Population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling and simulation of platelet decrease induced by peg-interferon-alpha 2a

Mathematical Modeling of MPNs Offers Understanding and Decision Support for Personalized Treatment

(1) Background: myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are slowly developing hematological cancers characterized by few driver mutations, with JAK2V617F being the most prevalent. (2) Methods: using mechanism-based mathematical modeling (MM) of hematopoietic stem cells, mutated hematopoietic stem cells, differentiated blood cells, and immune response along with longitudinal data from the randomized Danish DALIAH trial, we investigate the effect of the treatment of MPNs with interferon-α2 on disease progression. (3) Results: At the population level, the JAK2V617F allele burden is halved every 25 months. At the individual level, MM describes and predicts the JAK2V617F kinetics and leukocyte- and thrombocyte counts over time. The model estimates the patient-specific treatment duration, relapse time, and threshold dose for achieving a good response to treatment. (4) Conclusions: MM in concert with clinical data is an important supplement to understand and predict the disease progression and impact of interventions at the individual level.

Population PK-PD Model of Pegylated Interferon Alfa-2a in Healthy Korean Men

Pegylated interferon alfa-2a (PEG-IFN alfa-2a), which was developed to overcome the disadvantages of conventional formulations, is widely prescribed for hepatitis B or C virus infection. It is characterized by pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) properties much different from those of conventional forms. The present study developed a population PK-PD model of subcutaneous PEG-IFN alfa-2a in a Korean population. For PK, IFN alfa-2a concentrations were described by a 1-compartment model with first-order absorption, preceded by skin-to-depot first-order input. For PD, serum 2'-5' oligoadenylsynthetase activity was described by an effect compartment model incorporating a tolerance compartment. The baseline serum 2'-5' oligoadenylsynthetase level was found to have an inverse relationship with sensitivity to tolerance, leading to high tolerance at low baseline. The model revealed that subjects with low baselines experienced time delay, while those with high baselines showed tolerance in their concentration-effect relationships. The developed models matched well with data and simulation results, and the model showed that the optimal dose decreases with the baseline, with no dose effective for a baseline >250 pmol/dL. Our results can serve as a basis for improving dosing regimens of PEG-IFN alfa-2a in adult patients with chronic hepatitis B or C infection.