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Roberts PD, Conour J. Mechanistic modeling as an explanatory tool for clinical treatment of chronic catatonia. Front Pharmacol 2022; 13:1025417. [PMID: 36438845 PMCID: PMC9682077 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2022.1025417] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2022] [Accepted: 10/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Mathematical modeling of neural systems is an effective means to integrate complex information about the brain into a numerical tool that can help explain observations. However, the use of neural models to inform clinical decisions has been limited. In this study, we use a simple model of brain circuitry, the Wilson-Cowan model, to predict changes in a clinical measure for catatonia, the Bush-Francis Catatonia Rating Scale, for use in clinical treatment of schizophrenia. This computational tool can then be used to better understand mechanisms of action for pharmaceutical treatments, and to fine-tune dosage in individual cases. We present the conditions of clinical care for a residential patient cohort, and describe methods for synthesizing data to demonstrated the functioning of the model. We then show that the model can be used to explain effect sizes of treatments and estimate outcomes for combinations of medications. We conclude with a demonstration of how this model could be personalized for individual patients to inform ongoing treatment protocols.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patrick D. Roberts
- Amazon Web Services, Portland, OR, United States
- *Correspondence: Patrick D. Roberts,
| | - James Conour
- Cascadia Behavioral Healthcare, Portland, OR, United States
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Rose R, Mitchell E, Van Der Graaf P, Takaichi D, Hosogi J, Geerts H. A quantitative systems pharmacology model for simulating OFF-Time in augmentation trials for Parkinson’s disease: application to preladenant. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 2022; 49:593-606. [DOI: 10.1007/s10928-022-09825-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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Spiros A, Geerts H. Toward Predicting Impact of Common Genetic Variants on Schizophrenia Clinical Responses With Antipsychotics: A Quantitative System Pharmacology Study. Front Neurosci 2021; 15:738903. [PMID: 34658776 PMCID: PMC8511786 DOI: 10.3389/fnins.2021.738903] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2021] [Accepted: 09/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
CNS disorders are lagging behind other indications in implementing genotype-dependent treatment algorithms for personalized medicine. This report uses a biophysically realistic computer model of an associative and dorsal motor cortico-striatal-thalamo-cortical loop and a working memory cortical model to investigate the pharmacodynamic effects of COMTVal158Met rs4680, 5-HTTLPR rs 25531 s/L and D2DRTaq1A1 genotypes on the clinical response of 7 antipsychotics. The effect of the genotypes on dopamine and serotonin dynamics and the level of target exposure for the drugs was calibrated from PET displacement studies. The simulations suggest strong gene-gene pharmacodynamic interactions unique to each antipsychotic. For PANSS Total, the D2DRTaq1 allele has the biggest impact, followed by the 5-HTTLPR rs25531. The A2A2 genotype improved efficacy for all drugs, with a more complex outcome for the 5-HTTLPR rs25531 genotype. Maximal range in PANSS Total for all 27 individual combinations is 3 (aripiprazole) to 5 points (clozapine). The 5-HTTLPR L/L with aripiprazole and risperidone and the D2DRTaq1A2A2 allele with haloperidol, clozapine and quetiapine reduce the motor side-effects with opposite effects for the s/s genotype. The COMT genotype has a limited effect on antipsychotic effect and EPS. For cognition, the COMT MM 5-HTTLPR L/L genotype combination has the best performance for all antipsychotics, except clozapine. Maximal difference is 25% of the total dynamic range in a 2-back working memory task. Aripiprazole is the medication that is best suited for the largest number of genotype combinations (10) followed by Clozapine and risperidone (6), haloperidol and olanzapine (3) and quetiapine and paliperidone for one genotype. In principle, the platform could identify the best antipsychotic treatment balancing efficacy and side-effects for a specific individual genotype. Once the predictions of this platform are validated in a clinical setting the platform has potential to support rational personalized treatment guidance in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Athan Spiros
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, PA, United States
| | - Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, PA, United States.,Certara QSP, Canterbury, United Kingdom
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Geerts H, van der Graaf P. A modeling informed quantitative approach to salvage clinical trials interrupted due to COVID-19. ALZHEIMER'S & DEMENTIA (NEW YORK, N. Y.) 2020; 6:e12053. [PMID: 33163611 PMCID: PMC7606183 DOI: 10.1002/trc2.12053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2020] [Accepted: 07/01/2020] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Many ongoing Alzheimer's disease central nervous system clinical trials are being disrupted and halted due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are often of a long duration' are very complex; and involve many stakeholders, not only the scientists and regulators but also the patients and their family members. It is mandatory for us as a community to explore all possibilities to avoid losing all the knowledge we have gained from these ongoing trials. Some of these trials will need to completely restart, but a substantial number can restart after a hiatus with the proper protocol amendments. To salvage the information gathered so far, we need out-of-the-box thinking for addressing these missingness problems and to combine information from the completers with those subjects undergoing complex protocols deviations and amendments after restart in a rational, scientific way. Physiology-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling has been a cornerstone of model-informed drug development with regard to drug exposure at the site of action, taking into account individual patient characteristics. Quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP), based on biology-informed and mechanistic modeling of the interaction between a drug and neuronal circuits, is an emerging technology to simulate the pharmacodynamic effects of a drug in combination with patient-specific comedications, genotypes, and disease states on functional clinical scales. We propose to combine these two approaches into the concept of computer modeling-based virtual twin patients as a possible solution to harmonize the readouts from these complex clinical datasets in a biologically and therapeutically relevant way.
