Clustering Diagnoses from 58M Patient Visits in Finland 2015–2018 (Preprint)

Insights Into the Patient Experience of Hormone Therapy for Early Breast Cancer Treatment Using Patient Forum Discussions and Natural Language Processing

PURPOSE

Understanding the real-world experience of patients with early breast cancer (eBC) is imperative for optimizing outcomes and evolving patient care. However, there is a lack of patient-level data, hindering clinical development. This social listening study was performed to understand patient insights into symptoms and impacts of hormone therapy (HT) for eBC using posts from patient forums on breastcancer.org to inform future clinical research.

METHODS

Natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning techniques were used to identify themes related to eBC from a sample of 500,000 posts. After relevant data selection, 362,074 eBC posts were retained for further analysis of symptoms and impacts related to HT, as well as insights into symptom severity, pain locations, and symptom management using exercise and yoga.

RESULTS

Overall, 32 symptoms and nine impacts had significant associations with ≥one HT. Hot flush (relative risk [RR], 6.70 [95% CI, 3.36 to 13.36]), arthralgia (RR, 6.67 [95% CI, 3.53 to 12.59]), weight increased (RR, 4.83 [95% CI, 3.20 to 7.28]), mood swings (RR, 7.36 [95% CI, 5.75 to 9.42]), insomnia (RR, 4.76 [95% CI, 3.14 to 7.22]), and depression (RR, 3.05 [95% CI, 1.71 to 5.44]) demonstrated the strongest associations. Severe headache, dizziness, back pain, and muscle spasms showed significant associations with ≥one HT despite their low overall prevalence in eBC posts.

CONCLUSION

The social listening approach allowed the identification of real-world insights from posts specific to eBC HT from a large-scale online breast cancer forum that captured experiences from a uniquely diverse group of patients. Using NLP has a potential to scale analysis of patient feedback and reveal actionable insights into patient experiences of treatment that can inform the development of future therapies and improve the care of patients with eBC.

A call for caution when using network methods to study multimorbidity: an illustration using data from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging

OBJECTIVES

To examine the impact of two key choices when conducting a network analysis (clustering methods and measure of association) on the number and type of multimorbidity clusters.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

Using cross-sectional self-reported data on 24 diseases from 30,097 community-living adults aged 45-85 from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging, we conducted network analyses using 5 clustering methods and 11 association measures commonly used in multimorbidity studies. We compared the similarity among clusters using the adjusted Rand index (ARI); an ARI of 0 is equivalent to the diseases being randomly assigned to clusters, and 1 indicates perfect agreement. We compared the network analysis results to disease clusters independently identified by two clinicians.

RESULTS

Results differed greatly across combinations of association measures and cluster algorithms. The number of clusters identified ranged from 1 to 24, with a low similarity of conditions within clusters. Compared to clinician-derived clusters, ARIs ranged from -0.02 to 0.24, indicating little similarity.

CONCLUSION

These analyses demonstrate the need for a systematic evaluation of the performance of network analysis methods on binary clustered data like diseases. Moreover, in individual older adults, diseases may not cluster predictably, highlighting the need for a personalized approach to their care.

Specific patterns and potential risk factors to predict 3-year risk of death among non-cancer patients with advanced chronic kidney disease by machine learning

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health concern. But there are limited machine learning studies on non-cancer patients with advanced CKD, and the results of machine learning studies on cancer patients with CKD may not apply directly on non-cancer patients. We aimed to conduct a comprehensive investigation of risk factors for a 3-year risk of death among non-cancer advanced CKD patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60.0 mL/min/1.73m2 by several machine learning algorithms. In this retrospective cohort study, we collected data from in-hospital and emergency care patients from 2 hospitals in Taiwan from 2009 to 2019, including their international classification of disease at admission and laboratory data from the hospital's electronic medical records (EMRs). Several machine learning algorithms were used to analyze the potential impact and degree of influence of each factor on mortality and survival. Data from 2 hospitals in northern Taiwan were collected with 6565 enrolled patients. After data cleaning, 26 risk factors and approximately 3887 advanced CKD patients from Shuang Ho Hospital were used as the training set. The validation set contained 2299 patients from Taipei Medical University Hospital. Predictive variables, such as albumin, PT-INR, and age, were the top 3 significant risk factors with paramount influence on mortality prediction. In the receiver operating characteristic curve, the random forest had the highest values for accuracy above 0.80. MLP, and Adaboost had better performance on sensitivity and F1-score compared to other methods. Additionally, SVM with linear kernel function had the highest specificity of 0.9983, while its sensitivity and F1-score were poor. Logistic regression had the best performance, with an area under the curve of 0.8527. Evaluating Taiwanese advanced CKD patients' EMRs could provide physicians with a good approximation of the patients' 3-year risk of death by machine learning algorithms.

