aimed to develop radiology-based models for the preoperative prediction of the initial treatment response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the integration of radiomics and deep learning (DL) has not been reported for TACE.

Methods

Three hundred and ten intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent TACE were recruited from three independent medical centers. Based on computed tomography (CT) images, recursive feature elimination (RFE) was used to select the most useful radiomics features. Five radiomics conventional machine learning (cML) models and a DL model were used for training and validation. Mutual correlations between each model were analyzed. The accuracies of integrating clinical variables, cML, and DL models were then evaluated.

Results

Good predictive accuracies were showed across the two cohorts in the five cML models, especially the random forest algorithm (AUC = 0.967 and 0.964, respectively). DL showed high accuracies in the training and validation cohorts (AUC = 0.981 and 0.972, respectively). Significant mutual correlations were revealed between tumor size and the five cML models and DL model (each P < 0.001). The highest accuracies were achieved by integrating DL and the random forest algorithm in the training and validation cohorts (AUC = 0.995 and 0.994, respectively).

Conclusion

The radiomics cML models and DL model showed notable accuracy for predicting the initial response to TACE treatment. Moreover, the integrated model could serve as a novel and accurate method for prediction in intermediate-stage HCC.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein and clinical outcomes in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with ramucirumab

BACKGROUND

Post hoc analyses assessed the prognostic and predictive value of baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), as well as clinical outcomes by AFP response or progression, during treatment in two placebo-controlled trials (REACH, REACH-2).

METHODS

Serum AFP was measured at baseline and every three cycles. The prognostic and predictive value of baseline AFP was assessed by Cox regression models and Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot method. Associations between AFP (≥ 20% increase) and radiographic progression and efficacy were assessed.

RESULTS

Baseline AFP was confirmed as a continuous (REACH, REACH-2; p < 0.0001) and dichotomous (≥400 vs. <400 ng/ml; REACH, p < 0.01) prognostic factor, and was predictive for ramucirumab survival benefit in REACH (p = 0.0042 continuous; p < 0.0001 dichotomous). Time to AFP (hazard ratio [HR] 0.513; p < 0.0001) and radiographic (HR 0.549; p < 0.0001) progression favoured ramucirumab. Association between AFP and radiographic progression was shown for up to 6 (odds ratio [OR] 5.1; p < 0.0001) and 6-12 weeks (OR 1.8; p = 0.0065). AFP response was higher with ramucirumab vs. placebo (p < 0.0001). Survival was longer in patients with an AFP response than patients without (13.6 vs. 5.6 months, HR 0.451; 95% confidence interval, 0.354-0.574; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

AFP is an important prognostic factor and a predictive biomarker for ramucirumab survival benefit. AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml is an appropriate selection criterion for ramucirumab.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, REACH (NCT01140347) and REACH-2 (NCT02435433).

Prognostic Value of Alpha-Fetoprotein in Patients Who Achieve a Complete Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a prognostic marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We investigated the prognostic value of AFP levels in patients who achieved complete response (CR) to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between 2005 and 2018, 890 patients with HCC who achieved a CR to TACE were recruited. An AFP responder was defined as a patient who showed elevated levels of AFP (>10 ng/mL) during TACE, but showed normalization or a >50% reduction in AFP levels after achieving a CR.

RESULTS

Among the recruited patients, 569 (63.9%) with naïve HCC and 321 (36.1%) with recurrent HCC after complete resection were treated. Before TACE, 305 (34.3%) patients had multiple tumors, 219 (24.6%) had a maximal tumor size >3 cm, and 22 (2.5%) had portal vein tumor thrombosis. The median AFP level after achieving a CR was 6.36 ng/mL. After a CR, 473 (53.1%) patients experienced recurrence, and 417 (46.9%) died [median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of 16.3 and 62.8 months, respectively]. High AFP levels at CR (>20 ng/mL) were independently associated with a shorter PFS [hazard ratio (HR)=1.403] and OS (HR=1.284), together with tumor multiplicity at TACE (HR=1.518 and 1.666, respectively). AFP non-responders at CR (76.2%, n=359 of 471) showed a shorter PFS (median 10.5 months vs. 15.5 months, HR=1.375) and OS (median 41.4 months vs. 61.8 months, HR=1.424) than AFP responders (all p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

High AFP levels and AFP non-responders were independently associated with poor outcomes after TACE. AFP holds clinical implications for detailed risk stratification upon achieving a CR after TACE.

Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Levels and Clinical Outcomes in the Phase III CELESTIAL Study of Cabozantinib versus Placebo in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

The phase III CELESTIAL study demonstrated improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) with cabozantinib versus placebo in patients with previously treated, advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We analyzed outcomes by baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and on-treatment AFP changes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Serum AFP was measured every 8 weeks by blinded, centralized testing. Outcomes were analyzed by baseline AFP bifurcated at 400 ng/mL and by on-treatment AFP response (≥20% decrease from baseline at Week 8). The optimal cutoff for change in AFP at Week 8 was evaluated using maximally selected rank statistics.

RESULTS

Median OS for cabozantinib versus placebo was 13.9 versus 10.3 months [HR, 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.62-1.04] for patients with baseline AFP <400 ng/mL, and 8.5 versus 5.2 months (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.54-0.94) for patients with baseline AFP ≥400 ng/mL. Week 8 AFP response rate was 50% for cabozantinib versus 13% for placebo. In the cabozantinib arm, median OS for patients with and without AFP response was 16.1 versus 9.1 months (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.84). AFP response was independently associated with longer OS. The optimal cutoff for association with OS in the cabozantinib arm was ≤0% change in AFP at Week 8 [AFP control; HR 0.50 (95% CI, 0.35-0.71)]. HRs for PFS were consistent with those for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Cabozantinib improved outcomes versus placebo across a range of baseline AFP levels. On-treatment AFP response and control rates were higher with cabozantinib than placebo, and were associated with longer OS and PFS with cabozantinib.

The Immune Modulation Effect of Locoregional Therapies and Its Potential Synergy with Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Locoregional therapies (LRTs) including radiofrequency ablation, surgical resection, and TACE, play a pivotal role in the treatment of early stage/locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Besides their direct effect on tumor cells, LRTs also play an essential role in the immunomodulation of the tumor microenvironment which is of interest in the current era of cancer immunotherapy. In this review, we describe the HCC immune microenvironment and how it is affected by LRTs as described in multiple pre-clinical and clinical studies and provide the rationale for combining LRTs with immunotherapy.

Post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein response predicts prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been reported to be associated with prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, but the results were not consistent. This meta-analysis aimed to explore the relationship between AFP response and clinical outcomes of HCC.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Medline and Cochrane library were searched for relevant articles published before March 20, 2019. The data were analyzed using RevMan5.3 software.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine articles with 4726 HCC patients were finally included for analysis. The pooled results showed that post-treatment AFP response was significantly associated with overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.35-0.47, P <.001), progression free survival (PFS) (HR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.39-0.54, P <.001) and recurrence free survival (RFS) (HR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.29-0.56, P <.001) of HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

post-treatment AFP response might be a useful prognostic marker for HCC patients.