Active surveillance as a management strategy for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Thyroid cancer epidemiology in Ireland from 1994 to 2019 - Rising diagnoses without mortality benefit

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology and management of thyroid cancer has changed radically in the recent past, with rising international incidence of early-stage papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) in particular. In this paper, we review the epidemiology of thyroid cancer in Ireland.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of National Cancer Registry of Ireland data, 1994-2019.

RESULTS

Records from 4158 patients were analysed. 73 % (n = 3040) were female. The average age was 50.4 years. Patient sex did not change over time (p = 0.662), while age decreased significantly (p < 0.0001). The most common diagnoses were PTC (n = 2,905, 70 %) and follicular thyroid carcinoma (n = 549, 13 %). Incidence rose over threefold (1.8-6.2 cases/100000 person-years). The incidence of T1 PTC rose over twelvefold (0.169-2.1 cases/100000 person-years), while the incidence of stage III and IV disease did not change significantly. Five-year disease-specific survival (DSS) was 85 % and varied significantly by diagnosis - 97 % for PTC versus 5 % for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma. Survival did not change significantly over time. Male sex was a risk factor for more advanced disease (p < 0.0001) but did not independently predict overall survival except in PTC (HR 1.6, p = 0.03). The use of radioactive iodine declined markedly from 49 % to 12.5 %. RAI improved DSS for PTC patients aged over 55 years (p = 0.02) without a notable effect on survival for those under 55 years (p = 0.99).

CONCLUSION

The epidemiology and management of thyroid cancer in Ireland has changed dramatically in a manner reflective of international trends.

Criteria to Evaluate Tumor Enlargement During the Active Surveillance of High-Risk Thyroid Nodules: Which is Better, Diameter or Volume?

INTRODUCTION

Tumor enlargement is the most common parameter identifying disease progression during active surveillance, but the value and significance of the changes in tumor diameter and volume in the evaluation of tumor growth have not been compared.

METHODS

This cohort study included 468 patients with high-risk thyroid nodule, in whom nodule size change was monitored using ultrasound, to compare the changes in tumor diameter and volume in assessing tumor growth.

RESULTS

A total of 569 high-risk thyroid nodules were found in the 468 patients. A total of 14 nodules (2.5%) showed a diameter increase ≥ 3 mm. The number of nodules with a peak volume change exceeding 50% and 100% was 185 (32.5%) and 86 (15.1%), respectively. Among the 555 stable nodules, the number of nodules with volume fluctuations exceeding 50% and 100% was 171 (30.8%) and 72 (13.0%), respectively. Among 212 stable nodules at the baseline and in the first three follow-up, the percentage of peak volume fluctuations exceeding 50% (48.5% vs. 28.5%, p = 0.004) and 100% (26.5% vs. 8.3%, p < 0.001) in the nodules with the sum of three diameters (SOTDs) ≤ 1 cm was significantly higher than that of nodules with SOTDs > 1 cm. A statistically significant difference was also found in the range distribution of SOTDs ≤ 1 cm and SOTDs > 1 cm (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Volume is not an appropriate method for determining tumor growth. Tumor diameter measurement alone serves as a better surrogate for disease progression in sonographically high-risk thyroid nodules than volume.

Aided diagnosis of thyroid nodules based on an all-optical diffraction neural network

Background

Thyroid cancer is the most common malignancy in the endocrine system, with its early manifestation being the presence of thyroid nodules. With the advantages of convenience, noninvasiveness, and a lack of radiation, ultrasound is currently the first-line screening tool for the clinical diagnosis of thyroid nodules. The use of artificial intelligence to assist diagnosis is an emerging technology. This paper proposes the use optical neural networks for potential application in the auxiliary diagnosis of thyroid nodules.

Methods

Ultrasound images obtained from January 2013 to December 2018 at the Institute and Hospital of Oncology, Tianjin Medical University, were included in a dataset. Patients who consecutively underwent thyroid ultrasound diagnosis and follow-up procedures were included. We developed an all-optical diffraction neural network to assist in the diagnosis of thyroid nodules. The network is composed of 5 diffraction layers and 1 detection plane. The input image is placed 10 mm away from the first diffraction layer. The input of the diffractive neural network is light at a wavelength of 632.8 nm, and the output of this network is determined by the amplitude and light intensity obtained from the detection region.

