Extending the breeder's equation to take aim at the target population of environments

Genetic parameters and genotype-by-environment interaction estimates for growth and feed efficiency related traits in Chinook salmon, Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, reared under low and moderate flow regimes

BACKGROUND

A genotype-by-environment (G × E) interaction is defined as genotypes responding differently to different environments. In salmonids, G × E interactions can occur in different rearing conditions, including changes in salinity or temperature. However, water flow, an important variable that can influence metabolism, has yet to be considered for potential G × E interactions, although water flows differ across production stages. The salmonid industry is now manipulating flow in tanks to improve welfare and production performance, and expanding sea pen farming offshore, where flow dynamics are substantially greater. Therefore, there is a need to test whether G × E interactions occur under low and higher flow regimes to determine if industry should consider modifying their performance evaluation and selection criteria to account for different flow environments. Here, we used genotype-by-sequencing to create a genomic-relationship matrix of 37 Chinook salmon, Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, families to assess possible G × E interactions for production performance under two flow environments: a low flow regime (0.3 body lengths per second; bl s-1) and a moderate flow regime (0.8 bl s-1).

RESULTS

Genetic correlations for the same production performance trait between flow regimes suggest there is minimal evidence of a G × E interaction between the low and moderate flow regimes tested in this study, for Chinook salmon reared from 82.9 ± 16.8 g ( x ¯  ± s.d.) to 583.2 ± 117.1 g ( x ¯  ± s.d.). Estimates of genetic and phenotypic correlations between traits did not reveal any unfavorable trait correlations for size- (weight and condition factor) and growth-related traits, regardless of the flow regime, but did suggest measuring feed intake would be the preferred approach to improve feed efficiency because of the strong correlations between feed intake and feed efficiency, consistent with previous studies.

CONCLUSION

This new information suggests that Chinook salmon families do not need to be selected separately for performance across different flow regimes. However, further studies are needed to confirm this across a wider range of fish sizes and flows. This information is key for breeding programs to determine if separate evaluation groups are required for different flow regimes that are used for production (e.g., hatchery, post smolt recirculating aquaculture system, or offshore).

Factor-Analytic Variance-Covariance Structures for Prediction Into a Target Population of Environments

Finlay-Wilkinson regression is a popular method for modeling genotype-environment interaction in plant breeding and crop variety testing. When environment is a random factor, this model may be cast as a factor-analytic variance-covariance structure, implying a regression on random latent environmental variables. This paper reviews such models with a focus on their use in the analysis of multi-environment trials for the purpose of making predictions in a target population of environments. We investigate the implication of random versus fixed effects assumptions, starting from basic analysis-of-variance models, then moving on to factor-analytic models and considering the transition to models involving observable environmental covariates, which promise to provide more accurate and targeted predictions than models with latent environmental variables.

A framework for simulating genotype-by-environment interaction using multiplicative models

KEY MESSAGE

The simulation of genotype-by-environment interaction using multiplicative models provides a general and scalable framework to generate realistic multi-environment datasets and model plant breeding programmes. Plant breeding has been historically shaped by genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI). Despite its importance, however, many current simulations do not adequately capture the complexity of GEI inherent to plant breeding. The framework developed in this paper simulates GEI with desirable structure using multiplicative models. The framework can be used to simulate a hypothetical target population of environments (TPE), from which many different multi-environment trial (MET) datasets can be sampled. Measures of variance explained and expected accuracy are developed to tune the simulation of non-crossover and crossover GEI and quantify the MET-TPE alignment. The framework has been implemented within the R package FieldSimR, and is demonstrated here using two working examples supported by R code. The first example embeds the framework into a linear mixed model to generate MET datasets with low, moderate and high GEI, which are used to compare several popular statistical models applied to plant breeding. The prediction accuracy generally increases as the level of GEI decreases or the number of environments sampled in the MET increases. The second example integrates the framework into a breeding programme simulation to compare genomic and phenotypic selection strategies over time. Genomic selection outperforms phenotypic selection by ∼ 50-70% in the TPE, depending on the level of GEI. These examples demonstrate how the new framework can be used to generate realistic MET datasets and model plant breeding programmes that better reflect the complexity of real-world settings, making it a valuable tool for optimising a wide range of breeding methodologies.

