Young-Onset Carcinogenesis - The Potential Impact of Perinatal and Early Life Metabolic Influences on the Epigenome

Childhood Cancer Incidence and Survival in South Australia and the Northern Territory, 1990-2017, with Emphasis on Indigenous Peoples

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Reports of a rise in childhood cancer incidence in Australia and globally prompted the investigation of cancer incidence and survival in South Australia (SA) and the Northern Territory (NT) over a 28-year period, with emphasis on Indigenous peoples.

METHODS

This cross-sectional analysis of two prospective longitudinal databases, the SA and NT Cancer Registries (1990-2017), included all reported cases of childhood cancers. Poisson regression provided estimates of incidence rate ratios and survival was modelled using Cox proportional hazard models for children aged <5 and ≥5 years.

RESULTS

A total of 895 patients across SA (N = 753) and the NT (N = 142) were ascertained. Overall and in the NT, childhood cancer incidence was higher in males compared with females (IRR 1.19 [1.04-1.35] and 1.43 [1.02-2.01], respectively). Lymphocytic leukemia was the most reported cancer type across all locations. With reference to the 1990-1999 era (181.67/100,000), cancer incidence remained unchanged across subsequent eras in the combined cohort (SA and NT) (2000-2009: 190.55/100,000; 1.06 [0.91-1.25]; 2010-2017: 210.00/100,000; 1.15 [0.98-1.35]); similar outcomes were reflected in SA and NT cohorts. Cancer incidence amongst non-Indigenous children significantly decreased from the 1990-1999 era (278.32/100,000) to the 2000-2009 era (162.92/100,000; 0.58 [0.35-0.97]). Amongst 39 Indigenous children in the NT, incidence rates remained unchanged across eras (p > 0.05). With reference to the 1990-1999 era, overall survival improved in subsequent eras in SA (2000-2009: HR 0.53 [0.38-0.73]; 2010-2017: 0.44 [0.28-0.68]); however, remained unchanged in the NT (2000-2009: 0.78 [0.40-1.51]; 2010-2017: 0.50 [0.24-1.05]). In the NT, overall survival of Indigenous patients was significantly lower compared with the non-Indigenous cohort (3.42 [1.92-6.10]). While the survival of Indigenous children with cancer significantly improved in the last two eras (p < 0.05), compared to the 1990-1999 era, no change was noted amongst non-Indigenous children in the NT (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of childhood cancers has remained unchanged over 28-years in SA and the NT. Encouragingly, improved survival rates over time were observed in SA and amongst Indigenous children of the NT. Nevertheless, survival rates in Indigenous children remain lower than non-Indigenous children.

The burden of young-onset pancreatic cancer and its risk factors from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019

OBJECTIVE

To investigate worldwide incidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and risk factors for young-onset pancreatic cancer (YOPC) using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019-20 data.

METHODS

We queried the Global Health Data Exchange tool for "pancreatic cancer" and "incidence", "deaths" as the "measure", and "DALYs" as the "cause" for the age group of 15-49 years to determine global, regional, and national trends in the incidence, deaths, and DALYs of YOPC. Sociodemographic index (SDI) was used to evaluate the associations between socioeconomic development and YOPC. Risk factors including smoking, tobacco use, hi2gh body mass index (BMI), and high fasting plasma glucose (FPG) were evaluated, and their attributable burden was estimated.

RESULTS

Global incidence, death, and DALY rates of YOPC significantly increased from 1990 to 2019 ((0.30 (p = 0.001), 0.25 (p = 0.001), and 11.18 (p = 0.002), respectively). Regions with the highest and lowest incidence, death, and DALY rates of YOPC were Eastern Europe and Central Sub-Saharan Africa, respectively. Incidence, death, and DALY rates increased with increasing age and SDI. Leading risk factors for YOPC in 2019 were smoking and tobacco use. DALYs attributable to smoking and tobacco use decreased from 1990 to 2019, especially in females, while those attributable to high BMI and FPG increased during the same period.

