Predictors of Abnormal Glucose Tolerance in the Early Postpartum Period in Patients with Gestational Diabetes

Risk factors associated with early postpartum glucose intolerance in women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

This meta-analysis was aimed at exploring the incidence and risk factors of glucose intolerance in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) at 6-12 weeks postpartum to inform the development of preventive strategies.

METHOD

We searched Pubmed, Embase, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, Ovid, China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database (CNKI), Wanfang Database and China Biology Medicine Database for entries between January 1990 and September 2022. The search terms included gestational diabetes mellitus, postpartum, glucose intolerance and type 2 diabetes. The meta-analysis was conducted using Stata 14.0.

RESULT

We included 37 studies, with 21 and 16 having low and medium risk of bias, respectively. The incidence of glucose intolerance in women with GDM 6-12 weeks postpartum was 27% (95% CI: 0.22-0.33). The following risk factors for GDM 6-12 weeks postpartum were identified: insulin use during pregnancy (OR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.35-4.44), family history of diabetes (OR = 2.94; 95% CI: 1.98-4.33), abnormal fasting glucose levels at 24-28 weeks of gestation (OR = 1.15; 95% CI: 1.07-1.25), high pre-pregnancy BMI (OR = 1.63; 95% CI: 1.23-2.15), abnormal triglyceride levels during 28-40 weeks of gestation (OR = 2.18; 95% CI: 1.18-4.03), abnormal HbA1c levels at 28-40 weeks of gestation (OR = 6.62; 95% CI: 4.71-9.30), history of previous GDM (OR = 2.11; 95% CI: 1.27-3.49), and high 1-h glucose levels at 24-28 weeks of gestation (OR = 1.16; 95% CI:1.06-1.28).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of glucose intolerance in GDM patients at 6-12 weeks postpartum was high. To prevent early postpartum glucose intolerance, healthcare providers should develop individualized interventions for GDM patients, depending on existing risk factors.

Factors predicting early postpartum glucose intolerance in Japanese women with gestational diabetes mellitus: decision-curve analysis

AIMS

To identify factors predicting early postpartum glucose intolerance in Japanese women with gestational diabetes mellitus, using decision-curve analysis.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed. The participants were 123 Japanese women with gestational diabetes who underwent 75-g oral glucose tolerance tests at 8-12 weeks after delivery. They were divided into a glucose intolerance and a normal glucose tolerance group based on postpartum oral glucose tolerance test results. Analysis of the pregnancy oral glucose tolerance test results showed predictive factors for postpartum glucose intolerance. We also evaluated the clinical usefulness of the prediction model based on decision-curve analysis.

RESULTS

Of 123 women, 78 (63.4%) had normoglycaemia and 45 (36.6%) had glucose intolerance. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed insulinogenic index/fasting immunoreactive insulin and summation of glucose levels, assessed during pregnancy oral glucose tolerance tests (total glucose), to be independent risk factors for postpartum glucose intolerance. Evaluating the regression models, the best discrimination (area under the curve 0.725) was obtained using the basic model (i.e. age, family history of diabetes, BMI ≥25 kg/m² and use of insulin during pregnancy) plus insulinogenic index/fasting immunoreactive insulin <1.1. Decision-curve analysis showed that combining insulinogenic index/fasting immunoreactive insulin <1.1 with basic clinical information resulted in superior net benefits for prediction of postpartum glucose intolerance.

CONCLUSIONS

Insulinogenic index/fasting immunoreactive insulin calculated using oral glucose tolerance test results during pregnancy is potentially useful for predicting early postpartum glucose intolerance in Japanese women with gestational diabetes.