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Tang EK, Wu YJ, Chen CS, Wu FZ. Prediction of the stage shift growth of early-stage lung adenocarcinomas by volume-doubling time. Quant Imaging Med Surg 2024; 14:3983-3996. [PMID: 38846271 PMCID: PMC11151246 DOI: 10.21037/qims-23-1759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/09/2024]
Abstract
Background Prediction of subsolid nodule (SSN) interval growth is crucial for clinical management and decision making in lung cancer screening program. To the best of our knowledge, no study has investigated whether volume doubling time (VDT) is an independent factor for predicting SSN interval growth, or whether its predictive power is better than that of traditional semantic methods, such as nodular diameter or type. This study aimed to investigate whether VDT could provide added value in predicting the long-term natural course of SSNs (<3 cm) regarding stage shift. Methods This retrospective study enrolled 132 patients with spectrum lesions of lung adenocarcinoma who underwent two consecutive computed tomography (CT) examinations before surgical tissue proofing between 2012 and 2021 in Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital. The VDTs were manually calculated from the volumetric segmentation using Schwartz's approximation formula. We utilized logistic regression to identify predictors associated with stage shift progression based on the VDT parameter. Results The average duration of follow-up period was 3.629 years. A VDT-based nomogram model (model 2) based on CT semantic features, clinical characteristics, and the VDT parameter yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.877 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.807-0.928]. Compared with model 1 (CT semantic features and clinical characteristics), model 2 exhibited the better predictive performance for stage shift (AUC model 1: 0.833 versus AUC model 2: 0.877, P=0.047). In model 2, significant predictors of stage shift growth included initial nodule size [odds ratio (OR) =4.074, 95% CI: 1.368-12.135; P=0.012], SSN classification (OR =0.042; 95% CI: 0.006-0.288; P=0.001), follow-up period (OR =1.692, 95% CI: 1.337-2.140; P<0.001), and VDT classification (OR =2.327, 95% CI: 1.368-3.958; P=0.002). For the stage shift, the mean progression time for the VDT (>400 d) group was 7.595 years, and median progression time was 7.430 years. Additionally, a VDT ≤400 d is an important prognostic factor associated with aggressive growth behavior with a stage shift. Conclusions VDT is crucial for predicting SSN stage shift growth irrespective of clinical and CT semantic features. This highlights its significance in informing follow-up protocols and surgical planning, emphasizing its prognostic value in predicting SSN growth.
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Affiliation(s)
- En-Kuei Tang
- Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung
- Department of Medical Imaging and Radiology, Shu-Zen Junior College of Medicine and Management, Kaohsiung
| | - Yun-Ju Wu
- Department of Radiology, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung
- Department of Software Engineering and Management, National Kaohsiung Normal University, Kaohsiung
| | - Chi-Shen Chen
- Physical Examination Center, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung
| | - Fu-Zong Wu
- Department of Radiology, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung
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Hardavella G, Frille A, Chalela R, Sreter KB, Petersen RH, Novoa N, de Koning HJ. How will lung cancer screening and lung nodule management change the diagnostic and surgical lung cancer landscape? Eur Respir Rev 2024; 33:230232. [PMID: 38925794 PMCID: PMC11216686 DOI: 10.1183/16000617.0232-2023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 04/16/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Implementation of lung cancer screening, with its subsequent findings, is anticipated to change the current diagnostic and surgical lung cancer landscape. This review aimed to identify and present the most updated expert opinion and discuss relevant evidence regarding the impact of lung cancer screening and lung nodule management on the diagnostic and surgical landscape of lung cancer, as well as summarise points for clinical practice. METHODS This article is based on relevant lectures and talks delivered during the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Respiratory Society Collaborative Course on Thoracic Oncology (February 2023). Original lectures and talks and their relevant references were included. An