Results

The all-optical neural network was used to assist in the diagnosis of thyroid nodules. In the classification task of benign and malignant thyroid nodules, the accuracy of classification on the test set was 97.79%, with an area under the curve value of 99.8%. In the task of detecting thyroid nodules, we first trained the model to determine whether any nodules were present and achieved an accuracy of 84.92% on the test set.

Conclusions

Our study demonstrates the potential of all-optical neural networks in the field of medical image processing. The performance of the models based on optical neural networks is comparable to other widely used network models in the field of image classification.

Barriers and Facilitators to the Choice of Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer in China: A Qualitative Study Examining Patient Perspectives

Background: Internationally, several clinical practice guidelines recommend active surveillance as a nonsurgical management strategy for select patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma. However, patient's decision making when choosing active surveillance as a management approach is not well understood. Thus, our aim was to examine the barriers and facilitators to selecting active surveillance among patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma in China. Methods: Thirty-nine participants diagnosed with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma were purposively recruited between July and November 2021 for semistructured interviews; 24 of whom rejected and 15 patients chose "active surveillance" as a management approach in our sample. Inductive content analysis illustrated emerging themes. Audit trails, member checks, and thematic discussions were used to assert rigor. Results: Barriers and facilitators were classified as patient-related, disease-related, and external factors. Patient-related factors included patient's knowledge, attitudes, and emotions. Disease-related factors included the response to having cancer, the constant state of being diseased, and perceived value of the thyroid gland. External factors included the residual effects of surgery, the active surveillance protocol, and physicians' recommendations. Conclusions: Patient's acceptability of the active surveillance as a management approach are complex with many influencing factors. The public acceptance of active surveillance as a disease management approach needs to be improved, through the presentation of active surveillance as an evidence-based and optimized dynamic management strategy. Clinicians must address their patients' psychological struggles when patients choose active surveillance and patients require more attention and supportive intervention.

Analysis of Therapeutic Effect and Influencing Factors of Ultrasound-Guided Radiofrequency Ablation in the Treatment of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The current study sought to explore the effects of ultrasound (US)-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) on papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and influencing factors.

METHODS

PTMC patients were assigned to observation (US-guided RFA) and control (surgical operation) groups. A series of operation-related indexes (operation time, intraoperative bleeding, wound closure time, hospital stay, and expenses), visual analogue scale score, lesion size, and thyroid function-related indexes (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], free triiodothyronine*** [FT3], free thyroxine [FT4]), inflammatory factors, and thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) were assessed and compared. After a 6-month follow-up period, the complications and recurrence were recorded, in addition to analyses of postoperative recurrence cumulative incidence and evaluation of recurrence risk factors.

RESULTS

Operation-related indexes of the observation group were relatively decreased compared with the control group. In addition, the lesion volume in the observation group was lower compared to that in the control group at the 6th month after operation, whereas the volume reduction rate was higher. There were no significant differences in regard to thyroid function-related indexes in the observation group before/after operation. After operation, serum TSH levels and inflammatory factors, and TgAb levels were all diminished, while the FT3 and FT4 levels were both elevated in the observation group relative to the control group, and postoperative recurrence cumulative incidence was lower in the observation group. TSH and TgAb were established as the independent risk factors for recurrence after RFA in PTMC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlighted that US-guided RFA exhibits better efficacy, safety, and postoperative recovery and lower recurrence risk for PTMC.

Comparative analysis of pre-operative ultrasound and histopathology in small papillary thyroid carcinoma in the era of active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Contemporary management of small papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC) includes active surveillance (AS) as a number of these tumours are indolent. Overseas studies have reported AS in tumours up to 15 mm. This study aims to look at an Australian cohort of patients who have had surgery for non-incidental PTCs and analyse their pre-operative ultrasound and histopathology data to investigate potential issues that might arise in the era of AS.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 82 patients who had surgical removal of PTCs ≤15 mm in diameter. Pre-operative ultrasound imaging was reviewed by an experienced sonologist and histopathology data was obtained from medical records. The AS risk stratification framework by Brito et al. was used to determine those who were feasible for AS based on ultrasound findings.

