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Husain A, Knake L, Sullivan B, Barry J, Beam K, Holmes E, Hooven T, McAdams R, Moreira A, Shalish W, Vesoulis Z. AI models in clinical neonatology: a review of modeling approaches and a consensus proposal for standardized reporting of model performance. Pediatr Res 2024:10.1038/s41390-024-03774-4. [PMID: 39681669 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-024-03774-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2024] [Accepted: 11/10/2024] [Indexed: 12/18/2024]
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly advancing area with growing clinical applications in healthcare. The neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) produces large amounts of multidimensional data allowing AI and machine learning (ML) new avenues to improve early diagnosis, enhance monitoring, and provide highly-targeted treatment approaches. In this article, we review recent clinical applications of AI to important neonatal problems, including sepsis, retinopathy of prematurity, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, and others. For each clinical area, we highlight a variety of ML models published in the literature and examine the future role they may play at the bedside. While the development of these models is rapidly expanding, a fundamental understanding of model selection, development, and performance evaluation is crucial for researchers and healthcare providers alike. As AI plays an increasing role in daily practice, understanding the implications of AI design and performance will enable more effective implementation. We provide a comprehensive explanation of the AI development process and recommendations for a standardized performance metric framework. Additionally, we address critical challenges, including model generalizability, ethical considerations, and the need for rigorous performance monitoring to avoid model drift. Finally, we outline future directions, emphasizing the importance of collaborative efforts and equitable access to AI innovations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ameena Husain
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
| | - Lindsey Knake
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA
| | - Brynne Sullivan
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA
| | - James Barry
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA
| | - Kristyn Beam
- Department of Neonatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Emma Holmes
- Division of Newborn Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA
| | - Thomas Hooven
- Division of Newborn Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Ryan McAdams
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Alvaro Moreira
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA
| | - Wissam Shalish
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Center, Montreal Children's Hospital, Montreal, Canada
| | - Zachary Vesoulis
- Division of Newborn Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA
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Yung KW, Sivaraj J, De Coppi P, Stoyanov D, Loukogeorgakis S, Mazomenos EB. Diagnosing Necrotizing Enterocolitis via Fine-Grained Visual Classification. IEEE Trans Biomed Eng 2024; 71:3160-3169. [PMID: 39453790 DOI: 10.1109/tbme.2024.3409642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2024]
Abstract
Necrotizing Enterocolitis (NEC) is a devastating condition affecting prematurely born neonates. Reviewing Abdominal X-rays (AXRs) is a key step in NEC diagnosis, staging and treatment decision-making, but poses significant challenges due to the subtle, difficult-to-identify radiological signs of the disease. In this paper, we propose AIDNEC - AI Diagnosis of NECrotizing enterocolitis, a deep learning method to automatically detect and stratify the severity (surgical or medical) of NEC from no pathology in AXRs. The model is trainable end-to-end and integrates a Detection Transformer and Graph Convolution modules for localizing discriminative areas in AXRs, used to formulate subtle local embeddings. These are then combined with global image features to perform Fine-Grained Visual Classification (FGVC). We evaluate AIDNEC on our GOSH NEC dataset of 1153 images from 334 patients, achieving 79.7% accuracy in classifying NEC against No Pathology. AIDNEC outperforms the backbone by 2.6%, FGVC models by 2.5% and CheXNet by 4.2%, with statistically significant (two-tailed p 0.05) improvements, while providing meaningful discriminative regions to support the classification decision. Additional validation in the publicly available Chest X-ray14 dataset yields comparable performance to state-of-the-art methods, illustrating AIDNEC's robustness in a different X-ray classification task.