additional literature search was conducted and peer-reviewed studies in English (December 2022 to June 2023) from the PubMed/Medline databases were evaluated with regards to immediate affinity of the published papers to the original talks presented at the course. An updated literature search was conducted (June 2023 to December 2023) to ensure that updated literature is included within this article. RESULTS Lung cancer screening suspicious findings are expected to increase the number of diagnostic investigations required therefore impacting on current capacity and resources. Healthcare systems already face a shortage of imaging and diagnostic slots and they are also challenged by the shortage of interventional radiologists. Thoracic surgery will be impacted by the wider lung cancer screening implementation with increased volume and earlier stages of lung cancer. Nonsuspicious findings reported at lung cancer screening will need attention and subsequent referrals where required to ensure participants are appropriately diagnosed and managed and that they are not lost within healthcare systems. CONCLUSIONS Implementation of lung cancer screening requires appropriate mapping of existing resources and infrastructure to ensure a tailored restructuring strategy to ensure that healthcare systems can meet the new needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgia Hardavella
- 4th-9th Department of Respiratory Medicine, "Sotiria" Athens' Chest Diseases Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Armin Frille
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Roberto Chalela
- Department of Respiratory Medicine: Lung Cancer and Endoscopy Unit, Hospital del Mar - Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Katherina B Sreter
- Department of Pulmonology, University Hospital Centre "Sestre Milosrdnice", Zagreb, Croatia
| | - Rene H Petersen
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of Copenhagen, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Nuria Novoa
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, University Hospital Puerta de Hierro-Majadahonda, Madrid, Spain
| | - Harry J de Koning
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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Hanaoka T, Matoba H, Nakayama J, Ono S, Ikegawa K, Okada M. A spatio-temporal image analysis for growth of indeterminate pulmonary nodules detected by CT scan. Radiol Phys Technol 2024; 17:71-82. [PMID: 37889460 DOI: 10.1007/s12194-023-00750-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2023] [Revised: 09/29/2023] [Accepted: 10/05/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023]
Abstract
The objective is to evaluate the performance of computational image classification for indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPN) chronologically detected by CT scan. Total 483 patients with 670 abnormal pulmonary nodules, who were taken chest thin-section CT (TSCT) images at least twice and resected as suspicious nodules in our hospital, were enrolled in this study. Nodular regions from the initial and the latest TSCT images were cut manually for each case, and approached by Python development environment, using the open-source cv2 library, to measure the nodular change rate (NCR). These NCRs were statistically compared with clinico-pathological factors, and then, this discriminator was evaluated for clinical performance. NCR showed significant differences among the nodular consistencies. In terms of histological subtypes, NCR of invasive adenocarcinoma (ADC) were significantly distinguishable from other lesions, but not from minimally invasive ADC. Only for cancers, NCR was significantly associated with loco-regional invasivity, p53-immunoreactivity, and Ki67-immunoreactivity. Regarding Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor gene mutation of ADC-related nodules, NCR showed a significant negative correlation. On staging of lung cancer cases, NCR was significantly increased with progression from pTis-stage 0 up to pT1b-stage IA2. For clinical shared decision-making (SDM) whether urgent resection or watchful-waiting, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that area under the ROC curve was 0.686. For small-sized IPN detected by CT scan, this approach shows promise as a potential navigator to improve work-up for life-threatening cancer screening and assist SDM before surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takaomi Hanaoka
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, JA Nagano North Alps Medical Center Azumi Hospital, 3207-1 Ikeda, Ikeda-machi, Kita-azumi-gun, Nagano, 399-8605, Japan.
