Development of a Gene-Based Prediction Model for Recurrence of Colorectal Cancer Using an Ensemble Learning Algorithm

Artificial intelligence in colorectal surgery: an AI-powered systematic review

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to revolutionize surgery in the coming years. Still, it is essential to clarify what the meaningful current applications are and what can be reasonably expected. This AI-powered review assessed the role of AI in colorectal surgery. A Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA)-compliant systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library databases, and gray literature was conducted on all available articles on AI in colorectal surgery (from January 1 1997 to March 1 2021), aiming to define the perioperative applications of AI. Potentially eligible studies were identified using novel software powered by natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML) technologies dedicated to systematic reviews. Out of 1238 articles identified, 115 were included in the final analysis. Available articles addressed the role of AI in several areas of interest. In the preoperative phase, AI can be used to define tailored treatment algorithms, support clinical decision-making, assess the risk of complications, and predict surgical outcomes and survival. Intraoperatively, AI-enhanced surgery and integration of AI in robotic platforms have been suggested. After surgery, AI can be implemented in the Enhanced Recovery after Surgery (ERAS) pathway. Additional areas of applications included the assessment of patient-reported outcomes, automated pathology assessment, and research. Available data on these aspects are limited, and AI in colorectal surgery is still in its infancy. However, the rapid evolution of technologies makes it likely that it will increasingly be incorporated into everyday practice.

Early Screening of Colorectal Precancerous Lesions Based on Combined Measurement of Multiple Serum Tumor Markers Using Artificial Neural Network Analysis

Many patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) are diagnosed in the advanced stage, resulting in delayed treatment and reduced survival time. It is urgent to develop accurate early screening methods for CRC. The purpose of this study is to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based artificial neural network (ANN) model using multiple protein tumor markers to assist in the early diagnosis of CRC and precancerous lesions. In this retrospective analysis, 148 cases with CRC and precancerous diseases were included. The concentrations of multiple protein tumor markers (CEA, CA19-9, CA 125, CYFRA 21-1, CA 72-4, CA 242) were measured by electrochemical luminescence immunoassays. By combining these markers with an ANN algorithm, a diagnosis model (CA6) was developed to distinguish between normal healthy and abnormal subjects, with an AUC of 0.97. The prediction score derived from the CA6 model also performed well in assisting in the diagnosis of precancerous lesions and early CRC (with AUCs of 0.97 and 0.93 and cut-off values of 0.39 and 0.34, respectively), which was better than that of individual protein tumor indicators. The CA6 model established by ANN provides a new and effective method for laboratory auxiliary diagnosis, which might be utilized for early colorectal lesion screening by incorporating more tumor markers with larger sample size.

Prediction of prostate cancer biochemical recurrence by using discretization supports the critical contribution of the extra-cellular matrix genes

Due to its complexity, much effort has been devoted to the development of biomarkers for prostate cancer that have acquired the utmost clinical relevance for diagnosis and grading. However, all of these advances are limited due to the relatively large percentage of biochemical recurrence (BCR) and the limited strategies for follow up. This work proposes a methodology that uses discretization to predict prostate cancer BCR while optimizing the necessary variables. We used discretization of RNA-seq data to increase the prediction of biochemical recurrence and retrieve a subset of ten genes functionally known to be related to the tissue structure. Equal width and equal frequency data discretization methods were compared to isolate the contribution of the genes and their interval of action, simultaneously. Adding a robust clinical biomarker such as prostate specific antigen (PSA) improved the prediction of BCR. Discretization allowed classifying the cancer patients with an accuracy of 82% on testing datasets, and 75% on a validation dataset when a five-bin discretization by equal width was used. After data pre-processing, feature selection and classification, our predictions had a precision of 71% (testing dataset: MSKCC and GSE54460) and 69% (Validation dataset: GSE70769) should the patients present BCR up to 24 months after their final treatment. These results emphasize the use of equal width discretization as a pre-processing step to improve classification for a limited number of genes in the signature. Functionally, many of these genes have a direct or expected role in tissue structure and extracellular matrix organization. The processing steps presented in this study are also applicable to other cancer types to increase the speed and accuracy of the models in diverse datasets.

A novel 9-gene signature for the prediction of postoperative recurrence in stage II/III colorectal cancer

Background: Individualized recurrence risk prediction in patients with stage II/III colorectal cancer (CRC) is crucial for making postoperative treatment decisions. However, there is still a lack of effective approaches for identifying patients with stage II and III CRC at a high risk of recurrence. In this study, we aimed to establish a credible gene model for improving the risk assessment of patients with stage II/III CRC. Methods: Recurrence-free survival (RFS)-related genes were screened using Univariate Cox regression analysis in GSE17538, GSE39582, and GSE161158 cohorts. Common prognostic genes were identified by Venn diagram and subsequently subjected to least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis for signature construction. Kaplan-Meier (K-M), calibration, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the predictive accuracy and superiority of our risk model. Single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) was employed to investigate the relationship between the infiltrative abundances of immune cells and risk scores. Genes significantly associated with the risk scores were identified to explore the biological implications of the 9-gene signature. Results: Survival analysis identified 347 RFS-related genes. Using these genes, a 9-gene signature was constructed, which was composed of MRPL41, FGD3, RBM38, SPINK1, DKK1, GAL3ST4, INHBB, CTB-113P19.1, and FAM214B. K-M curves verified the survival differences between the low- and high-risk groups classified by the 9-gene signature. The area under the curve (AUC) values of this signature were close to or no less than the previously reported prognostic signatures and clinical factors, suggesting that this model could provide improved RFS prediction. The ssGSEA algorithm estimated that eight immune cells, including regulatory T cells, were aberrantly infiltrated in the high-risk group. Furthermore, the signature was associated with multiple oncogenic pathways, including cell adhesion and angiogenesis. Conclusion: A novel RFS prediction model for patients with stage II/III CRC was constructed using multicohort validation. The proposed signature may help clinicians better manage patients with stage II/III CRC.

