Outcome of systemic lupus erythematosus. A study of 66 patients over 7 years with special reference to the predictive value of anti-DNA antibody determinations

Early renal damage assessed by the SLICC/ACR damage index is predictor of severe outcome in lupus patients in Pakistan

We investigated patients with systemic lupus erythematosus with the objective of assessing whether early damage accrued in systemic lupus erythematosus as measured by the SLICC/ ACR Damage Index predicts mortality in lupus patients that have been followed prospectively in a single center. Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus from Aga Khan University hospital presenting between 1992 and 2007 were included. This enabled all patients to be potentially followed for at least 10 years. Yearly SLICC/ACR Damage Index scores were determined for each patient. Early damage was defined as a score ≥1, and no damage as a score of 0 at the initial assessment. Kaplan—Meier and Log rank tests were used to compare the survival experience between those with and without damage, with all patients being assessed at 10 years. In this inception cohort 198 patients were identified and were followed for 10 years. Of these, 47 (23.7%) patients had a SLICC/ACR Damage Index score of 0 (no damage) while 151 patients (76.3%) had at least one SLICC/ACR Damage Index item scored (early damage). Mean renal damage score at 1, 5 and 10 years was 0.16, 0.34 and 0.67, respectively. Of lupus patients who exhibited renal damage at their first SLICC/ACR Damage Index assessment, 31% died within 10 years of their illness as compared with only 13% who had no early renal damage (p < 0.003). Mean renal damage score at 1 year after diagnosis was a significant predictor of death within 10 years of diagnosis (p < 0.002). Lupus (2010) 19, 1573—1578.

Relationship Between Flare and Health-related Quality of Life in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Objective.

To investigate (1) the relationship between flares and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in Chinese patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in Hong Kong; and (2) the influence of severity of flare, number of organs involved in flares, and manifestations of flares on HRQOL.

Methods.

A retrospective study was performed on 303 patients with SLE. Participants completed the Medical Outcomes Survey Short-Form 36 (SF-36) and underwent clinical and laboratory examination to evaluate disease activity and damage. The total number and manifestations of flares during the preceding year were assessed retrospectively. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to identify the independent variables associated with impairment of HRQOL.

Results.

Patients with flares were younger, had a shorter disease duration, and had higher disease activity at the time of the assessment. A total of 72 episodes of flares were recorded in 61 patients in the preceding year. Patients with flares had significantly lower scores in the areas of role limitation due to physical problems, general health, social function, and role limitation due to emotional problems compared with those without flare. The physical health summary scale was also lower in patients with flares. In the multivariate analysis, the presence of musculoskeletal flare was independently associated with all scales of the SF-36, except bodily pain and mental health.

Conclusion.

The low level of patients’ HRQOL is mostly associated with the presence of musculoskeletal involvement.

The effect of moderate-dose corticosteroids in preventing severe flares in patients with serologically active, but clinically stable, systemic lupus erythematosus: findings of a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

Serial measurements of anti-double-stranded DNA (anti-dsDNA) and complement are routine in the management of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), but their utility as biomarkers in preemptive treatment to prevent flares remains a subject of controversy. We hypothesized that concomitant elevation of anti-dsDNA and C3a can predict SLE activity in patients with stable or inactive disease and that short-term treatment with corticosteroids can avert flares.

METHODS

In this prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, 154 patients were evaluated monthly for up to 18 months, with measurements of C3a, C3, C4, CH50, and anti-dsDNA levels. Patients who remained clinically stable but showed serologic evidence of an SLE flare (elevation of both the anti-dsDNA level by 25% and the C3a level by 50% over the previous 1-2 monthly visits) were randomized to receive either prednisone or placebo therapy at a dosage of 30 mg/day for 2 weeks, 20 mg/day for 1 week, and 10 mg/day for 1 week.

RESULTS

Forty-one patients (21 randomized to prednisone and 20 randomized to placebo) experienced a serologic flare. Analysis of severe flares occurring <or=90 days from randomization revealed that 6 occurred in patients taking placebo and none occurred in patients taking prednisone (P = 0.007). Severe flares resulted in an increase in the prednisone dosage to >40 mg/day and/or the addition of an immunosuppressive agent. Furthermore, improvement in scores on the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index, decreased levels of anti-dsDNA antibodies, and increased levels of C4 occurred 1 month after initiation of prednisone treatment.

