Trends in chronic disease incidence rates from the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System

Impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on equity of access to hip and knee replacements: a population-level study

PURPOSE

The COVID-19 pandemic had innumerable impacts on healthcare delivery. In Canada, this included limitations on inpatient capacity, which resulted in an increased focus on outpatient surgery for non-emergent cases such as joint replacements. The objective of this study was to assess whether the pandemic and the shift towards outpatient surgery had an impact on access to joint replacement for marginalized patients.

METHODS

Data from Ontario's administrative healthcare databases were obtained for all patients undergoing an elective hip or knee replacement between January 1, 2018 and August 31, 2021. All surgeries performed before March 15, 2020 were classified as "pre-COVID," while all procedures performed after that date were classified as "post-COVID." The Ontario Marginalization Index domains were used to analyze proportion of marginalized patients undergoing surgery pre- and post-COVID.

RESULTS

A total of 102,743 patients were included-42,812 hip replacements and 59,931 knee replacements. There was a significant shift towards outpatient surgery during the post-COVID period (1.1% of all cases pre-COVID to 13.2% post-COVID, p < 0.001). In the post-COVID cohort, there were significantly fewer patients from some marginalized groups, as well as fewer patients with certain co-morbidities, such as congestive heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

CONCLUSION

The most important finding of this population-level database study is that, compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a change in the profile of patients undergoing hip and knee replacements in Ontario, specifically across a range of indicators. Fewer marginalized patients are undergoing joint replacement surgery since the COVID-19 pandemic. Further monitoring of access to joint replacement surgery is required in order to ensure that surgery is provided to those who are most in need.

Assessing the potential for healthier consumer food substitutions in Canada: population-level differences in dietary intakes of whole grains, refined grains, red meats, and legumes

The potential for healthier consumer food substitutions is an important factor in the study of food environments, dietary choices, and population nutrition promotion. The burden of diet-related non-communicable diseases is unevenly distributed across Canada and variation in the food environment sub-nationally may be an important explanation. We used population-based 24 h dietary recall data from the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Nutrition for Canadian adults (n = 13 919) to examine dietary intakes of two food group pairings (whole grains/refined grains and legumes/red meats) where consumer substitutions have been recognized to be of importance in promoting healthy and sustainable population diet. We used an ANOVA followed by pairwise comparisons with Bonferroni correction to estimate differences in intakes between provinces for daily weight and proportion of total energy consumed. Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study, Canadians consumed below the average daily requirements of legumes and whole grains and well above the required range of red meat, suggesting room for broad improvements to population diet. Findings also demonstrate that there is potential for targeted shifts in dietary intakes among non-consumers of certain foods (e.g., legumes). This study may inform intervention development for the consumer nutrition environment including food accessibility and affordability to reduce non-communicable disease risk.

Trends in antihypertensive drug utilization in British Columbia, 2004-2019: a descriptive study

BACKGROUND

Clinical guidelines for hypertension were updated with lower blood pressure targets following new studies in 2015; the real-world impact of these changes on antihypertensive drug use is unknown. We aimed to describe trends in antihypertensive drug utilization from 2004 to 2019 in British Columbia.

METHODS

We conducted a longitudinal study to describe the annual prevalence and incidence rate of use of 5 antihypertensive drug classes (thiazides, angiotensin-converting enzyme [ACE] inhibitors, angiotensin II receptor blockers [ARBs], calcium channel blockers and β-blockers) among BC residents aged 30-75 years. We also conducted a cohort study to compare the risk of discontinuation and switch or add-on therapy between incident users of the above drug classes. We used linkable administrative health databases from BC. We performed a Fine-Gray competing risk analysis to estimate subhazard ratios.

RESULTS

Among BC residents aged 30-75 years (population: 2 376 282 [2004] to 3 014 273 [2019]), the incidence rate of antihypertensive drug use decreased from 23.7 per 1000 person-years in 2004 to 18.3 per 1000 person-years in 2014, and subsequently increased to 22.6 per 1000 person-years in 2019. The incidence rate of thiazide use decreased from 8.9 per 1000 person-years in 2004 to 3.2 per 1000 person-years in 2019, and incidence rates for the other drug classes increased. Incident users receiving thiazide monotherapy had an increased risk of discontinuing any antihypertensive treatment compared with ACE inhibitor monotherapy (subhazard ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-0.97), ARB monotherapy (subhazard ratio 0.84, 95% CI 0.81-0.87) and thiazide combination with ACE inhibitor or ARB (subhazard ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.84-0.88), and had the highest risk of switching or adding on.

