Prognostic value of inflammatory markers for in-hospital mortality in intensive care patients with acute ischemic stroke: a retrospective observational study based on MIMIC-IV

Exploring the utility of a latent variable as comprehensive inflammatory prognostic index in critically ill patients with cerebral infarction

Objective

We introduce the comprehensive inflammatory prognostic index (CIPI), a novel prognostic tool for critically ill cerebral infarction patients, designed to meet the urgent need for timely and convenient clinical decision-making in this high-risk patient group.

Methods

Using exploratory factor analysis on selected indices-neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), and systemic immune inflammation index (SIII)-we derived CIPI, a latent variable capturing their combined predictive power. Data from 1,022 patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database were used to develop CIPI-based survival models, with the robustness and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) performance of CIPI validated against an independent dataset of 326 patients from the MIMIC-III CareVue subset. The CIPI's predictive power for in-hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality was assessed through Kaplan-Meier analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox regression models, and time-dependent AUC analysis. Linearity, subgroup sensitivity analyses and interaction effects with CIPI were also evaluated.

Results

CIPI was an independent prognostic factor, demonstrating a statistically significant association with in-hospital and ICU mortality, when assessed as a continuous and a categorical variable. It showed a linear relationship with mortality rates and demonstrated stability across most subgroups, with no significant interactions observed. Its predictive capabilities for in-hospital and ICU mortality among critically ill cerebral infarction patients matched those of established prognostic indices in the MIMIC database.

Conclusion

Our study indicates that CIPI is a reliable and effective prognostic tool for critically ill cerebral infarction patients in predicting in-hospital and ICU mortality. Its straightforward calculation, rooted in routine blood tests, enhances its practicality, promising significant utility in clinical settings.

Preoperative Immunocyte-Derived Ratios Predict Postoperative Recovery of Gastrointestinal Motility after Colorectal Cancer Surgery

The aim of this study was to assess the role of immunocyte-derived ratios (IDRs), such as the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), as markers for the postoperative recovery of gastrointestinal function following colorectal cancer surgery. A retrospective analysis was conducted on a consecutive cohort of 260 patients who underwent radical colorectal cancer surgery within the timeframe spanning from January 2016 to December 2022. Data concerning the postoperative recovery of gastrointestinal function included the I-FEED score, time to pass flatus, toleration for liquids in the first 48 h, and the need for nasogastric tube reinsertion in the immediate postoperative period. A special emphasis was allocated towards the examination of IDRs and their interrelation with the postoperative gastrointestinal functional parameters. The I-FEED score exhibited a positive correlation with the NLR, SII, and PLR. The univariate analysis indicated that all IDRs, multiorgan resection, hemoglobin and protein levels, regional nodal extent of the tumor (N), and obesity significantly affected nasogastric tube reinsertion. The multivariate analysis showed that the SII and N1 stages were risk factors for nasogastric tube reinsertion after colorectal cancer surgery. The SII and multiorgan resection were the only classifiers that remained significant in the multivariable analysis for the toleration for liquids. In summation, certain preoperative IDRs, such as the SII, PLR, and NLR, may hold potential as predictive determinants for postoperative gastrointestinal functional recovery following colorectal cancer surgery.