CONCLUSION

These preliminary data support our hypothesis that in a subset of clinically stable SLE patients with a combination of elevated C3a and anti-dsDNA levels, short-term corticosteroid therapy may avert a severe flare.

Long-term prognosis and causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus

PURPOSE

We studied survival rate, prognostic factors, and causes of death in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), particularly focusing on the influence of disease severity.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cohort of 207 consecutive Italian patients with SLE were prospectively studied. All prominent clinical and serologic parameters were evaluated and considered as prognostic risk factors. Causes of death were defined on the basis of clinical data and, when available, postmortem examination. Survival was calculated from the time of diagnosis by Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

A total of 17 of 207 patients died; causes of death were active disease manifestations in 35.3% of cases and complication of the disease or its treatment in 64.7% of cases. The survival rates at 5, 10, and 15 years after the diagnosis were 96%, 93% and 76%, respectively. By multivariate analysis of the risk factors, a predictive model consisting of male gender, positive lupus anticoagulant, and "severe" SLE was identified. The survival curve of the patients with severe disease was similar to that of patients with mild disease until 10 to 15 years from the diagnosis. Thereafter the two curves tended to diverge, showing a clear survival decline in patients with severe disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study confirms the increase of short- and medium-term survival in patients with SLE, but long-term prognosis remains poor in patients with severe SLE manifestations.

Systemic lupus erythematosus in a multiethnic U.S. cohort (LUMINA) XXXI: factors associated with patients being lost to follow-up

The objective of this study was to determine the frequency of loss to follow-up and the factors predictive of its occurrence in a systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) multiethnic cohort. We studied SLE patients from the LUMINA cohort (Hispanics from Texas and from the Island of Puerto Rico, African-Americans and Caucasians). Loss to follow-up was defined as subjects who failed to attend two or more of the latest consecutive yearly study visits. The relationship between baseline features and loss to follow-up was examined by univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses with loss to follow-up as the dependent variable. The retention rate in the cohort was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Five-hundred and fifty-four patients with a mean (SD) follow-up of 3.4 (2.9) years were studied. One-hundred and fifty-eight (29%) met the definition of lost to follow-up. The cumulative loss to follow-up rate at five years was 36%. The cumulative loss to follow-up rate at five years was higher for the African-Americans. Patients lost to follow-up tended to be younger and more likely to have poor social support and higher levels of helplessness. They also tended to have more renal involvement and more active disease as per the Systemic Lupus Activity Measure-Revised. Disease activity (hazard ratio = 1.04, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.07, P = 0.02) was the only variable independently contributing to loss to follow-up. Our data suggest that in longitudinal SLE studies, loss to follow-up does not occur at random and it differs between ethnic groups and is also particularly higher among patients with more active disease. Pro-active measures may need to be applied to decrease the probability of patients 'at risk' of becoming lost to follow-up and to preserve the integrity of the cohort.

Morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus during a 10-year period: a comparison of early and late manifestations in a cohort of 1,000 patients

In the present study, we assessed the frequency and characteristics of the main causes of morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) during a 10-year period and compared the frequency of early manifestations with those that appeared later in the evolution of the disease. In 1990, we started a multicenter study of 1,000 patients from 7 European countries. All had medical histories documented and underwent medical interview and routine general physical examination when entered in the study, and all were followed prospectively by the same physicians during the ensuing 10 years (1990-2000).A total of 481 (48.1%) patients presented 1 or more episodes of arthritis at any time during the 10 years, 311 (31.1%) patients had malar rash, 279 (27.9%) active nephropathy, 194 (19.4%) neurologic involvement, 166 (16.6%) fever, 163 (16.3%) Raynaud phenomenon, 160 (16.0%) serositis (pleuritis and/or pericarditis), 134 (13.4%) thrombocytopenia, and 92 (9.2%) thrombosis. When the prevalences of the clinical manifestations during the initial 5 years of follow-up (1990-1995) were compared with those during the ensuing 5 years (1995-2000), most manifestations were found to be more frequent during the initial 5 years. Of the 1,000 patients, 360 (36%) presented infections, 169 (16.9%) hypertension, 121 (12.1%) osteoporosis, and 81 (8.1%) cytopenia due to immunosuppressive agents. Twenty-three (2.3%) patients developed malignancies; the most frequent primary localizations were the uterus and the breast.Sixty-eight (6.8%) patients died, and the most frequent causes of death were similarly divided between active SLE (26.5%), thromboses (26.5%), and infections (25%). A survival probability of 92% at 10 years was found. A lower survival probability was detected in those patients who presented at the beginning of the study with nephropathy (88% versus 94% in patients without nephropathy, p = 0.045). When the causes of death during the initial 5 years of follow-up (1990-1995) were compared with those during the ensuing 5 years (1995-2000), active SLE and infections (28.9% each) appeared to be the most common causes during the initial 5 years, while thromboses (26.1%) became the most common cause of death during the last 5 years.In conclusion, most of the SLE inflammatory manifestations appear to be less common after a long-term evolution of the disease, probably reflecting the effect of therapy as well as the progressive remission of the disease in many patients. Meanwhile, a more prominent role of thrombotic events is becoming evident, affecting both morbidity and mortality in SLE.