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Geerts H, Spiros A. Learning from amyloid trials in Alzheimer's disease. A virtual patient analysis using a quantitative systems pharmacology approach. Alzheimers Dement 2020; 16:862-872. [PMID: 32255562 PMCID: PMC7983876 DOI: 10.1002/alz.12082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2019] [Revised: 01/12/2020] [Accepted: 02/17/2020] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Many trials of amyloid-modulating agents fail to improve cognitive outcome in Alzheimer's disease despite substantial reduction of amyloid β levels. METHODS We applied a mechanism-based Quantitative Systems Pharmacology model exploring the pharmacodynamic interactions of apolipoprotein E (APOE), Catechol -O -methyl Transferase (COMTVal158Met), and 5-HT transporter (5-HTTLPR) rs25531 genotypes and aducanumab. RESULTS The model predicts large clinical variability. Anticipated placebo differences on Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale (ADAS)-COG in the aducanumab ENGAGE and EMERGE ranged from 0.77 worsening to 1.56 points improvement, depending on the genotype-comedication combination. 5-HTTLPR L/L subjects are found to be the most resilient. Virtual patient simulations suggest improvements over placebo between 4% and 20% at the 10 mg/kg dose, depending on the imbalance of the 5-HTTLPR genotype and exposure. In the Phase II PRIME trial, maximal anticipated placebo difference at 10 mg/kg ranges from 0.3 worsening to 5.3 points improvement. DISCUSSION These virtual patient simulations, once validated against clinical data, could lead to better informed future clinical trial designs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In-Silico Biosciences, Certara-QSP, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Athan Spiros
- In-Silico Biosciences, Certara-QSP, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA
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Geerts H, Barrett JE. Neuronal Circuit-Based Computer Modeling as a Phenotypic Strategy for CNS R&D. Front Neurosci 2019; 13:723. [PMID: 31379482 PMCID: PMC6646593 DOI: 10.3389/fnins.2019.00723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2019] [Accepted: 06/28/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
With the success rate of drugs for CNS indications at an all-time low, new approaches are needed to turn the tide of failed clinical trials. This paper reviews the history of CNS drug Discovery over the last 60 years and proposes a new paradigm based on the lessons learned. The initial wave of successful therapeutics discovered using careful clinical observations was followed by an emphasis on a phenotypic target-agnostic approach, often leading to successful drugs with a rich pharmacology. The subsequent introduction of molecular biology and the focus on a target-driven strategy has largely dominated drug discovery efforts over the last 30 years, but has not increased the probability of success, because these highly selective molecules are unlikely to address the complex pathological phenotypes of most CNS disorders. In many cases, reliance on preclinical animal models has lacked robust translational power. We argue that Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP), a mechanism-based computer model of biological processes informed by preclinical knowledge and enhanced by neuroimaging and clinical data could be a new powerful knowledge generator engine and paradigm for rational polypharmacy. Progress in the academic discipline of computational neurosciences, allows one to model the effect of pathology and therapeutic interventions on neuronal circuit firing activity that can relate to clinical phenotypes, driven by complex properties of specific brain region activation states. The model is validated by optimizing the correlation between relevant emergent properties of these neuronal circuits and historical clinical and imaging datasets. A rationally designed polypharmacy target profile will be discovered using reverse engineering and sensitivity analysis. Small molecules will be identified using a combination of Artificial Intelligence methods and computational modeling, tested subsequently in heterologous cellular systems with human targets. Animal models will be used to establish target engagement and for ADME-Tox, with the QSP approach complemented by in vivo preclinical models that can be further refined to increase predictive validity. The QSP platform can also mitigate the variability in clinical trials with the concept of virtual patients. Because the QSP platform integrates knowledge from a wide variety of sources in an actionable simulation, it offers the possibility of substantially improving the success rate of CNS R&D programs while, at the same time, reducing both cost and the number of animals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Inc., Berwyn, IL, United States
| | - James E Barrett
- Center for Substance Abuse Research, Lewis Katz School of Medicine, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, United States
