Correlation Between Early Endpoints and Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Trial-Level Meta-Analysis

Assessment of NSCLC disease burden: A survival model-based meta-analysis study

We present a meta-analytics approach to quantify NSCLC disease burden by integrative survival models. Aggregated survival data from public sources were used to parameterize the models for early as well as advanced NSCLC stages incorporating chemotherapies, targeted therapies, and immunotherapies. Overall survival (OS) was predicted in a heterogeneous patient cohort based on various stratifications and initial conditions. Pharmacoeconomic metrics (life years gained (LYG) and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained), were evaluated to quantify the benefits of specialized treatments and improved early detection of NSCLC. Simulations showed that the introduction of novel therapies for the advanced NSCLC sub-group increased median survival by 8.1 months (95 % CI: 5.9, 10.0), with corresponding gains of 2.9 months (95 % CI: 2.2, 3.6) in LYG and 1.65 months (95 % CI: 1.2, 2.0) in QALY. Scenarios representing improved detection of early cancer in the whole patient cohort, revealed up to 17.6 (95 % CI: 16.5, 19.0) and 15.7 months (95 % CI: 14.8, 16.6) increase in median survival, with respective gains of 6.2 months (95 % CI: 5.9, 6.4) and 5.2 months (95 % CI: 4.9, 5.4) in LYG and 6.6 months (95 % CI: 6.4, 6.7) and 6.0 months (95 % CI: 5.9, 6.2) in QALY for conventional and optimal treatment. This integrative modeling platform, aimed at characterizing cancer burden, allows to precisely quantify the cumulative benefits of introducing specialized therapies into the treatment schemes and survival prolongation upon early detection of the disease.

Can blood-based markers predict RECIST progression in non-small cell lung cancer treated with immunotherapy?

PURPOSE

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the potential of routine blood markers, serum tumour markers and their combination in predicting RECIST-defined progression in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

METHODS

We employed time-varying statistical models and machine learning classifiers in a Monte Carlo cross-validation approach to investigate the association between RECIST-defined progression and blood markers, serum tumour markers and their combination, in a retrospective cohort of 164 patients with NSCLC.

RESULTS

The performance of the routine blood markers in the prediction of progression free survival was moderate. Serum tumour markers and their combination with routine blood markers generally improved performance compared to routine blood markers alone. Elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) ranked as the top predictive routine blood markers, and CYFRA 21.1 was consistently among the most predictive serum tumour markers. Using these classifiers to predict overall survival yielded moderate to high performance, even when cases of death-defined progression were excluded. Performance varied across the treatment journey.

CONCLUSION

Routine blood tests, especially when combined with serum tumour markers, show moderate predictive value  of RECIST-defined progression in NSCLC patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors. The relationship between overall survival and RECIST-defined progression may be influenced by confounding factors.

Correlations of response rate and progression-free survival with overall survival in immunotherapy trials for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer: an FDA pooled analysis

BACKGROUND

Radiographic changes might not fully capture the treatment effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We aimed to assess correlations of overall response rate and progression-free survival with overall survival in trials of ICIs for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

To assess trial-level and patient-level correlations of overall response rate and progression-free survival with overall survival, we conducted a pooled analysis of first-line randomised trials (including patients aged ≥18 years with metastatic squamous and non-squamous NSCLC and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1) submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration from June 24, 2016, to March 16, 2021. Eligible trials evaluated at least one ICI in the experimental group versus chemotherapy in the control group. At the trial level, we used weighted linear regression to derive coefficients of determination (R2). At the patient level, we used Cox proportional hazards models to compare overall survival between responders versus non-responders per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (version 1.1).

FINDINGS

A total of 13 trials including 9285 patients evaluated ICIs alone or in combination with chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone. At the trial level, the R2 was 0·61 (95% CI 0·32-0·84) for correlation of overall response rate with overall survival and 0·70 (0·40-0·89) for correlation of progression-free survival with overall survival. Correlations ranged from weak to moderate when evaluating subgroups by PD-L1 expression and were consistent across trials evaluating ICIs alone or in combination with chemotherapy. At the patient level, responders had longer overall survival than non-responders (hazard ratio [HR] 0·28 [95% CI 0·26-0·30]). Among responders, overall survival was longer in patients enrolled in experimental groups than in control groups (HR 0·54 [95% CI 0·48-0·61]).

