Epidemiological and clinical features of primary biliary cholangitis in two Croatian regions: a retrospective study

Risk Stratification in Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease with a heterogeneous presentation, symptomatology, disease progression, and response to therapy. The current risk stratification assessment, aimed at identifying patients with a higher risk of disease progression, encompasses an in-depth analysis of demographic data, clinical and laboratory findings, antibody profiles, and the evaluation of liver fibrosis using both invasive and noninvasive techniques. Treatment response scores after one year of therapy remain to date a major factor influencing the prognosis of PBC patients. While the initial therapeutic approach with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is universally applied, new second-line treatment options have recently emerged, with many others under investigation. Consequently, the prevailing one-size-fits-all approach is poised to be supplanted by tailored strategies, ensuring high-risk patients receive the most appropriate treatment regimen from diagnosis. This will require the development of a risk prediction model to assess, at the time of diagnosis, the course, outcome, and response to first and additional treatments of PBC patients. This manuscript provides a comprehensive overview of the current and emerging tools used for risk stratification in PBC and speculates on how these developments might shape the disease landscape in the near future.

Incomplete response to ursodeoxycholic acid in primary biliary cholangitis: criteria, epidemiology, and possible mechanisms

INTRODUCTION

As a common autoimmune disease with the characteristic of early complication, primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) leads to an increasing number of mortalities among people with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) waiting for liver transplantation. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is the only approved first-line medicine for PBC, and a good response to treatment could acquire an ideal prognosis. Patients with poor UDCA response usually have more adverse outcomes and worse survival, therefore, the management of this group become a major consideration.

AREAS COVERED

Due to the complexity of race and environment for PBC, different criteria for UDCA response exhibit various predictive performances. Factors affecting UDCA response conditions include gender, age, ethnicity, serum indicators, auto-antibodies, and autoimmune comorbidities, while no agreement has been reached. In this review, we mainly focus on cellular senescence, immune-mediated damage, and vitamin D deficiency as possible mechanisms for UDCA non-responders.

EXPERT OPINION

The pathogenesis of PBC has yet to be clarified. Immunology-related mechanisms and therapy targets ought to be the main effort made for further study. Irrespective of the response condition, UDCA is recommended for routine administration in all PBC patients without contraindication. Ongoing clinical trials of second-line and additional therapy exhibit promising prospects.

Gender and Autoimmune Liver Diseases: Relevant Aspects in Clinical Practice

Autoimmune liver diseases (AILDs) include autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis. The etiologies of AILD are not well understood but appear to involve a combination of genetic and environmental factors. AILDs commonly affect young individuals and are characterized by a highly variable clinical course. These diseases significantly influence quality of life and can progress toward liver decompensation or the onset of hepatocellular or cholangiocarcinoma; a significant number of patients eventually progress to end-stage liver disease, requiring liver transplantation. In this review, we focus on the sex characteristics and peculiarities of AILD patients and highlight the relevance of a sex-specific analysis in future studies. Understanding the sex differences underlying AILD immune dysregulation may be critical for developing more effective treatments.

External Validation of UDCA Response Score in Slovak and Croatian Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Ursodeoxycholic acid response score (URS) is a prognostic model that estimates the baseline probability of treatment response after 12 months of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC).

AIM

To independently evaluate the predictive performance of the URS model.

METHODS

We used a cohort of Slovak and Croatian treatment-naïve PBC patients to quantify the discrimination ability using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI). Furthermore, we evaluated the calibration using calibration belts. The primary outcome was treatment response after 12 months of UDCA therapy defined as values of alkaline phosphatase ≤1.67 × upper limit of normal.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-four patients were included. Median pretreatment age was 56 years (interquartile range 49-62). Treatment response was achieved in 79.38% of patients. AUROC of the URS was 0.81 (95% CI 0.73-0.88) and the calibration belt revealed that response rates were correctly estimated by predicted probabilities.

CONCLUSION

Our results confirm that the URS can be used in treatment-naïve PBC patients for estimating the treatment response probability after 12 months of UDCA therapy.

The Epidemiology of Primary Biliary Cholangitis in European Countries: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic autoimmune cholestatic liver disease with wide ranges of reported incidence and prevalence.

AIM

To map the incidence and prevalence of PBC in European countries from 2000 through 2020.

METHODS

Following PRISMA recommendations, we searched the Medline and Scopus databases for studies with information on either the incidence or prevalence of PBC. After data extraction, we used a random-effects model to estimate both the pooled annual incidence rate and pooled point-prevalence rate and performed subgroup analyses to identify components contributing to between-study heterogeneity.

RESULTS

We performed a qualitative and quantitative analysis of 18 studies. The pooled point-prevalence rate was 22.27 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (95% CI: 17.98-27.01), and the pooled annual incidence rate was 1.87 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants (95% CI: 1.46-2.34). In the subgroup analyses, we proved that a small part of the between-study heterogeneity is significantly associated with a history of being part of the Eastern Bloc.

Regional variation and temporal trend of primary biliary cholangitis epidemiology: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We aimed to estimate the worldwide incidence and prevalence, with focus on the geographical differences and temporal trends.

