Relative addictive potential of opioid analgesic agents

Prediction of sustained opioid use in children and adolescents using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Opioid misuse in the paediatric population is understudied. This study aimed to develop a machine learning classifier to differentiate between occasional and sustained opioid users among children and adolescents in outpatient settings.

METHODS

Data for 29,335 patients under 19 yr with recorded opioid purchases were collected from medical records. Machine learning methods were applied to predict sustained opioid use within 1, 2, or 3 yr after first opioid use, using sociodemographic information, medical history, and healthcare usage variables collected near the time of first prescription fulfilment. The models' performance was evaluated with classification and calibration metrics, and a decision curve analysis. An online tool was deployed for model self-exploration and visualisation.

RESULTS

The models demonstrated good performance, with a 1-yr follow-up model achieving a sensitivity of 0.772, a specificity of 0.703, and an ROC-AUC of 0.792 on an independent test set, with calibration intercept and slope of 0.00 and 1.02, respectively. Decision curve analysis revealed the clinical benefit of using the model relative to other strategies. SHAP analysis (SHapley Additive exPlanations) identified influential variables, including the number of diagnoses, medical images, laboratory tests, and type of opioid used.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model showed promising performance in predicting sustained opioid use among paediatric patients. The online risk prediction tool can facilitate compliance to such tools by clinicians. This study presents the potential of machine learning in identifying at-risk paediatric populations for sustained opioid use, potentially contributing to secondary prevention of opioid abuse.

Opioid trends and risk factors for sustained use among children and adolescents in Israel: a retrospective cohort study

ABSTRACT

Despite growing global concern over opioids, little is known about the epidemiology of opioid use in children and adolescents. This retrospective study investigated opioid use trends and identified risk factors associated with sustained opioid use among outpatient children and adolescents in Israel. Electronic health records of 110,955 children and adolescents were used to establish opioid purchase trends in outpatient settings between 2003 and 2021. Of these, data from 2012 to 2021, n = 32,956, were included in a Cox proportional hazards analysis to identify demographic, clinical, and pharmacological risk factors for sustained opioid use. An increase in opioid use was observed, with a notable rise among strong opioids, peripheral areas, and noncancer patients. Prevalence of sustained opioid users was approximately 2.5%. Risk factors with significant adjusted hazard ratios for sustained use included history of frequent doctor visits 1.82 (95% CI [1.50-2.22]) and drug purchases 1.30 (95% CI [1.07-1.58]), malignancy 1.50 (95% CI [1.07-2.09]), history of cardiovascular (1.44 (95% CI [1.04-1.98]) and pain-related conditions 1.34 (95% CI [1.14-1.58]), and different opioid substances (relative to codeine use): tramadol 2.38 (95% CI [1.73-3.27]), oxycodone 4.29 (95% CI [3.00-6.16]), and "other strong opioids" 6.05 (95% CI [3.59-10.2]). Awareness of observed increase in opioid purchases is crucial for doctors and public health practitioners. Additional monitoring and secondary prevention of children and adolescents possessing the identified risk factors should facilitate where appropriate reducing sustained opioid use when it is unnecessary.

Opioid Monitoring in Clinical Settings: Strategies and Implications of Tailored Approaches for Therapy

This review emphasises the importance of opioid monitoring in clinical practice and advocates for a personalised approach based on pharmacogenetics. Beyond effectively managing pain, meticulous oversight is required to address concerns about side effects, specially due to opioid-crisis-related abuse and dependence. Various monitoring techniques, along with pharmacogenetic considerations, are critical for personalising treatment and optimising pain relief while reducing misuse and addiction risks. Future perspectives reveal both opportunities and challenges, with advances in analytical technologies holding promise for increasing monitoring efficiency. The integration of pharmacogenetics has the potential to transform pain management by allowing for a precise prediction of drug responses. Nevertheless, challenges such as prominent pharmacogenetic testing and guideline standardisation persist. Collaborative efforts are critical for transforming scientific advances into tangible improvements in patient care. Standardised protocols and interdisciplinary collaboration are required to ensure consistent and evidence-based opioid monitoring. Future research should look into the long-term effects of opioid therapy, as well as the impact of genetic factors on individual responses, to help guide personalised treatment plans and reduce adverse events. Lastly, embracing innovation and collaboration can improve the standard of care in chronic pain management by striking a balance between pain relief and patient safety.

Trends in oxycodone and oxycodone-containing analgesics administration for back pain in emergency departments in the USA (2007-2018)

BACKGROUND

To describe trends in oxycodone and oxycodone-containing analgesic prescribing for the treatment of back pain among adults in emergency departments (EDs) in the USA from 2007 to 2018.

METHODS

Data were gathered from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) from 2007 to 2018. The study population included individuals of all ages presenting to USA EDs. The NHAMCS reasons for visit and oxycodone drug ID codes were used to isolate patients with back pain. The main outcome was the proportion of oxycodone and oxycodone-containing analgesics prescribed for back pain in the EDs over the specified time period.