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Kadra G, Spiros A, Shetty H, Iqbal E, Hayes RD, Stewart R, Geerts H. Predicting parkinsonism side-effects of antipsychotic polypharmacy prescribed in secondary mental healthcare. J Psychopharmacol 2018; 32:1191-1196. [PMID: 30232932 PMCID: PMC6238161 DOI: 10.1177/0269881118796809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Computer-modelling approaches have the potential to predict the interactions between different antipsychotics and provide guidance for polypharmacy. AIMS To evaluate the accuracy of the quantitative systems pharmacology platform to predict parkinsonism side-effects in patients prescribed antipsychotic polypharmacy. METHODS Using anonymized data from South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust electronic health records we applied quantitative systems pharmacology, a neurophysiology-based computer model of humanized neuronal circuits, to predict the risk for parkinsonism symptoms in patients with schizophrenia prescribed two concomitant antipsychotics. The performance of the quantitative systems pharmacology model was compared with the performance of simple parameters such as: combination of affinity constants (1/Ksum); sum of D2R occupancies (D2R) and chlorpromazine equivalent dose. RESULTS We identified 832 patients with schizophrenia who were receiving two antipsychotics for six or more months, between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2014. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for the quantitative systems pharmacology model was 0.66 ( p = 0.01), while AUROCs for D2R, 1/Ksum and chlorpromazine equivalent dose were 0.52 ( p = 0.350), 0.53 ( p = 0.347) and 0.52 ( p = 0.330) respectively. CONCLUSION Our results indicate that quantitative systems pharmacology has the potential to predict the risk of parkinsonism associated with antipsychotic polypharmacy from minimal source information, and thus might have potential decision-support applicability in clinical settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giouliana Kadra
- King’s College London, Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, London, UK,Giouliana Kadra, BRC Neucleus, Mapother House, De Crespigny Park, IOPPN, King’s College London, London, SE5 8AF, UK.
| | | | - Hitesh Shetty
- South London and Maudsley NHS Trust, BRC Nucleus, London, UK
| | - Ehtesham Iqbal
- King’s College London, SGDP, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, London, UK
| | - Richard D Hayes
- King’s College London, Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, London, UK
| | - Robert Stewart
- King’s College London, Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, London, UK,South London and Maudsley NHS Trust, BRC Nucleus, London, UK
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Geerts H, Spiros A, Roberts P. Impact of amyloid-beta changes on cognitive outcomes in Alzheimer's disease: analysis of clinical trials using a quantitative systems pharmacology model. Alzheimers Res Ther 2018; 10:14. [PMID: 29394903 PMCID: PMC5797372 DOI: 10.1186/s13195-018-0343-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2017] [Accepted: 01/15/2018] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite a tremendous amount of information on the role of amyloid in Alzheimer's disease (AD), almost all clinical trials testing this hypothesis have failed to generate clinically relevant cognitive effects. METHODS We present an advanced mechanism-based and biophysically realistic quantitative systems pharmacology computer model of an Alzheimer-type neuronal cortical network that has been calibrated with Alzheimer Disease Assessment Scale, cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog) readouts from historical clinical trials and simulated the differential impact of amyloid-beta (Aβ40 and Aβ42) oligomers on glutamate and nicotinic neurotransmission. RESULTS Preclinical data suggest a beneficial effect of shorter Aβ forms within a limited dose range. Such a beneficial effect of Aβ40 on glutamate neurotransmission in human patients is absolutely necessary to reproduce clinical data on the ADAS-Cog in minimal cognitive impairment (MCI) patients with and without amyloid load, the effect of APOE genotype effect on the slope of the cognitive trajectory over time in placebo AD patients and higher sensitivity to cholinergic manipulation with scopolamine associated with higher Aβ in MCI subjects. We further derive a relationship between units of Aβ load in our model and the standard uptake value ratio from amyloid imaging. When introducing the documented clinical pharmacodynamic effects on Aβ levels for various amyloid-related clinical interventions in patients with low Aβ baseline, the platform predicts an overall significant worsening for passive vaccination with solanezumab, beta-secretase inhibitor verubecestat and gamma-secretase inhibitor semagacestat. In contrast, all three interventions improved cognition in subjects with moderate to high baseline Aβ levels, with verubecestat anticipated to have the greatest effect (around ADAS-Cog value 1.5 points), solanezumab the lowest (0.8 ADAS-Cog value points) and semagacestat in between. This could explain the success of many amyloid interventions in transgene animals with an artificial high level of Aβ, but not in AD patients with a large variability of amyloid loads. CONCLUSIONS If these predictions are confirmed in post-hoc analyses of failed clinical amyloid-modulating trials, one should question the rationale behind testing these interventions in early and prodromal subjects with low or zero amyloid load.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, 686 Westwind Dr, Berwyn, PA, 1312, USA.
- Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
| | - Athan Spiros
- In Silico Biosciences, 686 Westwind Dr, Berwyn, PA, 1312, USA
| | - Patrick Roberts
- In Silico Biosciences, 686 Westwind Dr, Berwyn, PA, 1312, USA
- Amazon AI AWS, Portland, OR, USA
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Gaiteri C, Mostafavi S, Honey CJ, De Jager PL, Bennett DA. Genetic variants in Alzheimer disease - molecular and brain network approaches. Nat Rev Neurol 2016; 12:413-27. [PMID: 27282653 PMCID: PMC5017598 DOI: 10.1038/nrneurol.2016.84] [Citation(s) in RCA: 69] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Genetic studies in late-onset Alzheimer disease (LOAD) are aimed at identifying core disease mechanisms and providing potential biomarkers and drug candidates to improve clinical care of AD. However, owing to the complexity of LOAD, including pathological heterogeneity and disease polygenicity, extraction of actionable guidance from LOAD genetics has been challenging. Past attempts to summarize the effects of LOAD-associated genetic variants have used pathway analysis and collections of small-scale experiments to hypothesize functional convergence across several variants. In this Review, we discuss how the study of molecular, cellular and brain networks provides additional information on the effects of LOAD-associated genetic variants. We then discuss emerging combinations of these omic data sets into multiscale models, which provide a more comprehensive representation of the effects of LOAD-associated genetic variants at multiple biophysical scales. Furthermore, we highlight the clinical potential of mechanistically coupling genetic variants and disease phenotypes with multiscale brain models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris Gaiteri
- Rush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, 600 S Paulina Street, Chicago, Illinois 60612, USA
| | - Sara Mostafavi
- Department of Statistics, and Medical Genetics; Centre for Molecular and Medicine and Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, 950 West 28th Avenue, Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 4H4, Canada
| | - Christopher J Honey
- Department of Psychology, University of Toronto, 100 St. George Street, 4th Floor Sidney Smith Hall, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3G3, Canada
| | - Philip L De Jager
- Program in Translational NeuroPsychiatric Genomics, Institute for the Neurosciences, Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston MA 02115, USA
| | - David A Bennett
- Rush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, 600 S Paulina Street, Chicago, Illinois 60612, USA
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Roberts P, Spiros A, Geerts H. A Humanized Clinically Calibrated Quantitative Systems Pharmacology Model for Hypokinetic Motor Symptoms in Parkinson's Disease. Front Pharmacol 2016; 7:6. [PMID: 26869923 PMCID: PMC4735425 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2016.00006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2015] [Accepted: 01/11/2016] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The current treatment of Parkinson’s disease with dopamine-centric approaches such as L-DOPA and dopamine agonists, although very successful, is in need of alternative treatment strategies, both in terms of disease modification and symptom management. Various non-dopaminergic treatment approaches did not result in a clear clinical benefit, despite showing a clear effect in preclinical animal models. In addition, polypharmacy is common, sometimes leading to unintended effects on non-motor cognitive and psychiatric symptoms. To explore novel targets for symptomatic treatment and possible synergistic pharmacodynamic effects between different drugs, we developed a computer-based Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) platform of the closed cortico-striatal-thalamic-cortical basal ganglia loop of the dorsal motor circuit. This mechanism-based simulation platform is based on the known neuro-anatomy and neurophysiology of the basal ganglia and explicitly incorporates domain expertise in a formalized way. The calculated beta/gamma power ratio of the local field potential in the subthalamic nucleus correlates well (R2 = 0.71) with clinically observed extra-pyramidal symptoms triggered by antipsychotics during schizophrenia treatment (43 drug-dose combinations). When incorporating Parkinsonian (PD) pathology and reported compensatory changes, the computer model suggests a major increase in b/g ratio (corresponding to bradykinesia and rigidity) from a dopamine depletion of 70% onward. The correlation between the outcome of the QSP model and the reported changes in UPDRS III Motor Part for 22 placebo-normalized drug-dose combinations is R2 = 0.84. The model also correctly recapitulates the lack of clinical benefit for perampanel, MK-0567 and flupirtine and offers a hypothesis for the translational disconnect. Finally, using human PET imaging studies with placebo response, the computer model predicts well the placebo response for chronic treatment, but not for acute treatment in PD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patrick Roberts
- In Silico BiosciencesBerwyn, PA, USA; Washington State UniversityVancouver, WA, USA
| | | | - Hugo Geerts
- In Silico BiosciencesBerwyn, PA, USA; Perelman School of Medicine, University of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphia, PA, USA
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Geerts H, Roberts P, Spiros A. Assessing the synergy between cholinomimetics and memantine as augmentation therapy in cognitive impairment in schizophrenia. A virtual human patient trial using quantitative systems pharmacology. Front Pharmacol 2015; 6:198. [PMID: 26441655 PMCID: PMC4585031 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2015.00198] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2015] [Accepted: 08/31/2015] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
