Preoperative Anemia and Risk of In-hospital Postoperative Complications in Patients with Hip Fracture

Chronic Preinjury Anemia Is Associated With Increased Risk of 1-Year Mortality in Geriatric Hip Fracture Patients

INTRODUCTION

To assess whether a diagnosis of preexisting anemia impacts outcomes of geriatric hip fractures.

METHODS

This is a retrospective comparative study conducted at a single, urban hospital system consisting of an orthopaedic specialty hospital, two level 1 trauma centers, and one university-based tertiary care hospital. Data of patients aged 55 years or older with a femoral neck, intertrochanteric, or subtrochanteric hip fracture (AO/OA 31A, 31B, and 32A-C) at a single hospital center treated from October 2014 to October 2023 were retrieved from an institutional review board-approved database. Patients were included if they had a hemoglobin measurement recorded between 6 and 12 months before hospitalization for their hip fracture. Patients were cohorted based on whether their hemoglobin values recorded anemic or not. Comparative analysis was conducted to analyze 1-year mortality, 30-day mortality, 30-day readmission, 90-day readmission, and inpatient major complications.

RESULTS

Four hundred ninety-eight patients had hemoglobin values recorded at 6 to 12 months before their surgery in the electronic medical record. Two hundred seventy-three patients (54.8%) were considered anemic at that time, whereas 225 patients (45.2%) were not. Cohorts were markedly different regarding sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, preinjury ambulatory status, and Score for Trauma Triage in Geriatric and Middle-Aged Patients (STTGMA) score (P < 0.05 for all). Multivariable analysis revealed that chronic preinjury anemia patients had a higher likelihood of 1-year mortality and a higher risk of major inpatient complication and 30- and 90-day readmission (P < 0.05 for all).

CONCLUSION

Chronic preinjury anemia within 6 to 12 months before a hip fracture is associated with an increased risk of 1-year mortality, inpatient major complications, and 30- and 90-day readmission after hip fracture fixation.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Moderate to severe anemia at admission increases the risk of complications in patients over 60 years with hip fracture

BACKGROUND

Anemia frequently occurs in patients with hip fractures and represents a risk factor that can potentially be altered. To evaluate the association between admission anemia and complications in older hip fracture patients while exploring the potential impact of anemia on complications from the perspective of overall, operation and non-operation.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled in-patients over 60 years old with hip fractures from January 2020 to November 2023. At admission, anemic patients were identified as having a hemoglobin level below 12 g/dL in females and 13 g/dL in males. Anemia was further classified as mild, moderate, or severe. Data encompassing demographics, comorbidities, medications, information on fracture and surgery, and complications were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 462/679 patients had anemia, including 348, 105, and 9 with mild, moderate, and severe anemia, respectively. A total of 281 individuals experienced complications, including 212 and 69 with and without operation, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis identified anemia as a greater risk for acute heart failure (OR = 2.056, p = 0.037, 95% CI 1.043-4.052) than non-anemia. Moderate to severe anemia was a significant risk factor for any complication (OR = 1.584, p = 0.028, 95% CI 1.050-2.390), ≥ 2 (OR = 2.364, p = 0.001, 95% CI 1.443-3.872) or 3 (OR = 2.311, p = 0.022, 95% CI 1.131-4.720) complications, delirium (OR = 2.301, p = 0.018, 95% CI 1.156-4.579), venous thromboembolism (OR = 2.031, p = 0.042, 95% CI 1.025-4.025), and acute heart failure (OR = 2.095, p = 0.016, 95% CI 1.145-3.834), compared with mild to non-anemia. Similar results were observed in operated patients, while anemia and its severity were not associated with complications in non-operated patients.

CONCLUSION

Moderate to severe anemia caused complications in elderly hip fracture patients, but it was not observed in non-operated individuals. These findings would support orthopedic physicians' hierarchical management of anemic patients.

Prediction of Osteoporotic Hip Fracture Outcome: Comparative Accuracy of 27 Immune-Inflammatory-Metabolic Markers and Related Conceptual Issues

