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Komori S, Akiyama J, Tatsuno N, Yamada E, Izumi A, Hamada M, Seto K, Nishiie Y, Suzuki K, Hisada Y, Otake Y, Yanai Y, Okubo H, Watanabe K, Akazawa N, Yamamoto N, Tanaka Y, Yanase M, Saito A, Yamada K, Yokoi C, Nagahara A. Prevalence and Risk Factors of Constipation Symptoms among Patients Undergoing Colonoscopy: A Single-Center Cross-Sectional Study. Digestion 2024:1. [PMID: 38754395 DOI: 10.1159/000539366] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Accepted: 05/12/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Constipation is one of the most common gastrointestinal symptoms. It may compromise quality of life and social functioning and result in increased healthcare use and costs. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and risk factors of constipation symptoms, as well as those of refractory constipation symptoms among patients who underwent colonoscopy. METHODS Over 4.5 years, patients who underwent colonoscopy and completed questionnaires were analyzed. Patients' symptoms were evaluated using the Gastrointestinal Symptoms Rating Scale. RESULTS Among 8,621 eligible patients, the prevalence of constipation symptoms was 33.3%. Multivariate analysis revealed female sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.7, p < 0.001), older age (OR 1.3, p < 0.001), cerebral stroke with paralysis (OR 1.7, p = 0.009), chronic renal failure (OR 2.6, p < 0.001), ischemic heart disease (OR 1.3, p = 0.008), diabetes (OR 1.4, p < 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.5, p = 0.002), benzodiazepine use (OR 1.7, p < 0.001), antiparkinsonian medications use (OR 1.9, p = 0.030), and opioid use (OR 2.1, p = 0.002) as independent risk factors for constipation symptoms. The number of patients taking any medication for constipation was 1,134 (13.2%); however, refractory symptoms of constipation were still present in 61.4% of these patients. Diabetes (OR 1.5, p = 0.028) and irritable bowel syndrome (OR 3.1, p < 0.001) were identified as predictors for refractory constipation symptoms. CONCLUSIONS Constipation occurred in one-third of patients, and more than half of patients still exhibited refractory symptoms of constipation despite taking laxatives. Multiple medications and concurrent diseases seem to be associated with constipation symptoms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shiori Komori
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Course of Advanced and Specialized Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Junichi Akiyama
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naoko Tatsuno
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Erika Yamada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Atsuko Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mariko Hamada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kana Seto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuriko Nishiie
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Keigo Suzuki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuya Hisada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuki Otake
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuka Yanai
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hidetaka Okubo
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazuhiro Watanabe
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Naoki Akazawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Natsuyo Yamamoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yasuo Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mikio Yanase
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Akiko Saito
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazuhiko Yamada
- Course of Advanced and Specialized Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Esophageal Surgery, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Chizu Yokoi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Akihito Nagahara
- Department of Gastroenterology, Juntendo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
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Yamana H, Okada A, Ono S, Michihata N, Jo T, Yasunaga H. Machine Learning-based Models for Outpatient Prescription of Kampo Formulations: An Analysis of a Health Insurance Claims Database. J Epidemiol 2024; 34:8-15. [PMID: 36642513 PMCID: PMC10701253 DOI: 10.2188/jea.je20220089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Accepted: 12/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the widespread practice of Japanese traditional Kampo medicine, the characteristics of patients receiving various Kampo formulations have not been documented in detail. We applied a machine learning model to a health insurance claims database to identify the factors associated with the use of Kampo formulations. METHODS A 10% sample of enrollees of the JMDC Claims Database in 2018 and 2019 was used to create the training and testing sets, respectively. Logistic regression analyses with lasso regularization were performed in the training set to construct models with prescriptions of 10 commonly used Kampo formulations in 1 year as the dependent variable and data of the preceding year as independent variables. Models were applied to the testing set to calculate the C-statistics. Additionally, the performance of simplified scores using 10 or 5 variables were evaluated. RESULTS There were 338,924 and 399,174 enrollees in the training and testing sets, respectively. The commonly prescribed Kampo formulations included kakkonto, bakumondoto, and shoseityuto. Based on the lasso models, the C-statistics ranged from 0.643 (maoto) to 0.888 (tokishakuyakusan). The models identified both the common determinants of different Kampo formulations and the specific characteristics associated with particular Kampo formulations. The simplified scores were slightly inferior to full models. CONCLUSION Lasso regression models showed good performance for explaining various Kampo prescriptions from claims data. The models identified the characteristics associated with Kampo formulation use.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hayato Yamana
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Akira Okada
- Department of Prevention of Diabetes and Lifestyle-Related Diseases, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Sachiko Ono
- Department of Eat-loss Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuaki Michihata
