Early Predictors of Objective Response in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Lenvatinib Treatment

Alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin can predict the objective response of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving durvalumab plus tremelimumab therapy

Durvalumab plus tremelimumab (Durva/Treme) combined immunotherapy is the first-line therapy recommended for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Since sequential therapy is more effective in improving prognosis, tumor markers have been used as predictive biomarkers for response to systemic therapy. This study aimed to investigate the predictive ability of objective response (OR) by tumor markers for Durva/Treme therapy against HCC. In this multicenter study, 110 patients with HCC who received Durva/Treme therapy were retrospectively enrolled. The OR rate was 15.5%. To aid early decision-making regarding OR, we evaluated the predictors contributing to OR in two steps: before (first step) and 4 weeks after (second step) treatment induction. Changes in tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin [DCP]) from baseline to 4 weeks after treatment (ΔAFP/ΔDCP) were included as the input factors. In the first step, multivariable analysis identified only the baseline AFP level (odds ratio 3.497, p = 0.029) as a predictor of OR. Patients with AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL had a significantly higher OR rate than those with < 400 ng/mL (28.2 vs. 8.5%, p = 0.011), and there was no significant difference in progression-free survival (PFS) between the two groups. When AFP/DCP response was defined as a ≥10% reduction from baseline, multivariable analysis showed that AFP response (odds ratio 6.023, p = 0.042) and DCP response (odds ratio 11.657, p = 0.006) were both independent predictors of OR in the second step. The PFS of patients with AFP or DCP response was significantly longer than that of patients without AFP or DCP response. The study demonstrated that the use of AFP and DCP can predict the OR of patients with HCC receiving Durva/Treme therapy.

Early Changes in Alpha-Fetoprotein and Des-γ-Carboxy Prothrombin Are Useful Predictors of Antitumor Response to Durvalumab Plus Tremelimumab Therapy for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The relationship between antitumor response and tumor marker changes was evaluated in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with durvalumab plus tremelimumab (Dur/Tre). Forty patients were enrolled in this retrospective evaluation of treatment outcomes. According to the Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors version 1.1 at 8 weeks, the objective response (OR) rate was 25% and the disease control (DC) rate was 57.5%. The median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ratio at 4 weeks was 0.39 in patients who achieved OR at 8 weeks (8W-OR group), significantly lower than the 1.08 in the non-8W-OR group (p = 0.0068); however, it was 1.22 in patients who did not achieve DC at 8 weeks (non-8W-DC group), significantly higher than the 0.53 in the 8W-DC group (p = 0.0006). Similarly, the median des-γ-carboxy-prothrombin (DCP) ratio at 4 weeks was 0.15 in the 8W-OR group, significantly lower than the 1.46 in the non-8W-OR group (p < 0.0001); however, it was 1.23 in the non-8W-DC group, significantly higher than the 0.49 in the 8W-DC group (p = 0.0215). Early changes in tumor markers after Dur/Tre initiation were associated with antitumor response. In particular, changes in AFP and DCP at 4 weeks may offer useful biomarkers for early prediction of both response and progressive disease following Dur/Tre.

Amount of ascites impacts survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transarterial chemoembolization advocating for volumetric assessment

Preliminary work has shown that portal hypertension plays a key role for the prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Specifically, the presence of ascites appears to be a strong negative predictor for these patients. However, it remains unclear whether different ascites volumes influence prognosis. Therefore, the aim of this work was to investigate the influence of different ascites volumes on survival for patients with HCC undergoing TACE. A total of 327 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing initial TACE at our tertiary care center between 2010 and 2020 were included. In patients with ascites, the fluid was segmented, and the volume quantified by slice-wise addition using contrast-enhanced CT imaging. Median overall survival (OS) was calculated and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis has been performed. Ascites was present in 102 (31.9%) patients. Ascites volume as continuous variable was significantly associated with an increased hazard ratio in univariate analysis (p < 0.001) and remained an independent predictor of impaired median OS in multivariate analysis (p < 0.001). Median OS without ascites was 17.1 months, and therefore significantly longer than in patients with ascites (6.4 months, p < 0.001). When subdivided into groups of low and high ascites volume in relation to the median ascites volume, patients with low ascites volume had a significantly longer median OS (8.6 vs 3.6 months, p < 0.001). Ascites in patients with HCC undergoing TACE is strongly associated with a poor prognosis. Our results show that not only the presence but also the amount of ascites is highly relevant. Therefore, true ascites volume as opportunistic quantitative biomarker is likely to impact clinical decision-making once automated solutions become available.

Prognostic Value of Alpha-Fetoprotein in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Hepatic Artery Infusion Chemotherapy Combined with Lenvatinib and Camrelizumab

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) who underwent hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab.

Methods

A retrospective review was conducted on patients with u-HCC receiving treatment with HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Early AFP response was defined as a >20% decrease in AFP within 4 weeks, and AFP response as a >75% decrease in AFP within 8 weeks. The correlation between early AFP response, AFP response, therapeutic response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) was investigated.