| | - Hisanori Matoba
- Department of Molecular Pathology, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan
| | - Jun Nakayama
- Department of Molecular Pathology, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan
- Department of Pathology, JA Nagano North Alps Medical Center Azumi Hospital, 3207-1 Ikeda, Ikeda-Machi, Kita-azumi-gun, Nagano, 399-8605, Japan
| | - Shotaro Ono
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, JA Nagano North Alps Medical Center Azumi Hospital, 3207-1 Ikeda, Ikeda-machi, Kita-azumi-gun, Nagano, 399-8605, Japan
| | - Kayoko Ikegawa
- Department of Respirology, JA Nagano North Alps Medical Center Azumi Hospital, 3207-1 Ikeda, Ikeda-machi, Kita-azumi-gun, Nagano, 399-8605, Japan
| | - Mitsuyo Okada
- Department of Respirology, JA Nagano North Alps Medical Center Azumi Hospital, 3207-1 Ikeda, Ikeda-machi, Kita-azumi-gun, Nagano, 399-8605, Japan
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Ren J, Wang Y, Liu C, Yang L, Men X, Qiu Z. Correlation analysis of clinical, pathological, imaging and genetic features of ground-glass nodule featured lung adenocarcinomas between high-risk and non-high-risk individuals. Eur J Med Res 2023; 28:478. [PMID: 37924162 PMCID: PMC10625210 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-023-01462-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/19/2023] [Indexed: 11/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early stage lung adenocarcinomas manifested as ground-glass nodules (GGNs) are increasingly being detected, but screening and diagnosis for GGN-featured lung adenocarcinomas in different risk populations reach no agreement. OBJECTIVES To analyze the clinical, pathological, imaging and genetic features of GGN-featured lung adenocarcinomas on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) in different risk groups. METHODS Include patients with GGNs on HRCT surgically diagnosed as lung adenocarcinoma in the West China Hospital, Sichuan University from 2009 to 2021, and their clinical, pathological, imaging and gene sequencing data. RESULTS According to Chinese Expert Consensus on Screening and Management of Lung Cancer, 1,800 patients with GGN-featured lung adenocarcinoma, 545 males (incl. 269 smokers) and 1,255 females (incl. 16 smokers), were divided into high-risk (509) and non-high-risk (1,291) groups. Among them, 1,095 were detected via physical examination. The mean age at diagnosis was 54.78 (23-84) and the mean time from detection to diagnosis was 9.59 months. There were more males than females in the high-risk group [288 (56.58%) vs 221 (43.42%)], just the opposite in the non-high-risk group [1,034 (80.09%) vs 257 (19.91%)] (both P < 0.001). No statistical difference was found in GGN detection way (P > 0.05). The frequency of invasive adenocarcinoma was higher in the high-risk group, while those of precursor lesions and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma were higher in the non-high-risk group (all P < 0.001). The preoperative follow-up time in the non-high-risk group was shorter (P < 0.05). A total of 711 gene mutations were observed in 473 patients with a ratio of non-high-risk to high-risk of 494:217. The incidence of EGFR mutation was not statistically significant (P = 0.824), while those of TP53 and KRAS mutations were higher in the high-risk group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS GGN-featured lung adenocarcinoma is dominated by non-high-risk female patients. Shorter preoperative follow-up in the non-high-risk group and no statistical difference in GGN detection way suggests the existing screening criteria for high-risk population may not suit GGN-featured lung cancer. In addition, the incidences of KRAS and TP53 mutations are higher in the high-risk group.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Ren
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
- The Integrated Care Management Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Yuan Wang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine/Institute of Respiratory Health, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Chunrong Liu
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
- Chinese Evidence-Based Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Lan Yang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Xinlu Men
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
- Outpatient Department, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
| | - Zhixin Qiu
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Precision Medicine Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China.