While many drug discovery research programs aim to develop highly selective clinical candidates, their clinical success is limited because of the complex non-linear interactions of human brain neuronal circuits. Therefore, a rational approach for identifying appropriate synergistic multipharmacology and validating optimal target combinations is desperately needed. A mechanism-based Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) computer-based modeling platform that combines biophysically realistic preclinical neurophysiology and neuropharmacology with clinical information is a possible solution. This paper reports the application of such a model for Cognitive Impairment In Schizophrenia (CIAS), where the cholinomimetics galantamine and donepezil are combined with memantine and with different antipsychotics and smoking in a virtual human patient experiment. The results suggest that cholinomimetics added to antipsychotics have a modest effect on cognition in CIAS in non-smoking patients with haloperidol and risperidone and to a lesser extent with olanzapine and aripiprazole. Smoking reduces the effect of cholinomimetics with aripiprazole and olanzapine, but enhances the effect in haloperidol and risperidone. Adding memantine to antipsychotics improves cognition except with quetiapine, an effect enhanced with smoking. Combining cholinomimetics, antipsychotics and memantine in general shows an additive effect, except for a negative interaction with aripiprazole and quetiapine and a synergistic effect with olanzapine and haloperidol in non-smokers and haloperidol in smokers. The complex interaction of cholinomimetics with memantine, antipsychotics and smoking can be quantitatively studied using mechanism-based advanced computer modeling. QSP modeling of virtual human patients can possibly generate useful insights on the non-linear interactions of multipharmacology drugs and support complex CNS R&D projects in cognition in search of synergistic polypharmacy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences Berwyn, PA, USA ; Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Patrick Roberts
- Department of Veterinary and Comparative Anatomy, Pharmacology and Physiology, Washington State University Pullman, WA, USA
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Spiros A, Roberts P, Geerts H. A computer-based quantitative systems pharmacology model of negative symptoms in schizophrenia: exploring glycine modulation of excitation-inhibition balance. Front Pharmacol 2014; 5:229. [PMID: 25374541 PMCID: PMC4204440 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2014.00229] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2014] [Accepted: 09/23/2014] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Although many antipsychotics can reasonably control positive symptoms in schizophrenia, patients' return to society is often hindered by negative symptoms and cognitive deficits. As an alternative to animal rodent models that are often not very predictive for the clinical situation, we developed a new computer-based mechanistic modeling approach. This Quantitative Systems Pharmacology approach combines preclinical basic neurophysiology of a biophysically realistic neuronal ventromedial cortical-ventral striatal network identified from human imaging studies that are associated with negative symptoms. Calibration of a few biological coupling parameters using a retrospective clinical database of 34 drug-dose combinations resulted in correlation coefficients greater than 0.60, while a robust quantitative prediction of a number of independent trials was observed. We then simulated the effect of glycine modulation on the anticipated clinical outcomes. The quantitative biochemistry of glycine interaction with the different NMDA-NR2 subunits, neurodevelopmental trajectory of the NMDA-NR2B in the human schizophrenia pathology, their specific localization on excitatory vs. inhibitory interneurons and the electrogenic nature of the glycine transporter resulted in an inverse U-shape dose-response with an optimum in the low micromolar glycine concentration. Quantitative systems pharmacology based computer modeling of complex humanized brain circuits is a powerful alternative approach to explain the non-monotonic dose-response observed in past clinical trial outcomes with sarcosine, D-cycloserine, glycine, or D-serine or with glycine transporter inhibitors. In general it can be helpful to better understand the human neurophysiology of negative symptoms, especially with targets that show non-monotonic dose-responses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Athan Spiros
- Computational Neuropharmacology, In Silico Biosciences, Inc. Berwyn, PA, USA
| | - Patrick Roberts
- Computational Neuropharmacology, In Silico Biosciences, Inc. Berwyn, PA, USA ; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Oregon Health and Science University Portland, OR, USA
| | - Hugo Geerts
- Computational Neuropharmacology, In Silico Biosciences, Inc. Berwyn, PA, USA ; Department of Laboratory Pathology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA, USA
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Liu J, Ogden A, Comery TA, Spiros A, Roberts P, Geerts H. Prediction of Efficacy of Vabicaserin, a 5-HT2C Agonist, for the Treatment of Schizophrenia Using a Quantitative Systems Pharmacology Model. CPT-PHARMACOMETRICS & SYSTEMS PHARMACOLOGY 2014; 3:e111. [PMID: 24759548 PMCID: PMC4011163 DOI: 10.1038/psp.2014.7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2013] [Accepted: 02/06/2014] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Abstract