INTERPRETATION

First-line use of thiazides continued to decrease despite a marked increase in incident antihypertensive therapy following updated guidelines; incident users receiving ARB monotherapy were least likely to discontinue, and incident users receiving thiazide monotherapy were more likely to switch or add on than users of other initial monotherapy or combination. Further research is needed on the factors influencing treatment decisions to understand the differences in trends and patterns of antihypertensive drug use.

Evaluation of administrative case definitions for hypertension in Canadian children

Hypertension is increasing in children and warrants disease surveillance. We therefore sought to evaluate the validity of case definitions to identify pediatric hypertension in administrative healthcare data. Cases of hypertension in children 3-18 years of age were identified utilizing blood pressures recorded in the Manitoba Primary Care Research Network (MaPCReN) electronic medical record from 2014 to 2016. Prevalence of hypertension and associated clinical characteristics were determined. We then evaluated the validity of 18 case definitions combining outpatient physician visits (ICD9CM codes), hospital claims (ICD9CM/ICD10 codes) and antihypertensive use within 1-3 years of data housed at the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy. The MaPCReN database identified 241 children with hypertension and 4090 without (prevalence = 5.6%). The sensitivity of algorithms ranged between 0.18 and 0.51 and the specificity between 0.98 and 1.00. Pharmaceutical use increased the sensitivity of algorithms significantly. The algorithms with the highest sensitivity and area under the ROC curve were 1 or more hospitalization OR 1 or more physician claim OR 1 or more pharmaceutical record. Evaluating 2 years of data is recommended. Administrative data alone reflects diagnosis of hypertension with high specificity, but underestimate the true prevalence of this disease. Alternative data sources are therefore required for disease surveillance.

Assessing sex differential in COVID-19 mortality rate by age and polymerase chain reaction test results: an Iranian multi-center study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to evaluate the sex differential effect in the COVID-19 mortality by different age groups and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test results.

RESEARCH DESIGN

In a multicenter cross-sectional study from 55 hospitals in Tehran, Iran, patients were categorized as positive, negative, and suspected cases.

RESULTS

A total of 25,481 cases (14,791 males) were included in the study with a mortality rate of 12.0%. The mortality rates in positive, negative, and suspected cases were 20.55%, 9.97%, and 7.31%, respectively. Using a Cox regression model, sex had a significant effect on the hazard of death due to COVID-19 in adult and senior male patients having positive and suspected PCR test results. However, sex was not found as significant factor for mortality in patients with a negative PCR test in different age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Regardless of other risk factors, we found that the effect of sex on COVID-19 mortality varied significantly in different age groups. Therefore, appropriate strategies should be designed to protect adult and senior males from this deadly infectious disease. Furthermore, owing to the considerable death rate of COVID-19 patients with negative test results, new policies should be launched to increase the accuracy of diagnosis tests.

Control charts for chronic disease surveillance: testing algorithm sensitivity to changes in data coding

Background

Algorithms used to identify disease cases in administrative health data may be sensitive to changes in the data over time. Control charts can be used to assess how variations in administrative health data impact the stability of estimated trends in incidence and prevalence for administrative data algorithms. We compared the stability of incidence and prevalence trends for multiple juvenile diabetes algorithms using observed-expected control charts.

Methods

Eighteen validated algorithms for juvenile diabetes were applied to administrative health data from Manitoba, Canada between 1975 and 2018. Trends in disease incidence and prevalence for each algorithm were modelled using negative binomial regression and generalized estimating equations; model-predicted case counts were plotted against observed counts. Control limits were set as predicted case count ±0.8*standard deviation. Differences in the frequency of out-of-control observations for each algorithm were assessed using McNemar’s test with Holm-Bonferroni adjustment.

Results

The proportion of out-of-control observations for incidence and prevalence ranged from 0.57 to 0.76 and 0.45 to 0.83, respectively. McNemar’s test revealed no difference in the frequency of out-of-control observations across algorithms. A sensitivity analysis with relaxed control limits (2*standard deviation) detected fewer out-of-control years (incidence 0.19 to 0.33; prevalence 0.07 to 0.52), but differences in stability across some algorithms for prevalence.