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Zhang Y, Liu W, Zhang H, Sun B, Chen T, Hu M, Zhou H, Cao Y, Han B, Wu L. Extracellular vesicle long RNA markers of early-stage lung adenocarcinoma. Int J Cancer 2023; 152:1490-1500. [PMID: 36451312 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34386] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2022] [Revised: 10/23/2022] [Accepted: 11/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
Lung cancer screening by low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) can improve mortality rates among high-risk individuals, especially adenocarcinoma cases with characteristically poor prognosis, although high false-positive rates have limited its clinical application. The objective of our study was to identify biomarkers for early-stage lung adenocarcinoma (ie, tumor diameter <2 cm) through extracellular vesicle long RNA (evlRNA) sequencing. High throughput evlRNA sequencing and support vector machine (SVM) identification of candidate diagnostic marker transcripts were performed using serum samples obtained before lung surgery. A total of 145 upregulated and 363 downregulated differential genes (P value <.05, fold change >1.5) were identified between lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients and benign controls. An SVM model based on a 23-gene signature could distinguish EV samples of LUAD patients from those of control subjects with 86.49% sensitivity, 95.00% specificity and 92.31% accuracy in the training set and 93.75% sensitivity, 85.71% specificity and 88.24% accuracy in the validation set. A 17-gene signature was then identified that could distinguish AIS patient samples from those of MIA/IAD patients with 93.33% sensitivity, 98.00% specificity, and 96.25% accuracy in the trainingset and 83.33% sensitivity, 96.55% specificity, and 94.29% accuracy in the validation set. EvlRNAs in serum show considerable diagnostic value for screening LUAD patients with tumor sizes <2 cm in conjunction with LDCT, potentially reducing false positive rates while improving mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanwei Zhang
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Shanghai Chest Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Wei Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Molecular Andrology, Center for Excellence in Molecular Cell Science, Shanghai Institute of Biochemistry and Cell Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China
| | - Hongdao Zhang
- State Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Molecular Andrology, Center for Excellence in Molecular Cell Science, Shanghai Institute of Biochemistry and Cell Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China
| | - Beibei Sun
- Institute for Thoracic Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Tianxiang Chen
- Shanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Minjuan Hu
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Shanghai Chest Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Haisheng Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Molecular Andrology, Center for Excellence in Molecular Cell Science, Shanghai Institute of Biochemistry and Cell Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China
| | - Ying Cao
- State Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Molecular Andrology, Center for Excellence in Molecular Cell Science, Shanghai Institute of Biochemistry and Cell Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China
| | - Baohui Han
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Shanghai Chest Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Ligang Wu
- State Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Molecular Andrology, Center for Excellence in Molecular Cell Science, Shanghai Institute of Biochemistry and Cell Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China
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Wu L, Gao C, Kong N, Lou X, Xu M. The long-term course of subsolid nodules and predictors of interval growth on chest CT: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Radiol 2023; 33:2075-2088. [PMID: 36136107 PMCID: PMC9935651 DOI: 10.1007/s00330-022-09138-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2022] [Revised: 07/26/2022] [Accepted: 09/02/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To calculate the pooled incidence of interval growth after long-term follow-up and identify predictors of interval growth in subsolid nodules (SSNs) on chest CT. METHODS A search of MEDLINE (PubMed), Cochrane Library, Web of Science Core Collection, and Embase was performed on November 08, 2021, for relevant studies. Patient information, CT scanner, and SSN follow-up information were extracted from each included study. A random-effects model was applied along with subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Study quality was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa scale, and publication bias was assessed by Egger's test. RESULTS Of the 6802 retrieved articles, 16 articles were included and analyzed, providing a total of 2898 available SSNs. The pooled incidence of growth in the 2898 SSNs was 22% (95% confidence interval [CI], 15-29%). The pooled incidence of growth in the subgroup analysis of pure ground-glass nodules was 26% (95% CI: 12-39%). The incidence of SSN growth after 2 or more years of stability was only 5% (95% CI: 3-7%). An initially large SSN size was found to be the most frequent risk factor affecting the incidence of SSN growth and the time of growth. CONCLUSIONS The pooled incidence of SSN growth was as high as 22%, with a 26% incidence reported for pure ground-glass nodules. Although the incidence of growth was only 5% after 2 or more years of stability, long-term follow-up is needed in certain cases. Moreover, the initial size of the SSN was the most frequent risk factor for growth. KEY POINTS • Based on a meta-analysis of 2898 available subsolid nodules in the literature, the pooled incidence of growth was 22% for all subsolid nodules and 26% for pure ground-glass nodules. • After 2 or more years of stability on follow-up CT, the pooled incidence of subsolid nodule growth was only 5%. • Given the incidence of subsolid nodule growth, management of these lesions with long-term follow-up is preferred.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linyu Wu
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine), 54 Youdian Road, Hangzhou, China
- The First School of Clinical Medicine of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Chen Gao
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine), 54 Youdian Road, Hangzhou, China
- The First School of Clinical Medicine of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Ning Kong
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine), 54 Youdian Road, Hangzhou, China
- The First School of Clinical Medicine of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xinjing Lou
- The First School of Clinical Medicine of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Maosheng Xu
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine), 54 Youdian Road, Hangzhou, China.