High-dose cyclophosphamide for severe systemic lupus erythematosus

Cytotoxic therapy is a cornerstone for patients with severe systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). High-dose cyclophosphamide, 200 mg/kg, can induce a complete remission without the need for stem cell rescue in patients with autoimmune illnesses. Here we report on our first four patients treated for severe SLE with this treatment approach. Patients received cyclophosphamide, 200 mg/kg, divided over 4 days. Starting day 10, patients received filgrastim, 5 micrograms/kg/day, until their absolute neutrophil count (ANC) rose to 10.0 x 10(9)/l for two consecutive days. Disease activity as evaluated by scores from the Systemic Lupus Activity Measure-2, the SLE Disease Activity Index and the Responder Index for Lupus Erythematosus were completed before and after high-dose therapy. Before high-dose cyclophosphamide, SLE disease duration ranged from 8 to 21 (mean 12.5) years. Their average disease activity measured by SLAM-2 and SLEDAI was 15.5 (range 11-19) and 23.25 (range 20-26), respectively. At a median of 22 (range 12-39) months of follow-up, mean disease activity measured by SLAM-2 and SLEDAI decreased to 6.25 and 7.75, respectively. All patients experienced febrile neutropenia. No long-term morbidities or mortalities were observed. High dose cyclophosphamide is a therapy capable of decreasing disease severity in poor prognosis SLE patients. Future study is warranted for both refractory patients as well as primary therapy for patients with moderate to severe disease presentations.

Definition of risk factors for death, end stage renal disease, and thromboembolic events in a monocentric cohort of 338 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

BACKGROUND

The survival rate in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has improved dramatically during the past four decades to 96.6% (five year) in the Erlangen cohort, but it is nearly three times as high as in an age and sex matched control population. Reasons for death are mainly cardiovascular diseases (37%) and infections (29%).

OBJECTIVE

To find risk factors existing at disease onset for a severe outcome in the Erlangen cohort.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

By using a database of 338 patients with SLE from a single centre, documented at least one to 15 years and including Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology (SLICC/ACR) damage score data and index (SDI) and an activity score (European Consensus Lupus Activity Measurement (ECLAM)), a retrospective search was made for risk factors for a severe outcome like death, end stage renal disease (ESRD), and thromboembolic events (TE) in SLE. For this purpose, multivariable Cox regression models were analysed using the statistical package SPSS 10.0 for Windows.

RESULTS

The following were defined as risk factors for death at disease onset: male sex (p<0.001, relative risk (RR)=3.5), age >40 at disease onset (p<0.0001, RR=19.9), nephritis (p<0.05, RR=1.6), a reduction of creatinine clearance (p<0.001, RR=1.8), heart disease (p=0.05, RR=1.5), and central nervous system (CNS) disease (p=0.06, RR=1.6). An increase in the SDI of two or more points from the first to the third year of disease was the worst prognostic factor (p<0.0001, RR=7.7). The existence of Ro or nRNP antibodies, or both, was protective (p<0.05, RR =0.1). A low C3 (p<0.01 RR=3.0) and splenomegaly (p<0.01 RR=2.7) at disease onset turned out to be risk factors for ESRD besides a nephritis. In patients with hypertension (p<0.05) and/or high titres of dsDNA antibodies (>70 U/l) (p<0.01) and/or a mean ECLAM score of 4 (p<0.01) in the course of disease, a prevalence of ESRD was recorded in 9% (p<0.05) and 10% (p<0.01), and 8% (p<0.01) v 4% in the whole group. Analysis of risk factors at disease onset for TE identified positive lupus anticoagulant (p=0.17, RR=1.6), cryoglobulins (p<0.05, RR=1.8), and nephritis (p=0.05, RR=1.4), in addition to an age >40 at disease onset.

