Multiinstitutional Evaluation of the Liver Surface Nodularity Score on CT for Staging Liver Fibrosis and Predicting Liver-Related Events in Patients With Hepatitis C

Liver segmental volumes and their relationship with 5-year prognostication

PURPOSE

This study aimed to analyze the predictive value of caudate to right lobe ratio (CRL-R) and liver segmental volume ratio (LSVR) for chronic liver disease (CLD) on routine abdominal CT scans and their association with 5-year decompensation- and transplant-free survival.

METHOD

This retrospective study included 108 patients without CLD and 98 patients with biopsy-proven CLD. All patients underwent abdominal CT scans between 03/2015 and 08/2017. Patients with CLD were divided into three groups: early CLD (F0-F2; eCLD; n = 40), advanced CLD (F3-F4; aCLD; n = 20), and aCLD with clinically significant portal hypertension (aCLDPH; n = 38). CRL-R and LSVR were compared between groups using Kruskal-Wallis test and ROC analysis to determine cutoff-values. 5-year decompensation- and transplant-free survival were assessed by Kaplan-Meier curve analysis.

RESULTS

CRL-R and LSVR were significantly different between all groups (p < 0.001). A CRL-R cutoff-value of > 0.99 predicted aCLD with a sensitivity of 69% and a specificity of 80% (AUC = 0.75, p < 0.001), while LSVR > 0.37 had a sensitivity of 67% and a specificity of 84% (AUC = 0.80, p < 0.001). CLD-patients with both CRL-R > 0.99 and LSVR > 0.37 had a significantly lower probability of 5-year decompensation-free survival (31%) as well as lower probability of 5-year transplant-free survival (41%) than those with a CRL-R < 0.99 and/or LSVR < 0.37 (70%, 62%, p = 0.006, p = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

CRL-R and LSVR showed a high predictive value for CLD on routine abdominal CT scans. In patients with CLD, both CRL-R and LSVR may be combined and are associated with 5-year decompensation-free and transplant-free survival.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of biomarkers predicting decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis is crucial, drastically reducing prognosis from a median survival of over 10 years to 2 years. There is currently an unmet need to accurately predict decompensation. We systematically reviewed and meta-analysed data regarding biomarker use to predict decompensation in individuals with compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE database searches were conducted for all studies from inception until February 2024. The study was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The Quality of Prognosis Studies framework was used to assess the risk of bias. The meta-analysis was conducted with a random effects model using STATA software.

RESULTS

Of the 652 studies initially identified, 63 studies (n=31 438 patients) were included in the final review, examining 49 biomarkers. 25 studies (40%) were prospective with the majority of studies looking at all-cause decompensation (90%). The most well-studied biomarkers were platelets (n=17), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (n=17) and albumin (n=16). A meta-analysis revealed elevated international normalised ratio was the strongest predictor of decompensation, followed by decreased albumin. However, high statistical heterogeneity was noted (l2 result of 96.3%). Furthermore, 21 studies were assessed as having a low risk of bias (34%), 26 (41%) moderate risk and 16 (25%) high risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights key biomarkers that should potentially be incorporated into future scoring systems to predict decompensation. However, future biomarker studies should be conducted with rigorous and standardised methodology to ensure robust and comparable data.

Quantitative Edge Analysis Can Differentiate Pancreatic Carcinoma from Normal Pancreatic Parenchyma

This study aimed to introduce specific image feature analysis, focusing on pancreatic margins, and to provide a quantitative measure of edge irregularity, evidencing correlations with the presence/absence of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. We selected 50 patients (36 men, 14 women; mean age 63.7 years) who underwent Multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) for the staging of pancreatic adenocarcinoma of the tail of the pancreas. Computer-assisted quantitative edge analysis was performed on the border fragments in MDCT images of neoplastic and healthy glandular parenchyma, from which we obtained the root mean square deviation SD of the actual border from the average boundary line. The SD values relative to healthy and neoplastic borders were compared using a paired t-test. A significant SD difference was observed between healthy and neoplastic borders. A threshold SD value was also found, enabling the differentiation of adenocarcinoma with 96% specificity and sensitivity. We introduced a quantitative measure of boundary irregularity, which correlates with the presence/absence of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Quantitative edge analysis can be promptly performed on select border fragments in MDCT images, providing a useful supporting tool for diagnostics and a possible starting point for machine learning recognition based on lower-dimensional feature space.

