An Epidemic Avian Influenza Prediction Model Based on Google Trends

Google Trends on Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Searches in the United States From 2010 to 2021: Infodemiology Study

Background

The human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is recommended for adolescents and young adults to prevent HPV-related cancers and genital warts. However, HPV vaccine uptake among the target age groups is suboptimal.

Objective

The aim of this infodemiology study was to examine public online searches in the United States related to the HPV vaccine from January 2010 to December 2021.

Methods

Google Trends (GT) was used to explore online searches related to the HPV vaccine from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2021. Online searches and queries on the HPV vaccine were investigated using relative search volumes (RSVs). Analysis of variance was performed to investigate quarterly differences in HPV vaccine searches in each year from 2010 to 2021. A joinpoint regression was used to identify statistically significant changes over time; the α level was set to .05.

Results

The year-wise online search volume related to the HPV vaccine increased from 2010 to 2021, often following federal changes related to vaccine administration. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that HPV vaccine searches significantly increased on average by 8.6% (95% CI 5.9%-11.4%) across each year from 2010 to 2021. Moreover, HPV vaccine searches demonstrated a similar pattern across years, with search interest increasing through August nearly every year. At the state level, the highest 12-year mean RSV was observed in California (59.9, SD 14.3) and the lowest was observed in Wyoming (17.4, SD 8.5) during the period of 2010-2021.

Conclusions

Online searches related to the HPV vaccine increased by an average of 8.6% across each year from 2010 to 2021, with noticeable spikes corresponding to key changes in vaccine recommendations. We identified patterns across years and differences at the state level in the online search interest related to the HPV vaccine. Public health organizations can use GT as a tool to characterize the public interest in and promote the HPV vaccine in the United States.

Query-based-learning mortality-related decoders for the developed island economy

Search volumes from Google Trends over clear-defined temporal and spatial scales were reported beneficial in predicting influenza or disease outbreak. Recent studies showed Wiener Model shares merits of interpretability, implementation, and adaptation to nonlinear fluctuation in terms of real-time decoding. Previous work reported Google Trends effectively predicts death-related trends for the continent economy, yet whether it applies to the island economy is unclear. To this end, a framework of the mortality-related model for a developed island economy Taiwan was built based on potential death causes from Google Trends, aiming to provide new insights into death-related online search behavior at a population level. Our results showed estimated trends based on the Wiener model significantly correlated to actual trends, outperformed those with multiple linear regression and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average. Meanwhile, apart from that involved all possible features, two other sets of feature selecting strategies were proposed to optimize pre-trained models, either by weights or waveform periodicity of features, resulting in estimated death-related dynamics along with spectrums of risk factors. In general, high-weight features were beneficial to both "die" and "death", whereas features that possessed clear periodic patterns contributed more to "death". Of note, normalization before modeling improved decoding performances.

Maintaining proper health records improves machine learning predictions for novel 2019-nCoV

Background

An ongoing outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia continues to affect the whole world including major countries such as China, USA, Italy, France and the United Kingdom. We present outcome (‘recovered’, ‘isolated’ or ‘death’) risk estimates of 2019-nCoV over ‘early’ datasets. A major consideration is the likelihood of death for patients with 2019-nCoV.

Method

Accounting for the impact of the variations in the reporting rate of 2019-nCoV, we used machine learning techniques (AdaBoost, bagging, extra-trees, decision trees and k-nearest neighbour classifiers) on two 2019-nCoV datasets obtained from Kaggle on March 30, 2020. We used ‘country’, ‘age’ and ‘gender’ as features to predict outcome for both datasets. We included the patient’s ‘disease’ history (only present in the second dataset) to predict the outcome for the second dataset.

Results

The use of a patient’s ‘disease’ history improves the prediction of ‘death’ by more than sevenfold. The models ignoring a patent’s ‘disease’ history performed poorly in test predictions.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate the potential of using a patient’s ‘disease’ history as part of the feature set in machine learning techniques to improve 2019-nCoV predictions. This development can have a positive effect on predictive patient treatment and can result in easing currently overburdened healthcare systems worldwide, especially with the increasing prevalence of second and third wave re-infections in some countries.

Sequence-based Identification of Allergen Proteins Developed by Integration of PseAAC and Statistical Moments via 5-Step Rule

Background:

Allergens are antigens that can stimulate an atopic type I human hypersensitivity reaction by an immunoglobulin E (IgE) reaction. Some proteins are naturally allergenic than others. The challenge for toxicologists is to identify properties that allow proteins to cause allergic sensitization and allergic diseases. The identification of allergen proteins is a very critical and pivotal task. The experimental identification of protein functions is a hectic, laborious and costly task; therefore, computer scientists have proposed various methods in the field of computational biology and bioinformatics using various data science approaches. Objectives: Herein, we report a novel predictor for the identification of allergen proteins.

