Pattern and Trends in Adult Hospitalization/Admission and Mortality Among Medical Ward Inpatients at Gadarif Hospital in Eastern Sudan: A Four-Year Retrospective Study

Investigation of non-communicable diseases prevalence, patterns, and patient outcomes in hospitalized populations: a prospective observational study in three tertiary hospitals

BACKGROUND

Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) pose a significant global health challenge, constituting over 80% of mortality and morbidity. This burden is particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Ethiopia. Despite this, there's limited research on this issue in Africa. This study aims to investigate the prevalence, patterns, and outcomes of NCDs in hospitalized populations across three tertiary hospitals in Ethiopia.

METHODS

A hospital-based cohort study (August 2022 - January 2023) included patients aged 14 and older diagnosed with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, or cancer at three Ethiopian hospitals. Data on demographics, socio-economic factors, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were collected through medical records and interviews. Logistic regression identified factors independently associated with in-hospital mortality, with p ≤ 0.05 considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

In the study across three tertiary hospitals involving 2,237 patients, we uncovered the impact of NCDs. About 23.4% of patients struggled with NCDs, with cardiovascular diseases (53.3%), cancer (29.6%), diabetes (6.1%), and respiratory diseases (6.5%) being the most prevalent. Notably, among those affected, women comprised a slight majority (55.1%), with the average patient age being 47.2 years. Unfortunately, 15.3% of patients with NCDs faced in-hospital mortality. Our analysis revealed predictors of mortality, including cancer diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]:1.6, 95% CI: 1.2-1.8, p = 0.01), medication adherence ( AOR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.21-0.64, p < 0.001), concurrent infections (AOR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.16-0.86, p < 0.001), chronic kidney diseases (CKD) (AOR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.14-0.85, p = 0.02), and complications during hospitalization (AOR: 6.36, 95% CI: 3.45-11.71, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our study reveals a substantial prevalence of NCDs among hospitalized patients, affecting approximately one in four individuals, primarily with CVDs and cancer. Alarmingly, a significant proportion of these patients did not survive their hospitalization, emphasizing the urgent need for targeted interventions to enhance outcomes in this population.

Prevalence and mortality rate of sepsis among adults admitted to hospitals in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Due to abundant pathogen diversity and mounting antimicrobial resistance, sepsis is more common in sub-Saharan Africa (sSA). However, there is a lack of consistent reports regarding the prevalence of adult sepsis in the region. Therefore, this study aimed to determine pooled estimates of sepsis prevalence and associated mortality among adults admitted to hospitals in sSA. Medline (through PubMed), Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies of sepsis in sSA published before 13th February 2023. A random-effects meta-analysis of hospital-wide and intensive care unit (ICU)-based sepsis prevalence was performed with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Subgroup analysis was conducted considering geographic region and sepsis diagnostic criteria. Funnel plots and Egger's test were used to assess publication bias. The protocol was submitted to the Prospective Register for Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) with an identifier (CRD42023396719). Overall, 14 observational studies, published between 2009 and 2022, from eight different sSA countries comprising 31,653 adult patients (5723 with sepsis) were included in the review. Nine studies that were conducted in a hospital-wide setting showed a pooled prevalence and mortality of 17% (95% CI: 12-21%) and 15% (95% CI: 17-35%), respectively. Five studies in the ICUs presented a pooled prevalence and mortality of 31% (95% CI: 24-38%) and 46% (95% CI: 39-54%), respectively. Based on the sub-group analysis, the pooled hospital-wide prevalence of sepsis in East and Southern Africa was 18% (95% CI: 11-25%), and 20% (95% CI: 2-42%), respectively. The pooled prevalence in the ICU was 14% (95% CI: 4-23%) and 13% (95% CI: 5-20%) for East and Southern Africa, respectively. The hospital-wide and ICU-based sepsis prevalence and mortality are high in sSA. Addressing the burden of adult sepsis should be a priority for healthcare systems in sub-Saharan Africa.

Multimorbidity and its associated risk factors among adults in northern Sudan: a community-based cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity (having two or more coexisting long-term conditions) is a growing global challenge. However, data on multimorbidity among adults in Africa, including Sudan, are scarce. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the prevalence of multimorbidity and its associated risk factors among adults in Sudan.

METHODS

A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in northern Sudan from March 2022 to May 2022. Participants' sociodemographic characteristics were assessed using a questionnaire. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more coexisting long-term conditions, including diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, obesity, anaemia and depression-anxiety. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the associated factors.

RESULTS

The participants included 250 adults: 119 (47.6%) males and 131(52.4%) females. The median interquartile range (IQR) of the enrolled adults of the age was 43.0 (30.0‒55.0) years. Of the 250 adults, 82(32.8%), 17(6.8%), 84(33.6%), and 67(26.8%) were normal weight, underweight, overweight, and obese, respectively; 148(59.2%), 72(28.8%), 63(25.2%), 67(26.8%), and 98(39.2%) had hypertension, DM, anaemia, obesity, and depression-anxiety, respectively. A total of 154 adults (61.6%) had multimorbidity: 97(38.8%), 49(19.6%), and 8(3.2%) had two, three, and four morbidities, respectively. The remaining 21 (8.4%), and 75 (30.0%) adults had no morbidity, and one morbidity, respectively. In amultivariate logistic regression analysis, increasing age (adjusted odd ratio [AOR] = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.01‒1.05), and female sex (AOR = 2.17, 95% CI = 1.16‒4.06) were associated with multimorbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

The high prevalence of multimorbidity revealed in this study uncovers a major public health problem among Sudanese adults. Our results show that increasing age and female sex are associated with multimorbidity. Additional extensive studies are necessary to evaluate the magnitude of multimorbidity for improved future planning and establishing effective health systems.

Patterns of Medical Admissions and Predictors of Mortality in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northern Ethiopia: A Prospective Observational Study

Background

Previous works show that noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are on the rise in developing nations, including Ethiopia, in the background of preexisting communicable diseases (CDs). Data on hospital admission in sub-Saharan Africa are scarce, particularly prospectively collected, and hence this study was done to close the gap in acquiring accurate diagnosis usually faced with retrospective data. We aimed to describe medical admission patterns, their outcomes and determinants at Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (ACSH) in Tigray, Ethiopia.

Methods

Data were collected prospectively from November 1, 2017 to October 31, 2018 for all medical admissions. Sociodemographic profiles, final diagnosis, outcome of hospitalization, and complications were recorded using a data-abstraction checklist. Data were analyzed using SPSS 26.

Results

There were 2084 medical admissions over 1 year. Median age was 45 years (IQR 31). A majority (1107, 53.1%) were male. The age-group 25-34 years had the most admissions (19.0%). NCDs constituted 68.2% of admissions. According to the International Classification of Diseases, patients were admitted most frequently due to disease of the circulatory system (36.7%) followed by infectious or parasitic diseases (24.1%). Of NCDs, cardiovascular diseases contributed to 53.9%, followed by cancers (8.6%). Of CDs, HIV/AIDS contributed to 31.3%, followed by tuberculosis (22.8%). A total of 1375 (66%) were discharged improved, while 311 (14.9%) died. On multivariate analysis, the in-hospital mortality was significantly higher (18.7%) for CDs than NCDs (13.2%, AOR 1.8, 95% CI 1.4-2.3; P<0.001). Bed occupancy of ACSH medical wards and ICU was 54%.

Conclusion

NCDs were leading causes of medical admissions in ACSH. The presence of CDs and the development of complications were associated with higher risk of death. Attention should be given by policy-makers to curb the higher morbidity from NCDs and mortality from CDs.