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Zhang H, Yang R, Yao Y. Construction and evaluation of a risk model for adverse outcomes of necrotizing enterocolitis based on LASSO-Cox regression. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1366913. [PMID: 39435385 PMCID: PMC11491366 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1366913] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 09/20/2024] [Indexed: 10/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict adverse outcomes in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Methods In this retrospective study on neonates with NEC, data on perinatal characteristics, clinical features, laboratory findings, and x-ray examinations were collected for the included patients. A risk model and its nomogram were developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 182 cases of NEC were included and divided into a training set (148 cases) and a temporal validation set (34 cases). Eight features, including weight [p = 0.471, HR = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98-1.00)], history of congenital heart disease [p < 0.001, HR = 3.13 (95% CI:1.75-5.61)], blood transfusion before onset [p = 0.757, HR = 0.85 (95%CI:0.29-2.45)], antibiotic exposure before onset [p = 0.003, HR = 5.52 (95% CI:1.81-16.83)], C-reactive protein (CRP) at onset [p = 0.757, HR = 1.01 (95%CI:1.00-1.02)], plasma sodium at onset [p < 0.001, HR = 4.73 (95%CI:2.61-8.59)], dynamic abdominal x-ray score change [p = 0.001, HR = 4.90 (95%CI:2.69-8.93)], and antibiotic treatment regimen [p = 0.250, HR = 1.83 (0.65-5.15)], were ultimately selected for model building. The C-index for the predictive model was 0.850 (95% CI: 0.804-0.897) for the training set and 0.7880.788 (95% CI: 0.656-0.921) for the validation set. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) at 8-, 10-, and 12-days were 0.889 (95% CI: 0.822-0.956), 0.891 (95% CI: 0.829-0.953), and 0.893 (95% CI:0.832-0.954) in the training group, and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.633-0.991), 0.846 (95% CI: 0.695-0.998), and 0.798 (95%CI: 0.623-0.973) in the validation group, respectively. Calibration curves showed good concordance between the predicted and observed outcomes, and DCA demonstrated adequate clinical benefit. Conclusions The LASSO-Cox model effectively identifies NEC neonates at high risk of adverse outcomes across all time points. Notably, at earlier time points (such as the 8-day mark), the model also demonstrates strong predictive performance, facilitating the early prediction of adverse outcomes in infants with NEC. This early prediction can contribute to timely clinical decision-making and ultimately improve patient prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- HaiJin Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
| | - RongWei Yang
- Department of Pediatrics, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yuan Yao
- Department of Radiology, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
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Cuna A, Kumar N, Sampath V. Understanding necrotizing enterocolitis endotypes and acquired intestinal injury phenotypes from a historical and artificial intelligence perspective. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1432808. [PMID: 39398415 PMCID: PMC11466774 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1432808] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2024] [Accepted: 09/13/2024] [Indexed: 10/15/2024] Open
Abstract
Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) remains a devastating disease in preterm and term neonates. Despite significant progress made in understanding NEC pathogenesis over the last 50 years, the inability of current definitions to discriminate the various pathophysiological processes underlying NEC has led to an umbrella term that limits clinical and research progress. In this mini review, we provide a historical perspective on how NEC definitions and pathogenesis have evolved to our current understanding of NEC endotypes. We also discuss how artificial intelligence-based approaches are influencing our knowledge of risk-factors, classification and prognosis of NEC and other neonatal intestinal injury phenotypes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alain Cuna
- Division of Neonatology, Children’s Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States
- School of Medicine, University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States
| | - Navin Kumar
- Division of Neonatology, Hurley Medical Center, Flint, MI, United States
| | - Venkatesh Sampath
- Division of Neonatology, Children’s Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States
- School of Medicine, University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States
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Sarafidis K, Agakidou E, Kontou A, Agakidis C, Neu J. Struggling to Understand the NEC Spectrum-Could the Integration of Metabolomics, Clinical-Laboratory Data, and Other Emerging Technologies Help Diagnosis? Metabolites 2024; 14:521. [PMID: 39452903 PMCID: PMC11509608 DOI: 10.3390/metabo14100521] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2024] [Revised: 09/14/2024] [Accepted: 09/24/2024] [Indexed: 10/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is the most prevalent and potentially fatal intestinal injury mainly affecting premature infants, with significant long-term consequences for those who survive. This review explores the scale of the problem, highlighting advancements in epidemiology, the understanding of pathophysiology, and improvements in the prediction and diagnosis of this complex, multifactorial, and multifaced disease. Additionally, we focus on the potential role of metabolomics in distinguishing NEC from other conditions, which could allow for an earlier and more accurate classification of intestinal injuries in infants. By integrating metabolomic data with other diagnostic approaches, it is hoped to enhance our ability to predict outcomes and tailor treatments, ultimately improving care for affected infants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kosmas Sarafidis
- 1st Department of Neonatology, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece; (E.A.); (A.K.)