Conclusions

Our study using control charts to compare stability of trends in incidence and prevalence for juvenile diabetes algorithms found no differences for disease incidence. Differences were observed between select algorithms for disease prevalence when using wider control limits.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-12328-w.

Neighbourhood characteristics related to mental health service use among adults with diabetes: a population-based cohort study in New Brunswick, Canada

Objective

It has been postulated that social and economic inequalities may shape the distributions of comorbid diabetes and mental illness. This observational cohort study using linked population-based administrative and geospatial datasets aimed to describe associations between neighbourhood socioenvironments and disorder-specific mental health service use among adults with diabetes in the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

Results

A baseline cohort of 66,275 persons aged 19 and over living with diabetes was identified. One-quarter (26.3%) had used healthcare services for mood and anxiety disorders at least once during the six-year follow-up period 2012/2013–2017/2018. Based on Cox proportional hazards models, the risk of mental health service contacts was significantly higher among those residing in the most materially deprived neighbourhoods [HR: 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01–1.14)] compared to those in the least so, and those in areas characterized with the highest residential instability [HR: 1.13 (95% CI: 1.05–1.22)] compared to those in areas with the lowest instability. Among adults with incident diabetes (N = 4410), age and sex but not neighbourhood factors were related to differential help-seeking behaviours for mental health problems. These findings underscored the gap between theoretical postulations and population-based observations in delineating the syndemics of neighbourhood socioenvironments and mental health outcomes in populations with high diabetes prevalence.

Advanced detection strategies for cardiotropic virus infection in a cohort study of heart failure patients

The prevalence and contribution of cardiotropic viruses to various expressions of heart failure are increasing, yet primarily underappreciated and underreported due to variable clinical syndromes, a lack of consensus diagnostic standards and insufficient clinical laboratory tools. In this study, we developed an advanced methodology for identifying viruses across a spectrum of heart failure patients. We designed a custom tissue microarray from 78 patients with conditions commonly associated with virus-related heart failure, conditions where viral contribution is typically uncertain, or conditions for which the etiological agent remains suspect but elusive. Subsequently, we employed advanced, highly sensitive in situ hybridization to probe for common cardiotropic viruses: adenovirus 2, coxsackievirus B3, cytomegalovirus, Epstein-Barr virus, hepatitis C and E, influenza B and parvovirus B19. Viral RNA was detected in 46.4% (32/69) of heart failure patients, with 50% of virus-positive samples containing more than one virus. Adenovirus 2 was the most prevalent, detected in 27.5% (19/69) of heart failure patients, while in contrast to previous reports, parvovirus B19 was detected in only 4.3% (3/69). As anticipated, viruses were detected in 77.8% (7/9) of patients with viral myocarditis and 37.5% (6/16) with dilated cardiomyopathy. Additionally, viruses were detected in 50% of patients with coronary artery disease (3/6) and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (2/4) and in 28.6% (2/7) of transplant rejection cases. We also report for the first time viral detection within a granulomatous lesion of cardiac sarcoidosis and in giant cell myocarditis, conditions for which etiological agents remain unknown. Our study has revealed a higher than anticipated prevalence of cardiotropic viruses within cardiac muscle tissue in a spectrum of heart failure conditions, including those not previously associated with a viral trigger or exacerbating role. Our work forges a path towards a deeper understanding of viruses in heart failure pathogenesis and opens possibilities for personalized patient therapeutic approaches.

A primer on metabolic memory: why existing diabesity treatments fail

Despite massive government and private sector investments into prevention of cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus and obesity, efforts have largely failed, and the burden of cost remains in the treatment of downstream morbidity and mortality, with overall stagnating outcomes. A new paradigm shift in the approach to these patients may explain why existing treatment strategies fail, and offer new treatment targets. This review aims to provide a clinician-centred primer on metabolic memory, defined as the sum of irreversible genetic, epigenetic, cellular and tissue-level alterations that occur with long-time exposure to metabolic derangements.

Effectiveness of nurse-led services for people with chronic disease in achieving an outcome of continuity of care at the primary-secondary healthcare interface: A quantitative systematic review

BACKGROUND

Globally, chronic disease is a leading cause of illness, disability and death and an important driver of health system utilization and spending. Continuity of care is a significant component of quality healthcare. However, an association between nurse-led services, interventions, patient outcomes and continuity of care at the primary and secondary interface as an outcome, has not been established for people with chronic disease.