Results

The study included 63 patients. AFP responders exhibited superior objective response rates compared to AFP non-responders, as determined by RECIST v1.1 or mRECIST criteria (45.5 vs. 18.2%, p=0.014, or 81.8 vs. 48.5%, p=0.013). Furthermore, early AFP responders demonstrated prolonged OS (not reached vs. 8.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (13.3 vs. 3.0 months, p= 0.018) relative to early AFP non-responders. Similarly, AFP responders exhibited improved OS (not reached vs. 9.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (19.3 vs. 5.1 months, p=0.002) compared to AFP non-responders. Multivariate analysis results indicated that both early AFP response and AFP response independently predicted OS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.963, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.333-6.585, p=0.008, and HR 6.182, 95% CI 1.780-21.466, p=0.004] and PFS (HR 2.186, 95% CI 1.107-4.318, p=0.024, and HR 3.078, 95% CI 1.407-6.730, p=0.005), serving as significant prognostic values.

Conclusion

Early AFP response and AFP response serve as predictive biomarkers for the effectiveness of HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab in patients with u-HCC.

Real-World Effectiveness of First Line Lenvatinib Therapy in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Current Insights

Lenvatinib received its initial approval in 2018 for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. It has since emerged as the preferred first line agent, supported by non-inferiority data from the REFLECT trial. Notably, lenvatinib exhibits a more favorable toxicity profile and a higher response rate compared to sorafenib. Despite the approval of immunotherapy in 2020, specifically the combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab following the IMbrave150 trial, tyrosine kinase inhibitors remain an indispensable class of agents in the landscape of hepatocellular carcinoma treatment. This comprehensive review delves into various facets of lenvatinib utilization in hepatocellular carcinoma, shedding light on real-world data, addressing challenges, and providing insights into strategies to overcome these obstacles.

A Multicenter Phase 2 Trial Evaluating the Efficacy and Safety of Preoperative Lenvatinib Therapy for Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma (LENS-HCC Trial)

Introduction

The phase III REFLECT trial demonstrated that lenvatinib was superior to sorafenib in terms of progression-free survival (PFS), time to progression, and objective response rate (ORR) for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study assessed the efficacy and safety of preoperative lenvatinib therapy for patients with oncologically or technically unresectable HCC.

Methods

In this multicenter single-arm phase II trial, patients with advanced HCC and factors suggestive of a poor prognosis (macroscopic vascular invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, or multinodular tumors) were enrolled. Patients with these factors, even with technically resectable HCC, were defined as oncologically unresectable because of the expected poor prognosis after surgery. After 8 weeks of lenvatinib therapy, the patients were assessed for resectability, and tumor resection was performed if the tumor was considered technically resectable. The primary endpoint was the surgical resection rate. The secondary endpoints were the macroscopic curative resection rate, overall survival (OS), ORR, PFS, and the change in the indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min as measured before and after lenvatinib therapy. The trial was registered with the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (s031190057).

Results

Between July 2019 and January 2021, 49 patients (42 oncologically unresectable patients and 7 technically unresectable patients) from 11 centers were enrolled. The ORR was 37.5% based on mRECIST and 12.5% based on RECIST version 1.1. Thirty-three patients underwent surgery (surgical resection rate: 67.3%) without perioperative mortality. The surgical resection rate was 76.2% for oncologically unresectable patients and 14.3% for technically unresectable patients. The 1-year OS rate and median PFS were 75.9% and 7.2 months, respectively, with a median follow-up period of 9.3 months.

Conclusions

The relatively high surgical resection rate seen in this study suggests the safety and feasibility of lenvatinib therapy followed by surgical resection for patients with oncologically or technically unresectable HCC.

Radiographic and serologic response in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma receiving systemic antineoplastic treatments: A trial-level analysis

BACKGROUND

In a disease like unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma, overall survival is an inadequate outcome measure for evaluating the effectiveness of treatments given the high risk of death from liver failure. There is an unmet need for reliable alternative end points for clinical trials and daily clinical practice. To evaluate treatment response in patients with unresectable or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (mHCC), imaging-related end points are often used, whereas serologic end points have been developed for patients with serum alpha-fetoprotein levels >20 ng/mL. The objective of this study was to evaluate clinical trials that report concomitant assessment of radiographic and serologic response in patients with mHCC.

METHODS

After a systematic review, studies that evaluated response according to radiographic and serologic criteria were selected. A correlation between progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was performed, and a linear regression of each response-related outcome measure with OS was reported. Finally, the effect of eight baseline variables on OS and response-related measures was evaluated.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies were included, including 16 first-line studies and 10 second-line studies. PFS and response rates demonstrated a significant relationship with OS, whereas disease control rates did not. The responses were correlated with OS, particularly in the first-line setting, after targeted therapy, and whenever assessment was early. Among the baseline variables, only performance status had a prognostic role, whereas hepatitis B virus-related liver disease was associated with higher radiographic response rates.

CONCLUSIONS

PFS and radiographic and serologic response rates appear to be reliable intermediate end points in patients with mHCC who are undergoing systemic antineoplastic therapy. However, the serologic response is available earlier.

Neoadjuvant therapies in resectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Exploring strategies to improve prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a challenging malignancy, often necessitates surgical intervention, notably liver resection. However, the high recurrence rate, reaching 70% within 5 years post-resection, significantly impacts patient outcomes. Neoadjuvant therapies aim to preoperatively address this challenge, reducing lesion size, improving surgical resection rates, deactivating potential micro-metastases, and ultimately lowering postoperative recurrence rates. This review concentrates on advances in research on and clinical use of neoadjuvant therapies for HCC, with particular attention to the use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting programmed cell death-1 (PD-1), programmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1), and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein-4 (CTLA-4). Ongoing clinical studies exploring immunotherapy combined with a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), interventional therapy, radiotherapy, and other modalities offer promising insights into overcoming resistance to monotherapies. In summary, neoadjuvant therapies hold significant promise in terms of improving the prognosis for patients with HCC and enhancing long-term survival, particularly through innovative combination strategies.