A quantitative systems pharmacology model that combines in vitro/preclinical neurophysiology data, human imaging data, and patient disease information was used to blindly predict steady-state clinical efficacy of vabicaserin, a 5-HT2C full agonist, in monotherapy and, subsequently, to assess adjunctive therapy in schizophrenia. The model predicted a concentration-dependent improvement of positive and negative syndrome scales (PANSS) in schizophrenia monotherapy with vabicaserin. At the exposures of 100 and 200 mg b.i.d., the predicted improvements on PANSS in virtual patient trials were 5.12 (2.20, 8.56) and 6.37 (2.27, 10.40) (mean (95% confidence interval)), respectively, which are comparable to the observed phase IIa results. At the current clinical exposure limit of vabicaserin, the model predicted an ~9-point PANSS improvement in monotherapy, and <4-point PANSS improvement adjunctive with various antipsychotics, suggesting limited clinical benefit of vabicaserin in schizophrenia treatment. In conclusion, the updated quantitative systems pharmacology model of PANSS informed the clinical development decision of vabicaserin in schizophrenia.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Liu
- Clinical Pharmacology, Pfizer, Groton, Connecticut, USA
| | - A Ogden
- Clinical Pharmacology, Pfizer, Groton, Connecticut, USA
| | - T A Comery
- Neuroscience Research Unit, Pfizer, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - A Spiros
- In Silico Biosciences, Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
| | - P Roberts
- 1] In Silico Biosciences, Lexington, Massachusetts, USA [2] Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, Oregon, USA
| | - H Geerts
- 1] In Silico Biosciences, Lexington, Massachusetts, USA [2] Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Geerts H, Roberts P, Spiros A, Carr R. A strategy for developing new treatment paradigms for neuropsychiatric and neurocognitive symptoms in Alzheimer's disease. Front Pharmacol 2013; 4:47. [PMID: 23596419 PMCID: PMC3627142 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2013.00047] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2012] [Accepted: 03/28/2013] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Successful disease modifying drug development for Alzheimer's disease (AD) has hit a roadblock with the recent failures of amyloid-based therapies, highlighting the translational disconnect between preclinical animal models and clinical outcome. Although disease modifying therapies are the Holy Grail to pursue, symptomatic therapies addressing cognitive and neuropsychiatric aspects of the disease are also extremely important for the quality of life of patients and caregivers. Despite the fact that neuropsychiatric problems in Alzheimer patients are the major driver for costs associated with institutionalization, no good preclinical animal models with predictive validity have been documented. We propose a combination of quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP), phenotypic screening and preclinical animal models as a novel strategy for addressing the bottleneck in both cognitive and neuropsychiatric drug discovery and development for AD. Preclinical animal models such as transgene rats documenting changes in neurotransmitters with tau and amyloid pathology will provide key information that together with human imaging, pathology and clinical data will inform the virtual patient model. In this way QSP modeling can partially overcome the translational disconnect and reduce the attrition of drug programs in the clinical setting. This approach is different from target driven drug discovery as it aims to restore emergent properties of the networks and therefore likely will identify multitarget drugs. We review examples on how this hybrid humanized QSP approach has been helpful in predicting clinical outcomes in schizophrenia treatment and cognitive impairment in AD and expand on how this strategy could be applied to neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia. We believe such an innovative approach when used carefully could change the Research and Development paradigm for symptomatic treatment in AD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences Berwyn, PA, USA ; Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA, USA
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Geerts H, Roberts P, Spiros A. A quantitative system pharmacology computer model for cognitive deficits in schizophrenia. CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol 2013; 2:e36. [PMID: 23887686 PMCID: PMC3636495 DOI: 10.1038/psp.2013.12] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2012] [Accepted: 02/08/2013] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Although the positive symptoms of schizophrenia are reasonably well-controlled by current antipsychotics, cognitive impairment remains largely unaddressed. The Matrics initiative lays out a regulatory path forward and a number of targets have been tested in the clinic, so far without much success. To address this translational disconnect, we have developed a mechanism-based humanized computer model of a relevant key cortical brain network with schizophrenia pathology involved with the maintenance aspect of working memory (WM). The model is calibrated using published clinical experiments on N-back WM tests. We further simulate the opposite effect of γ-aminobutyric acid (GABA) modulators lorazepam and flumazenil and of a published augmentation trial of clozapine with risperidone, illustrating the introduction of new targets and the capacity of predicting the effects of polypharmacy. This humanized approach allows for early prospective and quantitative assessment of cognitive outcome in a central nervous system (CNS) research and development project, thereby hopefully increasing the success rate of clinical trials.CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (2013) 2, e36; doi:10.1038/psp.2013.12; advance online publication 3 April 2013.
