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Zhang Y, Bai J, Kang F, Li W, Xiao Z, Ma Y, Chai E. A nomogram to predict the risk of bleeding after discharge from stent-assisted ruptured aneurysm embolization in a Chinese population. Neurosurg Rev 2023; 46:42. [PMID: 36707467 DOI: 10.1007/s10143-023-01952-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2022] [Revised: 12/03/2022] [Accepted: 01/23/2023] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
The occurrence of bleeding events after stent-assisted embolization of a ruptured artery requiring continuous double antiplatelet therapy may seriously affect the prognosis of this group of patients. A nomogram can provide a personalized, more accurate risk estimate based on predictors. We, therefore, developed a nomogram to predict the probability of bleeding events in patients with stent-assisted ruptured aneurysm embolization. We performed a single-center retrospective analysis of data collected from patients undergoing stent-assisted ruptured aneurysm embolization between January 2018 and December 2021. Forward stepwise logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of adverse events of bleeding after stent-assisted embolization and to establish nomograms. Discrimination and calibration of this model were performed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC-ROC) and the calibration plot. The model is internally validated by using resampling (1000 replicates). A total of 131 patients were identified, and a total of 118 patients met the study criteria. The predictors included in the nomogram were body mass index (BMI), AAi, and MA-ADP. The model showed good resolving power with a ROC area of 0.893 (95% CI: 0.834 ~ 0.952) for this model with good calibration. The nomogram can be used to individualize, visualize, and accurately predict the risk probability of bleeding events after stent-assisted embolization of ruptured aneurysms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yichuan Zhang
- School of Clinical Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China
- Key Laboratory of Cerebrovascular Diseases in Gansu Province, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
| | - Jinbo Bai
- School of Clinical Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China
| | - Fu Kang
- School of Clinical Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China
| | - Wei Li
- Key Laboratory of Cerebrovascular Diseases in Gansu Province, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
- The First Clinical Medical College of Gansu, University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
| | - Zaixing Xiao
- Key Laboratory of Cerebrovascular Diseases in Gansu Province, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
- The First Clinical Medical College of Gansu, University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
| | - Yong Ma
- School of Clinical Medicine, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China
- Key Laboratory of Cerebrovascular Diseases in Gansu Province, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
| | - Erqing Chai
- Key Laboratory of Cerebrovascular Diseases in Gansu Province, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China.
- Cerebrovascular Disease Center, Gansu Provincial Hospital, No. 24 Donggang East Road, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China.
- Emergency General Hospital, Beijing, China.
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Zhang K, Ren W, Li TX, Wang ZL, Gao BL, Xia JC, Gao HL, Wang YF, Gu JJ. Sub-satisfactory recanalization of severe middle cerebral artery stenoses can significantly improve hemodynamics. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:922616. [PMID: 36247480 PMCID: PMC9558820 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.922616] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2022] [Accepted: 09/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
PurposeTo investigate the effect of sub-satisfactory stent recanalization on hemodynamic stresses for severe stenoses of the middle cerebral artery (MCA) M 1 segment.Materials and methodsPatients with severe stenoses of the MCA M1 segment treated with endovascular stent angioplasty were retrospectively enrolled. Three-dimensional digital subtraction angiography before and after stenting was performed; the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis of hemodynamic stresses at the stenosis and normal segments proximal and distal to the stenoses was analyzed.ResultsFifty-one patients with severe stenosis at the MCA M1 segment were enrolled, with the stenosis length ranging from 5.1 to 12.8 mm (mean 9 ± 3.3 mm). Stent angioplasty was successful in all (100%) the patients. The angiography immediately after stenting demonstrated a significant (P < 0.05) decrease in MCA stenosis after comparison with before stenting (31.4 ±12.5% vs. 87.5 ± 9.6%), with residual stenosis of 15–30% (mean 22.4 ± 3.5%). Before stenting, the total pressure was significantly higher (P < 0.0001), while the WSS, velocity, and vorticity were all significantly decreased (P < 0.0001) at the normal arterial segment proximal to the stenosis, and the total pressure, WSS, velocity, and vorticity were all significantly decreased (P < 0.0001) at the normal arterial segment distal to the stenosis compared with those at the stenosis. After sub-satisfactory stenting recanalization, all the hemodynamic stresses proximal or distal to the stenosis and at the perforator root were improved compared with those before stenting and were similar to those after virtual stenosis removal.ConclusionSub-satisfactory recanalization of severe MCA stenoses can significantly improve the hemodynamic status for cerebral perfusion at the stenoses.
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