Objectives: This study, based on the concept of immuno-inflammatory-metabolic (IIM) dysregulation, investigated and compared the prognostic impact of 27 indices at admission for prediction of postoperative myocardial injury (PMI) and/or hospital death in hip fracture (HF) patients. Methods: In consecutive HF patient (n = 1273, mean age 82.9 ± 8.7 years, 73.5% females) demographics, medical history, laboratory parameters, and outcomes were recorded prospectively. Multiple logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic analyses (the area under the curve, AUC) were used to establish the predictive role for each biomarker. Results: Among 27 IIM biomarkers, 10 indices were significantly associated with development of PMI and 16 were indicative of a fatal outcome; in the subset of patients aged >80 years with ischaemic heart disease (IHD, the highest risk group: 90.2% of all deaths), the corresponding figures were 26 and 20. In the latter group, the five strongest preoperative predictors for PMI were anaemia (AUC 0.7879), monocyte/eosinophil ratio > 13.0 (AUC 0.7814), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio > 7.5 (AUC 0.7784), eosinophil count < 1.1 × 109/L (AUC 0.7780), and neutrophil/albumin × 10 > 2.4 (AUC 0.7732); additionally, sensitivity was 83.1-75.4% and specificity was 82.1-75.0%. The highest predictors of in-hospital death were platelet/lymphocyte ratio > 280.0 (AUC 0.8390), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio < 1.1 (AUC 0.8375), albumin < 33 g/L (AUC 0.7889), red cell distribution width > 14.5% (AUC 0.7739), and anaemia (AUC 0.7604), sensitivity 88.2% and above, and specificity 85.1-79.3%. Internal validation confirmed the predictive value of the models. Conclusions: Comparison of 27 IIM indices in HF patients identified several simple, widely available, and inexpensive parameters highly predictive for PMI and/or in-hospital death. The applicability of IIM biomarkers to diagnose and predict risks for chronic diseases, including OP/OF, in the preclinical stages is discussed.

Relationship between preoperative hemoglobin levels and length of stay in elderly patients with hip fractures: A retrospective cohort study

Globally, hip fractures in elderly individuals are a prevalent and serious issue. Patients typically have a longer length of stay (LOS), which increases the risk of complications and increases hospitalization costs. Hemoglobin (Hb) is a routine blood test that is associated with disease prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between preoperative Hb and LOS in elderly hip fracture patients and to determine a reliable transfusion threshold. The clinical data of hip fracture patients (aged ≥ 60 years) admitted to the Department of Orthopaedics, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, between January 2012 and December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to assess the linear relationship between preoperative Hb and LOS. Smooth curve fitting was performed to investigate potential nonlinear relationships. In the case of discovering nonlinear relationships, a weighted two-piecewise linear regression model was built, and the inflection points were determined using a recursive algorithm. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on age and gender. A total of 1444 patients with an average age of (77.54 ± 8.73) years were enrolled. After adjusting for covariates, a nonlinear relationship was found between preoperative Hb and LOS. The two-piecewise linear regression model revealed an inflection point of 10 g/dL. On the left of the inflection point (Hb < 10 g/dL), the LOS was reduced by 0.735 days for every 1 g/dL increase in Hb (β = -0.735, 95% confidence interval: -1.346 to -0.124, P = .019). On the right side of the inflection point (Hb > 10 g/dL), the relationship was not statistically significant (β = 0.001, 95% confidence interval: -0.293 to 0.296, P = .992). In elderly hip fracture patients, there is a nonlinear association between preoperative Hb and LOS. However, when Hb levels were <10 g/dL, there was a negative correlation with the LOS. No correlation was observed when Hb levels were >10 g/dL. These findings underscore the importance of timely intervention to manage Hb levels in elderly patients with hip fractures, potentially reducing hospitalization durations and associated complications.

Risk factors and prognosis of postoperative acute myocardial infarction in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease

INTRODUCTION

This article mainly studies the risk factors for postoperative acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease (CHD), constructs a prediction model, and evaluates the prognosis of all the patients.

METHODS

This article retrospectively collected elderly patients with hip fracture and CHD who underwent hip fracture surgery at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2019 to December 2021. Demographic data, laboratory indicators, and imaging examination results were collected from the medical case system. The risk factors of postoperative AMI were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The ROC curve, calibration curve and DCA decision curve were plotted by R language software. The patients in the training set were followed up for 2 years to evaluate their survival situation.

RESULTS

1094 eligible patients were divided into a training set (n = 824 from January 1, 2019 to September 31, 2021) and a validation set (n = 270 from October 1, 2021 to December 31, 2022). In the training set, women accounted for 58.6%; The average age of the patients was 79.45 years old; The main type of fracture was intertrochanteric fracture. There were 64.7% patients taken B receptor blockers; A total of 166 (20.1%) patients underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); Hypertension accounted for 55.5%; 520 (63.1%) patients had a preoperative waiting time greater than 3 days; The average hemoglobin value upon admission was 101.36 g/L; The average intraoperative bleeding volume was 212.42 ml; The average surgical time was 2.5 ± 0.3 h; Reginal anesthesia accounted for 29.7%; 63 (68.5%) AMI patients had no obvious clinical symptoms; 68 (73.9%) AMI patients did not show ST-segment elevation in ECG; The risk factors of postoperative AMI were age, hemoglobin at admission, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, intraoperative bleeding, and reginal anesthesia. The AUC of the nomogram prediction model was 0.729. The AUC in the validation set was 0.783. Survival analysis showed a significant statistical difference in 2-year mortality between patients with AMI and without AMI, among all the patients with AMI, patients with ECG ST-segment elevation has higher mortality than patients without ECG ST-segment elevation.

