An Explainable Multimodal Neural Network Architecture for Predicting Epilepsy Comorbidities Based on Administrative Claims Data

Machine learning applications in preventive healthcare: A systematic literature review on predictive analytics of disease comorbidity from multiple perspectives

Artificial intelligence is constantly revolutionizing biomedical research and healthcare management. Disease comorbidity is a major threat to the quality of life for susceptible groups, especially middle-aged and elderly patients. The presence of multiple chronic diseases makes precision diagnosis challenging to realize and imposes a heavy burden on the healthcare system and economy. Given an enormous amount of accumulated health data, machine learning techniques show their capability in handling this puzzle. The present study conducts a review to uncover current research efforts in applying these methods to understanding comorbidity mechanisms and making clinical predictions considering these complex patterns. A descriptive metadata analysis of 791 unique publications aims to capture the overall research progression between January 2012 and June 2023. To delve into comorbidity-focused research, 61 of these scientific papers are systematically assessed. Four predictive analytics of tasks are detected: disease comorbidity data extraction, clustering, network, and risk prediction. It is observed that some machine learning-driven applications address inherent data deficiencies in healthcare datasets and provide a model interpretation that identifies significant risk factors of comorbidity development. Based on insights, both technical and practical, gained from relevant literature, this study intends to guide future interests in comorbidity research and draw conclusions about chronic disease prevention and diagnosis with managerial implications.

The paradigm change from reactive medical services to 3PM in ischemic stroke: a holistic approach utilising tear fluid multi-omics, mitochondria as a vital biosensor and AI-based multi-professional data interpretation

Worldwide stroke is the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of death and disability combined. The estimated global economic burden by stroke is over US$891 billion per year. Within three decades (1990-2019), the incidence increased by 70%, deaths by 43%, prevalence by 102%, and DALYs by 143%. Of over 100 million people affected by stroke, about 76% are ischemic stroke (IS) patients recorded worldwide. Contextually, ischemic stroke moves into particular focus of multi-professional groups including researchers, healthcare industry, economists, and policy-makers. Risk factors of ischemic stroke demonstrate sufficient space for cost-effective prevention interventions in primary (suboptimal health) and secondary (clinically manifested collateral disorders contributing to stroke risks) care. These risks are interrelated. For example, sedentary lifestyle and toxic environment both cause mitochondrial stress, systemic low-grade inflammation and accelerated ageing; inflammageing is a low-grade inflammation associated with accelerated ageing and poor stroke outcomes. Stress overload, decreased mitochondrial bioenergetics and hypomagnesaemia are associated with systemic vasospasm and ischemic lesions in heart and brain of all age groups including teenagers. Imbalanced dietary patterns poor in folate but rich in red and processed meat, refined grains, and sugary beverages are associated with hyperhomocysteinaemia, systemic inflammation, small vessel disease, and increased IS risks. Ongoing 3PM research towards vulnerable groups in the population promoted by the European Association for Predictive, Preventive and Personalised Medicine (EPMA) demonstrates promising results for the holistic patient-friendly non-invasive approach utilising tear fluid-based health risk assessment, mitochondria as a vital biosensor and AI-based multi-professional data interpretation as reported here by the EPMA expert group. Collected data demonstrate that IS-relevant risks and corresponding molecular pathways are interrelated. For examples, there is an evident overlap between molecular patterns involved in IS and diabetic retinopathy as an early indicator of IS risk in diabetic patients. Just to exemplify some of them such as the 5-aminolevulinic acid/pathway, which are also characteristic for an altered mitophagy patterns, insomnia, stress regulation and modulation of microbiota-gut-brain crosstalk. Further, ceramides are considered mediators of oxidative stress and inflammation in cardiometabolic disease, negatively affecting mitochondrial respiratory chain function and fission/fusion activity, altered sleep-wake behaviour, vascular stiffness and remodelling. Xanthine/pathway regulation is involved in mitochondrial homeostasis and stress-driven anxiety-like behaviour as well as molecular mechanisms of arterial stiffness. In order to assess individual health risks, an application of machine learning (AI tool) is essential for an accurate data interpretation performed by the multiparametric analysis. Aspects presented in the paper include the needs of young populations and elderly, personalised risk assessment in primary and secondary care, cost-efficacy, application of innovative technologies and screening programmes, advanced education measures for professionals and general population-all are essential pillars for the paradigm change from reactive medical services to 3PM in the overall IS management promoted by the EPMA.

A Transformer-Based Model Trained on Large Scale Claims Data for Prediction of Severe COVID-19 Disease Progression

In situations like the COVID-19 pandemic, healthcare systems are under enormous pressure as they can rapidly collapse under the burden of the crisis. Machine learning (ML) based risk models could lift the burden by identifying patients with a high risk of severe disease progression. Electronic Health Records (EHRs) provide crucial sources of information to develop these models because they rely on routinely collected healthcare data. However, EHR data is challenging for training ML models because it contains irregularly timestamped diagnosis, prescription, and procedure codes. For such data, transformer-based models are promising. We extended the previously published Med-BERT model by including age, sex, medications, quantitative clinical measures, and state information. After pre-training on approximately 988 million EHRs from 3.5 million patients, we developed models to predict Acute Respiratory Manifestations (ARM) risk using the medical history of 80,211 COVID-19 patients. Compared to Random Forests, XGBoost, and RETAIN, our transformer-based models more accurately forecast the risk of developing ARM after COVID-19 infection. We used Integrated Gradients and Bayesian networks to understand the link between the essential features of our model. Finally, we evaluated adapting our model to Austrian in-patient data. Our study highlights the promise of predictive transformer-based models for precision medicine.

Prediction of disease comorbidity using explainable artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Disease comorbidity is a major challenge in healthcare affecting the patient's quality of life and costs. AI-based prediction of comorbidities can overcome this issue by improving precision medicine and providing holistic care. The objective of this systematic literature review was to identify and summarise existing machine learning (ML) methods for comorbidity prediction and evaluate the interpretability and explainability of the models.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) framework was used to identify articles in three databases: Ovid Medline, Web of Science and PubMed. The literature search covered a broad range of terms for the prediction of disease comorbidity and ML, including traditional predictive modelling.

RESULTS

Of 829 unique articles, 58 full-text papers were assessed for eligibility. A final set of 22 articles with 61 ML models was included in this review. Of the identified ML models, 33 models achieved relatively high accuracy (80-95%) and AUC (0.80-0.89). Overall, 72% of studies had high or unclear concerns regarding the risk of bias.

DISCUSSION

This systematic review is the first to examine the use of ML and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods for comorbidity prediction. The chosen studies focused on a limited scope of comorbidities ranging from 1 to 34 (mean = 6), and no novel comorbidities were found due to limited phenotypic and genetic data. The lack of standard evaluation for XAI hinders fair comparisons.

CONCLUSION

A broad range of ML methods has been used to predict the comorbidities of various disorders. With further development of explainable ML capacity in the field of comorbidity prediction, there is a significant possibility of identifying unmet health needs by highlighting comorbidities in patient groups that were not previously recognised to be at risk for particular comorbidities.

Multimodal machine learning in precision health: A scoping review

Machine learning is frequently being leveraged to tackle problems in the health sector including utilization for clinical decision-support. Its use has historically been focused on single modal data. Attempts to improve prediction and mimic the multimodal nature of clinical expert decision-making has been met in the biomedical field of machine learning by fusing disparate data. This review was conducted to summarize the current studies in this field and identify topics ripe for future research. We conducted this review in accordance with the PRISMA extension for Scoping Reviews to characterize multi-modal data fusion in health. Search strings were established and used in databases: PubMed, Google Scholar, and IEEEXplore from 2011 to 2021. A final set of 128 articles were included in the analysis. The most common health areas utilizing multi-modal methods were neurology and oncology. Early fusion was the most common data merging strategy. Notably, there was an improvement in predictive performance when using data fusion. Lacking from the papers were clear clinical deployment strategies, FDA-approval, and analysis of how using multimodal approaches from diverse sub-populations may improve biases and healthcare disparities. These findings provide a summary on multimodal data fusion as applied to health diagnosis/prognosis problems. Few papers compared the outputs of a multimodal approach with a unimodal prediction. However, those that did achieved an average increase of 6.4% in predictive accuracy. Multi-modal machine learning, while more robust in its estimations over unimodal methods, has drawbacks in its scalability and the time-consuming nature of information concatenation.

Association between community psychological label and user portrait model based on multimodal neural network

By analyzing traditional deep learning multimode retrieval methods, an optimized multimode retrieval model based on convolutional neural network is established. This article proposes an innovative semi-supervised social network user portrait analysis model (UPAM) based on user portrait model, which integrates users’ social information and some known user attribute information (such as educational background and residence) into a unified topic model framework. Finally, a semi-supervised user portrait analysis method based on user social information and partial known user attribute information is proposed. According to the correlation of user attributes, the cross-validation method is used to train model prediction task and improve the prediction effect. In the first-level model, using a different model to extract the features in the user query, the basis of the second hierarchy model, Stacking is used to further integrate characteristics, finally realizing the attribute population forecast, and experimental verification showing the proposed model’s effectiveness in various attributes of a population.

Multimodal explainable AI predicts upcoming speech behavior in adults who stutter

A key goal of cognitive neuroscience is to better understand how dynamic brain activity relates to behavior. Such dynamics, in terms of spatial and temporal patterns of brain activity, are directly measured with neurophysiological methods such as EEG, but can also be indirectly expressed by the body. Autonomic nervous system activity is the best-known example, but, muscles in the eyes and face can also index brain activity. Mostly parallel lines of artificial intelligence research show that EEG and facial muscles both encode information about emotion, pain, attention, and social interactions, among other topics. In this study, we examined adults who stutter (AWS) to understand the relations between dynamic brain and facial muscle activity and predictions about future behavior (fluent or stuttered speech). AWS can provide insight into brain-behavior dynamics because they naturally fluctuate between episodes of fluent and stuttered speech behavior. We focused on the period when speech preparation occurs, and used EEG and facial muscle activity measured from video to predict whether the upcoming speech would be fluent or stuttered. An explainable self-supervised multimodal architecture learned the temporal dynamics of both EEG and facial muscle movements during speech preparation in AWS, and predicted fluent or stuttered speech at 80.8% accuracy (chance=50%). Specific EEG and facial muscle signals distinguished fluent and stuttered trials, and systematically varied from early to late speech preparation time periods. The self-supervised architecture successfully identified multimodal activity that predicted upcoming behavior on a trial-by-trial basis. This approach could be applied to understanding the neural mechanisms driving variable behavior and symptoms in a wide range of neurological and psychiatric disorders. The combination of direct measures of neural activity and simple video data may be applied to developing technologies that estimate brain state from subtle bodily signals.