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Affiliation(s)
- H Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA
- Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - P Roberts
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA
- OHSUPortland, Oregon, USA
| | - A Spiros
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA
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Geerts H, Spiros A, Roberts P, Carr R. Quantitative systems pharmacology as an extension of PK/PD modeling in CNS research and development. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 2013; 40:257-65. [PMID: 23338980 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-013-9297-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2012] [Accepted: 01/10/2013] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
Quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) is a recent addition to the modeling and simulation toolbox for drug discovery and development and is based upon mathematical modeling of biophysical realistic biological processes in the disease area of interest. The combination of preclinical neurophysiology information with clinical data on pathology, imaging and clinical scales makes it a real translational tool. We will discuss the specific characteristics of QSP and where it differs from PK/PD modeling, such as the ability to provide support in target validation, clinical candidate selection and multi-target MedChem projects. In clinical development the approach can provide additional and unique evaluation of the effect of comedications, genotypes and disease states (patient populations) even before the initiation of actual trials. A powerful property is the ability to perform failure analysis. By giving examples from the CNS R&D field in schizophrenia and Alzheimer's disease, we will illustrate how this approach can make a difference for CNS R&D projects.
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Geerts H, Spiros A, Roberts P, Twyman R, Alphs L, Grace AA. Blinded prospective evaluation of computer-based mechanistic schizophrenia disease model for predicting drug response. PLoS One 2012; 7:e49732. [PMID: 23251349 PMCID: PMC3522663 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0049732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2012] [Accepted: 10/16/2012] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
The tremendous advances in understanding the neurobiological circuits involved in schizophrenia have not translated into more effective treatments. An alternative strategy is to use a recently published ‘Quantitative Systems Pharmacology’ computer-based mechanistic disease model of cortical/subcortical and striatal circuits based upon preclinical physiology, human pathology and pharmacology. The physiology of 27 relevant dopamine, serotonin, acetylcholine, norepinephrine, gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA) and glutamate-mediated targets is calibrated using retrospective clinical data on 24 different antipsychotics. The model was challenged to predict quantitatively the clinical outcome in a blinded fashion of two experimental antipsychotic drugs; JNJ37822681, a highly selective low-affinity dopamine D2 antagonist and ocaperidone, a very high affinity dopamine D2 antagonist, using only pharmacology and human positron emission tomography (PET) imaging data. The model correctly predicted the lower performance of JNJ37822681 on the positive and negative syndrome scale (PANSS) total score and the higher extra-pyramidal symptom (EPS) liability compared to olanzapine and the relative performance of ocaperidone against olanzapine, but did not predict the absolute PANSS total score outcome and EPS liability for ocaperidone, possibly due to placebo responses and EPS assessment methods. Because of its virtual nature, this modeling approach can support central nervous system research and development by accounting for unique human drug properties, such as human metabolites, exposure, genotypes and off-target effects and can be a helpful tool for drug discovery and development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
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Geerts H, Spiros A, Roberts P, Carr R. Has the time come for predictive computer modeling in CNS drug discovery and development? CPT-PHARMACOMETRICS & SYSTEMS PHARMACOLOGY 2012; 1:e16. [PMID: 23835798 PMCID: PMC3600733 DOI: 10.1038/psp.2012.17] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
We discuss whether a new paradigm, quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP), based on computational neuroscience modeling combined with proper drug target engagement and pharmacology, human pathology, imaging studies, and calibration and validation using clinical studies in human subjects might improve the success rate of central nervous systems research and development (CNS R&D) projects. We suggest that an improved understanding of neuronal circuit interactions using a humanized computer-based integration of physiology and pharmacology knowledge can substantially de-risk new CNS projects.