METHODS

Studies on epidemiology of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were systematically retrieved from inception to October 2, 2020. Random-effect model was applied to estimate the pooled PBC incidence and prevalence rates. Subgroup analysis, meta-regression, and sensitivity analysis were conducted to find out the cause for heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Out of 3974 records identified through database searching, 47 population-based studies were finally included. The pooled global incidence and prevalence of PBC were 1.76 and 14.60 per 100 000 persons, respectively. Both the PBC incidence and prevalence were lower in the Asia-Pacific region (0.84, 9.82 per 100 000 persons) than that in North America (2.75, 21.81 per 100 000 persons) and Europe (1.86, 14.59 per 100 000 persons) (P < 0.05). The incidence and prevalence showed an increasing tendency in all three regions, with the fastest growth of prevalence in North America (P < 0.05). We found a similar incidence and a lower prevalence of PBC in Northern Europe than that in Southern Europe. A higher incidence and prevalence were observed in female individuals and in the elderly (60-79).

CONCLUSION

The PBC incidence and prevalence varied widely across regions, with North America being the highest, followed by Europe, and the lowest in the Asia-Pacific region. Both the incidence and prevalence showed an increasing tendency worldwide, especially in North America.

Prognostic Factors in Primary Biliary Cholangitis: A Retrospective Study of Joint Slovak and Croatian Cohort of 249 Patients

OBJECTIVE

To identify pretreatment laboratory parameters associated with treatment response and to describe the relationship between treatment response and liver decompensation in patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with ursodeoxycholic acid.

METHODS

We defined treatment response as both ALP ≤ 1.67 × ULN and total bilirubin ≤ 2 × ULN. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounding effects of sociodemographic variables.

RESULTS

Pretreatment total bilirubin ((TB); OR = 0.3388, 95%CI = 0.1671-0.6077), ALT (OR = 0.5306, 95%CI = 0.3830-0.7080), AST (OR = 0.4065, 95%CI = 0.2690-0.5834), ALP (OR = 0.3440, 95%CI = 0.2356-0.4723), total cholesterol ((TC); OR = 0.7730, 95%CI = 0.6242-0.9271), APRI (OR = 0.3375, 95%CI = 0.1833-0.5774), as well as pretreatment albumin (OR = 1.1612, 95%CI = 1.0706-1.2688) and ALT/ALP (OR = 2.4596, 95%CI = 1.2095-5.5472) were associated with treatment response after six months of treatment. Pretreatment TB (OR = 0.2777, 95%CI = 0.1288-0.5228), ALT (OR = 0.5968, 95%CI = 0.4354-0.7963), AST (OR = 0.4161, 95%CI = 0.2736-0.6076), ALP (OR = 0.4676, 95%CI = 0.3487-0.6048), APRI (OR = 0.2838, 95%CI = 0.1433-0.5141), as well as pretreatment albumin (OR = 1.2359, 95%CI = 1.1257-1.3714) and platelet count (OR = 1.0056, 95%CI = 1.0011-1.0103) were associated with treatment response after 12 months of treatment. Treatment response after 6 months of UDCA therapy is significantly associated with treatment response after 12 months of UDCA therapy (OR = 25.2976, 95% CI = 10.5881-68.4917). Treatment responses after 6 and 12 months of UDCA therapy decrease the risk of an episode of liver decompensation in PBC patients (OR = 12.1156, 95%CI = 3.7192-54.4826 and OR = 21.6000, 95%CI = 6.6319-97.3840, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

There are several pretreatment laboratory parameters associated with treatment response in patients with primary biliary cholangitis. Treatment response after six months is significantly associated with treatment response after 12 months of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy. Treatment responses after 6 and 12 months of UDCA decrease the risk of an episode of liver decompensation.

Epidemiology and clinical course of primary biliary cholangitis in Eastern Slovakia

OBJECTIVE

To determine both the incidence and the prevalence of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in Eastern Slovakia and to describe its clinical course and the response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA).

METHODS

We recorded data of patients with PBC, who were followed up in gastroenterology and hepatology centers in Eastern Slovakia during the period from June 30, 1999, through June 30, 2019.

RESULTS

The annual incidence of PBC varied from 0.7 to 1.5 cases per 100,000 inhabitants between 2014 and 2018. PBC prevalence steadily increased from initial 10.2 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 2014 to 14.9 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in June 2019. The mean age at the time of diagnosis was 56.3 ± 10.9 years. 95.7% of patients were females, and female/male gender ratio was 22.3:1. In June 2019, prevalence in the female population was 28 cases per 100,000 women. At the time of diagnosis, three-quarters of patients were symptomatic and 10% of patients had liver cirrhosis. The mean follow-up was 7.3 ± 5.2 years. Response to UDCA was observed in 72.1% of patients. Patients with higher baseline alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels, liver cirrhosis at entry or at the end of follow-up and women younger than 45 years responded worse to UDCA. One-quarter of patients had liver cirrhosis at the end of follow-up. During follow-up, 1.6% of patients underwent liver transplantation and 5.5% of patients died. Five-year and 10-year liver-related mortalities were 2.7% and 4.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

PBC prevalence in Eastern Slovakia is increasing, and most of the patients respond to therapy with UDCA.