Early Tumor Marker Response Predicts Treatment Outcomes in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Combined Lenvatinib, Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors, and Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Therapy

Purpose

Few reliable biomarkers for predicting the efficacy of triple therapy (lenvatinib + immune checkpoint inhibitors + transarterial chemoembolization) exist for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). This study explored the prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) levels in patients with uHCC receiving triple therapy.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective study included 93 patients with uHCC who received triple therapy at Fujian Provincial Hospital between August 2020 and November 2022. Depending on the respective baseline levels, the patients were divided into high-AFP and high-DCP groups. An early response was defined as an AFP or DCP concentration >50% less than the baseline concentration after 6 weeks of triple therapy. The primary endpoint was the objective response rate (ORR). The secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

After 6 weeks of triple therapy, 75.3% (58/77) and 78.9% (60/76) of patients in the high-AFP and high-DCP groups achieved an objective response. Early AFP and DCP responses were positively associated with ORR (high-AFP group: odds ratio [OR]: 13.542; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.991-45.950, p<0.001; high-DCP group: OR: 17.853; 95% CI: 4.478-71.179, p<0.001). In the high-AFP group, the 6-month, 12-month, and 18-month PFS and OS rates were higher in the AFP responders than those in the non-responders (PFS: 66.4%, 59.6%, 48.2% vs 42.3%, 19.3%, 0%, p<0.001; OS: 94.5%, 90.4%, 77.3% vs 75.6%, 66.2%, 49.6%, p=0.006). In the high-DCP group, the 6-month, 12-month, and 18-month PFS and OS rates were higher in the DCP responders than those in the non-responders (PFS: 67.4%, 57.7%, 39.0% vs 38.9%, 8.1%, 0%, p<0.001; OS: 94.7%, 94.7%, 83.3% vs 77.0%, 53.9%, 36.0%, p<0.001).

Conclusion

After 6 weeks of triple therapy, an AFP or DCP reduction of >50% predicts better treatment outcomes in uHCC patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: molecular mechanism, targeted therapy, and biomarkers

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy and one of the leading causes of cancer-related death. The biological process of HCC is complex, with multiple factors leading to the broken of the balance of inactivation and activation of tumor suppressor genes and oncogenes, the abnormal activation of molecular signaling pathways, the differentiation of HCC cells, and the regulation of angiogenesis. Due to the insidious onset of HCC, at the time of first diagnosis, less than 30% of HCC patients are candidates for radical treatment. Systematic antitumor therapy is the hope for the treatment of patients with middle-advanced HCC. Despite the emergence of new systemic therapies, survival rates for advanced HCC patients remain low. The complex pathogenesis of HCC has inspired researchers to explore a variety of biomolecular targeted therapeutics targeting specific targets. Correct understanding of the molecular mechanism of HCC occurrence is key to seeking effective targeted therapy. Research on biomarkers for HCC treatment is also advancing. Here, we explore the molecular mechanism that are associated with HCC development, summarize targeted therapies for HCC, and discuss potential biomarkers that may drive therapies.

Early Prediction of Response Focused on Tumor Markers in Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Despite the promising efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezo/bev), some patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) experience disease progression. This retrospective study, which included 154 patients, aimed to evaluate predictors of treatment efficacy of atezo/bev for unresectable HCC. Factors associated with treatment response were examined, focusing on tumor markers. In the high-alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) group (baseline AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL), a decrease in AFP level > 30% was an independent predictor of objective response (odds ratio, 5.517; p = 0.0032). In the low-AFP group (baseline AFP < 20 ng/mL), baseline des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) level < 40 mAU/mL was an independent predictor of objective response (odds ratio, 3.978; p = 0.0206). The independent predictors of early progressive disease were an increase in AFP level ≥ 30% at 3 weeks (odds ratio, 4.077; p = 0.0264) and the presence of extrahepatic spread (odds ratio, 3.682; p = 0.0337) in the high-AFP group and up-to-seven criteria, OUT (odds ratio, 15.756; p = 0.0257) in the low-AFP group. In atezo/bev therapy, focusing on early AFP changes, baseline DCP, and tumor burden of up-to-seven criteria are useful in predicting response to treatment.

Machine Learning to Predict the Response to Lenvatinib Combined with Transarterial Chemoembolization for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Lenvatinib and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) are first-line treatments for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the objective response rate (ORR) is not satisfactory. We aimed to predict the response to lenvatinib combined with TACE before treatment for unresectable HCC using machine learning (ML) algorithms based on clinical data.

METHODS

Patients with unresectable HCC receiving the combination therapy of lenvatinib combined with TACE from two medical centers were retrospectively collected from January 2020 to December 2021. The response to the combination therapy was evaluated over the following 4-12 weeks. Five types of ML algorithms were applied to develop the predictive models, including classification and regression tree (CART), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM). The performance of the models was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method was applied to explain the model.