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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Arezina R, Chen T, Wang D. Conventional, Complementary and Alternative Medicines: Mechanistic Insights into Therapeutic Landscape of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2023; 18:447-457. [PMID: 37038544 PMCID: PMC10082417 DOI: 10.2147/copd.s393540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2022] [Accepted: 03/27/2023] [Indexed: 04/05/2023] Open
Abstract
COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) is a major public health concern associated with significant morbidity and mortality worldwide. Current therapeutic guidelines for this disease recommend starting with an inhaled bronchodilator, stepping up to combination therapy as necessary, and/or adding inhaled corticosteroids as symptoms and airflow obstruction progress. However, no drug therapy exists to stop disease progression. The mechanistic definition underlying COPD pathogenesis remains poorly understood, it is generally accepted that oxidative stress and the altered immune response of low-grade airway inflammation are major factors contributing to COPD development. There are several potential therapeutic targets that are currently under investigation, including immune regulatory pathways in inflammation and lung-associated steroid resistance induced by oxidative stress signaling cascades. Patients with COPD have increased levels of inflammatory mediators, including lipid and peptide mediators, as well as a network of cytokines and chemokines that maintain inflammatory immune response and recruit circulating cells into the lungs. Many of these pro-inflammatory mediators are regulated by nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-κB) and mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPKs), such as p38 MAPK. Increased oxidative stress is a key driving mechanism in perpetuating inflammation and lung injury. Furthermore, many proteases that degrade elastin fibres are secreted by airway resident infiltrating immune cells in COPD patients. In this perspective, we discuss novel aspects of signaling pathway activation in the context of inflammation and oxidative stress, and the broad view of potential effective pharmacotherapies that target the underlying mechanistic disease process in COPD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Radivoj Arezina
- Department of Medical, Stridon Clinical Research, Richmond Upon Thames, London, UK
| | - Tao Chen
- Department of Public Health, Policy & Systems, Institute of Population Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK
| | - Duolao Wang
- Affiliated Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK
- Correspondence: Duolao Wang, Email
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Gürsoy Coşkun G, Andac-Ozturk S, Arslan Ulukan Z. Comparison of constipation and nutritional status with disease-related parameters in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients. Int J Clin Pract 2021; 75:e14451. [PMID: 34105860 DOI: 10.1111/ijcp.14451] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2020] [Accepted: 06/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM The aim of the study was to determine the effects of constipation symptoms and nutritional status on disease-related parameters, such as disease duration, spirometry test and quality of life, of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. METHODS The research was performed with 48 COPD patients attending the centre from January 2019 to August 2019. Assessment of constipation symptoms was done by Constipation Severity Instrument (CSI), whereas for quality of life assessment, St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) was used. Patient's nutritional status was determined by food frequency questionnaire. Body mass index (BMI) and fat-free mass index (FFMI) of the patients were identified with the bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) method. Statistical assessment of data was done with SPSS 22 program. RESULTS According to the relationship between CSI scores and COPD disease parameters, there was a weak positive correlation between the CSI obstructive defecation subscale and SGRQ activity score and weak positive correlation between CSI colonic inertia subscale and COPD duration from the diagnosis. We found a weak negative correlation between protein intake percentage and SGRQ impact score. As the disease duration increased, the total fat, polyunsaturated fatty acids and vitamin E intake of individuals were determined to reduce. CONCLUSION According to our results, there were some changes in the nutrient intake depending on the duration of COPD, and possible constipation in COPD patients may affect the quality of life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gözde Gürsoy Coşkun
- Department of Gastronomy and Culinary Arts, Istanbul Rumeli University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Serap Andac-Ozturk
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Istanbul Aydin University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Zeliha Arslan Ulukan
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Medicana International Istanbul Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey
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Kitamura S, Igarashi A, Yoshie S, Morita K, Jo T, Iijima K, Yamamoto-Mitani N. [The pulmonary rehabilitation utilization rate among older people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Japan: A retrospective study using medical and long-term care insurance claims data]. Nihon Ronen Igakkai Zasshi 2021; 58:111-118. [PMID: 33627546 DOI: 10.3143/geriatrics.58.111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
