Utilizing direct and indirect information to improve the COVID-19 vaccination booster scheduling

Current global COVID-19 booster scheduling strategies mainly focus on vaccinating high-risk populations at predetermined intervals. However, these strategies overlook key data: the direct insights into individual immunity levels from active serological testing and the indirect information available either through sample-based sero-surveillance, or vital demographic, location, and epidemiological factors. Our research, employing an age-, risk-, and region-structured mathematical model of disease transmission-based on COVID-19 incidence and vaccination data from Israel between 15 May 2020 and 25 October 2021-reveals that a more comprehensive strategy integrating these elements can significantly reduce COVID-19 hospitalizations without increasing existing booster coverage. Notably, the effective use of indirect information alone can considerably decrease COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations, without the need for additional vaccine doses. This approach may also be applicable in optimizing vaccination strategies for other infectious diseases, including influenza.

Heterologous Antibody Responses Conferred by A(H3N2) Variant and Seasonal Influenza Vaccination Against Newly Emerged 2016-2018 A(H3N2) Variant Viruses in Healthy Persons

BACKGROUND

Swine origin A(H3N2) variant [A(H3N2)v] viruses continue to evolve and remain a public health threat. Recent outbreaks in humans in 2016-2018 were caused by a newly emerged A(H3N2)v cluster 2010.1, which are genetically and antigenically distinct from the previously predominant cluster IV. To address the public health risk, we evaluated the levels of heterologous cross-reactive antibodies to A(H3N2)v cluster 2010.1 viruses induced from an existing cluster IV A(H3N2)v vaccine and several seasonal inactivated influenza vaccines (IIVs) in adults, elderly individuals, and children.

METHODS

Human vaccine sera and ferret antisera were analyzed by hemagglutination inhibition (HI) and neutralization assays against representative A(H3N2)v viruses from clusters IV and 2010.1 and seasonal A(H3N2) viruses.

RESULTS

Ferret antisera detected no or little cross-reactivity between the 2 A(H3N2)v clusters or between A(H3N2)v and seasonal A(H3N2) viruses. In humans, cluster IV A(H3N2)v vaccine induced antibodies cross-reactive to cluster 2010.1 viruses in approximately one-third of the 89 adult and elderly vaccinees. Seasonal IIVs did not induce seroprotective antibodies (≥40) to A(H3N2)v viruses in young children, but induced higher antibodies to A(H3N2)v viruses in cluster 2010.1 than those in cluster IV in adults.

CONCLUSIONS

Cluster IV A(H3N2)v vaccine did not provide sufficient heterologous antibody responses against the new 2010.1 cluster A(H3N2)v viruses. Seasonal IIV could not induce seroprotective antibodies to 2010.1 cluster A(H3N2)v viruses in young children, suggesting that young children are still at high risk to the newly emerged A(H3N2)v viruses. Continued surveillance on A(H3N2)v viruses is critical for risk assessment and pandemic preparedness.