Population-based outcome of muscle-invasive bladder cancer following radical cystectomy: who can benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy?

PD-L1 expression and its correlation with tumor biomarkers in Chinese urothelial bladder cancer

Data on prevalence of programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression and its correlation with tumor biomarkers in Chinese patients with muscle-invasive urothelial bladder cancer (MIUBC) are scarce. We investigated the prevalence of PD-L1 expression, PD-L1 expression in tumor cells (TC) and immune cells (IC), and its correlation with tumor biomarkers (CD8+ T cells and tumor mutation burden [TMB]) in Chinese patients with newly diagnosed MIUBC (NCT03433924). Of 248 patients enrolled, 229 with PD-L1 data available were analysed. High PD-L1 expression (≥ 25% of TC or IC with PD-L1 expression) was observed in 120 (52.4%) patients. 59 cases showed positive staining in ≥ 25% of TC, and 82 cases had positive staining in ≥ 25% of IC. High expression of CD8+ T cell and TMB (> 10 mutations/megabase) was observed in 44.5% and 54.1% patients, respectively. A positive correlation was observed between percentage of TC with membrane PD-L1 positivity and CD8+ T cells (0.34; P < 0.001) and between IC with membrane PD-L1 positivity and CD8+ T cells (0.44; P < 0.001). There is high prevalence of PD-L1 expression in Chinese patients with MIUBC, suggesting that a sizable subset of patients could benefit from immunotherapy. The correlation of PD-L1 expression with tumor biomarkers provide clues for mechanisms underlying the effects of biomarkers for predicting efficacy.

Association of Tumor-informed Circulating Tumor DNA Detectability Before and After Radical Cystectomy with Disease-free Survival in Patients with Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Despite curative-intent radical cystectomy (RC), patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) are at high risk of recurrence. Biomarkers are urgently needed to refine prognostication and selection of appropriate perioperative systemic therapies. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) results in a multicenter cohort of patients with bladder cancer who underwent RC.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of real-world data for a commercial ctDNA test (Signatera; Natera, Austin, TX, USA) performed in 167 patients (852 plasma samples) before RC and during molecular residual disease (MRD; adjuvant decision) and surveillance windows. We assessed the correlation between recurrence and ctDNA status before and after RC using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

During study-defined postoperative MRD and surveillance windows, detectable ctDNA was associated with shorter disease-free survival (DFS) when compared to undetectable ctDNA (MRD: hazard ratio 6.93; p < 0.001; surveillance: hazard ratio 23.02; p < 0.001). Of note, patients with undetectable ctDNA did not appear to benefit from adjuvant therapy (p = 0.34). Detectable ctDNA in the pre-RC (p = 0.045), MRD (p = 0.002), and surveillance (p < 0.001) windows was the only risk factor independently associated with shorter DFS. Limitations include the retrospective and nonrandomized nature of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

ctDNA testing in patients with bladder cancer undergoing RC was prognostic and potentially predictive. Identification of patients at high risk of recurrence may aid in patient counseling and decision-making.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We found that outcomes for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer are strongly linked to detection of tumor DNA in blood samples. The results show the value of tumor-informed testing for tumor DNA in blood for decisions on the best treatment for each individual patient.

Advancements in Urothelial Cancer Care: Optimizing Treatment for Your Patient

The standard treatment paradigm for muscle invasive bladder cancer has been neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy followed by radical cystectomy. However, efforts are ongoing to personalize treatment by incorporating biomarkers to better guide treatment selection. In addition, bladder preservation strategies are aimed at avoiding cystectomy in well-selected patients. Similarly, in the metastatic urothelial cancer space, the standard frontline treatment option of platinum-based chemotherapy has changed with the availability of data from EV-302 trial, making the combination of enfortumab vedotin (EV) and pembrolizumab the preferred first-line treatment option. Here, we examine the optimization of treatment intensity and sequencing, focusing on the challenges and opportunities associated with EV/pembrolizumab therapy, including managing toxicities and exploring alternative dosing approaches. Together, these articles provide a comprehensive overview of contemporary strategies in bladder cancer management, highlighting the importance of individualized treatment approaches, ongoing research, and multidisciplinary collaboration to improve patient outcomes in this complex disease landscape.