| | - Eleni Agakidou
- 1st Department of Neonatology, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece; (E.A.); (A.K.)
| | - Angeliki Kontou
- 1st Department of Neonatology, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece; (E.A.); (A.K.)
| | - Charalampos Agakidis
- 1st Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54642 Thessaloniki, Greece;
| | - Josef Neu
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA;
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Cuna A, Premkumar MH, Sampath V. Artificial intelligence to classify acquired intestinal injury in preterm neonates-a new perspective. Pediatr Res 2024; 96:30-32. [PMID: 38499626 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-024-03148-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2024] [Accepted: 03/02/2024] [Indexed: 03/20/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Alain Cuna
- Division of Neonatology, Children's Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA
- School of Medicine, University of Missouri Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA
| | - Muralidhar H Premkumar
- Division of Neonatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Venkatesh Sampath
- Division of Neonatology, Children's Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA.
- School of Medicine, University of Missouri Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA.
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Nowak F, Yung KW, Sivaraj J, De Coppi P, Stoyanov D, Loukogeorgakis S, Mazomenos EB. An investigation into augmentation and preprocessing for optimising X-ray classification in limited datasets: a case study on necrotising enterocolitis. Int J Comput Assist Radiol Surg 2024; 19:1223-1231. [PMID: 38652416 PMCID: PMC11178627 DOI: 10.1007/s11548-024-03107-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2024] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE Obtaining large volumes of medical images, required for deep learning development, can be challenging in rare pathologies. Image augmentation and preprocessing offer viable solutions. This work explores the case of necrotising enterocolitis (NEC), a rare but life-threatening condition affecting premature neonates, with challenging radiological diagnosis. We investigate data augmentation and preprocessing techniques and propose two optimised pipelines for developing reliable computer-aided diagnosis models on a limited NEC dataset. METHODS We present a NEC dataset of 1090 Abdominal X-rays (AXRs) from 364 patients and investigate the effect of geometric augmentations, colour scheme augmentations and their combination for NEC classification based on the ResNet-50 backbone. We introduce two pipelines based on colour contrast and edge enhancement, to increase the visibility of subtle, difficult-to-identify, critical NEC findings on AXRs and achieve robust accuracy in a challenging three-class NEC classification task. RESULTS Our results show that geometric augmentations improve performance, with Translation achieving +6.2%, while Flipping and Occlusion decrease performance. Colour augmentations, like Equalisation, yield modest improvements. The proposed Pr-1 and Pr-2 pipelines enhance model accuracy by +2.4% and +1.7%, respectively. Combining Pr-1/Pr-2 with geometric augmentation, we achieve a maximum performance increase of 7.1%, achieving robust NEC classification. CONCLUSION Based on an extensive validation of preprocessing and augmentation techniques, our work showcases the previously unreported potential of image preprocessing in AXR classification tasks with limited datasets. Our findings can be extended to other medical tasks for designing reliable classifier models with limited X-ray datasets. Ultimately, we also provide a benchmark for automated NEC detection and classification from AXRs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Franciszek Nowak
- Wellcome/EPSRC Centre for Interventional and Surgical Sciences, Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, UCL, London, UK.