Improving colorectal cancer screening - consumer-centred technological interventions to enhance engagement and participation amongst diverse cohorts

The current "Gold Standard" colorectal cancer (CRC) screening approach of faecal occult blood test (FOBT) with follow-up colonoscopy has been shown to significantly improve morbidity and mortality, by enabling the early detection of disease. However, its efficacy is predicated on high levels of population participation in screening. Several international studies have shown continued low rates of screening participation, especially amongst highly vulnerable lower socio-economic cohorts, with minimal improvement using current recruitment strategies. Research suggests that a complex of dynamic factors (patient, clinician, and the broader health system) contribute to low citizen engagement. This paper argues that the challenges of screening participation can be better addressed by (1) developing dynamic multifaceted technological interventions collaboratively across stakeholders using human-centered design; (2) integrating consumer-centred artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to maximise ease of use for CRC screening; and (3) tailored strategies that maximise population screening engagement, especially amongst the most vulnerable.

Joint modeling strategy for using electronic medical records data to build machine learning models: an example of intracerebral hemorrhage

Background

Outliers and class imbalance in medical data could affect the accuracy of machine learning models. For physicians who want to apply predictive models, how to use the data at hand to build a model and what model to choose are very thorny problems. Therefore, it is necessary to consider outliers, imbalanced data, model selection, and parameter tuning when modeling.

Methods

This study used a joint modeling strategy consisting of: outlier detection and removal, data balancing, model fitting and prediction, performance evaluation. We collected medical record data for all ICH patients with admissions in 2017–2019 from Sichuan Province. Clinical and radiological variables were used to construct models to predict mortality outcomes 90 days after discharge. We used stacking ensemble learning to combine logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN) models. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, AUC, precision, and F1 score were used to evaluate model performance. Finally, we compared all 84 combinations of the joint modeling strategy, including training set with and without cross-validated committees filter (CVCF), five resampling techniques (random under-sampling (RUS), random over-sampling (ROS), adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN), Borderline synthetic minority oversampling technique (Borderline SMOTE), synthetic minority oversampling technique and edited nearest neighbor (SMOTEENN)) and no resampling, seven models (LR, RF, ANN, SVM, KNN, Stacking, AdaBoost).

Results

Among 4207 patients with ICH, 2909 (69.15%) survived 90 days after discharge, and 1298 (30.85%) died within 90 days after discharge. The performance of all models improved with removing outliers by CVCF except sensitivity. For data balancing processing, the performance of training set without resampling was better than that of training set with resampling in terms of accuracy, specificity, and precision. And the AUC of ROS was the best. For seven models, the average accuracy, specificity, AUC, and precision of RF were the highest. Stacking performed best in F1 score. Among all 84 combinations of joint modeling strategy, eight combinations performed best in terms of accuracy (0.816). For sensitivity, the best performance was SMOTEENN + Stacking (0.662). For specificity, the best performance was CVCF + KNN (0.987). Stacking and AdaBoost had the best performances in AUC (0.756) and F1 score (0.602), respectively. For precision, the best performance was CVCF + SVM (0.938).

Conclusion

This study proposed a joint modeling strategy including outlier detection and removal, data balancing, model fitting and prediction, performance evaluation, in order to provide a reference for physicians and researchers who want to build their own models. This study illustrated the importance of outlier detection and removal for machine learning and showed that ensemble learning might be a good modeling strategy. Due to the low imbalanced ratio (IR, the ratio of majority class and minority class) in this study, we did not find any improvement in models with resampling in terms of accuracy, specificity, and precision, while ROS performed best on AUC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12911-022-02018-x.

AI and Clinical Decision Making: The Limitations and Risks of Computational Reductionism in Bowel Cancer Screening

Advances in artificial intelligence in healthcare are frequently promoted as ‘solutions’ to improve the accuracy, safety, and quality of clinical decisions, treatments, and care. Despite some diagnostic success, however, AI systems rely on forms of reductive reasoning and computational determinism that embed problematic assumptions about clinical decision-making and clinical practice. Clinician autonomy, experience, and judgement are reduced to inputs and outputs framed as binary or multi-class classification problems benchmarked against a clinician’s capacity to identify or predict disease states. This paper examines this reductive reasoning in AI systems for colorectal cancer (CRC) to highlight their limitations and risks: (1) in AI systems themselves due to inherent biases in (a) retrospective training datasets and (b) embedded assumptions in underlying AI architectures and algorithms; (2) in the problematic and limited evaluations being conducted on AI systems prior to system integration in clinical practice; and (3) in marginalising socio-technical factors in the context-dependent interactions between clinicians, their patients, and the broader health system. The paper argues that to optimise benefits from AI systems and to avoid negative unintended consequences for clinical decision-making and patient care, there is a need for more nuanced and balanced approaches to AI system deployment and evaluation in CRC.