Methods:

For feature extraction, statistical moments and various position-based features have been incorporated into Chou’s pseudo amino acid composition (PseAAC), and are used for training of a neural network.

Results:

The predictor is validated through 10-fold cross-validation and Jackknife testing, which gave 99.43% and 99.87% accurate results.

Conclusions:

Thus, the proposed predictor can help in predicting the Allergen proteins in an efficient and accurate way and can provide baseline data for the discovery of new drugs and biomarkers.

Neural Network Based Country Wise Risk Prediction of COVID-19

The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has opened up new challenges to the research community. Artificial intelligence (AI) driven methods can be useful to predict the parameters, risks, and effects of such an epidemic. Such predictions can be helpful to control and prevent the spread of such diseases. The main challenges of applying AI is the small volume of data and the uncertain nature. Here, we propose a shallow long short-term memory (LSTM) based neural network to predict the risk category of a country. We have used a Bayesian optimization framework to optimize and automatically design country-specific networks. The results show that the proposed pipeline outperforms state-of-the-art methods for data of 180 countries and can be a useful tool for such risk categorization. We have also experimented with the trend data and weather data combined for the prediction. The outcome shows that the weather does not have a significant role. The tool can be used to predict long-duration outbreak of such an epidemic such that we can take preventive steps earlier.

An Insightful 10-year Recollection Since the Emergence of the 5-steps Rule

OBJECTIVE

One of the most challenging and also the most difficult problems is how to formulate a biological sequence with a vector but considerably keep its sequence order information.

METHODS

To address such a problem, the approach of Pseudo Amino Acid Components or PseAAC has been developed.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

It has become increasingly clear via the 10-year recollection that the aforementioned proposal has been indeed very powerful.

RAACBook: a web server of reduced amino acid alphabet for sequence-dependent inference by using Chou's five-step rule

By reducing amino acid alphabet, the protein complexity can be significantly simplified, which could improve computational efficiency, decrease information redundancy and reduce chance of overfitting. Although some reduced alphabets have been proposed, different classification rules could produce distinctive results for protein sequence analysis. Thus, it is urgent to construct a systematical frame for reduced alphabets. In this work, we constructed a comprehensive web server called RAACBook for protein sequence analysis and machine learning application by integrating reduction alphabets. The web server contains three parts: (i) 74 types of reduced amino acid alphabet were manually extracted to generate 673 reduced amino acid clusters (RAACs) for dealing with unique protein problems. It is easy for users to select desired RAACs from a multilayer browser tool. (ii) An online tool was developed to analyze primary sequence of protein. The tool could produce K-tuple reduced amino acid composition by defining three correlation parameters (K-tuple, g-gap, λ-correlation). The results are visualized as sequence alignment, mergence of RAA composition, feature distribution and logo of reduced sequence. (iii) The machine learning server is provided to train the model of protein classification based on K-tuple RAAC. The optimal model could be selected according to the evaluation indexes (ROC, AUC, MCC, etc.). In conclusion, RAACBook presents a powerful and user-friendly service in protein sequence analysis and computational proteomics. RAACBook can be freely available at http://bioinfor.imu.edu.cn/raacbook.

Database URL: http://bioinfor.imu.edu.cn/raacbook

Prediction of K562 Cells Functional Inhibitors Based on Machine Learning Approaches

BACKGROUND

β thalassemia is a common monogenic genetic disease that is very harmful to human health. The disease arises is due to the deletion of or defects in β-globin, which reduces synthesis of the β-globin chain, resulting in a relatively excess number of α-chains. The formation of inclusion bodies deposited on the cell membrane causes a decrease in the ability of red blood cells to deform and a group of hereditary haemolytic diseases caused by massive destruction in the spleen.

METHODS

In this work, machine learning algorithms were employed to build a prediction model for inhibitors against K562 based on 117 inhibitors and 190 non-inhibitors.

RESULTS

The overall accuracy (ACC) of a 10-fold cross-validation test and an independent set test using Adaboost were 83.1% and 78.0%, respectively, surpassing Bayes Net, Random Forest, Random Tree, C4.5, SVM, KNN and Bagging.

CONCLUSION

This study indicated that Adaboost could be applied to build a learning model in the prediction of inhibitors against K526 cells.