- The First School of Clinical Medicine of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
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Zeng X, Zhou Z, Luo X, Liu Q. Lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography: National expenditures and cost-effectiveness. Front Public Health 2022; 10:977550. [PMID: 36249202 PMCID: PMC9558698 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.977550] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective To compare the cost-effectiveness of undertaking low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening for early detection of lung cancer (LC) with different frequencies within the healthcare system of China, and estimate the additional national healthcare expenditure and five-year LC mortality associated with different screening frequencies. Material and methods A Markov model was established using national LC epidemiological data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, demographic data from the Chinese Statistical Yearbook, and cost and effectiveness data mainly from the Cancer Screening Program in China. The model included thirty sex-specific screening strategies, which were classified by initial screening age (30, 35, 40, 45, and 50), and screening intervals (intervals at single time point, 1, 2, 5, 10, and 20 years). The main model outputs were incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), additional national healthcare expenditure and five-year LC mortality. Results The ICERs for LDCT screening strategies vs. non-screening strategy ranged from $16,086 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) to $3,675,491 per QALY in the male cohort, and from $36,624 per QALY to $5,943,556 per QALY in the female cohort. The annual increment national healthcare expenditures related to LDCT screening were varied from $0.25 to $13.39 billion, with the lower cost in the cohort with older screening ages and lower screening frequencies. More frequent screening with LDCT was associated with a greater reduction in LC death: an annual LDCT screening was linked to an estimated reduction in five-year LC death by 27.27-29.07%, while a one-off screening was linked to a reduction by 5.56-5.83%. Conclusion Under a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of three times the Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (US $37,654), annual screening with an initiating age at 50 was most cost-effective in both male and female cohorts. By taking into account both the national healthcare expenditures and the effect of LDCT screening, our study results support undertaking LDCT screening annually from 50 years old in general populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaohui Zeng
- 1Department of Nuclear Medicine/PET Image Center, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Zhen Zhou
- 2Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
| | - Xia Luo
- 3Department of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qiao Liu
- 3Department of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China,*Correspondence: Qiao Liu
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Dickson JL, Horst C, Nair A, Tisi S, Prendecki R, Janes SM. Hesitancy around low-dose CT screening for lung cancer. Ann Oncol 2022; 33:34-41. [PMID: 34555501 DOI: 10.1016/j.annonc.2021.09.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2020] [Revised: 09/07/2021] [Accepted: 09/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death worldwide. The absence of symptoms in early-stage (I/II) disease, when curative treatment is possible, results in >70% of cases being diagnosed at late stage (III/IV), when treatment is rarely curative. This contributes greatly to the poor prognosis of lung cancer, which sees only 16.2% of individuals diagnosed with the disease alive at 5 years. Early detection is key to improving lung cancer survival outcomes. As a result, there has been longstanding interest in finding a reliable screening test. After little success with chest radiography and sputum cytology, in 2011 the United States National Lung Screening Trial demonstrated that annual low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening reduced lung cancer-specific mortality by 20%, when compared with annual chest radiography. In 2020, the NELSON study demonstrated an even greater reduction in lung cancer-specific mortality for LDCT screening at 0, 1, 3 and 5.5 years of 24% in men, when compared to no screening. Despite these impressive results, a call to arms in the 2017 European position statement on lung cancer screening (LCS) and the widespread introduction across the United States, there was, until recently, no population-based European national screening programme in place. We address the potential barriers and outstanding concerns including common screening foes, such as false-positive tests, overdiagnosis and the negative psychological impact of screening, as well as others more unique to LDCT LCS, including appropriate risk stratification of potential participants, radiation exposure and incidental findings. In doing this, we conclude that whilst the evidence generated from ongoing work can be used to refine the screening process, for those risks which remain, appropriate and acceptable mitigations are available, and none should serve as barriers to the implementation of national unified LCS programmes across Europe and beyond.
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Affiliation(s)
- J L Dickson
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | - C Horst
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | - A Nair
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK; Department of Radiology, University College London Hospital, London, UK
| | - S Tisi
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | - R Prendecki
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | - S M Janes
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK; Department of Thoracic Medicine, University College London Hospital, London, UK.
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