Prognostic Value of CT Imaging-Based Tumor Volume in Patients With Non-Surgical Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Dynamic radiological features predict pathological response after neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) plus esophagectomy has emerged as a promising treatment option for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC). Pathologic complete response (pCR) is a key indicator associated with great efficacy and overall survival (OS). However, there are insufficient indicators for the reliable assessment of pCR.

METHODS

192 patients with LA-ESCC treated with NICT from December 2019 to October 2023 were recruited. According to pCR status, patients were categorized into pCR group (22.92%) and non-pCR group (77.08%). Radiological features of pretreatment and preoperative CT images were extracted. Logistic and COX regressions were trained to predict pathological response and prognosis, respectively.

RESULTS

Four of the selected radiological features were combined to construct an ESCC preoperative imaging score (ECPI-Score). Logistic models revealed independent associations of ECPI-Score and vascular sign with pCR, with AUC of 0.918 in the training set and 0.862 in the validation set, respectively. After grouping by ECPI-Score, a higher proportion of pCR was observed among the high-ECPI group and negative vascular sign. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated that recurrence-free survival (RFS) with negative vascular sign was significantly better than those with positive (P = 0.038), but not for OS (P = 0.310).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates dynamic radiological features are independent predictors of pCR for LA-ESCC treated with NICT. It will guide clinicians to make accurate treatment plans.

Variant allele frequency in circulating tumor DNA correlated with tumor disease burden and predicted outcomes in patients with advanced breast cancer

PURPOSE

In patients with first-line advanced breast cancer (ABC), the correlation between ctDNA variant allele frequency (VAF) and tumor disease burden, and its prognostic value remains poorly investigated.

METHODS

This study included patients with ABC diagnosed at Peking University Cancer Hospital who performed ctDNA test before receiving first-line treatment. Baseline plasma samples were collected for assessing ctDNA alterations and VAF with next-generation sequencing. The sum of tumor target lesion diameters (SLD) was measured with imaging methods according to RECIST 1.1 criteria.

RESULTS

The final cohort included 184 patients. The median age of the cohort was 49.4 (IQR: 42.3-56.8) years. The median VAF was 15.6% (IQR: 5.4%-33.7%). VAF showed positive correlation with SLD in patients with relatively large tumor lesions (r = 0.314, p = 0.003), but not in patients with small tumor lesions (p = 0.226). VAF was associated with multiple metastasis sites (p = 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high VAF was associated with shorter overall survival (OS) (HR: 3.519, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.149-5.761), and first-line progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 2.352, 95%CI: 1.462-3.782). Combined VAF and SLD improved prediction performance, both median OS and PFS of patients in VAF(H)/SLD(H) group were significantly longer than VAF(L)/SLD(L) group (mOS: 49.3 vs. 174.1 months; mPFS: 9.6 vs. 25.3 months).

CONCLUSION

ctDNA VAF associated with tumor disease burden, and was a prognostic factor for patients with ABC. A combination of ctDNA test and radiographic imaging might enhance tumor burden evaluation, and improve prognosis stratification in patients with ABC.

Can lymphovascular invasion be predicted by contrast-enhanced CT imaging features in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma? A preliminary retrospective study

Background

To investigate the value of contrast-enhanced CT (CECT)-derived imaging features in predicting lymphovascular invasion (LVI) status in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients.

Methods

One hundred and ninety-seven patients with postoperative pathologically confirmed esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated in our hospital between January 2017 and January 2019 were enrolled in our study, including fifty-nine patients with LVI and one hundred and thirty-eight patients without LVI. The CECT-derived imaging features of all patients were analyzed. The CECT-derived imaging features were divided into quantitative features and qualitative features. The quantitative features consisted of the CT attenuation value of the tumor (CTV_Tumor), the CT attenuation value of the normal esophageal wall (CTV_Normal), the CT attenuation value ratio of the tumor-to-normal esophageal wall (TNR), the CT attenuation value difference between the tumor and normal esophageal wall (ΔTN), the maximum thickness of the tumor measured by CECT (Thickness), the maximum length of the tumor measured by CECT (Length), and the gross tumor volume measured by CECT (GTV). The qualitative features consisted of an enhancement pattern, tumor margin, enlarged blood supply or drainage vessels to the tumor (EVFDT), and tumor necrosis. For the clinicopathological characteristics and CECT-derived imaging feature analysis, the chi-squared test was used for categorical variables, the Mann–Whitney U test was used for continuous variables with a nonnormal distribution, and the independent sample t-test was used for the continuous variables with a normal distribution. The trend test was used for ordinal variables. The association between LVI status and CECT-derived imaging features was analyzed by univariable logistic analysis, followed by multivariable logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

The CTV_Tumor, TNR, ΔTN, Thickness, Length, and GTV in the group with LVI were higher than those in the group without LVI (P < 0.05). A higher proportion of patients with heterogeneous enhancement pattern, irregular tumor margin, EVFDT, and tumor necrosis were present in the group with LVI (P < 0.05). As revealed by the univariable logistic analysis, the CECT-derived imaging features, including CTV_Tumor, TNR, ΔTN and enhancement pattern, Thickness, Length, GTV, tumor margin, EVFDT, and tumor necrosis were associated with LVI status (P < 0.05). Only the TNR (OR 8.655; 95% CI 2.125–37.776), Thickness (OR 6.531; 95% CI 2.410–20.608), and tumor margin (OR 4.384; 95% CI 2.004–9.717) were independent risk factors for LVI in the multivariable logistic regression analysis. The ROC curve analysis incorporating the above three CECT-derived imaging features showed that the area under the curve obtained by the multivariable logistic regression model was 0.820 (95% CI 0.754–0.885).

Conclusion

The CECT-derived imaging features, including TNR, Thickness, tumor margin, and their combination, can be used as predictors of LVI status for patients with ESCC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12880-022-00804-7.