Clinical relevance of short-term follow-up of unruptured intracranial aneurysms

Follow-up care compliance among patients diagnosed with unruptured intracranial aneurysms

OBJECTIVES

Periodic imaging follow-up for patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIA) is crucial, as studies indicate higher rupture risk with aneurysm growth. However, few studies address patient adherence to follow-up recommendations. This study aims to identify compliance rates and factors influencing follow-up adherence.

METHODS

Patients with a UIA were identified from our institution's database from 2011-2021. Follow-up imaging (CT/MR Angiogram) was advised at specific intervals. Patients were categorized into compliant and non-compliant groups based on first-year compliance. Factors contributing to compliance were assessed through multivariate logistic regression. Phone interviews were conducted with non-compliant patients to understand reasons for non-adherence.

RESULTS

Among 923 UIA diagnosed patients, 337 were randomly selected for analysis. The median follow-up period was 1.4 years, with a 42% first-year compliance rate. The mean aneurysm size was 3.3 mm. Five patients had a rupture during follow-up, of which 4 died. Compared with patients consulting specialists at the initial diagnosis, those seen by non-specialists exhibited lower compliance (OR 0.25, p < 0.001). Loss to follow-up was greatest during transition from emergency service to specialist appointments. Patients who spoke languages other than English exhibited poorer compliance than those speaking English (OR 0.20, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Significant amounts of UIA patients at low rupture risk were lost to follow-up before seeing UIA specialists. Main non-compliance factors include inadequate comprehension of follow-up instructions, poor care transfer from non-specialists to specialist, and insurance barriers.

New morphological parameter for intracranial aneurysms and rupture risk prediction based on artificial neural networks

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have evaluated the rupture risk of intracranial aneurysms using morphological parameters because of their good predictive capacity. However, the limitation of current morphological parameters is that they do not always allow evaluation of irregularities of intracranial aneurysms. The purpose of this study is to propose a new morphological parameter that can quantitatively describe irregularities of intracranial aneurysms and to evaluate its performance regarding rupture risk prediction.

METHODS

In a retrospective study, conventional morphological parameters (aspect ratio, bottleneck ratio, height-to-width ratio, volume to ostium ratio, and size ratio) and a newly proposed morphological parameter (mass moment of inertia) were calculated for 125 intracranial aneurysms (80 unruptured and 45 ruptured aneurysms). Additionally, hemodynamic parameters (wall shear stress and strain) were calculated using computational fluid dynamics and fluid-structure interaction. Artificial neural networks trained with each parameter were used for rupture risk prediction.

RESULTS

All components of the mass moment of inertia (Ixx, Iyy, and Izz) were significantly higher in ruptured cases than in unruptured cases (p values for Ixx, Iyy, and Izz were 0.032, 0.047, and 0.039, respectively). When the conventional morphological and hemodynamic parameters as well as the mass moment of inertia were considered together, the highest performance for rupture risk prediction was obtained (sensitivity 96.3%; specificity 85.7%; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.921).

CONCLUSIONS

The mass moment of inertia would be a useful parameter for evaluating aneurysm irregularity and hence its risk of rupture. The new approach described here may help clinicians to predict the risk of aneurysm rupture more effectively.

A Meta-Analysis of Rupture Risk for Intracranial Aneurysms 10 mm or Less in Size Selected for Conservative Management Without Repair

BACKGROUND

Small unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are considered to have low risk of rupture. The proportion of UIAs measuring 10 mm or less in size that rupture when selected for conservative management without repair is not well known. The aim of this study is to determine the proportion of UIAs that rupture by size threshold from ≤10 to ≤3 mm when selected for management without repair and to determine the level of precision and sources of heterogeneity in the rupture risk estimate.

METHODS

This study was prospectively registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (CRD42019121522). The Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science Core Collection, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched (inception to August 2020). Studies with longitudinal follow-up of patients with UIAs ( ≤10 mm to ≤3 mm) without endovascular or neurosurgical repair were eligible. We included studies, which provided details of aneurysm size and in which UIA rupture was reported as an outcome. The primary outcome of the pooled proportion of UIA rupture during follow-up was synthesized with random-effects meta-analysis; heterogeneity was explored using meta-regression.