| | - Ka-Wai Yung
- Wellcome/EPSRC Centre for Interventional and Surgical Sciences, Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, UCL, London, UK
| | - Jayaram Sivaraj
- Department of Specialist Neonatal and Paediatric Surgery, Great Ormond Street Hospital, NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Paolo De Coppi
- Department of Specialist Neonatal and Paediatric Surgery, Great Ormond Street Hospital, NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Danail Stoyanov
- Wellcome/EPSRC Centre for Interventional and Surgical Sciences, Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, UCL, London, UK
| | - Stavros Loukogeorgakis
- Department of Specialist Neonatal and Paediatric Surgery, Great Ormond Street Hospital, NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Evangelos B Mazomenos
- Wellcome/EPSRC Centre for Interventional and Surgical Sciences, Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, UCL, London, UK.
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Kim SH, Oh YJ, Son J, Jung D, Kim D, Ryu SR, Na JY, Hwang JK, Kim TH, Park HK. Machine learning-based analysis for prediction of surgical necrotizing enterocolitis in very low birth weight infants using perinatal factors: a nationwide cohort study. Eur J Pediatr 2024; 183:2743-2751. [PMID: 38554173 PMCID: PMC11098869 DOI: 10.1007/s00431-024-05505-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2023] [Revised: 02/20/2024] [Accepted: 03/02/2024] [Indexed: 04/01/2024]
Abstract
Early prediction of surgical necrotizing enterocolitis (sNEC) in preterm infants is important. However, owing to the complexity of the disease, identifying infants with NEC at a high risk for surgical intervention is difficult. We developed a machine learning (ML) algorithm to predict sNEC using perinatal factors obtained from the national cohort registry of very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. Data were collected from the medical records of 16,385 VLBW infants registered in the Korean Neonatal Network (KNN). Infants who underwent surgical intervention were identified with sNEC, and infants who received medical treatment, with medical NEC (mNEC). We used 38 variables, including maternal, prenatal, and postnatal factors that were obtained within 1 week of birth, for training. A total of 1085 patients had NEC (654 with sNEC and 431 with mNEC). VLBW infants showed a higher incidence of sNEC at a lower gestational age (GA) (p < 0.001). Our proposed ensemble model showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.721 for sNEC prediction. Conclusion: Proposed ensemble model may help predict which infants with NEC are likely to develop sNEC. Through early prediction and prompt intervention, prognosis of sNEC may be improved. What is Known: • Machine learning (ML)-based techniques have been employed in NEC research for prediction, diagnosis, and prognosis, with promising outcomes. • While most studies have utilized abdominal radiographs and clinical manifestations of NEC as data sources, and have demonstrated their usefulness, they may prove weak in terms of early prediction. What is New: • We analyzed the perinatal factors of VLBW infants acquired within 7 days of birth and used ML-based analysis to identify which infants with NEC are vulnerable to clinical deterioration and at high risk for surgical intervention using nationwide cohort data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seung Hyun Kim
- Department of Pediatrics, Hanyang University College of Medicine, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
- Department of Pediatrics, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 81, Irwon-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, 06351, Republic of Korea
| | - Yoon Ju Oh
- Department of Artificial Intelligence, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Joonhyuk Son
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Hanyang University College of Medicine, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Donggoo Jung
- Department of Artificial Intelligence, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Daehyun Kim
- Department of Artificial Intelligence, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Soo Rack Ryu
- Biostatistical Consulting and Research Lab, Medical Research Collaborating Center, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae Yoon Na
- Department of Pediatrics, Hanyang University College of Medicine, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae Kyoon Hwang
- Department of Pediatrics, Hanyang University College of Medicine, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea
| | - Tae Hyun Kim
- Department of Computer Science, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea.
| | - Hyun-Kyung Park
- Department of Pediatrics, Hanyang University College of Medicine, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, 04763, Republic of Korea.