CONCLUSION

Our research results found that the incidence of postoperative AMI in elderly patients with hip fractures and CHD was 11.1%. Age, diabetes, hemoglobin at admission, regional anesthesia, chronic kidney disease, and intraoperative bleeding are risk factors. The AUC of the nomogram in training set is 0.729. The 2-year mortality rate of the patients with AMI is higher than that of patients without AMI.

Random forest predictive modeling of prolonged hospital length of stay in elderly hip fracture patients

Background

In elderly individuals suffering from hip fractures, a prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS) not only heightens the probability of patient complications but also amplifies mortality risks. Yet, most elderly hip fracture patients present compromised baseline health conditions. Additionally, PLOS leads to increased expenses for patient treatment and care, while also diminishing hospital turnover rates. This, in turn, jeopardizes the prompt allocation of beds for urgent cases.

Methods

A retrospective study was carried out from October 2021 to November 2023 on 360 elderly hip fracture patients who underwent surgical treatment at West China Hospital. The 75th percentile of the total patient cohort's hospital stay duration, which was 12 days, was used to define prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS). The cohort was divided into training and testing datasets with a 70:30 split. A predictive model was developed using the random forest algorithm, and its performance was validated and compared with the Lasso regression model.

Results

Out of 360 patients, 103 (28.61%) experienced PLOS. A Random Forest classification model was developed using the training dataset, identifying 10 essential variables. The Random Forest model achieved perfect performance in the training set, with an area under the curve (AUC), balanced accuracy, Kappa value, and F1 score of 1.000. In the testing set, the model's performance was assessed with an AUC of 0.846, balanced accuracy of 0.7294, Kappa value of 0.4325, and F1 score of 0.6061.

Conclusion

This study aims to develop a prognostic model for predicting delayed discharge in elderly patients with hip fractures, thereby improving the accuracy of predicting PLOS in this population. By utilizing machine learning models, clinicians can optimize the allocation of medical resources and devise effective rehabilitation strategies for geriatric hip fracture patients. Additionally, this method can potentially improve hospital bed turnover rates, providing latent benefits for the healthcare system.

Risk factors and prognosis of perioperative acute heart failure in elderly patients with hip fracture: case-control studies and cohort study

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients with hip fracture who develop perioperative acute heart failure (AHF) have a poor prognosis. The aim of the present study is to investigate the potential risks of AHF in elderly hip-fracture patients in the postoperative period and to evaluate the prognostic significance of AHF.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on hip fracture patients at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, who were continuously in hospital from September 2018 to August 2020. To identify independent risk factors for AHF in elderly patients with hip fracture, univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was employed. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve illustrated the relationship between all-cause mortality in the AHF and non-AHF groups. An assessment of the correlation between baseline factors and all-cause mortality was conducted by means of univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

We eventually recruited 492 patients,318 of whom were in the AHF group. Statistical significance was found between the two groups for age group, concomitant coronary heart disease, COPD, haemoglobin level below 100 g/L on admission, albumin level below 40 g/L on admission, and increased intraoperative blood loss. Age over 75, concomitant coronary artery disease, hemoglobin level below 100 g/L and albumin level below 40 g/L on admission were independent risk factors for AHF in older hip fracture patients. The AHF group exhibited a higher incidence of perioperative complications, such as anemia, cardiovascular issues, and stress hyperglycemia, as well as all-cause mortality. Based on our COX regression analysis, we have identified that the main risk factors for all-cause mortality in AHF patients are concomitant coronary heart disease, absence of pulmonary infection, absence of diabetes, absence of cancer, and absence of urinary tract infection.

CONCLUSION

Enhancing hip fracture prevention for AHF is particularly important. It is crucial to make informed decisions to avoid poor prognoses. Patients whose age over 75 years old, concomitant coronary heart disease, hemoglobin < 100 g/L and album< 40 g/L on admission are more likely to develop perioperative AHF. To avert complications and potential fatalities, patients with AHF must receive appropriate care during the perioperative period.