RESULTS

A total of 31 studies that included 13,800 UIAs ≤10 mm in size were eligible for data synthesis. The pooled proportion of ≤10 mm UIAs that ruptured when managed without repair was 1.1% (95% CI 0.8-1.5; I 2 = 52.9%) over 3.7 years. Findings were consistent in sensitivity analyses at all the size stratified thresholds including ≤5 and ≤3 mm; rupture occurred in 1.0% (95% CI 0.8-1.3; I 2 = 0%) of 7,280 ≤5 mm UIAs and 0.8% (95% CI 0.4-1.5; I 2 = 0%) of 1,228 ≤3 mm UIAs managed without repair. In higher quality studies with lower risk of bias, rupture occurred in 1.8% (95% CI 1.5-2.0; I 2 = 0%) over 3.9 years. In meta-regression, aneurysm size, shape, anatomical location, and exposure to prior subarachnoid hemorrhage were not identified as sources of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

For every 1,000 UIAs that are 10 mm or less in size and selected for conservative management without repair, between 8 and 15 UIAs are estimated to rupture over 3.7 years. When stratified by size, these pooled rupture risk estimates are consistent and clinically applicable for ≤5 mm UIAs selected for management without repair.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier: CRD42019121522.

Sex Difference and Rupture Rate of Intracranial Aneurysms: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background and Purpose:

In previous studies, women had a higher risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms than men, but female sex was not an independent risk factor. This may be explained by a higher prevalence of patient- or aneurysm-related risk factors for rupture in women than in men or by insufficient power of previous studies. We assessed sex differences in rupture rate taking into account other patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture.

Methods:

We searched Embase and Pubmed for articles published until December 1, 2020. Cohorts with available individual patient data were included in our meta-analysis. We compared rupture rates of women versus men using a Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for the PHASES score (Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of Aneurysm, Earlier Subarachnoid Hemorrhage From Another Aneurysm, Site of Aneurysm), smoking, and a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Results:

We pooled individual patient data from 9 cohorts totaling 9940 patients (6555 women, 66%) with 12 193 unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and 24 357 person-years follow-up. Rupture occurred in 163 women (rupture rate 1.04%/person-years [95% CI, 0.89–1.21]) and 63 men (rupture rate 0.74%/person-years [95% CI, 0.58–0.94]). Women were older (61.9 versus 59.5 years), were less often smokers (20% versus 44%), more often had internal carotid artery aneurysms (24% versus 17%), and larger sized aneurysms (≥7 mm, 24% versus 23%) than men. The unadjusted women-to-men hazard ratio was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.07–1.93) and the adjusted women/men ratio was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02–1.90).

Conclusions:

Women have a higher risk of aneurysmal rupture than men and this sex difference is not explained by differences in patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture. Future studies should focus on the factors explaining the higher risk of aneurysmal rupture in women.

Difference in Rupture Risk Between Familial and Sporadic Intracranial Aneurysms: An Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

We combined individual patient data (IPD) from prospective cohorts of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) to assess to what extent patients with familial UIA have a higher rupture risk than those with sporadic UIA.

METHODS

For this IPD meta-analysis, we performed an Embase and PubMed search for studies published up to December 1, 2020. We included studies that (1) had a prospective study design; (2) included 50 or more patients with UIA; (3) studied the natural course of UIA and risk factors for aneurysm rupture including family history for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and UIA; and (4) had aneurysm rupture as an outcome. Cohorts with available IPD were included. All studies included patients with newly diagnosed UIA visiting one of the study centers. The primary outcome was aneurysmal rupture. Patients with polycystic kidney disease and moyamoya disease were excluded. We compared rupture rates of familial vs sporadic UIA using a Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for PHASES score and smoking. We performed 2 analyses: (1) only studies defining first-degree relatives as parents, children, and siblings and (2) all studies, including those in which first-degree relatives are defined as only parents and children, but not siblings.

RESULTS

We pooled IPD from 8 cohorts with a low and moderate risk of bias. First-degree relatives were defined as parents, siblings, and children in 6 cohorts (29% Dutch, 55% Finnish, 15% Japanese), totaling 2,297 patients (17% familial, 399 patients) with 3,089 UIAs and 7,301 person-years follow-up. Rupture occurred in 10 familial cases (rupture rate: 0.89%/person-year; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.45-1.59) and 41 sporadic cases (0.66%/person-year; 95% CI 0.48-0.89); adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for familial cases 2.56 (95% CI 1.18-5.56). After adding the 2 cohorts excluding siblings as first-degree relatives, resulting in 9,511 patients, the adjusted HR was 1.44 (95% CI 0.86-2.40).

DISCUSSION

The risk of rupture of UIA is 2.5 times higher, with a range from a 1.2 to 5 times higher risk, in familial than in sporadic UIA. When assessing the risk of rupture in UIA, family history should be taken into account.