INTERPRETATION

Correlations of overall response rate and progression-free survival with overall survival were generally moderate in this pooled analysis. The findings support routine analysis of mature overall survival data, where feasible, in first-line randomised trials of ICIs for metastatic NSCLC.

FUNDING

US Food and Drug Administration.

The Association of Incidental Radiation Dose to the Heart Base with Overall Survival and Cardiac Events after Curative-intent Radiotherapy for Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: Results from the NI-HEART Study

AIMS

Cardiac disease is a dose-limiting toxicity in non-small cell lung cancer radiotherapy. The dose to the heart base has been associated with poor survival in multiple institutional and clinical trial datasets using unsupervised, voxel-based analysis. Validation has not been undertaken in a cohort with individual patient delineations of the cardiac base or for the endpoint of cardiac events. The purpose of this study was to assess the association of heart base radiation dose with overall survival and the risk of cardiac events with individual heart base contours.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients treated between 2015 and 2020 were reviewed for baseline patient, tumour and cardiac details and both cancer and cardiac outcomes as part of the NI-HEART study. Three cardiologists verified cardiac events including atrial fibrillation, heart failure and acute coronary syndrome. Cardiac substructure delineations were completed using a validated deep learning-based autosegmentation tool and a composite cardiac base structure was generated. Cox and Fine-Gray regressions were undertaken for the risk of death and cardiac events.

RESULTS

Of 478 eligible patients, most received 55 Gy/20 fractions (96%) without chemotherapy (58%), planned with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (71%). Pre-existing cardiovascular morbidity was common (78% two or more risk factors, 46% one or more established disease). The median follow-up was 21.1 months. Dichotomised at the median, a higher heart base Dmax was associated with poorer survival on Kaplan-Meier analysis (20.2 months versus 28.3 months; hazard ratio 1.40, 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.75, P = 0.0017) and statistical significance was retained in multivariate analyses. Furthermore, heart base Dmax was associated with pooled cardiac events in a multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 1.75, 95% confidence interval 1.03-2.97, P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Heart base Dmax was associated with the rate of death and cardiac events after adjusting for patient, tumour and cardiovascular factors in the NI-HEART study. This validates the findings from previous unsupervised analytical approaches. The heart base could be considered as a potential sub-organ at risk towards reducing radiation cardiotoxicity.

Time to deterioration of patient-reported outcomes as a surrogate of overall survival: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Overall survival is the optimal marker of treatment efficacy in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) but can take considerable time to mature. Progression-free survival (PFS) has served as an early surrogate of overall survival but is imperfect. Time to deterioration in quality of life (QOL) measures could be a surrogate for overall survival.

METHODS

Phase 3 RCTs in solid malignancies that reported overall survival, PFS, and time to deterioration in QOL or physical function published between January 1, 2010, and June 30, 2022, were evaluated. Weighted regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between PFS, time to deterioration in QOL, and time to deterioration in physical function with overall survival. The coefficient of determination (R2) was used to quantify surrogacy.

RESULTS

In total, 138 phase 3 RCTs were included. Of these, 47 trials evaluated immune checkpoint inhibitors and 91 investigated non-immune checkpoint inhibitor agents. Time to deterioration in QOL (137 RCTs) and time to deterioration in physical function (75 RCTs) performed similarly to PFS as surrogates for overall survival (R2 = 0.18 vs R2 = 0.19 and R2 = 0.10 vs R2 = 0.09, respectively). For immune checkpoint inhibitor studies, time to deterioration in physical function had a higher association with overall survival than with PFS (R2 = 0.38 vs R2 = 0.19), and PFS and time to deterioration in physical function did not correlate with each other (R2 = 0). When time to deterioration in physical function and PFS are used together, the coefficient of determination increased (R2 = 0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

Time to deterioration in physical function appears to be an overall survival surrogate measure of particular importance for immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment efficacy. The combination of time to deterioration in physical function with PFS may enable better prediction of overall survival treatment benefit in RCTs of immune checkpoint inhibitors than either PFS or time to deterioration in physical function alone.