Using Chou's General Pseudo Amino Acid Composition to Classify Laccases from Bacterial and Fungal Sources via Chou's Five-Step Rule

Laccases are a group of enzymes with a critical activity in the degradation process of both phenolic and non-phenolic compounds. These enzymes present in a diverse array of species, including fungi and bacteria. Since this enzyme is in the market for different usages from industry to medicine, having a better knowledge of its structures and properties from diverse sources will be useful to select the most appropriate candidate for different purposes. In the current study, sequence- and structure-based characteristics of these enzymes from fungi and bacteria, including pseudo amino acid composition (PseAAC), physicochemical characteristics, and their secondary structures, are being compared and classified. Autodock 4 software was used for docking analysis between these laccases and some phenolic and non-phenolic compounds. The results indicated that features including molecular weight, aliphatic, extinction coefficient, and random coil percentage of these protein groups present high degrees of diversity in most cases. Categorization of these enzymes by the notion of PseAAC, showed over 96% accuracy. The binding free energy between fungal laccases and their substrates showed to be considerably higher than those of bacterial ones. According to the outcomes of the current study, data mining methods by using different machine learning algorithms, especially neural networks, could provide valuable information for a fair comparison between fungal and bacterial laccases. These results also suggested an association between efficacy and physicochemical features of laccase enzymes from different sources.

Identifying Cancer Targets Based on Machine Learning Methods via Chou's 5-steps Rule and General Pseudo Components

In recent years, the successful implementation of human genome project has made people realize that genetic, environmental and lifestyle factors should be combined together to study cancer due to the complexity and various forms of the disease. The increasing availability and growth rate of 'big data' derived from various omics, opens a new window for study and therapy of cancer. In this paper, we will introduce the application of machine learning methods in handling cancer big data including the use of artificial neural networks, support vector machines, ensemble learning and naïve Bayes classifiers.

Glioma stages prediction based on machine learning algorithm combined with protein-protein interaction networks

BACKGROUND

Glioma is the most lethal nervous system cancer. Recent studies have made great efforts to study the occurrence and development of glioma, but the molecular mechanisms are still unclear. This study was designed to reveal the molecular mechanisms of glioma based on protein-protein interaction network combined with machine learning methods. Key differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened and selected by using the protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks.

RESULTS

As a result, 19 genes between grade I and grade II, 21 genes between grade II and grade III, and 20 genes between grade III and grade IV. Then, five machine learning methods were employed to predict the gliomas stages based on the selected key genes. After comparison, Complement Naive Bayes classifier was employed to build the prediction model for grade II-III with accuracy 72.8%. And Random forest was employed to build the prediction model for grade I-II and grade III-VI with accuracy 97.1% and 83.2%, respectively. Finally, the selected genes were analyzed by PPI networks, Gene Ontology (GO) terms and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways, and the results improve our understanding of the biological functions of select DEGs involved in glioma growth. We expect that the key genes expressed have a guiding significance for the occurrence of gliomas or, at the very least, that they are useful for tumor researchers.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning combined with PPI networks, GO and KEGG analyses of selected DEGs improve our understanding of the biological functions involved in glioma growth.

iSulfoTyr-PseAAC: Identify Tyrosine Sulfation Sites by Incorporating Statistical Moments via Chou's 5-steps Rule and Pseudo Components

BACKGROUND

The amino acid residues, in protein, undergo post-translation modification (PTM) during protein synthesis, a process of chemical and physical change in an amino acid that in turn alters behavioral properties of proteins. Tyrosine sulfation is a ubiquitous posttranslational modification which is known to be associated with regulation of various biological functions and pathological pro-cesses. Thus its identification is necessary to understand its mechanism. Experimental determination through site-directed mutagenesis and high throughput mass spectrometry is a costly and time taking process, thus, the reliable computational model is required for identification of sulfotyrosine sites.

METHODOLOGY

In this paper, we present a computational model for the prediction of the sulfotyrosine sites named iSulfoTyr-PseAAC in which feature vectors are constructed using statistical moments of protein amino acid sequences and various position/composition relative features. These features are in-corporated into PseAAC. The model is validated by jackknife, cross-validation, self-consistency and in-dependent testing.

RESULTS

Accuracy determined through validation was 93.93% for jackknife test, 95.16% for cross-validation, 94.3% for self-consistency and 94.3% for independent testing.

CONCLUSION

The proposed model has better performance as compared to the existing predictors, how-ever, the accuracy can be improved further, in future, due to increasing number of sulfotyrosine sites in proteins.