RESULTS

Review of pre-operative ultrasounds demonstrated there were 68 (82.9%) patients who were shown to be either appropriate or ideal for AS. On review of histopathology, 49 (69%) patients had at least one adverse pathological risk factor. This is more than half of the patients that were originally identified as candidates for AS.

CONCLUSION

Our study has revealed a large proportion were suitable for AS but when compared with histopathological guidelines there was a high incidence of adverse pathological features found. This discrepancy indicates that although the guidelines are important, there are unknown pathological variables that need to be considered in patients selected for AS.

Latest evidence of microwave ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma compared with surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The most typical thyroid gland malignant lesion is papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). In many nations, the prevalence of thyroid cancer (TC) is rising, particularly papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). Microwave ablation (MWA) has been gradually carried out in some patients with benign thyroid nodules, some low-risk PTMC, and metastatic lymph nodes in the neck. The role and safety of MWA remain controversial topics. So we conducted this study to provide the latest evidence of MWA for PTMC compared with surgery.

Methods

Patients' postoperative outcomes (duration of hospital stay and hospitalization expenditures), intraoperative outcomes (surgery time, blood loss, and incision size), and follow-up outcomes were all examined (complication rate, recurrence rate, and lymph node metastasis). The effectiveness and safety of MWA versus surgery for PTMC patients were compared using the weighted mean difference (WMD) and odds ratio (OR).

Results

In total, we included 7 articles (7 trial comparisons) which contained 1, 567 PTMC patients. The results showed that MWA had significant advantages in operative time (WMD = -53.47, 95% CI: -67.62 to -39.32), postoperative hospital stay (WMD =-4.59, 95% CI: -6.40 to -2.77), hospitalization costs (WMD= -70.06, 95% CI: -90.93 to -49.19), blood loss (WMD =-28.07, 95% CI: -33.77 to -22.38), incisions size (WMD =-59.69, 95% CI: -67.79 to -51.59), and complication rates (OR = 0.28; 95% CI: 0.18 to 0.42) compared with surgery. It also showed that recurrence rates and risk of lymph node metastasis are similar to surgery.

Conclusions

For PTMC patients, MWA could be an efficient, safe, and affordable therapy.

Predictive features of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: Roles of active surveillance in over-treatment

Background

Low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinically evident lymph nodes, extrathyroidal expansions, and distant metastases may be candidates for active monitoring.

Objective

The purpose of this research is to identify risk factors for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) metastasis to central cervical lymph nodes (CLNM) and to discuss the viability of an active surveillance strategy to minimize unnecessary therapy for patients.

Methods

This single-center retrospective study was conducted on the data and medical records of the patients who were diagnosed with PTMC and underwent surgery at the Baotou Cancer Hospital, China, between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019. Both lobectomy and complete thyroid resections were performed, and central lymph node dissections (CLND) were used in all patients. Comparisons and analyses were conducted on the preoperative ultrasound (US) characteristics, the post-operation pathological results, and lymph node metastasis.

Results

We analyzed 172 patients with PTMC with average age 48.32 ± 10.59 years old, with 31 males and 142 females. US testing showed 74 (43.0%) patients had suspicious lymph nodes; 31 (41.9%) had capsular invasion and 52 (30.2%) patients were confirmed to have CLNM. Based on logistic regression analysis, central lymph node metastasis was shown to be more common in individuals with PTMC who were older than 45 years old, male, and had tumors that lacked micro-calcification on US imaging. Postoperative pathology assessments suggested that 58 cases (33.7%) were more suitable candidates for active surveillance cohorts.

Conclusions

While active surveillance might benefit many PTMC patients, treatments for the patients should also encompass occult lymph node metastasis, especially in patients with over 45 years old, male, tumor without micro-calcification in the US imaging. Furthermore, the prediction of lymph nodes in the central cervical via the preoperative US and the PTMC risk stratification accuracy need to be improved. Our findings showed about 30% of the patients with PTMC had no active surveillance high-risk factors but required surgical treatment. Fear of cancer in the PTMC patients, although informed of the details, is still the main reason for choosing surgical treatment over active surveillance.