A scoping review finds a growing trend in studies validating multimorbidity patterns and identifies five broad types of validation methods

OBJECTIVES

Multimorbidity, the presence of two or more long-term conditions, is a growing public health concern. Many studies use analytical methods to discover multimorbidity patterns from data. We aimed to review approaches used in published literature to validate these patterns.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We systematically searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies published between July 2017 and July 2023 that used analytical methods to discover multimorbidity patterns.

RESULTS

Out of 31,617 studies returned by the searches, 172 were included. Of these, 111 studies (64%) conducted validation, the number of studies with validation increased from 53.13% (17 out of 32 studies) to 71.25% (57 out of 80 studies) in 2017-2019 to 2022-2023, respectively. Five types of validation were identified: assessing the association of multimorbidity patterns with clinical outcomes (n = 79), stability across subsamples (n = 26), clinical plausibility (n = 22), stability across methods (n = 7) and exploring common determinants (n = 2). Some studies used multiple types of validation.

CONCLUSION

The number of studies conducting a validation of multimorbidity patterns is clearly increasing. The most popular validation approach is assessing the association of multimorbidity patterns with clinical outcomes. Methodological guidance on the validation of multimorbidity patterns is needed.

Qluster: An easy-to-implement generic workflow for robust clustering of health data

The exploration of heath data by clustering algorithms allows to better describe the populations of interest by seeking the sub-profiles that compose it. This therefore reinforces medical knowledge, whether it is about a disease or a targeted population in real life. Nevertheless, contrary to the so-called conventional biostatistical methods where numerous guidelines exist, the standardization of data science approaches in clinical research remains a little discussed subject. This results in a significant variability in the execution of data science projects, whether in terms of algorithms used, reliability and credibility of the designed approach. Taking the path of parsimonious and judicious choice of both algorithms and implementations at each stage, this article proposes Qluster, a practical workflow for performing clustering tasks. Indeed, this workflow makes a compromise between (1) genericity of applications (e.g. usable on small or big data, on continuous, categorical or mixed variables, on database of high-dimensionality or not), (2) ease of implementation (need for few packages, few algorithms, few parameters, ...), and (3) robustness (e.g. use of proven algorithms and robust packages, evaluation of the stability of clusters, management of noise and multicollinearity). This workflow can be easily automated and/or routinely applied on a wide range of clustering projects. It can be useful both for data scientists with little experience in the field to make data clustering easier and more robust, and for more experienced data scientists who are looking for a straightforward and reliable solution to routinely perform preliminary data mining. A synthesis of the literature on data clustering as well as the scientific rationale supporting the proposed workflow is also provided. Finally, a detailed application of the workflow on a concrete use case is provided, along with a practical discussion for data scientists. An implementation on the Dataiku platform is available upon request to the authors.

Multimorbidity transitions and the associated healthcare cost among the Finnish adult population during a two-year follow-up

Background

Ageing of the population increases the prevalence and coexistence of many chronic diseases; a condition called multimorbidity. In Finland, information on the significance of multimorbidity and its relation to the sustainability of healthcare is scarce.

Aim

To assess the prevalence of multimorbidity, the transitions between patient groups with and without multiple diseases and the associated healthcare cost in Finland in 2017-2019.

Methods

A register-based cohort study covering all adults (n = 3,326,467) who used Finnish primary or specialised healthcare services in 2017. At baseline, patients were classified as 'non-multimorbid', 'multimorbid' or 'multimorbid at risk' based on the recordings of a diagnosis of interest. The costs were calculated using the care-related patient grouping and national standard rates. Transition plots were drawn to observe the transition of patients and costs between groups during the two-year follow-up.

Results

At baseline, 62% of patients were non-multimorbid, 23% multimorbid and 15% multimorbid at risk. In two years, the proportion of multimorbid patients increased, especially those at risk. Within the multimorbid at-risk group, total healthcare costs were greatest (€5,027 million), accounting for 62% of the total healthcare cost of the overall patient cohort in 2019. Musculoskeletal diseases, cardiometabolic diseases and tumours were the most common and expensive chronic diseases contributing to the onset of multimorbidity.

Conclusion

Multimorbidity is causing a heavy burden on Finnish healthcare. The estimates of its effect on healthcare usage and costs should be used to guide healthcare planning.