CONCLUSIONS

A subgroup of patients in the Erlangen cohort with a typical clinical and serological phenotype at disease onset that is at high risk for a worse outcome was identified. Identification of these white patients at risk at disease onset will enable treatment to be intensified and thereby possibly prevent or better control late stage manifestations.

Mortality and causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus

Cohort studies of survival in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) often have been limited by methodologic problems. In studies of inception cohorts of patients followed since 1980, survival at 5 years has exceeded 90%. These estimates are generally higher than survival estimates from earlier studies, suggesting that short-term survival in SLE has improved. There is less evidence to support major improvements over time in survival after 10 years or more of SLE. Infections, atherosclerotic disease, and active systemic lupus erythematosus or organ damage caused by SLE are the main causes of death in patients with SLE, but the proportion of early deaths caused by active SLE has decreased over time.

Morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus during a 5-year period. A multicenter prospective study of 1,000 patients. European Working Party on Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

In the present study we assessed the frequency and characteristics of the main causes of morbidity and mortality in SLE during a 5-year period and analyzed the prognostic significance for morbidity and mortality of the main immunologic parameters used in clinical practice. We started in 1990 a multicenter study of 1,000 patients from 7 European countries. All had medical histories documented and underwent medical interview and routine general physical examination when entered in the study, and all were followed prospectively by the same physicians during the ensuing 5 years (1990-1995). Four hundred thirteen patients (41.3%) presented 1 or more episodes of arthritis, 264 (26.4%) had malar rash, 222 (22.2%) active nephropathy, 139 (13.9%) fever, 136 (13.6%) neurologic involvement, 132 (13.2%) Raynaud phenomenon, 129 (12.9%) serositis (pleuritis and/or pericarditis), 95 (9.5%) thrombocytopenia, and 72 (7.2%) thrombosis. Two hundred seventy patients (27%) presented infections, 113 (11.3%) hypertension, 75 (7.5%) osteoporosis, and 59 (5.9%) cytopenia due to immunosuppressive agents. Sixteen patients (1.6%) developed malignancies, with the most frequent primary localizations the uterus and the breast. Several immunologic parameters (anti-dsDNA or antiphospholipid antibodies) were found to have a predictive value for the development of SLE manifestations during the period of the study. Forty-five patients (4.5%) died; the most frequent causes of death were divided similarly among active SLE (28.9%), infections (28.9%), and thromboses (26.7%). A survival probability of 95% at 5 years was found. A lower survival probability (92%) was detected in those patients who presented at the beginning of the study with nephropathy.

Autoantibodies to components of the mitotic apparatus

Autoantibodies directed to a variety of cellular antigens and organelles are a feature of autoimmune diseases. They have proven useful in a clinical setting to establish diagnosis, estimate prognosis, follow disease progression, alter therapy, and initiate new investigations. Cellular and molecular biologists have used autoantibodies as probes to identify molecules involved in key cellular processes. One of the most interesting sets of autoantibodies are those that target antigens within the mitotic apparatus (MA). The MA includes chromosomes, spindle microtubules and centrosomes. The identification, localization, function, and clinical relevance of MA autoantigens is the focus of this review.

SLE mortality in an oriental population

We analysed the causes of 67 deaths, over a 4 y period, in our oriental population with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The median disease duration was 48 +/- 60.5 months (range 1-250 months). The mean age at diagnosis and death were 30 and 35.1 y respectively. SLE alone accounted for death in 30 patients (44.8%), infection in 27 (40.3%), pulmonary embolism in 5 (7.5%), malignancy in 4 (5.9%) and rheumatic heart disease in 1 (1.5%). The major organ involvement in those with active disease at death were SLE related thrombocytopenia (n = 23/44, 52.3%), nephritis (n = 21/44), 47.7%), cerebral lupus (n = 16/44, 36.4%), and pulmonary haemorrhage (n = 12/44, 27.3%). As in other series, SLE and infection were the principal causes of death in our population. During this 4 y period, there was no late death due to atherosclerosis.