A Mathematical Model to Assess the Effect of Residual Positive Lymph Nodes on the Survival of Patients With Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Background

Active surveillance (AS) has been considered the first-line management for patients with clinical low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) who often have lymph node micrometastasis (m-LNM) when diagnosed. The "low-risk" and "high prevalence of m-LNM" paradox is a potential barrier to the acceptance of AS for thyroid cancer by both surgeons and patients.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with PTMC who underwent thyroidectomy with at least one lymph node (LN) examined were identified from a tertiary center database (n = 5,399). A β-binomial distribution was used to estimate the probability of missing nodal disease as a function of the number of LNs examined. Overall survival (OS) probabilities of groups with adequate and inadequate numbers of LNs examined were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (n = 15,340). A multivariable model with restricted cubic splines was also used to verify the association of OS with the number of LNs examined.

Results

The risk of residual m-LNM (missed nodal disease) ranged from 31.3% to 10.0% if the number of LNs examined ranged from 1 and 7 in patients with PTMC. With 7 LNs examined serving as the cutoff value, the intergroup comparison showed that residual positive LNs did not affect OS across all patients and patients aged ≥55 years (P = 0.72 and P = 0.112, respectively). After adjusting for patient and clinical characteristics, the multivariate model also showed a slight effect of the number of LNs examined on OS (P = 0.69).

Conclusions

Even with the high prevalence, OS is not significantly compromised by persistent m-LNM in the body of patients with low-risk PTMC. These findings suggest that the concerns of LNM should not be viewed as an obstacle to developing AS for thyroid cancer. For patients with PTMC who undergo surgery, prophylactic central LN dissection does not provide a survival benefit.

Clinicopathological Findings Associated With Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Retrospective Study in China

Objective

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased sharply during the past decades. Yet, whether or not nodal dissection should be performed remains controversial. This article aims to assess the high-risk factors associated with cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with PTMC, which may potentially guide clinical management decision-making.

Methods

Medical records of 449 PTMC patients who underwent thyroidectomy in our hospital from August 2016 to July 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical and pathological factors of the patients were anonymously extracted from the charts and analyzed.

Result

The patients were classified into two subgroups according to maximum tumor size measured through post-surgical pathology: smaller PTMC group (≤5 mm) and larger PTMC group (>5 mm). Larger tumor size was found to be associated with a higher rate of LNM (P = .001), particularly central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) (P = .001). Tumor size was also associated with extrathyroidal tumor extension (ETE) (P < .001), bilateral lesions (P = .015), and BRAF^v600e mutation (P = .004). LNM was found to be more common in older patients (>55 y) (P = .030), and those with multifocal cancer (P < .001). In PTMC patients with unilateral lesions without ETE, tumor size was not significantly associated with LNM (P = .121).

Conclusions

For the PTMC population, tumor size was an independent risk factor for LNM, particularly for patients of old age (>55 y), and multifocality. However, in PTMC patients with unilateral lesions without extrathyroidal extension, tumor size was not related to the risk of LNM. These findings may potentially guide clinical decision-making in terms of cervical nodal dissection.

Comparison of clinicopathological features and prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma and microcarcinoma: A population-based propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Overtreatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has become a common concern. This study aimed to compare clinicopathological features between PTMC and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and to explore whether surgery can confer significant survival benefits in all patients with PTC or PTMC.

METHODS

Data of 145,951 patients with PTC registered in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 8,751 patients with PTC in our institution were retrospectively collected. Patients with tumors less than 10 mm in diameter were classified as PTMC cohort and the rest as PTC cohort. Clinicopathological features between PTMC and PTC were compared on the basis of SEER cohort and validated with institutional data. Survival analysis was conducted to explore the effect of surgery on the prognosis of patients. To minimize potential confounders and selection bias, we performed propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to match more comparable cohorts.

RESULTS

Compared with PTC, PTMC exhibited the following characteristics: more common in women and whites, older age at diagnosis, lower proportion of follicular variants, intraglandular dissemination, extraglandular and capsular invasion, higher proportion of multifocality, fewer lymph node and distant metastases, and higher cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) (all p-value < 0.05). Regarding treatment, patients with PTMC received a lower proportion of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and total thyroidectomy but a higher proportion of lobectomy and/or isthmectomy. There was no significant difference in CSS for patients with PTMC at stage T1N0M0 with or without surgery (P = 0.36).