Intracranial aneurysm wall enhancement as an indicator of instability: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Aneurysm wall enhancement (AWE) of intracranial aneurysms on magnetic resonance imaging has been described in previous studies as a surrogate marker of instability. With this study, an updated literature overview and summary risk estimates of the association between AWE and different specific outcomes (i.e., rupture, growth or symptomatic presentation) for both cross-sectional and longitudinal studies are provided.

METHODS

The PRISMA guideline was followed and a search was performed of PubMed and Embase to 1 January 2021 for studies that reported on AWE and aneurysm instability. In cross-sectional studies, AWE was compared between patients with stable and unstable aneurysms. In longitudinal studies, AWE of stable aneurysms was assessed at baseline after which patients were followed longitudinally. Risk ratios were calculated for longitudinal studies, prevalence ratios for cross-sectional studies and then the ratios were pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. Also, the performance of AWE to differentiate between stable and unstable aneurysms was evaluated.

RESULTS

Twelve studies were included with a total of 1761 aneurysms. In cross-sectional studies, AWE was positively associated with rupture (prevalence ratio 11.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.05-32.46) and growth or symptomatic presentation (prevalence ratio 4.62, 95% CI 2.85-7.49). Longitudinal studies demonstrated a positive association between AWE and growth or rupture (risk ratio 8.00, 95% CI 2.14-29.88). Assessment of the performance of AWE showed high sensitivities, mixed specificities, low positive predictive values and high negative predictive values.

CONCLUSIONS

Although AWE is positively associated with aneurysm instability, current evidence mostly supports the use of its absence as a surrogate marker of aneurysm stability.

The Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Treatment Score as a predictor of aneurysm growth or rupture

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Treatment Score (UIATS) was built to harmonize the treatment decision making on unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Therefore, it may also function as a predictor of aneurysm progression. In this study, we aimed to assess the validity of the UIATS model to identify aneurysms at risk of growth or rupture during follow-up.

METHODS

We calculated the UIATS for a consecutive series of conservatively treated unruptured intracranial aneurysms, included in our prospectively kept neurovascular database. Computed tomography angiography and/or magnetic resonance angiography imaging at baseline and during follow-up was analyzed to detect aneurysm growth. We defined rupture as a cerebrospinal fluid or computed tomography-proven subarachnoid hemorrhage. We calculated the area under the receiver operator curve, sensitivity, and specificity, to determine the performance of the UIATS model.

RESULTS

We included 214 consecutive patients with 277 unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Aneurysms were followed for a median period of 1.3 years (range 0.3-11.7 years). During follow-up, 17 aneurysms enlarged (6.1%), and two aneurysms ruptured (0.7%). The UIATS model showed a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 44%. The area under the receiver operator curve was 0.62 (95% confidence interval 0.46-0.79).

CONCLUSIONS

Our observational study involving consecutive patients with an unruptured intracranial aneurysm showed poor performance of the UIATS model to predict aneurysm growth or rupture during follow-up.

Intracranial Aneurysms in Young Adult Patients: Surgical and Endovascular Treatment Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Despite its relative rarity, the potential for loss of productive years makes aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) a considerably important entity in young adult patients (20-39 years of age). This study aimed to analyze outcomes of microsurgery (MS) and endovascular treatment (EVT) for saccular intracranial aneurysms (IAs) in young adult patients.

METHODS

A total of 276 young adult patients with 315 IAs, treated with MS or EVT between January 2001 and December 2015, were studied. Major recurrence and treatment-related complications were the primary outcome measures. Functional outcomes in patients with SAH were also assessed.

RESULTS

Major recurrence occurred in 21 cases (6.7%). Younger age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 3.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45-9.83; P = 0.007), ruptured IA (aHR, 6.44; 95% CI, 2.09-19.89; P = 0.001), size (aHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.06-3.18; P = 0.030), and EVT (aHR, 7.21; 95% CI, 2.44-21.35; P < 0.001) were independently related to major recurrence. Treatment-related complications occurred in 5 cases (1.6%) and did not differ between the MS and EVT groups (P > 0.999). Unfavorable outcomes (modified Rankin scale score ≥2) were identified in 30 patients (19.6%) with SAH, and only Hunt and Hess grade was independently associated with unfavorable functional outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Both MS and EVT are safe for treating IAs in young adult patients. MS showed better durability of treatment and may be preferred over EVT in young patients in view of their longer life expectancy compared with older patients.