OBJECTIVE

To identify the effectiveness of nurse-led services for people with chronic disease in achieving an outcome of continuity of care at the primary-secondary healthcare interface.

DESIGN

Quantitative systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

Systematic searches of Medline, Cochrane, Embase, Emcare, JBI and Scopus databases were conducted of studies published between 1946 and May 2019 using the search terms "nurse", "continuity of care" and "chronic disease".

REVIEW METHODS

Quality of the included studies was assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized controlled trials and Joanna Briggs Institute quality appraisal checklists. A second reviewer screened 10% of full text articles and all articles in critical appraisal. Studies were excluded from the review if they were of poor methodological quality or the description of the effect of the nurse-led service was inadequately reported.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies were included in the review (n=4,090 participants). All studies incorporated recognized continuity of care interventions. The nurse-led services were associated with fewer hospitalizations, reduced by 2-8.9% and re-admissions reduced by 14.8-51% (n=886). Reporting of positive patient experiences and improvement in symptoms and lifestyle was also evident. An association of nurse-led services with improved continuity of care between primary and secondary health services as an outcome per se could not be concluded.

CONCLUSION

Nurse-led services for adults provide coordinated interventions that support continuity of care for people with chronic disease in both the primary and secondary healthcare settings that are associated with reduced hospitalizations or readmissions and patient satisfaction. However, the limited use of validated continuity of care outcome measurement tools precluded establishing correlations between interventions, patient outcomes and continuity of care as a specific outcome.

Cognitive leisure activity and all-cause mortality in older adults: a 4-year community-based cohort

BACKGROUND

Cognitive leisure activity, such as reading, playing mahjong or cards and computer use, is common among older adults in China. Previous studies suggest a negative correlation between cognitive leisure activity and cognitive impairment. However, the relationship between cognitive leisure activity and all-cause mortality has rarely been reported.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to explore the relationships between cognitive leisure activity and all-cause mortality in a community-based older people cohort in China.

METHODS

The current study sample comprised 4003 community residents aged ≥60 y who were enrolled in June 2015, and were followed up every year from 2015 to 2018. Reading, playing mahjong or cards and computer use were measured by questionnaires and summed into a cognitive leisure activity index (CLAI) score. Time-Dependent Cox Regression Model and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were used to examine the association of cognitive leisure activity with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During the 4-year follow-up of 4003 participants, 208 (5.2%) deaths were registered. Of all participants, 66.8, 26.7, 6.1 and 0.35% reported CLAI scores of 0, 1, 2 and 3, respectively. A strong association was noted between the CLA score and all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.72, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.54-0.97, P = 0.028). Stratified analysis suggested that a higher CLAI score was significantly associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality mainly among those who were male, aged ≥80 y, cognitively impaired, and not diagnosed with cancer (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Cognitive leisure activity was positively associated with reduced risk of death from all cause among the older people in major city of China, which helped promote a comprehensive understanding of health characteristics at advanced ages.

Validated methods for identifying individuals with obesity in health care administrative databases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Health care administrative databases are increasingly used for health studies and public health surveillance. Cases of individuals with obesity are selected using case-identification methods. However, the validity of these methods is fragmentary and particularly challenging for obesity case identification.

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this systematic review are to (1) determine the case-identification methods used to identify individuals with obesity in health care administrative databases and (2) to summarize the validity of these case-identification methods when compared with a reference standard.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted in six bibliographic databases for the period January 1980 to June 2019 for all studies evaluating obesity case-identification methods compared with a reference standard.

RESULTS

Seventeen articles met the inclusion criteria. International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes were the only case-identification method utilized in selected articles. The performance of obesity-identification methods varied widely across studies, with positive predictive value ranging from 19% to 100% while sensitivity ranged from 3% to 92%. The sensitivity of these methods was usually low while the specificity was higher.

CONCLUSION

When obesity is reported in health care administrative databases, it is usually correctly reported; however, obesity tends to be highly underreported in databases. Therefore, case-identification methods to monitor the prevalence and incidence of obesity within health care administrative databases are not reliable. In contrast, the use of these methods remains relevant for the selection of individuals with obesity for cohort studies, particularly when identifying cohorts of individuals with severe obesity or cohorts where obesity is associated with comorbidities.