Clinical significance of antinuclear antibodies in systemic rheumatic diseases

Autoantibodies directed to intracellular antigens can be detected in many systemic rheumatic diseases. In this review, we discuss the clinical significance of antinuclear antibodies (ANA) associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), Slögren's syndrome, scleroderma and polymyositis/dermatomyositis, the immunogenetic factors associated with these four autoimmune diseases, and the possible role of autoantibodies in the etiopathogenesis of autoimmune disease. The antibodies associated with systemic rheumatic diseases serve as important tools in the initial diagnosis, and they are also useful in the evaluation of prognosis. However, for correct conclusions, the autoantibody findings should be carefully considered and interpreted in clinical context.

Causes of death in systemic lupus erythematosus. Long-term followup of an inception cohort

OBJECTIVE

To describe the causes of death in a cohort of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and to determine if the major causes of death differ according to patient age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, and the duration of SLE.

METHODS

We examined survival in a cohort of 408 patients with SLE. During a median of 11 years of followup, 144 patients died. The cause of death was determined for 134 patients (93%).

RESULTS

SLE was the most common cause of death, occurring in 49 patients (34%), followed by infection (n = 32; 22%), cardiovascular disease (n = 23; 16%), cerebrovascular disease (n = 8; 6%), and cancer (n = 8; 6%). Deaths due to SLE and due to infections were more common among younger patients, and deaths due to cancer were more common among older patients. Although the risk of death due to SLE was greatest during the first 3 years after diagnosis, deaths due to SLE occurred throughout the course of disease.

CONCLUSION

In this study of patients with SLE who were followed up for an extended period of time beginning soon after diagnosis, SLE was the most common cause of death, and deaths due to SLE occurred throughout the course of illness.

Prevention of relapses in systemic lupus erythematosus

Many relapses of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are preceded by a rise in antibodies against double-stranded DNA (anti-dsDNA). We investigated whether these relapses can be prevented by giving prednisone when a rise in anti-dsDNA occurs. 156 patients with SLE were studied. Anti-dsDNA was measured by Farr assay monthly. When a rise in anti-dsDNA was found, patients were randomly assigned either conventional treatment or 30 mg prednisone added to the current daily dose and tapering off to baseline over 18 weeks. A rise in anti-dsDNA was detected in 46 patients (24 assigned conventional treatment and 22 prednisolone). The relapse rate was higher in the conventional group than in the prednisolone group (20 vs 2, p < 0.001). Although rises in anti-dsDNA in the prednisone group were treated with additional prednisone, the cumulative oral doses of prednisone in the two groups did not differ significantly (p = 0.025). 7 major relapses requiring additional cytotoxic immunosuppressive treatment occurred in the conventional group versus 2 in the prednisone group. Treatment with prednisone as soon as a significant rise in anti-dsDNA occurs prevents relapse in most cases, without increasing the cumulative dose of prednisdone given.

Long-term survival in systemic lupus erythematosus. Patient characteristics associated with poorer outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the associations of age, sex, race, and socioeconomic status with long-term survival in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

We examined survival in an inception cohort of 408 patients with SLE. The cohort included 177 black females, 162 white females, 49 white males, and 20 black males. The median duration of followup was 11 years (range 0.1-22 years).

RESULTS

One hundred forty-four patients died during the study. The 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival estimates for the entire cohort were 82%, 71%, and 63%, respectively. In univariate analyses, mortality rates increased with age and were higher among males, blacks, those without private medical insurance, and those living in census tracts with lower household incomes. In multivariate analyses, age, sex, and both socioeconomic indicators were associated with total mortality (mortality from any cause), while race was not. Lower socioeconomic status and increased age were also associated with higher rates of death from SLE.

CONCLUSION

Socioeconomic status, but not race, is associated with mortality in SLE. SLE-related mortality also tends to increase with age, which suggests that SLE may not be less severe when it occurs later in life.

Clinical profile of Chinese patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

In the 9-year period between 1982 and 1991, 137 patients attending a medical clinic of Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, were diagnosed as having systemic lupus erythematosus according to the American Rheumatism Association's criteria for classification. The female-to-male ratio was 16 to 1. Commonly the onset age was between 20 and 40. Malar rash (70%), arthritis (70.8%) and nephropathy (69.3%) were the most common manifestations. Anti-nuclear factor was invariably positive, whereas anti-extractable nuclear antigen antibodies were positive in varying degrees--Sm 12.7%, nRNP 28.8%, Ro 60.2%, La 8.4%. There were 22 deaths during the follow-up period, two-thirds from active diseases. Gastro-intestinal bleeding and opportunistic infection were common complications.