The Combination of Sonographic Features and the Seven-Gene Panel May be Useful in the Management of Thyroid Nodules With Indeterminate Cytology

Improving the TIR3B oncological stratification: try to bridge the gap through a comprehensive presurgical algorithm

PURPOSE

Indeterminate cytology still puzzles clinicians, due to its wide range of oncological risks. According to the Italian SIAPEC-IAP classification, TIR3B cytology holds up to 30% of thyroid cancer, which justifies the surgical indication, even if more than half of cases do not result in a positive histology. The study aim is to identify potential clinical, ultrasound or cytological features able to improve the surgical indication.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis. A consecutive series of TIR3B nodules referred to the Endocrine Unit of Careggi Hospital from 1st May 2014 to 31st December 2021 was considered for the exploratory analysis (Phase 1). Thereafter, a smaller confirmatory sample of consecutive TIR3B diagnosed and referred to surgery from 1st January 2022 to 31st June 2022 was considered to verify the algorithm (Phase 2). The main clinical, ultrasound and cytological features have been collected. A comprehensive stepwise logistic regression was applied to build a prediction algorithm. The histological results represented the final outcome.

RESULTS

Of 599 TIR3B nodules referred to surgery, 451 cases were included in the exploratory analysis. A final score > 14.5 corresponded to an OR = 4.98 (95% CI 3.24-7.65, p < 0.0001) and showed a PPV and NPV of 57% and 79%, respectively. The Phase 2 analysis on a confirmatory sample of 58 TIR3B cytology confirmed that a threshold of 14.5 points has a comparable PPV and NPV of 53% and 80%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive algorithm which considers the main clinical, US and cytological features can significantly improve the oncological stratification of TIR3B cytology.

Diagnostic performance of ultrasound risk stratification systems on thyroid nodules cytologically classified as indeterminate: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Ultrasound (US) risk stratification systems (RSSs) are increasingly being utilized for the optimal management of thyroid nodules, including those with indeterminate cytology. The goal of this study was to evaluate the category-based diagnostic performance of US RSSs in identifying malignancy in indeterminate nodules.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021266195). PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched through December 1, 2022. Original articles reporting data on the performance of US RSSs for indeterminate nodules were included. The numbers of nodules classified as true negative, true positive, false negative, and false positive were extracted.

RESULTS

Thirty-three studies evaluating 7,225 indeterminate thyroid nodules were included. The diagnostic accuracy was quantitatively synthesized using a Bayesian bivariate model based on the integrated nested Laplace approximation in R. For the intermediate- to high-risk category, the sensitivity levels of the American College of Radiology, the American Thyroid Association, the European Thyroid Association, the Korean Thyroid Association/Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology, and Kwak et al. were found to be 0.80, 0.72, 0.76, 0.96, and 0.97, respectively. The corresponding specificity measurements were 0.36, 0.50, 0.49, 0.28, and 0.17. Furthermore, for the high-risk category, the sensitivity values were 0.40, 0.46, 0.55, 0.47, and 0.10, while the specificity levels were 0.91, 0.90, 0.71, 0.91, and 0.99, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The overall diagnostic performance of the US RSSs was moderate in the differentiation of indeterminate nodules.

Real-life utility of five-gene panel test in preoperative thyroid fine-needle aspiration biopsy: a large cohort of 740 patients study

PURPOSE

Fine-needle aspiration (FNA) biopsy is an effective method to discriminate malignant thyroid nodules but reaches indeterminate results in approximately 30% of cases. Molecular testing can improve the diagnostic accuracy of FNA. This study aimed to investigate the real-life utility of the five-gene panel testing in thyroid FNAs.

METHODS

759 thyroid nodules from 740 patients under FNAs were retrospectively enrolled. Gene mutation information and clinical parameters, including age, gender, tumor size, and lymph node metastasis, were respectively recorded. Cytological results were classified based on The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC). We analyzed mutational hotspots in BRAF, KRAS, NRAS, HRAS, and TERT genes from FNA specimens. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy were calculated to assess diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

We identified 549 five-gene mutations in 759 nodules (72.3%), and the mutation frequency increased from the lower TBSRTC category to the upper category. BRAF.p.V600E showed the highest mutation incidence (71.3%) in the five-gene panel, correlated with the small to medium diameter (p = 0.008, p = 0.012) and high cytological categories (p < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy of the combination of FNA cytology and five-gene detection were 96.83%, 100%, 100%, 42.86%, and 96.90%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The mutation frequency of the five-gene panel is 72.3% in thyroid FNAs. BRAF.p.V600E has the highest alteration rate, which is closely associated with tumor size and cytological results. The five-gene panel can improve the sensitivity and accuracy of FNA cytology, which may represent a valid adjunct technique in distinguishing thyroid nodules.