RESULTS

A total of 125 unresectable HCC patients were included in the analysis after the inclusion and exclusion criteria, among which 42 (33.6%) patients showed progression disease (PD), 49 (39.2%) showed stable disease (SD), and 34 (27.2%) achieved partial response (PR). The nonresponse group (PD + SD) included 91 patients, while the response group (PR) included 34 patients. The top 40 most important features from all 64 clinical features were selected using the recursive feature elimination (RFE) algorithm to develop the predictive models. The predictive power was satisfactory, with AUCs of 0.74 to 0.91. The SVM model and RF model showed the highest accuracy (86.5%), and the RF model showed the largest AUC (0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.61-0.95). The SHAP summary plot and decision plot illustrated the impact of the top 40 features on the efficacy of the combination therapy, and the SHAP force plot successfully predicted the efficacy at the individualized level.

CONCLUSIONS

A new predictive model based on clinical data was developed using ML algorithms, which showed favorable performance in predicting the response to lenvatinib combined with TACE for unresectable HCC. Combining ML with SHAP could provide an explicit explanation of the efficacy prediction.

Safety and Effectiveness of Lenvatinib in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Real-World Clinical Practice: An Observational Post-Marketing Study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Lenvatinib was approved for use in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) in Japan in 2018. Patients with diverse clinical characteristics receive lenvatinib treatment in clinical practice. Thus, it is crucial to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of lenvatinib in real-world clinical settings.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the real-world safety and effectiveness of lenvatinib for uHCC in clinical practice in Japan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between July 2018 and January 2019, patients with uHCC who were administered lenvatinib for the first time were enrolled in this prospective, multicenter, observational post-marketing study (NCT03663114). Patients were orally administered lenvatinib and followed up for 12 months. For safety, adverse drug reactions (ADRs) were evaluated. For effectiveness, the objective response rate (ORR) was calculated to evaluate tumor response. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Data of 703 patients (median age, 73 years; 80.2% males) were analyzed. The median (range) treatment duration was 25.3 (0.3-68.9) weeks. The mean ± standard deviation initial dose was 7.37 ± 1.65 mg in patients with body weight < 60 kg and 10.43 ± 2.49 mg in those with body weight ≥ 60 kg. ADRs (any grade) were reported in 84.9% of the patients, with Grade ≥ 3 ADRs reported in 42.5% of the patients. The most common ADRs (> 10%) were decreased appetite, fatigue, hypertension, proteinuria, palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia, hypothyroidism, and diarrhea. The median OS of the 703 patients was 498.0 days. In 494 patients assessed using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST), the ORR was 39.5% (95% confidence interval: 35.1-43.9%). Patients with better liver or renal function at baseline achieved significantly higher ORR than those with worse liver or renal function.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with uHCC in real-world clinical practice in Japan, treatment with lenvatinib was generally well tolerated, and no new safety concerns were identified. The ORR and median OS were similar to or better than the results of the Japanese subset of the global Phase III REFLECT trial. Our results demonstrated that clinically meaningful treatment responses were achieved with lenvatinib in real-world clinical practice.

Association between early response of alpha-fetoprotein and treatment efficacy of systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter cohort study from China

Background

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a well-identified biomarker in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, only limited AFP-related studies have evaluated its early response to systemic therapy. This study was performed with the aim of assessing the value of early AFP response in predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in advanced HCC patients receiving systemic therapy.

Methods

This cohort study included HCC patients with baseline AFP ≥ 200 ng/ml and no prior treatment history. A > 20% decline in the serum AFP level from baseline to the first follow-up (i.e., 4~6 weeks after treatment) was defined as an early AFP response. Patient demographic information, clinical characteristics, radiological response, and survival rates were compared between patients with early AFP response and patients without early AFP response. We further utilized multivariate Cox regression to seek characteristics related to OS and PFS.

Results

Among 154 patients, 69 patients (44.8%) showed an early AFP response. The disease control rate (76.8 vs. 54.1%; P = 0.003) and objective response rate (38.4 vs. 11.8%; P = 0.001) were significantly higher in patients with an early AFP response. By performing multivariate analysis, early AFP response remained a prognostic factor for longer PFS (HR 0.546; 95% CI 0.371-0.804; P = 0.002) and longer OS (HR 0.529; 95% CI 0.335-0.834; P = 0.006).

Conclusion

An early AFP response is correlated with longer overall survival and progression-free survival for advanced HCC patients receiving systemic therapy. Moreover, an early AFP response is an independent prognostic factor for longer OS and PFS.

Five years of lenvatinib in hepatocellular carcinoma: are there any predictive and/or prognostic factors?

INTRODUCTION

Lenvatinib was the first drug approved in 2017 for first-line treatment of hepatocarcinoma (HCC) after 10 years of Sorafenib as exclusive standard of care. The therapeutic armamentarium has recently expanded following the approval of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

AREAS COVERED

Numerous studies have been conducted during the past 5 years on Lenvatinib use in real-world settings in an effort to determine prognostic and predictive factors of Lenvatinib efficacy. In order to choose the most effective therapeutic approach, it may be helpful to summarize these results in this review.