Pulmonary Surface Irregularity Score as a New Quantitative CT Marker for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis-a Pilot Study

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and inter-observer agreement of a quantitative pulmonary surface irregularity (PSI) score on high-resolution chest CT (HRCT) for predicting transplant-free survival in patients with IPF. For this IRB-approved HIPAA-compliant retrospective single-center study, adult patients with IPF and HRCT imaging (N = 50) and an age- and gender-matched negative control group with normal HRCT imaging (N = 50) were identified. Four independent readers measured the PSI score in the midlungs on HRCT images using dedicated software while blinded to clinical data. A t-test was used to compare the PSI scores between negative control and IPF cohorts. In the IPF cohort, multivariate cox regression analysis was used to associate PSI score and clinical parameters with transplant-free survival. Inter-observer agreement for the PSI score was assessed by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). The technical failure rate of the midlung PSI score was 0% (0/100). The mean PSI score of 5.38 in the IPF cohort was significantly higher than 3.14 in the negative control cohort (p < .001). In the IPF cohort, patients with a high PSI score (≥ median) were 8 times more likely to die than patients with a low PSI score (HR: 8.36; 95%CI: 2.91-24.03; p < .001). In a multivariate model including age, gender, FVC, DLCO, and PSI score, only the PSI score was associated with transplant-free survival (HR:2.11 per unit increase; 95%CI: 0.26-3.51; p = .004). Inter-observer agreement for the PSI score among 4 readers was good (ICC: 0.88; 95%CI: 0.84-0.91). The PSI score had high accuracy and good inter-observer agreement on HRCT for predicting transplant-free survival in patients with IPF.

Conventional and artificial intelligence-based computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging quantitative techniques for non-invasive liver fibrosis staging

Chronic liver disease (CLD) ultimately develops into liver fibrosis and cirrhosis and is a major public health problem globally. The assessment of liver fibrosis is important for patients with CLD for prognostication, treatment decisions, and surveillance. Liver biopsies are traditionally performed to determine the stage of liver fibrosis. However, the risks of complications and technical limitations restrict their application to screening and sequential monitoring in clinical practice. CT and MRI are essential for evaluating cirrhosis-associated complications in patients with CLD, and several non-invasive methods based on them have been proposed. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have also been applied to stage liver fibrosis. This review aimed to explore the values of conventional and AI-based CT and MRI quantitative techniques for non-invasive liver fibrosis staging and summarized their diagnostic performance, advantages, and limitations.

Quantitative and qualitative liver CT: imaging feature association with histopathologically confirmed hepatic cirrhosis

PURPOSE

To assess the diagnostic performance of quantitative and qualitative imaging features of hepatic cirrhosis on CT.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective cohort study was performed on all patients who had undergone non-targeted liver biopsy < 3 months following abdominal CT imaging between 2007 and 2020. Histopathology was required as a reference standard for hepatic cirrhosis diagnosis. Two readers independently assessed all CT quantitative and qualitative features, blinded to the clinical history and the reference standard. The diagnostic performance of each imaging feature was assessed using multivariate regression and logistic regression in a recursive feature elimination framework.

RESULTS

98 consecutive patients met inclusion criteria including 26 with histopathologically confirmed hepatic cirrhosis, and 72 without cirrhosis. Liver surface nodularity (p < 0.0001), lobar redistribution (p < 0.0001), and expanded gallbladder fossa (p < 0.0016) were qualitative CT features associated with liver cirrhosis consistent between both reviewers. Liver surface nodularity demonstrated highest sensitivity (73-77%) and specificity (79-82%). Falciform space width was the only quantitative feature associated with cirrhosis, for a single reviewer (p < 0.04). Using a recursive feature elimination framework, liver surface nodularity and falciform space width were the strongest performing features for identifying cirrhosis. No feature combinations strengthened diagnostic performance.

CONCLUSION

Many quantitative and qualitative CT imaging signs of hepatic cirrhosis have either poor accuracy or poor inter-observer agreement. Qualitative imaging features of hepatic cirrhosis on CT performed better than quantitative metrics, with liver surface nodularity the most optimal feature for diagnosing hepatic cirrhosis.