Circulating pre-treatment T-cell receptor repertoire as a predictive biomarker in advanced or metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with pembrolizumab alone or in combination with chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

The circulating T-cell receptor (TCR) repertoire is a dynamic representation of overall immune responses in an individual.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively collected baseline blood from patients treated with first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy or in combination with chemotherapy. TCR repertoire metrics were correlated with clinical benefit rate (CBR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and immune-related adverse events (irAEs). We built a logistic regression classifier by fitting all four TCR-β repertoire metrics to the immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) CBR data. In the subsequent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of the resulting logistic regression model probabilities, the best cut-off value was selected to maximise sensitivity to predict CBR to ICI.

RESULTS

We observed an association between reduced number of unique clones and CBR among patients treated with pembrolizumab monotherapy (cohort 1) [risk ratio = 2.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-8.73, P = 0.039]. For patients treated with pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy (cohort 2), increased number of unique clones [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.96, 95% CI 1.28-6.88, P = 0.012] and Shannon diversity (HR = 2.73, 95% CI 1.08-6.87, P = 0.033), and reduced evenness (HR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.21-0.90, P = 0.025) and convergence (HR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.19-0.90, P = 0.027) were associated with improved PFS, while only an increased number of unique clones (HR = 4.62, 95% CI 1.52-14.02, P = 0.007) were associated with improved OS. Logistic regression models combining the TCR repertoire metrics improved the prediction of CBR (cohorts 1 and 2) and were strongly associated with PFS (cohort 1, HR = 0.38, 95% CI 0.19-0.78, P = 0.009) and OS (cohort 2, HR = 0.20, 95% CI 0.05-0.76, P < 0.0001). Reduced TCR conversion was associated with increased frequency of irAEs needing systemic steroid treatment.

CONCLUSION

Combined pre-treatment circulating TCR metrics might serve as a predictive biomarker for clinical outcomes among patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer treated with pembrolizumab alone or in combination with chemotherapy.

A US real-world study of treatment patterns and outcomes in localized or locally advanced prostate cancer patients

PURPOSE

Men with localized or locally advanced prostate cancer (LPC/LAPC) are at risk of progression after radiotherapy (RT) or radical prostatectomy (RP). Using real-world data, we evaluated patient characteristics, treatment patterns, and outcomes in LPC/LAPC.

METHODS

Optum claims and electronic health records (EHR) data from January 2010 to December 2021 were queried for men with LPC/LAPC who received primary RT, RP, or androgen deprivation therapy alone within 180 days after diagnosis. Survival outcomes were analyzed using descriptive statistics and Kaplan-Meier curves. Real-world overall survival (rwOS) was compared in patients with and without evidence of disease (i.e., disease recurrence, metastasis, diagnosis of castration-resistant PC) at defined time points.

RESULTS

61,772 and 62,361 men in claims and EHR cohorts met the inclusion criteria. Median follow-up was 719 and 901 days, respectively. Most men received primary RT (51.0% claims, 35.0% EHR) or RP (39.4% claims, 53.8% EHR). Survival was greatest among men treated with RP, followed by RT. Adjusted for age and comorbidity, rwOS was shorter among men with evidence of disease within 1, 3, 4, and 5 years after primary treatment than those without at the same time points.

CONCLUSION

Real-world claims and EHR data show that survival among men with LPC/LAPC differs by primary treatment and time point of disease recurrence thereafter. Poor outcomes in men with LPC/LAPC who progress early indicate an unmet medical need for more effective primary treatment. If validated for surrogacy, no evidence of disease at specific time points could represent an intermediate efficacy endpoint in future trials.