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Affiliation(s)
- H Geerts
- 1] Department of Biomedical Engineering, In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, Pennsylvania, USA [2] Department of Biomedical Engineering, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Roberts PD, Spiros A, Geerts H. Simulations of symptomatic treatments for Alzheimer's disease: computational analysis of pathology and mechanisms of drug action. ALZHEIMERS RESEARCH & THERAPY 2012. [PMID: 23181523 PMCID: PMC3580459 DOI: 10.1186/alzrt153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
Introduction A substantial number of therapeutic drugs for Alzheimer's disease (AD) have failed in late-stage trials, highlighting the translational disconnect with pathology-based animal models. Methods To bridge the gap between preclinical animal models and clinical outcomes, we implemented a conductance-based computational model of cortical circuitry to simulate working memory as a measure for cognitive function. The model was initially calibrated using preclinical data on receptor pharmacology of catecholamine and cholinergic neurotransmitters. The pathology of AD was subsequently implemented as synaptic and neuronal loss and a decrease in cholinergic tone. The model was further calibrated with clinical Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog) results on acetylcholinesterase inhibitors and 5-HT6 antagonists to improve the model's prediction of clinical outcomes. Results As an independent validation, we reproduced clinical data for apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotypes showing that the ApoE4 genotype reduces the network performance much more in mild cognitive impairment conditions than at later stages of AD pathology. We then demonstrated the differential effect of memantine, an N-Methyl-D-aspartic acid (NMDA) subunit selective weak inhibitor, in early and late AD pathology, and show that inhibition of the NMDA receptor NR2C/NR2D subunits located on inhibitory interneurons compensates for the greater excitatory decline observed with pathology. Conclusions This quantitative systems pharmacology approach is shown to be complementary to traditional animal models, with the potential to assess potential off-target effects, the consequences of pharmacologically active human metabolites, the effect of comedications, and the impact of a small number of well described genotypes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patrick D Roberts
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Oregon Health & Science University, 3303 SW Bond Avenue, Portland, OR 97239 USA ; In Silico Biosciences, Inc., 405 Waltham Street, Lexington, MA 02421 USA
| | - Athan Spiros
- In Silico Biosciences, Inc., 405 Waltham Street, Lexington, MA 02421 USA
| | - Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Inc., 405 Waltham Street, Lexington, MA 02421 USA
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Spiros A, Geerts H. A quantitative way to estimate clinical off-target effects for human membrane brain targets in CNS research and development. J Exp Pharmacol 2012; 4:53-61. [PMID: 27186116 PMCID: PMC4863548 DOI: 10.2147/jep.s30808] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Although many preclinical programs in central nervous system research and development intend to develop highly selective and potent molecules directed at the primary target, they often act upon other off-target receptors. The simple rule of taking the ratios of affinities for the candidate drug at the different receptors is flawed since the affinity of the endogenous ligand for that off-target receptor or drug exposure is not taken into account. We have developed a mathematical receptor competition model that takes into account the competition between active drug moiety and the endogenous neurotransmitter to better assess the off-target effects on postsynaptic receptor activation under the correct target exposure conditions. As an example, we investigate the possible functional effects of the weak off-target effects for dopamine-1 receptor (D1R) in a computer simulation of a dopaminergic cortical synapse that is calibrated using published fast-cyclic rodent voltammetry and human imaging data in subjects with different catechol-O-methyltransferase genotypes. We identify the conditions under which off-target effects at the D1R can lead to clinically detectable consequences on cognitive tests, such as the N-back working memory test. We also demonstrate that certain concentrations of dimebolin (Dimebon), a recently tested Alzheimer drug, can affect D1R activation resulting in clinically detectable cognitive decrease. This approach can be extended to other receptor systems and can improve the selection of clinical candidate compounds by potentially dialing-out harmful off-target effects or dialing-in beneficial off-target effects in a quantitative and controlled way.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Hugo Geerts
- In Silico Biosciences, Berwyn, PA, USA; School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
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Comparative pharmacology of antipsychotics possessing combined dopamine D2 and serotonin 5-HT1A receptor properties. Psychopharmacology (Berl) 2011; 216:451-73. [PMID: 21394633 DOI: 10.1007/s00213-011-2247-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 124] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2010] [Accepted: 02/22/2011] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
RATIONALE There is increasing interest in antipsychotics intended to manage positive symptoms via D(2) receptor blockade and improve negative symptoms and cognitive deficits via 5-HT(1A) activation. Such a strategy reduces side-effects such as the extrapyramidal syndrome (EPS), weight gain, and autonomic disturbance liability. OBJECTIVE This study aims to review pharmacological literature on compounds interacting at both 5-HT(1A) and D(2) receptors (as well as at other receptors), including aripiprazole, perospirone, ziprasidone, bifeprunox, lurasidone and cariprazine, PF-217830, adoprazine, SSR181507, and F15063. METHODS We examine data on in vitro binding and agonism and in vivo tests related to (1) positive symptoms (e.g., psychostimulant-induced hyperactivity or prepulse inhibition deficit), (2) negative symptoms (e.g., phencyclidine-induced social interaction deficits and cortical dopamine release), and (3) cognitive deficits (e.g., phencyclidine or scopolamine-induced memory deficits). EPS liability is assessed by measuring catalepsy and neuroendocrine impact by determining plasma prolactin, glucose, and corticosterone levels. RESULTS Compounds possessing "balanced" 5-HT(1A) receptor agonism and D(2) antagonism (or weak partial agonism) and, in some cases, combined with other beneficial properties, such as 5-HT(2A) receptor antagonism, are efficacious in a broad range of rodent pharmacological models yet have a lower propensity to elicit EPS or metabolic dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS Recent compounds exhibiting combined 5-HT(1A)/D(2) properties may be effective in treating a broader range of symptoms of schizophrenia and be better tolerated than existing antipsychotics. Nevertheless, further investigations are necessary to evaluate recent compounds, notably in view of their differing levels of 5-HT(1A) affinity and efficacy, which can markedly influence activity and side-effect profiles.
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