AIM This study aimed to improve the understanding of the utilization rates and the characteristics of users of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) among people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. METHODS We used medical and long-term care claims data from between April 2012 and March 2013 from Kashiwa city in Chiba prefecture, Japan. The study participants included patients of ≥63 years of age, who had received outpatient treatment for COPD (ICD-10 codes: J41-J44) two or more times during the study period, and who had been prescribed two or more COPD-related drugs. We extracted data on inpatient and outpatient PR using respiratory rehabilitation fee (I) (II) codes, and on home-based PR using home-care rehabilitation or nursing codes from medical insurance or long-term care insurance data. RESULTS The mean age of the patients was 76.8 years (total participation: n = 2,708). There were 61 (2.3%) inpatient PR users, 25 (0.9%) outpatient PR users, and 101 (3.8%) home-based PR users. The median duration of usage by the inpatient, outpatient and home-based PR users was 1 month, 2 months, and 11 months, respectively. The mean age of non-PR and outpatient PR users was 76 years, while that of the inpatient PR users and home-based PR users was approximately 80 years. Approximately 20-30% of non-PR users and outpatient PR users were certified for long-term care. In contrast, approximately half of the inpatient users and almost all of the home-based PR users were certified for long-term care. CONCLUSIONS Since the PR utilization rates were low in both hospital-based and home-based settings, it is necessary to take measures to disseminate each PR based on the characteristics of the intervention duration and service users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satomi Kitamura
- Department of Gerontological Home Care and Long-term Care Nursing/Palliative Care Nursing, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Ayumi Igarashi
- Department of Gerontological Home Care and Long-term Care Nursing/Palliative Care Nursing, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Satoru Yoshie
- Institute of Gerontology, The University of Tokyo.,Institute for Future Initiatives (IFI), The University of Tokyo.,Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Medicine, Keio University.,Health Services Research & Development Center, University of Tsukuba
| | - Kojiro Morita
- Health Services Research & Development Center, University of Tsukuba.,Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba.,Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo.,Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Katsuya Iijima
- Institute of Gerontology, The University of Tokyo.,Institute for Future Initiatives (IFI), The University of Tokyo
| | - Noriko Yamamoto-Mitani
- Department of Gerontological Home Care and Long-term Care Nursing/Palliative Care Nursing, Division of Health Sciences and Nursing, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
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Abstract
Objective Kampo is a traditional Japanese medicine using formulae of natural agents. Although Kampo is widely practiced, information regarding the current prescriptions of Kampo formulations is lacking. The aim of the study was to describe the outpatient use of Kampo formulations in the current Japanese health insurance system. Methods From the JMDC Claims Database, we identified subscribers with outpatient prescriptions of Kampo extract formulations between April 2017 and March 2018. Prescription records were summarized at the individual level to describe the pattern of each formula's use, such as the frequency of prescription and the number of days within a year that were covered by the prescriptions. We also examined whether or not Kampo formulations were prescribed in combination with other drugs. Results Of the 4.5 million subscribers, 13.5% received prescriptions of Kampo extracts within 1 year, and 54% of Kampo users were women. The most commonly prescribed Kampo formulae included kakkonto, shoseiryuto, and maoto, which were used for the short term covering a median of 5 to 7 days. There were also several formulae that were prescribed for longer periods. The median numbers of days covered by kamishoyosan and keishibukuryogan were 60 and 56, respectively. Kampo formulations were used in combination with Western drugs in 85% of prescriptions. Conclusion Kampo formulations are commonly prescribed under the Japanese insurance system and are frequently used in combination with Western drugs. The pattern of prescriptions varied across different formulae.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hayato Yamana
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Japan
| | - Sachiko Ono
- Department of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuaki Michihata
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Japan
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Japan
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Takayama S, Tomita N, Arita R, Ono R, Kikuchi A, Ishii T. Kampo Medicine for Various Aging-Related Symptoms: A Review of Geriatric Syndrome. Front Nutr 2020; 7:86. [PMID: 32766269 PMCID: PMC7381143 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2020.00086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2020] [Accepted: 05/12/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
With the continued growth of the aging population in Japan, geriatric syndrome (GS), which is associated with aging-related symptoms, has become a social problem. GS is caused by physiological and pathological aging and may manifest various symptoms. Physicians use multidisciplinary approaches to provide treatment for individual GS symptoms. Kampo medicine, a Japanese traditional medicine that uses multiple pharmacologically active substances, is useful for many syndromes, conditions, disorders, and diseases associated with GS. Evidence of the effectiveness of Kampo medicine for GS has accumulated in recent years. The effects of Kampo treatment for symptoms related to functional decline of the cardiovascular, respiratory, and digestive systems, cognitive impairment and related disorders, pain and other sensory issues, among others, support the use of Kampo medicine for the management of GS. The role of Kampo medicine for GS is summarized in this review.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shin Takayama
- Department of Kampo and Integrative Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Education and Support for Regional Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Kampo Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan
| | - Naoki Tomita
- Department of Geriatrics and Gerontology, Institue of Development, Aging and Cancer, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Ryutaro Arita
- Department of Education and Support for Regional Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Kampo Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan
| | - Rie Ono
- Department of Education and Support for Regional Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Kampo Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan
| | - Akiko Kikuchi