EXPERT OPINION

A subgroup that appears to benefit most from Lenvatinib therapy are patients with non-viral cirrhosis. This aspect is of great importance today considering the increase in NASH prevalence. Also, a significant proportion of BCLC B patients appear to respond well to Lenvatinib therapy. The biological heterogeneity highlighted in HCC patients, along with the growing number of therapeutic options, makes the identification of stratification tools able to define which patients are more likely to respond to a treatment rather than another one of crucial interest. Further investigation deepening the biological pathways underlying HCC carcinogenesis are of particular interest in order to pave the way for precision medicine even for HCC patients.

Artificial intelligence based on serum biomarkers predicts the efficacy of lenvatinib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Lenvatinib has been effective not only as a first-line but also as a later-line systemic therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) in real-world clinical practice. How to predict the efficacy of lenvatinib and guide appropriate therapy selection in patients with uHCC have become important issues. This study aimed to investigate the impact of serum biomarkers on the treatment outcomes of patients with uHCC treated with lenvatinib in a real-world setting using an artificial intelligence algorithm. We measured serum biomarkers, including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and circulating angiogenic factors (CAFs [i.e., vascular endothelial growth factor, angiopoietin-2, fibroblast growth factor-19 [FGF19], and FGF21]) and analyzed treatment outcomes, including objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in patients with uHCC treated with lenvatinib. The results of this study demonstrated that an AFP reduction ≥ 40% from baseline within 8 weeks after lenvatinib induction was associated with a higher ORR. With baseline biomarkers using a decision tree-based model, we identified patients with high, intermediate, and low ORRs (84.6%, 21.7% and 0%, respectively; odds ratio, 53.04, P < 0.001, high versus intermediate/low groups). Based on the decision tree-based survival predictive model, baseline AFP was the most important factor for OS, followed by ALBI grade and FGF21.

Assessment and Monitoring of Response to Systemic Treatment in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Current Insights

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) management has become more complex as novel therapies have been proven effective. After sorafenib, the approval of other multikinase inhibitors (MKIs) and immune checkpoints inhibitors (ICIs) has considerably increased the number of systemic therapies available. Therefore, careful assessment and monitoring of response to systemic treatment are essential to identify surrogate endpoints of overall survival (OS) in clinical trials and reliable tools to gauge treatment benefit in clinical practice. Progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) are early informative parameters of efficacy that are not influenced by further lines of therapy. However, none of them has shown sufficient surrogacy to be recommended in place of OS in phase 3 trials. With such a wealth of therapeutic options, the prime intent of tumor assessments is no longer limited to identifying progressive disease to spare ineffective treatments to non-responders. Indeed, the early detection of responders could also help tailor treatment sequencing. Tumor assessment relies on the Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors (RECIST), which are easy to interpret - being based on dimensional principles - but could misread the activity of targeted agents. The HCC-specific modified RECIST (mRECIST), considering both the MKI-induced biological modifications and some of the cirrhosis-induced liver changes, better capture tumor response. Yet, mRECIST could not be considered a standard in advanced HCC. Further prognosticators including progression patterns, baseline and on-treatment liver function deterioration, and baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels and AFP response have been extensively evaluated for MKIs. However, limited information is available for patients receiving ICIs and regarding their predictive role. Finally, there is increasing interest in incorporating novel imaging techniques which go beyond sizes and novel serum biomarkers in the advanced HCC framework. Hopefully, multiparametric models grouping dimensional and functional radiological parameters with biochemical markers will most precisely reflect treatment response.

Targeted Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Old and New Opportunities

Simple Summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent primitive cancer of the liver, accounting for 90% of all recorded cases. HCC is the third most common cause of cancer-related death, with a 5-year survival rate of just 3%. In terms of the advanced stages, systemic treatments have allowed patients to achieve clinical benefits, although the prognosis remains very poor. In the past few decades, new molecular targeted therapies have been developed and clinically evaluated with interesting results. However, on the basis of the poor prognoses and the meager benefits deriving from the available systemic therapies, research into new treatments is extremely necessary. In this review, we focus on the available systemic therapies for advanced HCC, with a look toward the future.

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent primitive cancer of the liver, accounting for 90% of all recorded cases. HCC is the third most common cause of cancer-related death, with a 5-year survival rate of just 3%. In the advanced stages, systemic treatments allow doctors to obtain clinical benefits, although the prognosis remains very poor. In the past few decades, new molecular targeted therapies against receptor tyrosine kinases have been developed and clinically evaluated. Sorafenib was the first oral tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) approved for the treatment of advanced HCC in 2007. Subsequently, other TKIs, including Cabozantinib, Regorafenib, Lenvatinib, and vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (VEGFR) inhibitors such as Ramucirumab and VEGF inhibitors such as Bevacizumab have been approved as first- or second-line treatments. More recently, the combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors and VEGF inhibitors (Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab) have been analyzed and approved for the treatment of advanced HCC. On the basis of the poor prognoses and the meager benefits deriving from the available systemic therapies, research into new treatments is extremely necessary. In this review, we focus on the available systemic therapies for advanced HCC, with a look toward the future.

