18F-FDG PET Radiomics as Predictor of Treatment Response in Oesophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Gastro-Esophageal Cancer: Can Radiomic Parameters from Baseline 18F-FDG-PET/CT Predict the Development of Distant Metastatic Disease?

We aimed to determine if clinical parameters and radiomics combined with sarcopenia status derived from baseline 18F-FDG-PET/CT could predict developing metastatic disease and overall survival (OS) in gastroesophageal cancer (GEC). Patients referred for primary staging who underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT from 2008 to 2019 were evaluated retrospectively. Overall, 243 GEC patients (mean age = 64) were enrolled. Clinical, histopathology, and sarcopenia data were obtained, and primary tumor radiomics features were extracted. For classification (early-stage vs. advanced disease), the association of the studied parameters was evaluated. Various clinical and radiomics models were developed and assessed. Accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. For OS prediction, univariable and multivariable Cox analyses were performed. The best model included PET/CT radiomics features, clinical data, and sarcopenia score (accuracy = 80%; AUC = 88%). For OS prediction, various clinical, CT, and PET features entered the multivariable analysis. Three clinical factors (advanced disease, age ≥ 70 and ECOG ≥ 2), along with one CT-derived and one PET-derived radiomics feature, retained their significance. Overall, 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics seems to have a potential added value in identifying GEC patients with advanced disease and may enhance the performance of baseline clinical parameters. These features may also have a prognostic value for OS, improving the decision-making for GEC patients.

CT-based radiomics for predicting lymph node metastasis in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic effectiveness of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer (EC).

Methods

The present study conducted a comprehensive search by accessing the following databases: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science, with the aim of identifying relevant studies published until July 10th, 2023. The diagnostic accuracy was summarized using the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the curve (AUC). The researchers utilized Spearman's correlation coefficient for assessing the threshold effect, besides performing meta-regression and subgroup analysis for the exploration of possible heterogeneity sources. The quality assessment was conducted using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 and the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS).

Results

The meta-analysis included six studies conducted from 2018 to 2022, with 483 patients enrolled and LNM rates ranging from 27.2% to 59.4%. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, DOR, and AUC, along with their corresponding 95% CI, were 0.73 (0.67, 0.79), 0.76 (0.69, 0.83), 3.1 (2.3, 4.2), 0.35 (0.28, 0.44), 9 (6, 14), and 0.78 (0.74, 0.81), respectively. The results demonstrated the absence of significant heterogeneity in sensitivity, while significant heterogeneity was observed in specificity; no threshold effect was detected. The observed heterogeneity in the specificity was attributed to the sample size and CT-scan phases (P < 0.05). The included studies exhibited suboptimal quality, with RQS ranging from 14 to 16 out of 36. However, most of the enrolled studies exhibited a low-risk bias and minimal concerns relating to applicability.

Conclusion

The present meta-analysis indicated that CT-based radiomics demonstrated a favorable diagnostic performance in predicting LNM in EC. Nevertheless, additional high-quality, large-scale, and multicenter trials are warranted to corroborate these findings.

Systematic Review Registration

Open Science Framework platform at https://osf.io/5zcnd.

Radiomics-clinical nomogram for preoperative lymph node metastasis prediction in esophageal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This research aimed to develop a radiomics-clinical nomogram based on enhanced thin-section CT radiomics and clinical features for the purpose of predicting the presence or absence of metastasis in lymph nodes among patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

This study examined the data of 256 patients with ESCC, including 140 cases with lymph node metastasis. Clinical information was gathered for each case, and radiomics features were derived from thin-section contrast-enhanced CT with the help of a 3D slicer. To validate risk factors that are independent of the clinical and radiomics models, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression analysis was used. A nomogram pattern was constructed based on the radiomics features and clinical characteristics. The receiver operating characteristic curve and Brier Score were used to evaluate the model's discriminatory ability, the calibration plot to evaluate the model's calibration, and the decision curve analysis to evaluate the model's clinical utility. The confusion matrix was used to evaluate the applicability of the model. To evaluate the efficacy of the model, 1000 rounds of 5-fold cross-validation were conducted.