CONCLUSION

Generally, PTMC showed higher biological indolence than PTC, which meant a higher survival rate for patients in both OS and CSS. For patients with PTMC at staged T1N0M0, active surveillance (AS) may be a potentially feasible management strategy. However, the maintenance of good medical compliance and the management of psychological burden cannot be ignored for patients included in AS.

The active surveillance management approach for patients with low risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas: is China ready?

Due to exponential increases in incidences, low risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has become a clinical and social issue in recent years. An active surveillance (AS) management approach is an alternative to immediate surgery for patients with low risk PTMC. With decreased doubts about the safety and validity due to evidence from a large number of studies, the AS approach has become increasingly popular worldwide. However, Chinese thyroid surgeons still lag behind other countries in their knowledge of clinical practices and research related to AS. To promote the implementation of AS in China, thyroid surgeons should understand the implications, advantages, and disadvantages of management approaches for AS, and should also consider the willingness of Chinese patients, the impact on the medical billing system, and the enthusiasm of doctors. Thus, a management approach for AS based on the Chinese population should be developed to reduce the risk of disease progression and enhance patient adherence. Herein, we summarize the recent research achievements and deficiencies in AS approaches, and describe the initial experiences regarding AS in the Chinese population, in order to assist Chinese thyroid surgeons in preparing for AS management in the era of PTMC precision medicine.

Research trends for papillary thyroid carcinoma from 2010 to 2019: A systematic review and bibliometrics analysis

BACKGROUND

Thyroid carcinoma comprises the fastest rising incidence of carcinomas over the past decade. Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most predominant type of thyroid carcinoma. This study aimed to assess the research trends in the field of PTC.

METHODS

Publications from January 2010 to December 2019 were retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection database using Thompson Reuters. Searching strategies were determined according to Medical Subject Heading terms. Different kinds of bibliometrics software, such as HistCite and VOSviewer, and online bibliometrics analysis platforms were utilized to evaluate and visualize the results.

RESULTS

A total of 8102 publications across 93 countries were identified, with the annual number of publications showing an increasing trend. The United States, China, and South Korea showed their dominant position in PTC publication outputs, H-index, total citations, and international collaborations. Thyroid was the most productive journal. Akira Miyauchi published the most articles, and the most productive institution was Yonsei University. The hotspots keywords proliferation, invasion and metastasis, diagnoses and prognoses, therapeutic resistance, recurrence, and microcarcinomas appeared earlier and were sustained over the last 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

This bibliometric study provides a comprehensive analysis delineating the scientific productivity, collaboration, and research hotspots within the PTC field, which will be very helpful when focusing on the direction of research over the next few years.

Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Nomogram Based on Clinical and Ultrasound Features to Improve the Prediction of Lymph Node Metastases in the Central Compartment

BACKGROUND

Accurate preoperative identification of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is essential for surgical protocol establishment for patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). We aimed to develop a clinical and ultrasound characteristics-based nomogram for predicting CLNM.

METHODS

Our study included 399 patients who were pathologically diagnosed with PTMC between January 2011 and June 2018. Clinical and ultrasound features were collected for univariate and multivariate analyses to determine risk factors of CLNM. A nomogram comprising the prognostic model to predict the CLNM was established, and internal validation in the cohort was performed. The Cox regression model was used to determine the risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and cumulative hazard was calculated to predict prognosis.

RESULTS

Three variables of clinical and US features as potential predictors including sex (odd ratio [OR] = 1.888, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.160-3.075; P =0.011), tumor size (OR = 1.933, 95% CI, 1.250-2.990; P =0.003) and ETE (OR = 6.829, 95% CI, 3.250-14.350; P <0.001) were taken into account. The predictive nomogram was established by involving all the factors above used for preoperative prediction of CLNM in patients with PTMC. The nomogram showed excellent calibration in predicting CLNM, with area under curves (AUC) of 0.684 (95% CI, 0.635 to 0.774). Furthermore, tumor size, multifocality, presence of ETE, vascular invasion, and CLNM were the significant factors related to the RFS.

CONCLUSION

Through this easy-to-use nomogram by combining clinical and US risk factor, the possibility of CLNM can be objectively quantified preoperatively. This prediction model may serve as a useful clinical tool to help clinicians determine an individual's risk of CLNM in PTMC, thus make individualized treatment plans accordingly.