Alpha-Fetoprotein as a Potential Surrogate Biomarker for Atezolizumab + Bevacizumab Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Atezolizumab + bevacizumab is the new standard of care for systemic treatment-naïve, unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This exploratory study investigated on-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response as a potential surrogate biomarker of prognosis for the combination therapy.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Data from Group A of the phase Ib GO30140 study were used to identify the optimal time for AFP measurement and AFP cutoffs to differentiate patients by their best confirmed response per independent review facility-assessed RECIST (IRF-RECIST) version 1.1: responders from nonresponders and patients with disease control from primary progressors. We applied these cutoffs to independent data from the atezolizumab + bevacizumab arm of the phase III IMbrave150 trial to distinguish patients based on (i) overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) per IRF-RECIST 1.1 and (ii) best confirmed response per IRF-RECIST 1.1.

RESULTS

We derived AFP cutoffs of ≥75% decrease and ≤10% increase from baseline at 6 weeks to identify responders and those who had disease control, respectively. These cutoffs had high sensitivity and specificity in GO30140. In IMbrave150 patients, sensitivity was 0.59 and specificity was 0.86 for the ≥75% decrease AFP cutoff; the sensitivity was 0.77 and specificity was 0.44 for the ≤10% increase AFP cutoff. Both AFP cutoffs were associated with longer OS and PFS, particularly in patients with hepatitis B virus etiology (HR < 0.5; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

AFP response at 6 weeks after initiating treatment is a potential surrogate biomarker of prognosis for patients with HCC receiving atezolizumab + bevacizumab. See related commentary by Cappuyns and Llovet, p. 3405.

Dynamic Change of Albumin-Bilirubin Score Is Good Predictive Parameter for Prognosis in Chronic Hepatitis C-hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background and Aims: The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a good index for liver function evaluation and is also associated with the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving TACE. However, the correlation between the dynamic change to the ALBI score and clinical outcome is seldom discussed. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the application of ALBI grade and dynamic change of ALBI grade (delta ALBI grade) after first TACE for prognosis prediction in HCC patients with chronic hepatitis C infection. Method: From January 2005 to December 2015, newly diagnosed naive chronic hepatitis C-hepatocellular carcinoma (CHC-HCC) patients who were treated with TACE as the initial treatment at the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, were retrospectively recruited. The pre-treatment host factors, tumor status and noninvasive markers were collected. The Cox regression model was used to identify independent predictors of overall survival and tumor recurrence. Results: Among 613 treatment-naive CHC-HCC patients, 430 patients died after repeated TACE during a median follow-up of 26.9 months. Complete remission after repeated TACE occurred in 46.2% patients, and 208 patients (33.9%) had tumor recurrence, with a median recurrence-free interval of 8.5 months. In Cox regression analysis, ALBI grade II/III (aHR: 1.088, p = 0.035) and increased delta ALBI grade (aHR: 1.456, p = 0.029) were independent predictive factors for tumor recurrence. Furthermore, ALBI grade II/III (aHR: 1.451, p = 0.005) and increased delta ALBI grade during treatment (aHR: 1.436, p = 0.006) were predictive factors for mortality, while achieving complete response after repeated TACE (aHR: 0.373, p < 0.001) and anti-viral therapy (aHR: 0.580, p = 0.002) were protective factors for mortality. Conclusion: Both ALBI and delta ALBI grade are independent parameters to predict survival and tumor recurrence of CHC-HCC patients receiving TACE treatment.

Early Alpha-Fetoprotein Response Is Associated With Survival in Patients With HBV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Lenvatinib

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Lenvatinib is a first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). We assessed the value of early alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response for predicting clinical outcomes with lenvatinib treatment in patients with HBV-related uHCC and elevated AFP levels.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included patients with HBV-related uHCC and baseline AFP levels ≥20 ng/ml who received lenvatinib for >1 month between November 2018 and May 2021. Early AFP response was defined as a >20% decrease in AFP serum level from baseline after 4 weeks of lenvatinib treatment. Radiological response (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors v1.1), progression-free survival, and overall survival were assessed in AFP responders and non-responders.

RESULTS

Of the 46 patients analyzed, 30 (65.2%) were early AFP responders and 16 (34.8%) were non-responders. Compared to the non-responders, early AFP responders had a significantly higher objective response rate (34.5% vs 6.3%, p=0.0349), disease control rate (82.8% vs 50.0%; p=0.0203) and longer median progression-free survival (13.0 vs 7.0 months; HR, 0.464; 95% CI, 0.222-0.967; p=0.028). A subsequent multivariate analysis confirmed that early AFP response (HR, 0.387; 95% CI, 0.183-0.992; p=0.0154), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status of 0 (HR, 0.890; 95% CI, 0.811-0.976; p=0.0132) and Albumin-Bilirubin grade 1 (HR, 0.457; 95% CI, 0.269-0.963; p=0.0327) were independent prognostic factors for longer progression-free survival.

CONCLUSION

AFP is an important prognostic factor and a predictive biomarker for survival benefit with lenvatinib treatment in patients with HBV-related uHCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Molecular Pathogenesis and Therapeutic Advances

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most common form of liver cancer, continues to be a serious medical problem with poor prognosis, without major therapeutic improvement for years and increasing incidence. Fortunately, advances in systemic treatment options are finally arriving for HCC patients. After a decade of sorafenib as a standard therapy for advanced HCC, several tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), antiangiogenic antibodies, and immune checkpoint inhibitors have reached the clinic. Although infections by hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus remain principal factors for HCC development, the rise of non- alcoholic steatohepatitis from diabetes mellitus or metabolic syndrome is impeding HCC decline. Knowledge of specific molecular mechanisms, based on the etiology and the HCC microenvironment that influence tumor growth and immune control, will be crucial for physician decision-making among a variety of drugs to prescribe. In addition, markers of treatment efficacy are needed to speed the movement of patients towards other potentially effective treatments. Consequently, research to provide scientific data for the evidence-based management of liver cancer is guaranteed in the coming years and discussed here.