RESULTS

The clinical model identified esophageal wall thickness and clinical T (cT) stage as independent risk factors, whereas the radiomics pattern was built based on 4 radiomics features chosen at random. Area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.684 and 0.701 are observed for the radiomics approach and clinical model, respectively. The AUC of nomogram combining radiomics and clinical features was 0.711. The calibration plot showed good agreement between the incidence of lymph node metastasis predicted by the nomogram and the actual probability of occurrence. The nomogram model displayed acceptable levels of performance. After 1000 rounds of 5-fold cross-validation, the AUC and Brier score had median values of 0.702 (IQR: 0.65, 7.49) and 0.21 (IQR: 0.20, 0.23), respectively. High-risk patients (risk point >110) were found to have an increased risk of lymph node metastasis [odds ratio (OR) = 5.15, 95% CI, 2.95-8.99] based on the risk categorization.

CONCLUSION

A successful preoperative prediction performance for metastasis to the lymph nodes among patients with ESCC was demonstrated by the nomogram that incorporated CT radiomics, wall thickness, and cT stage.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This study demonstrates a novel radiomics-clinical nomogram for lymph node metastasis prediction in ESCC, which helps physicians determine lymph node status preoperatively.

The gap before real clinical application of imaging-based machine-learning and radiomic models for chemoradiation outcome prediction in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Due to tumoral heterogeneity and the lack of robust biomarkers, the prediction of chemoradiotherapy response and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is challenging. The goal of this study was to assess the study quality and clinical value of machine learning and radiomic-based quantitative imaging studies for predicting the outcomes of EC patients after chemoradiotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane were searched for eligible articles. The methodological quality and risk of bias were evaluated using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), Image Biomarkers Standardization Initiative (IBSI) Guideline, and Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, as well as the modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. A meta-analysis of the evidence focusing on predicting chemoradiotherapy response and outcome in EC patients was implemented.

RESULTS

Forty-six studies were eligible for qualitative synthesis. The mean RQS score was 9.07, with an adherence rate of 42.52%. The adherence rates of the TRIPOD and IBSI were 61.70 and 43.17%, respectively. Ultimately, 24 studies were included in the meta-analysis, of which 16 studies had a pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (0.76-0.89), 0.83 (0.79-0.86), and 0.84 (0.81-0.87) in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy datasets, as well as 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.89 (0.83-0.93), and 0.93 (0.90-0.95) in definitive chemoradiotherapy datasets, respectively. Moreover, radiomics could distinguish patients from the low-risk and high-risk groups with different disease-free survival (DFS) (pooled hazard ratio: 3.43, 95% CI 2.39-4.92) and overall survival (pooled hazard ratio: 2.49, 95% CI 1.91-3.25). The results of subgroup and regression analyses showed that some of the heterogeneity was explained by the combination with clinical factors, sample size, and usage of the deep learning (DL) signature.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasive radiomics offers promising potential for optimizing treatment decision-making in EC patients. However, it is necessary to make scientific advancements in EC radiomics regarding reproducibility, clinical usefulness analysis, and open science categories. Improved model reporting of study objectives, blind assessment, and image processing steps are required to help promote real clinical applications of radiomics in EC research.

Radiomics features of computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging for predicting response to transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Purpose

To examine the methodological quality of radiomics-related studies and evaluate the ability of radiomics to predict treatment response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A systematic review was performed on radiomics-related studies published until October 15, 2022, predicting the effectiveness of TACE for HCC. Methodological quality and risk of bias were assessed using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) and Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tools, respectively. Pooled sensitivity, pooled specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) were determined to evaluate the utility of radiomics in predicting the response to TACE for HCC.

Results

In this systematic review, ten studies were eligible, and six of these studies were used in our meta-analysis. The RQS ranged from 7-21 (maximum possible score: 36). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.79-0.95) and 0.82 (95% CI = 0.64-0.92), respectively. The overall AUC was 0.93 (95% CI = 0.90-0.95).

Conclusion

Radiomics-related studies evaluating the efficacy of TACE in patients with HCC revealed promising results. However, prospective and multicenter trials are warranted to make radiomics more feasible and acceptable.

An overview of meta-analyses on radiomics: more evidence is needed to support clinical translation

OBJECTIVE

To conduct an overview of meta-analyses of radiomics studies assessing their study quality and evidence level.

METHODS

A systematical search was updated via peer-reviewed electronic databases, preprint servers, and systematic review protocol registers until 15 November 2022. Systematic reviews with meta-analysis of primary radiomics studies were included. Their reporting transparency, methodological quality, and risk of bias were assessed by PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 checklist, AMSTAR-2 (A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews, version 2) tool, and ROBIS (Risk Of Bias In Systematic reviews) tool, respectively. The evidence level supporting the radiomics for clinical use was rated.