Model-based meta-analysis of non-small cell lung cancer with standard of care PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy for early development decision making

Single-arm cohorts/trials are often used in early phase oncology programs to support preliminary clinical activity assessments for investigational products, administered alone or in combination with standard of care (SOC) agents. Benchmarking clinical activity of those combinations against other treatments, including SOC, requires indirect comparisons against external trials, which presents challenges including cross-study differences in trial populations/other factors. To facilitate such nonrandomized comparisons, we developed a comprehensive model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) framework to quantitatively adjust for factors related to efficacy in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). Data were derived from 15 published studies assessing key programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors pembrolizumab (n = 8) and nivolumab (n = 7), representing current SOC in mNSCLC. In the first stage, a mixed-effects logistic regression model for overall response rate (ORR) was developed accounting for effects of various population covariates on ORR. The ORR model results indicated an odds ratio (OR) of 1.02 for squamous versus non-squamous histology and OR of 1.20 for PD-ligand 1 tumor proportion score (TPS) per every 10% increase of TPS level. Next, a nonparametric mixed-effects model for overall survival (OS) was developed with ORR/other clinical covariates as input. Subsequently, MBMA simulations of relevant hypothetical scenarios involving single-arm trial design predicted OS hazard ratios as a function of ORR with matched patient characteristics. Findings from this MBMA and derived parameter estimates can be generally applied by the reader as a framework for interpreting efficacy data from early phase trials to support ORR-based go/no-go decisions and futility rules, illustrated through examples in this report.

The role of clinical imaging in oncology drug development: progress and new challenges

In 2008, the role of clinical imaging in oncology drug development was reviewed. The review outlined where imaging was being applied and considered the diverse demands across the phases of drug development. A limited set of imaging techniques was being used, largely based on structural measures of disease evaluated using established response criteria such as response evaluation criteria in solid tumours. Beyond structure, functional tissue imaging such as dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and metabolic measures using [18F]flourodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography were being increasingly incorporated. Specific challenges related to the implementation of imaging were outlined including standardisation of scanning across study centres and consistency of analysis and reporting. More than a decade on the needs of modern drug development are reviewed, how imaging has evolved to support new drug development demands, the potential to translate state-of-the-art methods into routine tools and what is needed to enable the effective use of this broadening clinical trial toolset. In this review, we challenge the clinical and scientific imaging community to help refine existing clinical trial methods and innovate to deliver the next generation of techniques. Strong industry-academic partnerships and pre-competitive opportunities to co-ordinate efforts will ensure imaging technologies maintain a crucial role delivering innovative medicines to treat cancer.

Correlation Between Early Trends of a Prognostic Biomarker and Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Clinical Trials

PURPOSE

Overall survival (OS) is the primary end point in phase III oncology trials. Given low success rates, surrogate end points, such as progression-free survival or objective response rate, are used in early go/no-go decision making. Here, we investigate whether early trends of OS prognostic biomarkers, such as the ROPRO and DeepROPRO, can also be used for this purpose.

METHODS

Using real-world data, we emulated a series of 12 advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) clinical trials, originally conducted by six different sponsors and evaluated four different mechanisms, in a total of 19,920 individuals. We evaluated early trends (until 6 months) of the OS biomarker alongside early OS within the joint model (JM) framework. Study-level estimates of early OS and ROPRO trends were correlated against the actual final OS hazard ratios (HRs).

RESULTS

We observed a strong correlation between the JM estimates and final OS HR at 3 months (adjusted R 2 = 0.88) and at 6 months (adjusted R 2 = 0.85). In the leave-one-out analysis, there was a low overall prediction error of the OS HR at both 3 months (root-mean-square error [RMSE] = 0.11) and 6 months (RMSE = 0.12). In addition, at 3 months, the absolute prediction error of the OS HR was lower than 0.05 for three trials.

CONCLUSION

We describe a pipeline to predict trial OS HRs using emulated aNSCLC studies and their early OS and OS biomarker trends. The method has the potential to accelerate and improve decision making in drug development.

Analysis of phase III clinical trials in metastatic NSCLC to assess the correlation between QoL results and survival outcomes

BACKGROUND

In addition to improving survival outcomes, new oncology treatments should lead to amelioration of patients' quality of life (QoL). Herein, we examined whether QoL results correlated with PFS and OS outcomes in phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating new systemic treatments in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

The systematic search of PubMed was conducted in October 2022. We identified 81 RCTs testing novel drugs in metastatic NSCLC and published in the English language in a PubMed-indexed journal between 2012 and 2021. Only trials reporting QoL results and at least one survival outcome between OS and PFS were selected. For each RCT, we assessed whether global QoL was "superior," "inferior," or with "non-statistically significant difference" in the experimental arm compared to the control arm.

