A Web-Based Prediction Model for Cancer-Specific Survival of Elderly Patients Undergoing Surgery With Prostate Cancer: A Population-Based Study

Individualized detection of TMPRSS2-ERG fusion status in prostate cancer: a rank-based qualitative transcriptome signature

BACKGROUND

TMPRSS2-ERG (T2E) fusion is highly related to aggressive clinical features in prostate cancer (PC), which guides individual therapy. However, current fusion prediction tools lacked enough accuracy and biomarkers were unable to be applied to individuals across different platforms due to their quantitative nature. This study aims to identify a transcriptome signature to detect the T2E fusion status of PC at the individual level.

METHODS

Based on 272 high-throughput mRNA expression profiles from the Sboner dataset, we developed a rank-based algorithm to identify a qualitative signature to detect T2E fusion in PC. The signature was validated in 1223 samples from three external datasets (Setlur, Clarissa, and TCGA).

RESULTS

A signature, composed of five mRNAs coupled to ERG (five ERG-mRNA pairs, 5-ERG-mRPs), was developed to distinguish T2E fusion status in PC. 5-ERG-mRPs reached 84.56% accuracy in Sboner dataset, which was verified in Setlur dataset (n = 455, accuracy = 82.20%) and Clarissa dataset (n = 118, accuracy = 81.36%). Besides, for 495 samples from TCGA, two subtypes classified by 5-ERG-mRPs showed a higher level of significance in various T2E fusion features than subtypes obtained through current fusion prediction tools, such as STAR-Fusion.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, 5-ERG-mRPs can robustly detect T2E fusion in PC at the individual level, which can be used on any gene measurement platform without specific normalization procedures. Hence, 5-ERG-mRPs may serve as an auxiliary tool for PC patient management.

Development and validation of two nomograms for predicting overall survival and Cancer-specific survival in prostate cancer patients with bone metastases: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer with bone metastasis has significant invasiveness and markedly poorer prognosis. The purpose of this study is to establish two nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of prostate cancer patients with bone metastasis.

METHODS

From January 2000 to December 2018, a total of 2683 prostate adenocarcinoma with bone metastasis patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database. These patients were then divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort, with OS and CSS as the study endpoints. Correlation analyses were employed to assess the relationship between variables. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were utilized to ascertain the independent prognostic factors. Calibration curves and the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) were employed to evaluate discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. DCA was applied to examine accuracy and clinical benefits. The clinical utility of the nomogram and the AJCC Stage System was compared using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Lastly, the risk stratifications of the nomogram and the AJCC Stage System were compared.

RESULTS

There was no collinearity among the variables that were screened. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that seven variables (age, surgery, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, Gleason score, marital status) and six variables (age, surgery, lung metastasis, liver metastasis, Gleason score, marital status) were identified to establish the nomogram for OS and CSS, respectively. The calibration curves, time-dependent AUC curves, and DCA revealed that both nomograms had pleasant predictive power. Furthermore, NRI and IDI confirmed that the nomogram outperformed the AJCC Stage System.

CONCLUSION

Both nomograms had satisfactory accuracy and were validated to assist clinicians in evaluating the prognosis of PABM patients.

Construction and validation of web-based nomograms for detecting and prognosticating in prostate adenocarcinoma with bone metastasis

Bone metastasis (BM) is one of the most common sites of metastasis in prostate adenocarcinoma (PA). PA with BM can significantly diminish patients' quality of life and result in a poor prognosis. The objective of this study was to establish two web-based nomograms to estimate the risk and prognosis of BM in PA patients. From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, data on 308,332 patients diagnosed with PA were retrieved retrospectively. Logistic and Cox regression, respectively, were used to determine independent risk and prognostic factors. Then, We constructed two web-based nomograms and the results were validated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) , and the Kaplan-Meier analyses. The independent risk factors for BM in PA patients included race, PSA, ISUP, T stage, N stage, brain, liver, lung metastasis, surgery, radiation and chemotherapy. The independent prognostic predictors for overall survival (OS) were age, marital status, PSA, ISUP and liver metastasis. Both nomograms could effectively predict risk and prognosis of BM in PA patients according to the results of ROC curves, calibration, and DCA in the training and validation sets. And the Kaplan-Meier analysis illustrated that the prognostic nomogram could significantly distinguish the population with different survival risks. We successfully constructed the two web-based nomograms for predicting the incidence of BM and the prognosis of PA patients with BM, which may assist clinicians in optimizing the establishment of individualized treatment programs and enhancing patients' prognoses.