Evidence for CVD 103-HgR as an effective single-dose oral cholera vaccine

Best practice assessment of disease modelling for infectious disease outbreaks

During emerging disease outbreaks, public health, emergency management officials and decision-makers increasingly rely on epidemiological models to forecast outbreak progression and determine the best response to health crisis needs. Outbreak response strategies derived from such modelling may include pharmaceutical distribution, immunisation campaigns, social distancing, prophylactic pharmaceuticals, medical care, bed surge, security and other requirements. Infectious disease modelling estimates are unavoidably subject to multiple interpretations, and full understanding of a model's limitations may be lost when provided from the disease modeller to public health practitioner to government policymaker. We review epidemiological models created for diseases which are of greatest concern for public health protection. Such diseases, whether transmitted from person-to-person (Ebola, influenza, smallpox), via direct exposure (anthrax), or food and waterborne exposure (cholera, typhoid) may cause severe illness and death in a large population. We examine disease-specific models to determine best practices characterising infectious disease outbreaks and facilitating emergency response and implementation of public health policy and disease control measures.

Safety and immunogenicity of single-dose live oral cholera vaccine strain CVD 103-HgR in healthy adults age 18-45

The attenuated recombinant Vibrio cholerae O1 vaccine strain CVD 103-HgR, re-developed as PXVX0200, elicits a rapid serum vibriocidal antibody (SVA) response and protects against cholera diarrhea in volunteer challenge studies. We performed a phase 3, placebo controlled, double blind, multi-center study to further assess the safety, immunogenicity, and lot-to-lot consistency of PXVX0200. Adult volunteers 18-45 years of age were randomized 8:1 to receive a single dose of 1 × 10⁹ CFU of PXVX0200 from three production lots or saline placebo. Immunogenicity endpoints included SVA and anti-cholera toxin (CT) antibody levels on days 1, 11, 29, 91 and 181. Safety was assessed by comparing solicited signs and symptoms on days 1-8, unsolicited adverse events through day 29 and serious adverse events through day 181. A total of 3146 participants were enrolled, including 2795 vaccine and 351 placebo recipients. The SVA seroconversion rates at day 11 were 94% and 4% in the PXVX0200 and placebo recipients, respectively (P < .0001). Cumulative SVA seroconversion occurred among 96% of vaccine recipients. PXVX0200 SVA GMTs peaked on day 11 and remained significantly higher than placebo through day 181 while the fold-rise over baseline in PXVX0200 anti-CT antibody was significantly greater than placebo at every post-vaccination time point. Most reactogenicity was mild and resolved within 1-3 days with headache and diarrhea more frequently reported in PXVX0200 recipients. There were no differences in unsolicited adverse events and no study-related serious adverse events. Immunogenicity and safety endpoints were equivalent between the three production lots. PXVX0200 is immunogenic and well tolerated across multiple production lots.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02094586.