- Department of Kampo and Integrative Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Education and Support for Regional Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Kampo Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan
| | - Tadashi Ishii
- Department of Kampo and Integrative Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Education and Support for Regional Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan.,Department of Kampo Medicine, Tohoku University Hospital, Sendai, Japan
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Takayama S, Akaishi T, Nozaki H, Suzuki S, Arita R, Saito N, Tanaka J, Numata T, Kikuchi A, Ohsawa M, Abe M, Ishii T. Characteristics and course of patients treated with Kampo Medicine in the Department of General Medicine. J Gen Fam Med 2020; 21:48-55. [PMID: 32489756 PMCID: PMC7260161 DOI: 10.1002/jgf2.294] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2019] [Revised: 10/29/2019] [Accepted: 12/08/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A recent investigation reported that 92.7% Japanese family physicians have prescribed Kampo medicine (KM). KM can treat a wide variety of conditions from mental disorders to physical weaknesses. However, the characteristics and course of patients treated with KM at the Department of General Medicine remain unclear. AIMS To investigate the characteristics and course of patients treated with KM in our hospital. METHODS Data on medical history, complaints, course after Kampo treatment, and Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAM-D) scores were retrogradely collected. The background of patients who received Kampo treatment was compared to that of patients who did not. RESULT Of 362 patients, 51 were treated with KM. Symptoms for which KM was prescribed included pain, general malaise, or sensory disturbance of extremities. All patients treated with KM were screened and initially diagnosed with a functional disorder or noncritical condition. KM including a crude drug of saiko such as hochuekkito, shigyakusan, shosaikoto, and yokukansan, was frequently prescribed for patients. Subjective symptoms showed improvement (53%) and no change (47%), while worsening was not observed in any patient. HAM-D scores showed that patients treated with KM had higher anxiety levels and related symptoms as well as a higher frequency of mental disorders prior to presenting at the hospital. CONCLUSION Most complaints of the patients treated with KM were pain, general malaise, and sensory disturbance. KM is more likely to be prescribed in patients with health-related anxiety or a history of mental disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shin Takayama
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Tetsuya Akaishi
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Hiroyuki Nozaki
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Satoko Suzuki
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Ryutaro Arita
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Natsumi Saito
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Junichi Tanaka
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Takehiro Numata
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Akiko Kikuchi
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Minoru Ohsawa
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Gynecology and ObstetricsTohoku University School of MedicineSendaiJapan
| | - Michiaki Abe
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
| | - Tadashi Ishii
- Department of Kampo MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
- Department of Education and Support for Regional MedicineTohoku University HospitalSendaiJapan
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Goto T, Jo T, Matsui H, Fushimi K, Hayashi H, Yasunaga H. Machine Learning-Based Prediction Models for 30-Day Readmission after Hospitalization for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. COPD 2019; 16:338-343. [PMID: 31709851 DOI: 10.1080/15412555.2019.1688278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
While machine learning approaches can enhance prediction ability, little is known about their ability to predict 30-day readmission after hospitalization for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). We identified patients aged ≥40 years with unplanned hospitalization due to COPD in the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, an administrative claims database in Japan, from 2011 through 2016 (index hospitalizations). COPD was defined by ICD-10-CM diagnostic codes, according to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) readmission measures. The primary outcome was any readmission within 30 days after index hospitalization. In the training set (randomly-selected 70% of sample), patient characteristics and inpatient care data were used as predictors to derive a conventional logistic regression model and two machine learning models (lasso regression and deep neural network). In the test set (remaining 30% of sample), the prediction performances of the machine learning models were examined by comparison with the reference model based on CMS readmission measures. Among 44,929 index hospitalizations for COPD, 3413 (7%) were readmitted within 30 days after discharge. The reference model had the lowest discrimination ability (C-statistic: 0.57 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.59]). The two machine learning models had moderate, significantly higher discrimination ability (C-statistic: lasso regression, 0.61 [95% CI 0.59-0.61], p = 0.004; deep neural network, 0.61 [95% CI 0.59-0.63], p = 0.007). Tube feeding duration, blood transfusion, thoracentesis use, and male sex were important predictors. In this study using nationwide administrative data in Japan, machine learning models improved the prediction of 30-day readmission after COPD hospitalization compared with a conventional model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tadahiro Goto
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.,Graduate School of Medical Sciences, The University of Fukui, Fukui, Japan
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Health Services Research, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Care Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Hayashi
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Fukui Hospital, Fukui, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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