Analysis of Survival and Response to Lenvatinib in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

With the recent increase in the number of drug therapy options for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC), the key issue has become how to prolong overall survival (OS). The aim was to evaluate the association between radiological response and OS in patients treated with lenvatinib as a first-line systemic treatment for u-HCC. Radiological response using both Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) and modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) is a predictor of OS and achieving an objective response at the first evaluation is an independent prognostic factor for OS. In addition, if an objective response is obtained at the initial evaluation, continuation of treatment appears desirable because prolonged OS can be expected; but, if stable disease is obtained at the initial evaluation, one should determine whether to continue or switch to the next treatment, with careful consideration of factors related to the tumor and hepatic reserve at the initial evaluation.

Abstract

The association between radiological response and overall survival (OS) was retrospectively evaluated in patients treated with lenvatinib as a first-line systemic treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. A total of 182 patients with Child–Pugh class A liver function and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of zero or one were enrolled. Radiological evaluation was performed using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) and modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). Initial radiological evaluation confirmed significant stratification of OS by efficacy judgment with both RECIST and mRECIST, and that initial radiological response was an independent prognostic factor for OS on multivariate analysis. Furthermore, in patients with stable disease (SD) at initial evaluation, macrovascular invasion at the initial evaluation on RECIST and modified albumin–bilirubin grade at initial evaluation on mRECIST were independent predictors of OS on multivariate analysis. In conclusion, if objective response is obtained at the initial evaluation, continuation of treatment appears desirable because prolonged OS can be expected; but, if SD is obtained at the initial evaluation, one should determine whether to continue or switch to the next treatment, with careful consideration of factors related to the tumor and hepatic reserve at the initial evaluation.

Fully automated AI-based splenic segmentation for predicting survival and estimating the risk of hepatic decompensation in TACE patients with HCC

OBJECTIVES

Splenic volume (SV) was proposed as a relevant prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We trained a deep-learning algorithm to fully automatically assess SV based on computed tomography (CT) scans. Then, we investigated SV as a prognostic factor for patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 327 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing initial TACE at our tertiary care center between 2010 and 2020. A convolutional neural network was trained and validated on the first 100 consecutive cases for spleen segmentation. Then, we used the algorithm to evaluate SV in all 327 patients. Subsequently, we evaluated correlations between SV and survival as well as the risk of hepatic decompensation during TACE.

RESULTS

The algorithm showed Sørensen Dice Scores of 0.96 during both training and validation. In the remaining 227 patients assessed with the algorithm, spleen segmentation was visually approved in 223 patients (98.2%) and failed in four patients (1.8%), which required manual re-assessments. Mean SV was 551 ml. Survival was significantly lower in patients with high SV (10.9 months), compared to low SV (22.0 months, p = 0.001). In contrast, overall survival was not significantly predicted by axial and craniocaudal spleen diameter. Furthermore, patients with a hepatic decompensation after TACE had significantly higher SV (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Automated SV assessments showed superior survival predictions in patients with HCC undergoing TACE compared to two-dimensional spleen size estimates and identified patients at risk of hepatic decompensation. Thus, SV could serve as an automatically available, currently underappreciated imaging biomarker.

KEY POINTS

• Splenic volume is a relevant prognostic factor for prediction of survival in patients with HCC undergoing TACE, and should be preferred over two-dimensional surrogates for splenic size. • Besides overall survival, progression-free survival and hepatic decompensation were significantly associated with splenic volume, making splenic volume a currently underappreciated prognostic factor prior to TACE. • Splenic volume can be fully automatically assessed using deep-learning methods; thus, it is a promising imaging biomarker easily integrable into daily radiological routine.

Early Changes in Alpha-Fetoprotein Are a Useful Predictor of Efficacy of Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab Treatment in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to investigate the early changes in alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) levels in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and to evaluate the relationship between changes in these tumor markers and treatment efficacy.

METHODS

Of 58 consecutive patients who started atezolizumab plus bevacizumab at our institution, 50 patients with information on antitumor response obtained at 6 weeks after therapy were enrolled in this study and their treatment outcomes were retrospectively evaluated.

RESULTS

According to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors at 6 weeks, the objective response (OR) rate was 22.0% and the disease control (DC) rate was 78.0%. In patients who achieved OR at 6 weeks, median AFP and DCP ratios at weeks 1, 2, 3, and 6 were significantly lower than those in patients who did not achieve OR. AFP ratios in patients who did not achieve DC at 6 weeks (Non-6W-DC group) were significantly higher than in those who achieved DC at week 6 (6W-DC group). Median overall survival in the Non-6W-DC group was significantly shorter than in the 6W-DC group (156 days vs. not reached, p = 0.0008). An AFP ratio of 1.4 or higher at 3 weeks had a specificity of 88.0% and a sensitivity of 88.9% for predicting Non-6W-DC. Median progression-free survival was significantly shorter in patients with an AFP ratio of 1.4 or higher at 3 weeks than in those with an AFP ratio of <1.4 (42 days vs. 210 days, p = 0.0003).