CONCLUSIONS

The global incidence, death and DALY rates of YOPC have significantly increased over 3 decades. Certain regions and nations are witnessing a higher increase in this trend. There is an urgent need for global efforts targeting preventable causes of YOPC.

Young-Onset Cancers-Early Steps in the Right Direction

The global incidence of young-onset (YO) cancer is on the rise [...].

Young-Onset Pancreatobiliary Cancers—Whereto from Here?

This Invited Editorial towards the Special Issue on Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery highlights the global problem of young-onset cancers. The paucity of data on young-onset pancreatobiliary cancers is presented in the context of its relevance to India (and its large component of adults in the at-risk age group for these cancers). In the face of limited information on the underlying cause of young-onset cancers, the author draws attention to evidence from colorectal cancer. The readers are encouraged to develop collaborative efforts in India to address answers to much needed questions on the management of young-onset pancreatobiliary cancers, some of which are listed in this Editorial.

Alcohol consumption, polygenic risk score, and early- and late-onset colorectal cancer risk

BACKGROUND

Evidence is lacking on the impact of alcohol consumption on colorectal cancer (CRC) risk (overall and by age at diagnosis) by polygenic risk score (PRS) levels, and it is unclear how the magnitude of CRC risk associated with alcohol consumption compares to the magnitude of genetically determined risk.

METHODS

Multiple logistic regression was used to assess the association between alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer (CRC) across PRS levels based on 140 CRC-related loci among 5104 CRC cases and 4131 controls from a large population-based case-control study. We compared the effects for alcohol consumption and PRS on CRC risk using the "Genetic Risk Equivalent (GRE)" for effective risk communication. Specific analyses were conducted for early-onset CRC (EOCRC, <55 years) and late-onset CRC (LOCRC, ≥55 years).

FINDINGS

High alcohol consumption, and to a lower extent, also alcohol abstinence were associated with increased CRC risk. Compared to low alcohol consumption (0·1-<25 g/d), lifetime average alcohol consumption ≥25 g/d was more strongly associated with EOCRC [odds ratio (OR) 1·8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·2-2·8] than with LOCRC risk (OR 1·3, 95% CI 1·1-1·4) (P-value for interaction with age =0·011). Interactions between alcohol consumption and PRS did not reach statistical significance for either EOCRC or LOCRC risk. The estimated impact of high lifetime alcohol consumption on EOCRC was equivalent to the effect of having 47 percentiles higher PRS (GRE 47, 95% CI 12-82), stronger than the impact on LOCRC (GRE 18, 95% CI 8-29).

INTERPRETATION

Excessive alcohol use was strongly associated with EOCRC risk, independent of PRS levels. Abstaining from heavy drinking could reduce risk for CRC, in particular for EOCRC to an extent that would be equivalent to having a much lower genetically determined risk.

FUNDING

The first author (X.C.) was supported by the Guangzhou Elite Project (GEP). The DACHS study was supported by grants from the German Research Council (BR 1704/6-1, BR1704/6-3, BR 1704/6-4, BR 1704/6-6, CH 117/1-1, BR 1704/17-1, HO 5117/2-1) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (01KH0404, 01ER0814, 01ER0815, 01GL1712).

Young-Onset Gastrointestinal Adenocarcinoma Incidence and Survival Trends in the Northern Territory, Australia, with Emphasis on Indigenous Peoples