RESULTS

There was a relative decrease in the overall administration of oxycodone for back pain in the EDs by 62.3% from 2007 (244,000 visits) to 2018 (92,000 visits). The proportion of ED patients prescribed with oxycodone-containing analgesics for back pain increased among patients aged 45 years and older (from 43.8% to 57.6%), female patients (from 54.5% to 62.0%), black patients (from 22.5% to 30.4%), and Hispanic/Latino patients (from 9.4% to 19.6%). Oxycodone/acetaminophen was most prescribed and accounted for 90.2% of all oxycodone-containing analgesics in 2007, with a decrease to 68.5% in 2018. Pure oxycodone was the second most prescribed medication, accounting for 6.1% in 2007 and 31.5% in 2018.

CONCLUSION

The overall number of oxycodone-containing analgesics decreased significantly from 2007 to 2018. However, that number trended upward in 45-year-old and older, female, black, or Hispanic/Latino patients from 2007 to 2018. The total amount of pure oxycodone increased significantly from 2007 to 2008.

Pharmacogenetics of Lethal Opioid Overdose: Review of Current Evidence and Preliminary Results from a Pilot Study

There has been a worldwide substantial increase in accidental opioid-overdose deaths. The aim of this review, along with preliminary results from our pilot study, is to highlight the use of pharmacogenetics as a tool to predict causes of accidental opioid-overdose death. For this review, a systematic literature search of PubMed^® between the time period of January 2000 to March 2023 was carried out. We included study cohorts, case-controls, or case reports that investigated the frequency of genetic variants in opioid-related post-mortem samples and the association between these variants and opioid plasma concentrations. A total of 18 studies were included in our systematic review. The systematic review provides evidence of the use of CYP2D6, and to a lower extent, CYP2B6 and CYP3A4/5 genotyping in identifying unexpectedly high or low opioid and metabolite blood concentrations from post-mortem samples. Our own pilot study provides support for an enrichment of the CYP2B6*4-allele in our methadone-overdose sample (n = 41) compared to the anticipated frequency in the general population. The results from our systematic review and the pilot study highlight the potential of pharmacogenetics in determining vulnerability to overdose of opioids.

Risk factors for opioid use disorder after severe burns in adults

INTRODUCTION

Risk factors for opioid dependence amongst burn patients have not been well-explored compared to other surgical fields.

METHODS

The TrinetX database was queried for patients diagnosed with opioid use disorder (OUD) after thermal or chemical burn. Propensity score matching was performed. Opioid and non-opioid analgesia use, ICU care, surgery, and comparative risks among common opiates were examined using descriptive and univariate regression models, including odds ratios. Subgroup analysis evaluated the impact of multimodal analgesia.

RESULTS

Odds of receiving IV opioids for acute analgesia (p = <0.0001, OR = 1.80, CI = 1.45-2.25), undergoing surgery (p = <0.0001, OR = 1.58, CI = 1.26-1.98), and ICU care (p = <0.0001, OR = 3.60, CI = 2.00-3.83) after burn injury were higher in patients who developed OUD. Patients receiving multimodal therapy within 24 hours of admission had lower odds of developing OUD (OR = 0.74, CI = 2.76-4.68, p = 0.0001) and chronic pain (OR = 0.89, CI = 0.78-1.00, p = 0.05) regardless of TBSA.

CONCLUSION

Patients who developed opioid use disorder following burn injury had higher odds of receiving opioid exclusive pain management, more frequent surgery, ICU care.

Oxycodone-related deaths in Sweden 2006-2018

AIM

To identify and characterize oxycodone related deaths in Sweden from 2006 to 2018 and to compare them to other opioid-related deaths.

METHODS

To assess the factors contributing to the deaths, we used multinomial logistic regression to compare oxycodone-related deaths extracted from all forensic autopsy examinations and toxicology cases in the age groups 15-34 (reference group), 35-54 and 55-74 with regard to sex, presence of benzodiazepines and alcohol at the time of death, prescription of oxycodone, benzodiazepines and antidepressants, previous substance use-related (SUD) treatment, and manner of death. The oxycodone related deaths were compared with deaths with presence of other opioids.

RESULT

We identified 575 oxycodone-related deaths, and the rate increased during the study period from 0.10 to 1.12 per 100,000 in parallel with an increase of oxycodone prescriptions from 3.17 to 30.33 per 1000. Oxycodone-related deaths amounted to 10.0% of all opioid-related deaths. The deaths occurred mainly in older patients previously being prescribed oxycodone. Benzodiazepines were present at the time of death in 403 (70%) and alcohol in 259 (45%). Prescriptions of any opioid for pain (61%), oxycodone (50%), benzodiazepines (67%) and antidepressants (55%) were common. Only 15% had received treatment for SUD during the last year.

CONCLUSION

Oxycodone-related deaths increased in Sweden between 2006 and 2018 in parallel to an increase in oxycodone prescriptions. The increase occurred mainly in older patients being prescribed oxycodone for pain. There might be specific interventions needed to avoid oxycodone-related deaths compared to other opioid-related deaths associated with illicit opioid use.

Pain management in the emergency department: a clinical review

Pain is one of the most common reasons for patients to visit the emergency department. The ever-growing research on emergency department analgesia has challenged the current practices with respect to the optimal analgesic regimen for acute musculoskeletal pain, safe and judicious opioid prescribing, appropriate utilization of non-opioid therapeutics, and non-pharmacological treatment modalities. This clinical review is set to provide evidence-based answers to these challenging questions.