RESULTS

We identified 44 systematic reviews with meta-analyses on radiomics research. The mean ± standard deviation of PRISMA adherence rate was 65 ± 9%. The AMSTAR-2 tool rated 5 and 39 systematic reviews as low and critically low confidence, respectively. The ROBIS assessment resulted low, unclear and high risk in 5, 11, and 28 systematic reviews, respectively. We reperformed 53 meta-analyses in 38 included systematic reviews. There were 3, 7, and 43 meta-analyses rated as convincing, highly suggestive, and weak levels of evidence, respectively. The convincing level of evidence was rated in (1) T2-FLAIR radiomics for IDH-mutant vs IDH-wide type differentiation in low-grade glioma, (2) CT radiomics for COVID-19 vs other viral pneumonia differentiation, and (3) MRI radiomics for high-grade glioma vs brain metastasis differentiation.

CONCLUSIONS

The systematic reviews on radiomics were with suboptimal quality. A limited number of radiomics approaches were supported by convincing level of evidence.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The evidence supporting the clinical application of radiomics are insufficient, calling for researches translating radiomics from an academic tool to a practicable adjunct towards clinical deployment.

Performance of radiomics-based artificial intelligence systems in the diagnosis and prediction of treatment response and survival in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy

Radiomics can interpret radiological images with more detail and in less time compared to the human eye. Some challenges in managing esophageal cancer can be addressed by incorporating radiomics into image interpretation, treatment planning, and predicting response and survival. This systematic review and meta-analysis provides a summary of the evidence of radiomics in esophageal cancer. The systematic review was carried out using Pubmed, MEDLINE, and Ovid EMBASE databases-articles describing radiomics in esophageal cancer were included. A meta-analysis was also performed; 50 studies were included. For the assessment of treatment response using 18F-FDG PET/computed tomography (CT) scans, seven studies (443 patients) were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 86.5% (81.1-90.6) and 87.1% (78.0-92.8). For the assessment of treatment response using CT scans, five studies (625 patients) were included in the meta-analysis, with a pooled sensitivity and specificity of 86.7% (81.4-90.7) and 76.1% (69.9-81.4). The remaining 37 studies formed the qualitative review, discussing radiomics in diagnosis, radiotherapy planning, and survival prediction. This review explores the wide-ranging possibilities of radiomics in esophageal cancer management. The sensitivities of 18F-FDG PET/CT scans and CT scans are comparable, but 18F-FDG PET/CT scans have improved specificity for AI-based prediction of treatment response. Models integrating clinical and radiomic features facilitate diagnosis and survival prediction. More research is required into comparing models and conducting large-scale studies to build a robust evidence base.

Could 18-FDG PET-CT Radiomic Features Predict the Locoregional Progression-Free Survival in Inoperable or Unresectable Oesophageal Cancer?

Background: We evaluated the value of pre-treatment positron-emission tomography−computed tomography (PET-CT)-based radiomic features in predicting the locoregional progression-free survival (LR-PFS) of patients with inoperable or unresectable oesophageal cancer. Material and Methods: Forty-six patients were included and 230 radiomic parameters were extracted. After a principal component analysis (PCA), we identified the more robust radiomic parameters, and we used them to develop a heatmap. Finally, we correlated these radiomic features with LR-PFS. Results: The median follow-up time was 17 months. The two-year LR-PFS and PFS rates were 35.9% (95% CI: 18.9−53.3) and 21.6% (95%CI: 10.0−36.2), respectively. After the correlation analysis, we identified 55 radiomic parameters that were included in the heatmap. According to the results of the hierarchical clustering, we identified two groups of patients presenting statistically different median LR-PFSs (22.8 months vs. 9.9 months; HR = 2.64; 95% CI 0.97−7.15; p = 0.0573). We also identified two radiomic features (“F_rlm_rl_entr_per” and “F_rlm_2_5D_rl_entr”) significantly associated with LR-PFS. Patients expressing a “F_rlm_2_5D_rl_entr” of <3.3 had a better median LR- PFS (29.4 months vs. 8.2 months; p = 0.0343). Patients presenting a “F_rlm_rl_entr_per” of <4.7 had a better median LR-PFS (50.4 months vs. 9.9 months; p = 0.0132). Conclusion: We identified two radiomic signatures associated with a lower risk of locoregional relapse after CRT.