RESULTS

Experimental treatments led to superior QoL in 30 (37.0%) RCTs and inferior QoL in 3 (3.7%) RCTs. In the remaining 48 (59.3%) RCTs, a statistically significant difference between the experimental and control arms was not found. Of note, we found a statistically significant association between QoL and PFS improvements (X² = 3.93, p = 0.0473). In more detail, this association was not significant in trials testing immunotherapy or chemotherapy. On the contrary, in RCTs testing target therapies, QoL results positively correlated with PFS outcomes (p = 0.0196). This association was even stronger in the 32 trials testing EGFR or ALK inhibitors (p = 0.0077). On the other hand, QoL results did not positively correlate with OS outcomes (X² = 0.81, p = 0.368). Furthermore, we found that experimental treatments led to superior QoL in 27/57 (47.4%) trials with positive results and in 3/24 (12.5%) RCTs with negative results (p = 0.0028). Finally, we analyzed how QoL data were described in publications of RCTs in which QoL outcomes were not improved (n = 51). We found that a favorable description of QoL results was associated with sponsorship by industries (p = 0.0232).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reveals a positive association of QoL results with PFS outcomes in RCTs testing novel treatments in metastatic NSCLC. This association is particularly evident for target therapies. These findings further emphasize the relevance of an accurate assessment of QoL in RCTs in NSCLC.

Association between event-free survival and overall survival after neoadjuvant treatment for non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We wanted to evaluate if event-free survival (EFS) is a reliable surrogate for overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer (r-NSCLC) receiving neoadjuvant therapy. We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to investigate the statistical association between EFS and OS.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Electronic databases were searched on 30 July 2021 to identify sources reporting both EFS and OS data in patients with stage I-IIIB r-NSCLC receiving neoadjuvant therapy. Correlation and regression analyses evaluated the association between the effect of treatment on EFS and OS using log-hazard ratios (HRs). Sources in which the entire population had epidermal growth factor receptor mutations were excluded from the analyses.

RESULTS

We identified 74 sources, of which 8 reported EFS and OS HRs from randomized controlled trials. Based on these, we found a positive linear correlation and a strong association between EFS and OS log-HRs (weighted Pearson's correlation coefficient r = 0.864; 95% confidence interval 0.809-0.992; P = 0.006; random-effects meta-regression, R2 = 0.777).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a strong association between treatment effects for EFS and OS, indicating that improvements in EFS are likely to be predictive of improvements in OS. EFS may therefore be a reliable surrogate for OS after neoadjuvant therapy in r-NSCLC.

Research Question, Objectives, and Endpoints in Clinical and Oncological Research: A Comprehensive Review

Clinical research is a systematic process of conducting research work to find solutions for human health-related problems. It is applied to understand the disease process and assist in the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention. Currently, we are experiencing global unrest caused by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. The novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has been responsible for the deaths of more than 50 million people worldwide. Also, it has resulted in severe morbidity among the affected population. The cause of such a huge amount of influence on human health by the pandemic was the unavailability of drugs and therapeutic interventions to treat and manage the disease. Cancer is a disease condition wherein the normal cell function is deranged, and the cells multiply in an uncontrolled manner. Based on recent reports by the World Health Organization (WHO), cancer is the second leading cause of death globally. Moreover, the rates of cancers have shown an increasing trend in the past decade. Therefore, it is essential to improve the understanding concerning clinical research to address the health concerns of humans. In this review, we comprehensively discuss critical aspects of clinical research that include the research question, research objectives, patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), intention-to-treat and per-protocol analysis, and endpoints in clinical and oncological research.