Background and Aims: A concerning rise in incidence of young-onset cancers globally led to the examination of trends in incidence and survival of gastrointestinal (GI) adenocarcinomas in the Northern Territory (NT), Australia, over a 28-year period, with a special emphasis on Indigenous peoples. Methods: This cross-sectional analysis of a prospective longitudinal database, NT Cancer Registry (1990−2017), includes all reported cases of GI (oesophagus, gastric, small intestinal, pancreas, colon, and rectum) adenocarcinomas. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence ratio ratios, and survival was modelled using Cox proportional hazard models separately for people aged 18−50 years and >50 years. Results: A total of 1608 cases of GI adenocarcinoma were recorded during the time of the study. While the overall incidence in people 18−50 years remained unchanged over this time (p = 0.51), the rate in individuals aged >50 years decreased (IRR = 0.65 (95% CI 0.56−0.75; p < 0.0001)). Incidence rates were significantly less in females >50 years (IRR = 0.67 95% CI 0.59−0.75; p < 0.0001), and their survival was significantly better (HR = 0.84 (95%CI 0.72−0.98; p < 0.03)) compared to males. Overall survival across all GI subsites improved in both age cohorts, especially between 2010 and 2017 (HR = 0.45 (95%CI 0.29−0.72; p < 0.0007) and HR = 0.64 (95%CI 0.52−0.78; p < 0.0001), respectively) compared to 1990−1999, driven by an improvement in survival in colonic adenocarcinoma alone, as the survival remained unchanged in other GI subsites. The incidence was significantly lower in Indigenous patients compared to non-Indigenous patients, in both age cohorts (18−50 years IRR = 0.68 95% CI 0.51−0.91; p < 0.009 and >50 years IRR = 0.48 95% CI 0.40−0.57; p < 0.0001). However, Indigenous patients had worse survival rates (18−50 years HR = 2.06 95% CI 1.36−3.11; p < 0.0007 and >50 years HR = 1.66 95% CI 1.32−2.08; p < 0.0001). Conclusions: There is a trend towards an increased incidence of young-onset GI adenocarcinomas in the NT. Young Indigenous patients have lower incidence but worse survival across all GI subsites, highlighting significant health inequities in life expectancy. Targeted, culturally safe Indigenous community-focussed programs are needed for early detection and patient-centred management of GI adenocarcinomas.

Gastrointestinal Adenocarcinoma Incidence and Survival Trends in South Australia, 1990-2017

Simple Summary

This study from South Australia using the state’s Cancer Registry data provides compelling evidence for a significant increase in the incidence of young-onset (18–50 years) gastrointestinal (oesophageal, stomach, colon and rectum, and pancreas) adenocarcinomas over the last three decades. The trend observed in the young cohort was not mirrored in older individuals >50 years. This increased incidence, though noted in both sexes, was more pronounced in males compared to females. Survival in the young-onset adenocarcinoma cohort was only seen in patients with colorectal cancers, but not oesophagus, stomach and pancreas. This study calls for a concerted effort aimed at determining the sociodemographic factors underlying this disturbing trend with the aim of developing preventative strategies.

Abstract

Background & Aims: Globally, there has been a concerning rise in the incidence of young-onset cancers. The aim of this study was to provide trends in the incidence and survival of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas (oesophagus, stomach, pancreas, and colorectal) in South Australia over a 27-year period. Methods: This is a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective longitudinal database including all cases of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas prospectively reported to the South Australian (State) Cancer Registry from 1990 to 2017. Results: A total of 28,566 patients diagnosed with oesophageal, stomach, pancreatic, or colorectal adenocarcinoma between 1990 and 2017 were included in the study. While the overall incidence for gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas in individuals >50 years has decreased since 2000 (IRR of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94–1.00; p = 0.06)) compared to 1990–1999, the rate amongst individuals aged 18–50 has significantly increased (IRR 1.41 (95% CI 1.27–1.57; p < 0.001)) during the same reference time period. Although noted in both sexes, the rate of increase in incidence was significantly greater in males (11.5 to 19.7/100,000; p < 0.001). The overall survival from adenocarcinomas across all subsites improved in the >50-year cohort in the last decade (HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.86–0.93; p < 0.001)) compared to 1990–1999. In individuals aged 18–50 years, there has only been a significant improvement in survival for colorectal cancer (HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.68–0.99; p < 0.04)), but not the other subsites. A lower overall survival was noted for males in both age cohorts (18–50 years—HR 1.24 (95% CI 1.09–1.13; p < 0.01) and >50 years—HR 1.13 (95% CI 1.10–1.16; p < 0.001), respectively) compared to females. Conclusions: This study from South Australia demonstrates a significant increase in young-onset gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas over the last 28 years, with a greater increase in the male sex. The only significant improvement in survival in this cohort has been noted in colorectal cancer patients.