CONCLUSION

Early changes in AFP might be useful for predicting the antitumor efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in patients with advanced HCC. An AFP ratio of 1.4 or higher at 3 weeks might be an early predictor of refractoriness to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy.

Lenvatinib: established and promising drug for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

: The evolving therapeutic landscape of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) includes the increasing implementation of target-therapy and immunotherapy. Lenvatinib, a multi-target tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), is an emerging first-line therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma. Its approval has changed the scenario of first-line therapies for advanced HCC, where just sorafenib proved clinical efficacy for over a decade.

AREAS COVERED

: The current evidence on the role of lenvatinib for patients with advanced HCC is reviewed in this article. Particularly, therapeutic mechanisms and clinical efficacy of lenvatinib are summarized and the management of adverse events is discussed. In addition, future perspectives on the emerging role of combine therapy for HCC are highlighted.

EXPERT OPINION

In the first line, lenvatinib was found to be non-inferior to sorafenib for overall survival, with significantly better progression-free survival and objective response rate. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are now part of HCC treatment, and recently the combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab has become the recommended standard of care first-line therapy for selected patients. The antitumor and immunomodulatory activities that lenvatinib shows in preclinical studies, and the positive outcomes achieved using a combination of lenvatinib plus ICIs, open new perspectives for advanced HCC treatment.

Albumin-bilirubin score as a useful predictor of energy malnutrition in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver diseases, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), lead to an imbalance in energy metabolism. The non-protein respiratory quotient (npRQ), which estimates energy malnutrition, can be evaluated using an indirect calorimeter; however, npRQ measurement is limited in routine work. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and npRQ in patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in 109 patients with HCC who underwent indirect calorimetry and then compared the npRQ with various clinical parameters, including liver function and tumor factors.

RESULTS

The median npRQ was 0.82. A significant negative correlation was found between the npRQ and the ALBI score (r = -0.35, p < 0.001). The median npRQ in modified ALBI (mALBI) grades 1, 2a, 2b, and 3 were 0.84, 0.86, 0.81, and 0.79, respectively (grade 2a vs. 2b, p = 0.002). Factors associated with npRQ <0.85, which is reported to be the best cutoff value for energy malnutrition, were analyzed. On multivariate analysis, the ALBI score (cutoff value, -2.18) was the only significant independent factor (odds ratio, 7.65; p < 0.001). The proportion of HCC patients with npRQ <0.85 significantly increased among patients with an ALBI score ≥-2.18 (45/51, 88.2%) compared with those with an ALBI score <-2.18 (29/58, 50%) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI score might be a useful predictor for energy malnutrition in patients with HCC. In addition, most HCC patients with mALBI grade 2b or 3 can be considered to have energy malnutrition.

Early radiological response evaluation with response evaluation criteria in solid tumors 1.1 stratifies survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with lenvatinib

Background and Aim

Lenvatinib (LEN) has an antitumor effect with an early reduction in contrast enhancement for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to reveal the most useful radiological response evaluation for overall survival (OS) in patients treated with LEN.

Methods

Patients receiving LEN therapy (n = 80) were retrospectively recruited from April 2018 to January 2020. Enhanced computed tomography scans were performed at baseline and every 4-8 weeks. OS and radiological response were evaluated using response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST 1.1), modified RECIST (mRECIST), and Choi criteria. To be eligible for study, a minimal cumulative duration of LEN was 4 weeks. A total of 62 patients were included in the analysis.

Results

The median OS was 469 days. The RECIST 1.1, mRECIST, and Choi criteria identified 14 (22.5%), 30 (48.3%), and 33 (53.2%) patients with an objective response, respectively. In the univariate analysis, Child-Pugh class B, major vascular invasion, and high alpha-fetoprotein (>200) were statistically significant poor prognostic factors. Radiological response was a significantly better prognostic factor in each criterion (RECIST, mRECIST, and Choi). In the multivariate analysis, radiological response evaluated by RECIST (hazard ratio, 0.259; 95% confidence interval, 0.0723-0.928; P = 0.038) was an independent factor. Furthermore, only RECIST significantly stratified prognosis (P = 0.041) when limited to the first evaluation.

Conclusion

RECIST 1.1 was useful even as early therapeutic evaluation for HCC patients treated with LEN. Understanding the characteristics of radiological response over time may contribute to improving the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Lenvatinib for hepatocellular carcinoma: From preclinical mechanisms to anti-cancer therapy

Lenvatinib, a multi-target tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), is an emerging first-line therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its application has changed the status of sorafenib as the only first-line TKI treatment for HCC for more than a decade. Evidence has shown that lenvatinib possesses antitumor proliferation and immunomodulatory activity in preclinical studies. In comparison, lenvatinib was non-inferior to sorafenib in overall survival (OS), and even shows superiority with regard to all the secondary efficacy endpoints. Immune-checkpoint inhibitors(ICIs)are now being incorporated into HCC treatment. Positive outcomes have been achieved in the combination of lenvatinib plus ICIs, bringing broader prospects for HCC. This review presents an overview on the therapeutic mechanisms and clinical efficacy of lenvatinib in HCC, and we discuss the future perspectives of lenvatinib in HCC management with focus on biomarker-guided precision medicine.