Regional variation in multimorbidity prevalence in British Columbia, Canada: a cross-sectional analysis of Canadian Community Health Survey data, 2015/16

INTRODUCTION

Multimorbidity represents a major concern for population health and service delivery planners. Information about the population prevalence (absolute numbers and proportions) of multimorbidity among regional health service delivery populations is needed for planning for multimorbidity care. In Canada, health region-specific estimates of multimorbidity prevalence are not routinely presented. The Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) is a potentially valuable source of data for these estimates.

METHODS

Data from the 2015/16 cycle of the CCHS for British Columbia (BC) were used to estimate and compare multimorbidity prevalence (3+ chronic conditions) through survey-weighted analyses. Crude frequencies and proportions of multimorbidity prevalence were calculated by BC Health Service Delivery Area (HSDA). Logistic regression was used to estimate differences in multimorbidity prevalence by HSDA, adjusting for known confounders. Multiple imputation using chained equations was performed for missing covariate values as a sensitivity analysis. The definition of multimorbidity was also altered as an additional sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 681 921 people were estimated to have multimorbidity in BC (16.9% of the population) in 2015/16. Vancouver (adj-OR = 0.65; 95% CI: 0.44-0.97) and Richmond (adj-OR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.37-0.82) had much lower prevalence of multimorbidity than Fraser South (reference HSDA). Missing data analysis and sensitivity analysis showed results consistent with the main analysis.

CONCLUSION

Multimorbidity prevalence estimates varied across BC health regions, and were lowest in Vancouver and Richmond after controlling for multiple potential confounders. There is a need for provincial and regional multimorbidity care policy development and priority setting. In this context, the CCHS represents a valuable source of information for regional multimorbidity analyses in Canada.

Healthcare Service Use for Mood and Anxiety Disorders Following Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Cohort Study of the Role of Neighbourhood Socioenvironmental Characteristics in a Largely Rural Population

Depression and other mood and anxiety disorders are recognized as common complications following cardiac events. Some studies report poorer cardiac outcomes among patients in socioeconomically marginalized neighbourhoods. This study aimed to describe associations between socioeconomic and built environment characteristics of neighbourhood environments and mental health service contacts following an acute myocardial infarction (AMI or heart attack) among adults in the province of New Brunswick, Canada. This province is characterized largely by residents in small towns and rural areas. A cohort of all adults aged 45 and over surviving AMI and without a recent record of mental disorders was identified by linking provincial medical-administrative datasets. Residential histories were tracked over time to assign neighbourhood measures of marginalization, local climate zones, and physical activity friendliness (i.e., walkability). Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of healthcare use for mood and anxiety disorders over the period 2003/04-2015/16 by neighbourhood characteristics. The baseline cohort included 13,330 post-AMI patients, among whom 32.5% were found to have used healthcare services for a diagnosed mood or anxiety disorder at least once during the period of observation. Among men, an increased risk of mental health service use was found among those living in areas characterized by high ethnic concentration (HR: 1.14 (95%CI: 1.03-1.25)). Among women, the risk was significantly higher among those in materially deprived neighbourhoods (HR: 1.16 (95%CI: 1.01-1.33)). We found no convincing evidence of associations between this outcome and the other neighbourhood characteristics considered here. These results suggest that selected features of neighbourhood environments may increase the burden on the healthcare system for mental health comorbidities among adults with cardiovascular disease. Further research is needed to understand the differing needs of socioeconomically marginalized populations to improve mental health outcomes following an acute cardiac event, specifically in the context of smaller and rural communities and of universal healthcare coverage.

At-a-glance - Twenty years of diabetes surveillance using the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System

In 1999, the Government of Canada, along with the provinces and territories, established the National Diabetes Surveillance System (NDSS) to track rates of diabetes in Canada. The NDSS used a novel method to systematically collect and report national diabetes data using linked administrative health databases. The NDSS has since evolved to become the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System (CCDSS) and provides information on over 20 chronic conditions. This At-a-glance report provides the most up-to-date CCDSS information on diabetes rates in Canada. Currently, 8.8% of Canadians (9.4% male, 8.1% female, aged one year and older) live with diabetes, and approximately 549 new cases are diagnosed each day. Since 2000, the age-standardized prevalence rate has increased by an average of 3.3% per year. The age-standardized incidence rate has remained relatively stable, and all-cause mortality rates among those with diabetes have decreased by an average of 2.1% per year. This suggests that people are living longer with a diabetes diagnosis.