Thyroid Nodules with Indeterminate FNAC According to the Italian Classification System: Prevalence, Rate of Operation, and Impact on Risk of Malignancy. An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

A thyroid nodule classified as indeterminate on fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC), hereafter referred to as an indeterminate thyroid nodule (ITN), represents a clinical dilemma. The Italian Consensus for the Classification and Reporting of Thyroid Cytology (ICCRTC) divides ITNs into low- and high-risk categories (i.e., TIR3A and TIR3B, respectively) to better manage patients. This study aimed to achieve high-evidence estimates of the prevalence, rate of operation, and risk of malignancy of ITNs, including TIR3A and TIR3B ITNs. This systematic review was conducted according to MOOSE to retrieve all original studies citing ICCRTC. The last search was performed in February 2022. The risk of bias of the included studies was assessed. Separate proportion meta-analyses were performed with a random-effect model using OpenMeta[Analyst]. The online search processed 271 studies, and 33 were finally considered. First, the cancer prevalence among ITNs was 32.4%. Second, the cancer prevalence among TIR3As was 12.4%, with heterogeneity (I₂ 90%) explained by a linear correlation between sample size and cancer rate (p = 0.009). Third, the cancer prevalence among TIR3Bs was 44.4%, with heterogeneity (I₂ 75%) explained by the inverse correlation between sample size and cancer rate (p = 0.031). Fourth, the prevalence of ITNs, TIR3A, and TIR3B among FNACs was 29.6%, 12.6%, and 12.9%, respectively, with sample size and TIR3B prevalence being inversely correlated (p = 0.04). Fifth, the operation rates of ITNs, TIR3A, and TIR3B were 54.3%, 48.3%, and 75.2%, respectively, and the sample size and TIR3A operation rate were inversely correlated (p = 0.010). These data strongly support the division of ITNs into low- and high-risk subcategories. Importantly for clinical practice, the cancer rate among ITNs is significantly influenced by the study sample size.

Do Ultrasound Patterns and Clinical Parameters Inform the Probability of Thyroid Cancer Predicted by Molecular Testing in Nodules with Indeterminate Cytology?

Background: Molecular testing (MT) is commonly used to refine cancer probability in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. Whether or not ultrasound (US) patterns and clinical parameters can further inform the risk of thyroid cancer in nodules predicted to be positive or negative by MT remains unknown. The aim of this study was to test if clinical parameters, including patient age, sex, nodule size (by US), Bethesda category (III, IV, V), US pattern (American Thyroid Association [ATA] vs. American College of Radiology Thyroid Image Reporting and Data System [TI-RADS] systems), radiation exposure, or family history of thyroid cancer can modify the probability of thyroid cancer or noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) predicted by MT. Methods: We studied 257 thyroid nodules in 232 patients from 10 study centers with indeterminate fine needle aspiration cytology and informative MT results using the ThyroSeq v3 genomic classifier (TSv3). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used for data analysis. Results: The presence of cancer/NIFTP was associated with positive TSv3 results (odds ratio 61.39, p < 0.0001). On univariate regression, patient sex, age, and Bethesda category were associated with cancer/NIFTP probability (p < 0.05 for each). Although ATA (p = 0.1211) and TI-RADS (p = 0.1359) US categories demonstrated positive trends, neither was significantly associated with cancer/NIFTP probability. A multivariate regression model incorporating the four most informative non-MT covariates (sex, age, Bethesda category, and ATA US pattern; Model No. 1) yielded a C index of 0.653; R² = 0.108. When TSv3 was added to Model number 1, the C index increased to 0.888; R² = 0.572. However, age (p = 0.341), Bethesda category (p = 0.272), and ATA US pattern (p = 0.264) were nonsignificant, and other than TSv3 (p < 0.0001), male sex was the only non-MT parameter that potentially contributed to cancer/NIFTP risk (p = 0.095). The simplest and most efficient clinical model (No. 3) incorporated TSv3 and sex (C index = 0.889; R² = 0.588). Conclusions: In this multicenter study of thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology and MT, neither the ATA nor TI-RADS US scoring systems further informed the risk of cancer/NIFTP beyond that predicted by TSv3. Although age and Bethesda category were associated with cancer/NIFTP probability on univariate analysis, in sequential nomograms they provided limited incremental value above the high predictive ability of TSv3. Patient sex may contribute to cancer/NIFTP risk in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology.