Akalu TY, Clements AC, Xu Z, Bai L, Alene KA. Predictors of poor treatment outcomes among drug-resistant tuberculosis patients in Hunan province, China.
Heliyon 2024;
10:e40391. [PMID:
39687163 PMCID:
PMC11648092 DOI:
10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40391]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2024] [Revised: 10/23/2024] [Accepted: 11/12/2024] [Indexed: 12/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Background
Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) is a significant public health concern, often resulting in poor treatment outcomes. This study aims to identify predictors of poor treatment outcomes among patients with DR-TB in Hunan Province, China.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study was conducted in Hunan Province using data collected between 2013 and 2018 among patients with DR-TB treatment. Univariable and multivariable parametric survival analyses were performed using a shared frailty survival model with a Weibull distribution and Gamma frailty to identify determinants of poor treatment outcomes. Adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) with a 95 % confidence interval (CI) were calculated for the best-fitted model. The goodness of fit for the model was assessed using the Cox-Snell residual test.
Results
A total of 1384 bacteriologically confirmed DR-TB patients were included in the analysis. Of these, 9.97 % (95 % CI: 8.05-11.67 %) experienced poor treatment outcomes. The hazard of poor treatment outcomes was significantly higher among patients with a history of previous TB treatment compared to those with new TB (AHR = 1.82, 95 % CI: 1.27-2.61). Additionally, each one-day delay in diagnosis was associated with a slightly increased hazard of poor treatment outcomes (AHR = 1.00034, 95 % CI:1.000041-1.00064). Patients who received medication supervision and consistent treatment follow-up (i.e., systematic management) had a significantly lower hazard of poor treatment outcomes than those without systematic management (AHR = 0.08, 95 % CI: 0.05-0.14).
Conclusion
A substantial proportion of DR-TB patients in Hunan Province experience poor treatment outcomes, with prior TB treatment and delays in diagnosis being key predictors. Early diagnosis and systematic management, including medication supervision and consistent follow-up, significantly reduce the risk of poor treatment outcomes. Focused interventions for previously treated TB cases are crucial to improving treatment outcomes and mitigating the risk of long-term physical sequelae among DR-TB survivors.
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