Genetic gains in IRRI's rice salinity breeding and elite panel development as a future breeding resource

KEY MESSAGE

Estimating genetic gains and formulating a future salinity elite breeding panel for rice pave the way for developing better high-yielding salinity tolerant lines with enhanced genetic gains. Genetic gain is a crucial parameter to check the breeding program's success and help optimize future breeding strategies for enhanced genetic gains. To estimate the genetic gains in IRRI's salinity breeding program and identify the best genotypes based on high breeding values for grain yield (kg/ha), we analyzed the historical data from the trials conducted in the IRRI, Philippines and Bangladesh. A two-stage mixed-model approach accounting for experimental design factors and a relationship matrix was fitted to obtain the breeding values for grain yield and estimate genetic trends. A positive genetic trend of 0.1% per annum with a yield advantage of 1.52 kg/ha was observed in IRRI, Philippines. In Bangladesh, we observed a genetic gain of 0.31% per annum with a yield advantage of 14.02 kg/ha. In the released varieties, we observed a genetic gain of 0.12% per annum with a 2.2 kg/ha/year yield advantage in the IRRI, Philippines. For the Bangladesh dataset, a genetic gain of 0.14% per annum with a yield advantage of 5.9 kg/ha/year was observed in the released varieties. Based on breeding values for grain yield, a core set of the top 145 genotypes with higher breeding values of > 2400 kg/ha in the IRRI, Philippines, and > 3500 kg/ha in Bangladesh with a reliability of > 0.4 were selected to develop the elite breeding panel. Conclusively, a recurrent selection breeding strategy integrated with novel technologies like genomic selection and speed breeding is highly required to achieve higher genetic gains in IRRI's salinity breeding programs.

Crop adaptation to climate change: An evolutionary perspective

The disciplines of evolutionary biology and plant and animal breeding have been intertwined throughout their development, with responses to artificial selection yielding insights into the action of natural selection and evolutionary biology providing statistical and conceptual guidance for modern breeding. Here we offer an evolutionary perspective on a grand challenge of the 21st century: feeding humanity in the face of climate change. We first highlight promising strategies currently under way to adapt crops to current and future climate change. These include methods to match crop varieties with current and predicted environments and to optimize breeding goals, management practices, and crop microbiomes to enhance yield and sustainable production. We also describe the promise of crop wild relatives and recent technological innovations such as speed breeding, genomic selection, and genome editing for improving environmental resilience of existing crop varieties or for developing new crops. Next, we discuss how methods and theory from evolutionary biology can enhance these existing strategies and suggest novel approaches. We focus initially on methods for reconstructing the evolutionary history of crops and their pests and symbionts, because such historical information provides an overall framework for crop-improvement efforts. We then describe how evolutionary approaches can be used to detect and mitigate the accumulation of deleterious mutations in crop genomes, identify alleles and mutations that underlie adaptation (and maladaptation) to agricultural environments, mitigate evolutionary trade-offs, and improve critical proteins. Continuing feedback between the evolution and crop biology communities will ensure optimal design of strategies for adapting crops to climate change.

Two decades of harnessing standing genetic variation for physiological traits to improve drought tolerance in maize

We review approaches to maize breeding for improved drought tolerance during flowering and grain filling in the central and western US corn belt and place our findings in the context of results from public breeding. Here we show that after two decades of dedicated breeding efforts, the rate of crop improvement under drought increased from 6.2 g m-2 year-1 to 7.5 g m-2 year-1, closing the genetic gain gap with respect to the 8.6 g m-2 year-1 observed under water-sufficient conditions. The improvement relative to the long-term genetic gain was possible by harnessing favourable alleles for physiological traits available in the reference population of genotypes. Experimentation in managed stress environments that maximized the genetic correlation with target environments was key for breeders to identify and select for these alleles. We also show that the embedding of physiological understanding within genomic selection methods via crop growth models can hasten genetic gain under drought. We estimate a prediction accuracy differential (Δr) above current prediction approaches of ~30% (Δr=0.11, r=0.38), which increases with increasing complexity of the trait environment system as estimated by Shannon information theory. We propose this framework to inform breeding strategies for drought stress across geographies and crops.