A Novel Decision Tree Model for Predicting the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients with Bladder Cancer Treated with Radical Cystectomy

Background/Objectives: The aim was to develop a decision tree and a new prognostic tool to predict cancer-specific survival in patients with urothelial bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy. Methods: A total of 11,834 patients with bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy between 2004 and 2019 from the SEER database were randomly split into the derivation (n = 7889) and validation cohorts (n = 3945). Survival curves were estimated using conditional decision tree analysis. We used Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations for the treatment of missing values and the pec package to compare the predictive performance. We extracted data from our model following CHARMS and assessed the risk of bias and applicability with PROBAST. Results: A total of 4824 (41%) patients died during the follow-up period due to bladder cancer. A decision tree was made and 12 groups were obtained. Patients with a higher AJCC stage and older age have a worse prognosis. The risk groups were summarized into high, intermediate and low risk. The integrated Brier scores between 0 and 191 months for the bootstrap estimates of the prediction error are the lowest for our conditional survival tree (0.189). The model showed a low risk of bias and low concern about applicability. The results must be externally validated. Conclusions: Decision tree analysis is a useful tool with significant discrimination. With this tool, we were able to stratify patients into 12 subgroups and 3 risk groups with a low risk of bias and low concern about applicability.

Risk stratification of stage II rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma to predict the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy following neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery

Background

The treatment strategy for stage II rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma (RMA) recommends neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCR) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME). However, the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) remains controversial.

Materials and methods

Chi-square test was used to assess the relationship between pathological classification, AC and clinicopathological characteristics. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves and the log-rank test were utilized to analyze differences in overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) among different groups. Cox regression identified prognostic factors. Nomogram was established utilizing the independent prognostic factors. X-tile divided patients into three risk subgroups.

Results

Compared to RMA, rectal adenocarcinoma (RA) demonstrates longer OS and CSS in all and non-AC stage II patients, with no difference in OS and CSS for AC stage II patients. Propensity score matching analyses yielded similar results. Stratified analysis found that AC both improve OS of RA and RMA patients. Age, gender, pathologic T stage, regional nodes examined, and tumor size were identified as independent prognostic factors for RMA patients without AC. A nomogram was constructed to generate risk scores and categorize RMA patients into three subgroups based on these scores. KM curves revealed AC benefits for moderate and high-risk groups but not for the low-risk group. The external validation cohort yielded similar results.

Conclusions

In summary, our study suggests that, compared to stage II RA patients, stage II RMA patients benefit more from AC after NCR. AC is recommended for moderate and high-risk stage II RMA patients after NCR, whereas low-risk patients do not require AC.

Mortality prediction models after radical cystectomy for bladder tumour: A systematic review and critical appraisal

INTRODUCTION

To identify risk-predictive models for bladder-specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy and assess their clinical utility and risk of bias.

METHODS

Systematic review (CRD42021224626:PROSPERO) in Medline and EMBASE (from their creation until 31/10/2021) was screened to include articles focused on the development and internal validation of a predictive model of specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy. CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) and Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) were applied.

RESULTS

Nineteen observational studies were included. The main predictors were sociodemographic variables, such as age (18 studies, 94.7%) and sex (17, 89.5% studies), tumour characteristics (TNM stage (18 studies, 94.7%), histological subtype/grade (15 studies, 78.9%), lymphovascular invasion (10 studies, 52.6%) and treatment with chemotherapy (13 studies, 68.4%). C-index values were presented in 14 studies. The overall risk of bias assessed using PROBAST led to 100% of studies being classified as high risk (the analysis domain was rated to be at high risk of bias in all the studies), and 52.6% showed low applicability. Only 5 studies (26.3%) included an external validation and 2 (10.5%) included a prospective study design.

CONCLUSIONS

Using clinical predictors to assess the risk of bladder-specific cancer mortality is a feasibility alternative. However, the studies showed a high risk of bias and their applicability is uncertain. Studies should improve the conducting and reporting, and subsequent external validation studies should be developed.