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Nowak F, Yung KW, Sivaraj J, De Coppi P, Stoyanov D, Loukogeorgakis S, Mazomenos EB. An investigation into augmentation and preprocessing for optimising X-ray classification in limited datasets: a case study on necrotising enterocolitis. Int J Comput Assist Radiol Surg 2024. [DOI: doi.org/10.1007/s11548-024-03107-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2024] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/29/2024]
Abstract
Abstract
Purpose
Obtaining large volumes of medical images, required for deep learning development, can be challenging in rare pathologies. Image augmentation and preprocessing offer viable solutions. This work explores the case of necrotising enterocolitis (NEC), a rare but life-threatening condition affecting premature neonates, with challenging radiological diagnosis. We investigate data augmentation and preprocessing techniques and propose two optimised pipelines for developing reliable computer-aided diagnosis models on a limited NEC dataset.
Methods
We present a NEC dataset of 1090 Abdominal X-rays (AXRs) from 364 patients and investigate the effect of geometric augmentations, colour scheme augmentations and their combination for NEC classification based on the ResNet-50 backbone. We introduce two pipelines based on colour contrast and edge enhancement, to increase the visibility of subtle, difficult-to-identify, critical NEC findings on AXRs and achieve robust accuracy in a challenging three-class NEC classification task.
Results
Our results show that geometric augmentations improve performance, with Translation achieving +6.2%, while Flipping and Occlusion decrease performance. Colour augmentations, like Equalisation, yield modest improvements. The proposed Pr-1 and Pr-2 pipelines enhance model accuracy by +2.4% and +1.7%, respectively. Combining Pr-1/Pr-2 with geometric augmentation, we achieve a maximum performance increase of 7.1%, achieving robust NEC classification.
Conclusion
Based on an extensive validation of preprocessing and augmentation techniques, our work showcases the previously unreported potential of image preprocessing in AXR classification tasks with limited datasets. Our findings can be extended to other medical tasks for designing reliable classifier models with limited X-ray datasets. Ultimately, we also provide a benchmark for automated NEC detection and classification from AXRs.
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Li Y, Wu K, Yang H, Wang J, Chen Q, Ding X, Zhao Q, Xiao S, Yang L. Surgical prediction of neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis based on radiomics and clinical information. Abdom Radiol (NY) 2024; 49:1020-1030. [PMID: 38285178 DOI: 10.1007/s00261-023-04157-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2023] [Revised: 12/11/2023] [Accepted: 12/14/2023] [Indexed: 01/30/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE To assess the predictive value of radiomics for surgical decision-making in neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) when abdominal radiographs (ARs) do not suggest an absolute surgical indication for free pneumoperitoneum. METHODS In this retrospective study, we finally included 171 newborns with NEC and obtained their ARs and clinical data. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%). We developed machine learning models for predicting surgical treatment using clinical features and radiomic features, respectively, and combined these features to build joint models. We assessed predictive performance of the different models by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and compared area under curve (AUC) using the Delong test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the potential clinical benefit of the models to patients. RESULTS There was no significant difference in AUC between the clinical model and the four radiomic models (P > 0.05). The XGBoost joint model had better predictive efficacy and stability (AUC, training set: 0.988, test set: 0.959). Its AUC in the test set was significantly higher than that of the clinical model (P < 0.05). DCA showed that the XGBoost joint model achieved higher net clinical benefit compared to the clinical model in the threshold probability range (0.2-0.6). CONCLUSION Radiomic features based on AR are objective and reproducible. The joint model combining radiomic features and clinical signs has good surgical predictive efficacy and may be an important method to help primary neonatal surgeons assess the surgical risk of NEC neonates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yongteng Li
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Kai Wu
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Huirong Yang
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Jianjun Wang
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Qinming Chen
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Xiaoting Ding
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Qianyun Zhao
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China
| | - Shan Xiao
- Department of Developmental Biology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, Guangdong, China.
| | - Liucheng Yang
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510282, Guangdong, China.
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