Maximizing the value of phase III trials in immuno-oncology: A checklist from the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC)

The broad activity of agents blocking the programmed cell death protein 1 and its ligand (the PD-(L)1 axis) revolutionized oncology, offering long-term benefit to patients and even curative responses for tumors that were once associated with dismal prognosis. However, only a minority of patients experience durable clinical benefit with immune checkpoint inhibitor monotherapy in most disease settings. Spurred by preclinical and correlative studies to understand mechanisms of non-response to the PD-(L)1 antagonists and by combination studies in animal tumor models, many drug development programs were designed to combine anti-PD-(L)1 with a variety of approved and investigational chemotherapies, tumor-targeted therapies, antiangiogenic therapies, and other immunotherapies. Several immunotherapy combinations improved survival outcomes in a variety of indications including melanoma, lung, kidney, and liver cancer, among others. This immunotherapy renaissance, however, has led to many combinations being advanced to late-stage development without definitive predictive biomarkers, limited phase I and phase II data, or clinical trial designs that are not optimized for demonstrating the unique attributes of immune-related antitumor activity-for example, landmark progression-free survival and overall survival. The decision to activate a study at an individual site is investigator-driven, and generalized frameworks to evaluate the potential for phase III trials in immuno-oncology to yield positive data, particularly to increase the number of curative responses or otherwise advance the field have thus far been lacking. To assist in evaluating the potential value to patients and the immunotherapy field of phase III trials, the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) has developed a checklist for investigators, described in this manuscript. Although the checklist focuses on anti-PD-(L)1-based combinations, it may be applied to any regimen in which immune modulation is an important component of the antitumor effect.

OSPred Tool: A Digital Health Aid for Rapid Predictive Analysis of Correlations Between Early End Points and Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Clinical Trials

Overall survival (OS) is the gold standard end point for establishing clinical benefits in phase III oncology trials. However, these trials are associated with low success rates, largely driven by failure to meet the primary end point. Surrogate end points such as progression-free survival (PFS) are increasingly being used as indicators of biologic drug activity and to inform early go/no-go decisions in oncology drug development. We developed OSPred, a digital health aid that combines actual clinical data and machine intelligence approaches to visualize correlation trends between early (PFS-based) and late (OS) end points and provide support for shared decision making in the drug development pipeline.

Evaluation of Surrogate Endpoints Using Information-Theoretic Measure of Association Based on Havrda and Charvat Entropy

Surrogate endpoints have been used to assess the efficacy of a treatment and can potentially reduce the duration and/or number of required patients for clinical trials. Using information theory, Alonso et al. (2007) proposed a unified framework based on Shannon entropy, a new definition of surrogacy that departed from the hypothesis testing framework. In this paper, a new family of surrogacy measures under Havrda and Charvat (H-C) entropy is derived which contains Alonso’s definition as a particular case. Furthermore, we extend our approach to a new model based on the information-theoretic measure of association for a longitudinally collected continuous surrogate endpoint for a binary clinical endpoint of a clinical trial using H-C entropy. The new model is illustrated through the analysis of data from a completed clinical trial. It demonstrates advantages of H-C entropy-based surrogacy measures in the evaluation of scheduling longitudinal biomarker visits for a phase 2 randomized controlled clinical trial for treatment of multiple sclerosis.

Pathologic responses in oligometastatic NSCLC patients treated with neoadjuvant immune checkpoint blockade with and without chemotherapy followed by surgery

OBJECTIVES

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have significantly improved outcome of patients with advanced NSCLC and recently also showed benefit in early-stage disease. Patients with oligometastatic disease (OMD) harbor limited metastases, resectable primary tumors and derive benefit from treatment with multimodal locally ablative and systemic therapy approaches. Nothing is known about feasibility and efficacy of neoadjuvant ICI in this setting.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We here provide data from a multicenter retrospective study comprising 13 patients with NSCLC and OMD (≤3 distant metastases) from 5 university medical centers in Germany who have been treated with neoadjuvant ICI alone (n = 4) or in combination with chemotherapy (CT) (n = 9) prior to resection of the primary tumor. We analyzed complete (pCR) and major pathological remission (MPR) rates.

RESULTS

These data show that neoadjuvant immunotherapy applied mostly in combination with CT results in high rates of pCR and MPR (54 and 69%, respectively). Up to now, 85% of patients are free of progression with a median follow-up of 9 months (3-28 months). Single cell RNASeq analysis of tumor tissue from one patient treated with CT-ICI indicates a strong predominance of adaptive immune cell populations over a small minority of epithelial (tumor) cells.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant ICI with or without CT is a promising therapeutic concept in patients with OMD.