Usefulness of ALBI grade in prediction of outcomes in patients with hepatitis B related hepatocellular carcinoma

Prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis: A multi-center retrospective observational study

AIM

Despite advances in the management of liver diseases and changes in the etiology of cirrhosis, few studies have updated the prognosis of cirrhosis. This study aimed to clarify the recent prognosis of cirrhosis and identify risk factors for death.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study by the Hepatic Disease Network of the National Hospital Organization in Japan, chart reviews were performed to follow patients with cirrhosis beginning in 2011. We conducted Kaplan-Meier survival time analyses stratified by Child-Pugh classification and albumin-bilirubin grade. Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for death.

RESULTS

We identified 444 eligible patients from 25 hospitals, including 303 (68%), 110 (25%), and 31 (7%) patients with Child-Pugh classes A, B, and C, respectively. Hepatitis C virus infection was the cause of cirrhosis for 63% of the patients. The 1-year and 5-year cumulative survival rates of patients with Child-Pugh classes A, B, and C were 90% and 61%, 78% and 42%, and 65% and 25%, respectively. The 1-year and 5-year cumulative survival rates of patients with albumin-bilirubin grades 1, 2, and 3 were 98% and 80%, 91% and 56%, and 58% and 23%, respectively. Cirrhosis classification (Child-Pugh and albumin-bilirubin), age, liver cancer, and untreated esophageal varices were associated with increased hazard of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Little improvement was observed in the prognosis of cirrhosis compared with previous reports, and the prognosis of Child-Pugh class C cirrhosis remained poor. Untreated esophageal varices were identified as a risk factor for death.

Real-world hospital mortality of liver cirrhosis inpatients in Japan: a large-scale cohort study using a medical claims database: Prognosis of liver cirrhosis

AIM

Prognosis of liver cirrhosis patients is poor when ascites is present and liver function is impaired, but such up-to-date information from a large-scale, real-world setting is limited in Japan. We aimed to investigate the hospital mortality of Japanese liver cirrhosis inpatients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included data on liver cirrhosis inpatients between January 2011 and September 2018 extracted from an administrative claims database. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. The 1- and 3-year cumulative survival rates were examined for liver cirrhosis etiology, Child-Pugh classification, or ascites presence/absence using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The survival up to 1 year for tolvaptan prescription/nonprescription was examined.

RESULTS

We analyzed the data of 57 769 inpatients. Survival rates did not substantially differ among etiologies, with a better prognosis for alcohol etiology and poorer prognosis for hepatitis C virus. According to the Child-Pugh classification, the 1- and 3-year survival rates were 90.2% and 75.3% for grade A, 73.5% and 53.9% for grade B, and 41.9% and 28.9% for grade C, respectively. Patients without ascites had a higher survival rate (83.2% and 67.0% at 1 and 3 years, respectively) than those with ascites (51.9% and 36.3%, respectively). Based on examining matched patients with ascites using a propensity score, prognosis was poor in general but was better at 6 months (58.1%) or similar at 1 year (47.1%) in patients prescribed tolvaptan compared to those not prescribed tolvaptan (54.8% and 47.5%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Poorer prognosis was suggested in inpatients with cirrhosis who had a worse Child-Pugh grade and ascites.